Go Big Or Go Home?
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Anything that costs a future first is a complete no no as far as I’m concerned
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Not by the standard chart of the time...
At the time Heckert was our GM and analytics had yet to come to town... so by the established chart of the day, the Jimmy Johnson chart. The rule of thumb is that future year picks are devalued by one round per year.
- We gave up 342.4.
- