Luck's numbers were only okay last year. He got a lot of breaks and had an unusual number of dropped interceptions (not to mention a lot that were caught). I think he's gonna be fantastic... but he wasn't actually fantastic last year. His "TQBR" did indicate that he steps up when it matters most, though. I wouldn't put him in that top tier, certainly not above two other rookies who did a lot more than he did (RG3 and Wilson).

Worth noting: Alex Smith was the most accurate passer in the entire NFL last year when legit drops are figured in, completing 82.6% of his "non-dropped" passes. I guess the guy's never really gonna get respect even though he's put up numbers AND won games. Maybe if he does it with another team like the Chiefs.

Weeden can't be placed anywhere but the bottom fourth until he plays real games and earns a higher rating. Same with Tannehill, even though his TQBR was much higher than Weeden's last year. Both guys have to earn it... and I think both are certainly capable of it. Both have serious talent.

1st and 4th tiers look fine, second and third tiers are almost changed for me. adding 4 newcomers to the 2nd tier is disgusting.

I agree with Zombo about moving Matt Ryan up and Luck down.

Kaepernick and Wilson have only had one good year. Dalton has been on the rise every year, if he leads Cincinnati to a division title then I would move him ahead of Rivers.

I'm sliding Luck down and Matt Ryan up ... c'mon, you gotta have more than one decent season, great prospect or not.

That is the way I had it originally, but then I thought if Luck is The Next Coming, which he may be, that I would rate him as such.

Second quandrant ... sliding Romo, Cutler and Rivers up ... Kaeper, Wilson and Dalton down ... again more accomplished guys versus potential

I again thought of this, but then I thought (speaking of sliding) that Romo and Rivers careers have been sliding downward, so I put them there accordingly. On Cutler....I see the talent....but then the head has to match, so I held him back.

Josh Freeman moves up over Tannehill and Weeden who both have a lot of proving to do

Agree The Tannehill and BW3 have a lot of proving , but, what the heck, Fran Tarkenton said Freeman was awful. So I didn't argue. Freeman has been sliding since a big first year. (and therein may lie a future tale of Wilson/Griffin etc.)

Zombo

There are 32 teams in the NFL. 32 is easily divisible by 4 to make 8. There are 32 starting QBs in the NFL this year. I am going to divide those QBs into quadrants of 8 each in 4 tiers. So, here is my evaluation:

Top Quadrant (no order within quadrant), the proven, plus one shining star:

Peyton Manning

Drew Brees

Tom Brady

Aaron Rodgers

Eli Manning

Ben Roethlisberger

Joe Flacco

(all of the above SB winners)

Andrew Luck

(simply considered by everyone one of the top 3 greatest QB prospects of all time)

Second Quadrant (no order):

Matt Ryan

Cam Newton

Colin Kaepernick

Robert Griffin

Russell Wilson

Matt Stafford

Andy Dalton

Matt Schaub

Third Quadrant

Jay Cutler

Sam Bradford

Phillip Rivers

Carson Palmer

Michael Vick\

Tony Romo

Alex Smith

Brandon Weeden or Ryan Tannehill

Fourth Quadrant

Brandon Weeden or Ryan Tannehill

Josh Freeman

Blaine Gabbert

Mark Sanchez

Kevin Kolb

Christian Ponder

Jake Locker

Matt Flynn

Obviously, this is all subject to change as the season(s) go along.