<![CDATA[BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over..]]> THE BROWNS ODDS OF MAKING THE PLAYOFFS WITH THE 1-2 START   FWIW, I just ran across this and thought I would give it a try and see what happens.  https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stats/playoffodds

It appears to be FREE to sign up and get more detailed information.    *** NOTE:.  THIS WILL BE UPDATED AS THE SEASON MOVES ALONG. ***

 
 
 
Innovative Statistics
Football Outsiders exclusive statistics

DVOA PLAYOFF ODDS REPORT

PagePick PositionOverall Team EfficiencyTeam OffenseTeam DefenseSpecial TeamsQuarterbacksRunning BacksTight EndsWide ReceiversOffensive LineDefensive LineNFL Main Drive StatsNFL Offensive Drive StatsNFL Defensive Drive StatsNFL Pace/Time StatsNFL Playoff OddsNFL Snap CountsNCAA: FEI Ratings, DefenseNCAA: FEI Ratings, OffenseNCAA: FEI Ratings, OverallNCAA: FEI Ratings, Special TeamsNCAA: S&P Ratings, DefenseNCAA: S&P Ratings, OffenseNCAA: S&P Ratings, OverallNCAA: F/+ Combined RatingsNCAA: Defensive LineNCAA: Offensive LineNCAA: FEI Field Position
 
YearPick Year2018

Revised as of 09/24/19, through Week 3.

Compiled by Mike Harris

The playoff odds report plays out the season 30,000 times. A random draw assigns each team a win or loss for each game. The probability that a team will be given a win is based on an equation which considers the current DAVE ratings of the two teams as well as home-field advantage. (DVOA ratings are explained here.) Mean Wins is the average number of wins for this team over the 30,000 simulations. Odds are given for winning each playoff seed, as well as for winning the division (DIV), earning a bye week (BYE), or winning a wild card (WC). TOT represents odds of making the playoffs in any fashion.

Mean Wins includes 0.5 wins for each tie.

  • Carolina's DAVE is penalized 3.3% for backup quarterback Kyle Allen. Cam Newton returns by in Week 8 in 20% of simulations, increasing 20% each week until he is back by Week 12 in all simulations.
  • Jacksonville's DAVE is no longer penalized for backup quarterback Gardner Minshew.
  • New Orleans' DAVE is penalized 13.6% for backup quarterback Teddy Twatwater. Drew Brees returns in Week 10 in 60% of simulations, Week 11 in 20% of simulations, and Week 12 in the rest of the simulations.
  • New York Giants' DAVE accounts for the replacement of Eli Manning with Daniel Jones.
  • New York Jets' DAVE is penalized 18.0% for third-string quarterback Luke Falk. Sam Darnold returns in Week 5 in 60% of simulations and Week 6 in all other simulations.
  • Pittsburgh's DAVE accounts for the replacement of Ben Roethlisberger with Mason Rudolph.

(The AFCN results, see link for more.)

AFC North

Team W-L DAVE Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 2-1 16.4% 9.9 7.2% 14.6% 23.3% 24.8% 3.4% 4.4% 69.9% 21.8% 7.8% 77.6% -1.8%
CLE 1-2 -0.1% 7.8 0.8% 2.8% 6.5% 11.5% 5.0% 7.5% 21.6% 3.6% 12.5% 34.1% -3.9%
PIT 0-3 -14.0% 5.9 0.1% 0.5% 1.6% 3.8% 1.6% 3.1% 5.9% 0.6% 4.6% 10.6% -3.9%
CIN 0-3 -22.5% 5.0 0.0% 0.2% 0.5% 1.9% 0.5% 1.4% 2.6% 0.2% 2.0% 4.5% -1.0%
]]>https://brownsboard.com/topic/54487/browns-odds-making-playoffs-with-6-9-start-revised-12-23-at-0.00-.....game-over..RSS for NodeThu, 01 Oct 2026 01:05:47 GMTSun, 29 Sep 2019 15:04:43 GMT60<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Fri, 27 Dec 2019 21:06:10 GMT]]>

@mjp28 said:

Well our beloved BROWNS now officially join Cincinnati in the 0% chance club and better luck next year.

Guess I got my Wait til this Year tee a year too early.

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/908376https://brownsboard.com/post/908376Fri, 27 Dec 2019 21:06:10 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Thu, 26 Dec 2019 23:41:09 GMT]]> Hard to believe that the high point of the BROWNS 2019 was in Week 4 when they were .500, what a disappointing season.

Well this analytics approach seems to be working.  They now have a better chance of winning the division (43.4%) and making the playoffs (56.1%) than Baltimore.

What a difference a big win makes!

AFC North....after the win at Baltimore

Team W-L DAVE Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 2-2 10.8% 8.9 2.2% 6.5% 15.5% 15.0% 6.5% 7.4% 39.2% 8.7% 13.9% 53.1% -24.5%
CLE 2-2 2.9% 8.8 2.1% 6.6% 15.0% 19.7% 5.3% 7.3% 43.4% 8.7% 12.7% 56.1% 21.9%
PIT 1-3 -3.4% 7.3 0.2% 2.0% 6.1% 8.4% 3.6% 5.8% 16.6% 2.1% 9.3% 25.9% 15.3%
CIN 0-4 -28.9% 4.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.5% 1.2% -3.3%
]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/908309https://brownsboard.com/post/908309Thu, 26 Dec 2019 23:41:09 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Thu, 26 Dec 2019 17:01:41 GMT]]>

@mjp28 said:

Well our beloved BROWNS now officially join Cincinnati in the 0% chance club and better luck next year.

The only thing still alive in the AFCN is due to their choke job last week with Pittsburgh losing to Buffalo is will they also be home for the playoffs.

Oh well try again next year !

AFC North

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 13-2 49.4% 13.7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
PIT 8-7 -4.2% 8.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 29.3% -8.9%
CLE 6-9 -12.9% 6.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.1%
CIN 1-14 -16.2% 1.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

NSS

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/908286https://brownsboard.com/post/908286Thu, 26 Dec 2019 17:01:41 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Thu, 26 Dec 2019 16:35:46 GMT]]> Well our beloved BROWNS now officially join Cincinnati in the 0% chance club and better luck next year.

The only thing still alive in the AFCN is due to their choke job last week with Pittsburgh losing to Buffalo is will they also be home for the playoffs.

Oh well try again next year !

AFC North

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 13-2 49.4% 13.7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
PIT 8-7 -4.2% 8.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 29.3% -8.9%
CLE 6-9 -12.9% 6.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.1%
CIN 1-14 -16.2% 1.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/908278https://brownsboard.com/post/908278Thu, 26 Dec 2019 16:35:46 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Thu, 19 Dec 2019 21:24:25 GMT]]> The two main points.....

The AFC Wild Card is expected to be very weak, but this will be very difficult.

It is far more likely that the Browns miss out, and enter 2020 with a new head coach and real pressure to capitalize on the talent on the roster, but not all is lost quite yet in 2019.  😳

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/907391https://brownsboard.com/post/907391Thu, 19 Dec 2019 21:24:25 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Thu, 19 Dec 2019 21:18:19 GMT]]> https://thespun.com/nfl/browns-nfl-playoffs-wild-card-titans-colts-steelers-ravens

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/907388https://brownsboard.com/post/907388Thu, 19 Dec 2019 21:18:19 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Thu, 19 Dec 2019 20:44:50 GMT]]> Well here are the odds whether it's Star Wars or the AFCN when you're a 100/1 shot or a 1.1% of winning or doing anything you're basically screwed !

So much for our lovable Brownies and their 2019 playoff aspirations.  Well at least Pittsburgh lost last week also !   Better luck next year.

AFC North

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 12-2 44.6% 13.5 95.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.3% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
PIT 8-6 1.7% 8.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 38.2% 0.0% 0.0% 38.2% 38.2% -21.9%
CLE 6-8 -7.0% 6.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1.1% -4.3%
CIN 1-13 -15.4% 2.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/907379https://brownsboard.com/post/907379Thu, 19 Dec 2019 20:44:50 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Sat, 14 Dec 2019 20:36:51 GMT]]>

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/906304https://brownsboard.com/post/906304Sat, 14 Dec 2019 20:36:51 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Sat, 14 Dec 2019 14:31:23 GMT]]>

@mjp28 said:

In thinking this over for days on end the BROWNS meager 5% mathematical chance to make the playoff might be slightly enhanced by their somewhat easy schedule.

In any case we get to watch one week at a time and find out.  The Cinci game should take them to 6-7 with three games to go. 

Well the instructions to the BROWNS keep swimming and don't look back.  Mathematically even going 6-7 has barely helped their odds at 5.5% of getting the last playoff spot without a lot of 8-5 teams falling apart at just the right time.  HOWEVER going to 7-7 and then beating Baltimore (a 7 point favorite now) will help the cause.

GO BROWNS, just win baby.....and don't look back !

AFC North

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 11-2 47.2% 13.5 95.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 99.9% 98.8% 0.1% 100.0% 0.0%
PIT 8-5 3.8% 9.2 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 30.3% 29.7% 0.1% 0.1% 60.0% 60.1% 19.6%
CLE 6-7 0.0% 7.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 5.5% 0.7%
CIN 1-12 -17.2%

2.3

AFC East

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
NE 10-3 28.7% 12.3 3.1% 71.3% 19.1% 1.7% 4.7% 0.0% 95.2% 74.4% 4.8% 100.0% -0.0%
BUF 9-4 8.6% 10.5 0.0% 2.6% 2.1% 0.1% 62.8% 26.2% 4.8% 2.6% 89.0% 93.8% 0.4%
MIA 3-10 -27.8% 4.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NYJ 5-8 -13.1% 5.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

AFC South

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
TEN 8-5 16.4% 9.8 0.0% 0.7% 20.1% 33.8% 0.4% 15.2% 54.6% 0.7% 15.6% 70.2% 17.8%
HOU 8-5 -6.3% 9.1 0.0% 0.4% 9.1% 34.1% 1.3% 21.6% 43.6% 0.4% 22.9% 66.5% -21.2%
IND 6-7 5.9% 7.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 1.8% 0.0% 0.8% 1.9% 0.0% 0.8% 2.7% -8.4%
JAX 4-9 -27.2% 5.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1%
]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/906254https://brownsboard.com/post/906254Sat, 14 Dec 2019 14:31:23 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Thu, 05 Dec 2019 05:36:51 GMT]]> Exactly . They should be 6-7 after Cincinnati and 7-7 after cardinals.

Then comes the Baltimore game. Win and we are 8-7. 

Beat cinci again 9-7 

Realistically we will go 8-8 but Pittsburgh and Tennessee have some tough games.

Pittsburgh can easily go 2-2 or 1-3 in thier final 4 games bringing them to 8-8 or 9-7

Titans have Texans,  Texans, raiders, saints. They just might drop all 4

Colts are 6-6 and probably be 8-8

With the tough road the stealers and titans have ....shockingly the browns could go 8-8 and get in. 

If they go 9-7 I think they get in. My gut tells me Tennessee , indi, Oakland and Steelers are all gonna go 8-8

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/905027https://brownsboard.com/post/905027Thu, 05 Dec 2019 05:36:51 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Wed, 04 Dec 2019 17:40:23 GMT]]>

@mjp28 said:

Tour the eternal optimist.   Yes there actually are two slim and none and slim just left town.

In thinking this over for days on end the BROWNS meager 5% mathematical chance to make the playoff might be slightly enhanced by their somewhat easy schedule.

In any case we get to watch one week at a time and find out.  The Cinci game should take them to 6-7 with three games to go. 

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/904945https://brownsboard.com/post/904945Wed, 04 Dec 2019 17:40:23 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Mon, 02 Dec 2019 19:08:49 GMT]]>

@tour2ma said:

So you're saying.... there's a chance!!!

Tour the eternal optimist.   Yes there actually are two slim and none and slim just left town.

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/904716https://brownsboard.com/post/904716Mon, 02 Dec 2019 19:08:49 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Mon, 02 Dec 2019 19:05:54 GMT]]> So you're saying.... there's a chance!!!

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/904714https://brownsboard.com/post/904714Mon, 02 Dec 2019 19:05:54 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Mon, 02 Dec 2019 16:32:53 GMT]]> Well with a 5-7 start the BROWNS have pretty much ended any serious talk about making the 2019 playoffs with a 4.8% chance of getting a wild card spot.

Better luck next year.

AFC North

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 10-2 44.9% 13.1 64.7% 30.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.4% 99.5% 95.1% 0.5% 100.0% 0.1%
PIT 7-5 2.0% 8.7 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 13.1% 26.6% 0.5% 0.2% 39.7% 40.3% 12.8%
CLE * 5-7 2.1% * 7.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% * 0.3% * 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% * 4.8% 4.8% ** -16.7%
CIN 1-11 -23.2% 2.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/904690https://brownsboard.com/post/904690Mon, 02 Dec 2019 16:32:53 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Tue, 26 Nov 2019 12:17:11 GMT]]> Well at 5-6 things have turned around from around 10% to about 21.5% with that nice 3 game win streak.  -but-. the next must win game is up with the BROWNS a slight favorite in the Cleveland-Pittsburgh II main event !

The second wild card spot is also getting interesting.

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
NE 10-1 41.4% 14.0 72.3% 25.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 99.7% 97.8% 0.3% √ 100.0% 0.0%
BUF 8-3 0.4% 9.8 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 60.8% 19.8% 0.3% 0.3% √ 80.7% 81.0% √ 22.8%
NYJ 4-7 -0.9% 6.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3%
MIA 2-9 -37.3% 3.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Team

W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 9-2 44.0% 12.8 26.8% 62.7% 8.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% √ 99.5% √ 89.5% 0.4% √ 99.9% 0.4%
PIT 6-5 -3.9% 8.0 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 12.7% 14.4% 0.4% 0.2% 27.0% 27.4% -0.1%
CLE * 5-6 1.0% 7.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 7.8% 13.6% 0.1% 0.0% * 21.4% * 21.5% * 3.4%
CIN 0-11 -33.2% 1.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% x 0.0%
]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/903831https://brownsboard.com/post/903831Tue, 26 Nov 2019 12:17:11 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Mon, 25 Nov 2019 14:55:28 GMT]]> We'll see what happens with this after MNF.  Remember the BROWNS were 2-2 at one time with a win over Baltimore, the next game is very pivotal for the division and season.

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/903696https://brownsboard.com/post/903696Mon, 25 Nov 2019 14:55:28 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Fri, 22 Nov 2019 13:40:34 GMT]]>

@lbc-mike said:

The Denver game was the most disappointing this year.

Remember last season when they finished 7-8-1 and we're at least close to thinking about the playoffs "IF" certain things and overtime games went the other way?

This year it will be games like DEN and others that just slipped away...... unless they can run the table without a certain all pro guy.

GO BROWNS, we have to be the toughest fans in sports !

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/903213https://brownsboard.com/post/903213Fri, 22 Nov 2019 13:40:34 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Fri, 22 Nov 2019 00:43:45 GMT]]>

@lbc-mike said:

The Denver game was the most disappointing this year.

Yep... basically took any excitement I had left out of the season. Outside of coming on this site, I’ve turned everything off Browns related except games... I will say, not listening to Bull and Fox on my drive home has actually put me in a better mood most days.... those guys really annoy me...

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/903130https://brownsboard.com/post/903130Fri, 22 Nov 2019 00:43:45 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Wed, 20 Nov 2019 14:19:09 GMT]]> The Denver game was the most disappointing this year.

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/902861https://brownsboard.com/post/902861Wed, 20 Nov 2019 14:19:09 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Wed, 20 Nov 2019 14:11:29 GMT]]>

@jrb12711 said:

Just wish we had that damn Denver game back-only one that really sticks in my craw. 5-5 with that win, and the schedule we have would be sitting pretty strong.

Yeah when you miss a layup or 2' putt you don't get those back..... especially when they are up the numbers at the end of the game.

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/902859https://brownsboard.com/post/902859Wed, 20 Nov 2019 14:11:29 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Wed, 20 Nov 2019 14:07:39 GMT]]> Definitely the time (of course, on top of winning) to root for those wonky losses for teams ahead. Bengals v Steelers, Jets v Raiders, etc. Even one of those teams taking a "bad loss" makes the odds better.

Just wish we had that damn Denver game back-only one that really sticks in my craw. 5-5 with that win, and the schedule we have would be sitting pretty strong.

]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/902857https://brownsboard.com/post/902857Wed, 20 Nov 2019 14:07:39 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Wed, 20 Nov 2019 13:58:39 GMT]]> And here it is at 4-6 and the task ahead is simple (not really) keep winning and hope for a wild card for any shot at the playoffs.

AFC North

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 8-2 33.5% 12.3 27.0% 53.5% 14.3% 3.4% 0.6% 0.5% 98.3% 80.6% 1.2% 99.4% 2.7%
PIT 5-5 -4.7% 7.9 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 13.1% 13.4% 1.0% 0.4% 26.5% 27.5% -24.7%
CLE * 4-6 -4.7% 7.4 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 7.1% 10.3% 0.7% 0.2% * 17.4% * 18.1% * up 8.0%
CIN 0-10 -37.1% 1.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/902855https://brownsboard.com/post/902855Wed, 20 Nov 2019 13:58:39 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Fri, 15 Nov 2019 15:11:20 GMT]]> Here's the updated odds after the win over Buffalo and going to 3-6 and a 10.1% shot at the playoffs, we will see what 4-6 looks like after this weekend is completed.

AFC North

Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 7-2 23.8% 11.6 23.6% 40.7% 16.4% 9.8% 4.1% 2.2% 90.5% 64.3% 6.3% 96.8% 3.7%
PIT 5-4 -0.5% 8.8 0.1% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4% 25.9% 18.1% 8.2% 4.2% 44.0% 52.2% 14.2%
CLE 3-6 -11.5% 6.8 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 3.5% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 8.9% 10.1% <--- 1/10 right now 1.6%
CIN 0-9 -42.4% 1.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% on the clock?0.0% -0.0%
]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/901795https://brownsboard.com/post/901795Fri, 15 Nov 2019 15:11:20 GMT<![CDATA[Reply to BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over.. on Tue, 05 Nov 2019 15:58:45 GMT]]>

@mjp28 said:

In case you forgot and we're wondering the high point of the season and CLE had an edge over BAL at winning the division.  No wonder we were all so giddy.

What a difference a big win makes!

AFC North....after the win at Baltimore

Team W-L DAVE Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4  #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
BAL 2-2 10.8% 8.9 2.2% 6.5% 15.5% 15.0% 6.5% 7.4% 39.2% 8.7% 13.9%  53.1% -24.5%
*CLE 2-2 2.9% 8.8 2.1% 6.6% 15.0% 19.7% 5.3% 7.3% *43.4% 8.7% 12.7% *56.1% 21.9% yeah baby we could taste it, now it just tastes like $&\¥
PIT 1-3 -3.4% 7.3 0.2% 2.0% 6.1% 8.4% 3.6% 5.8% 16.6% 2.1% 9.3% 25.9%  15.3%
CIN 0-4 -28.9% 4.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.5% 1.2% -3.3%

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]]>https://brownsboard.com/post/899632https://brownsboard.com/post/899632Tue, 05 Nov 2019 15:58:45 GMT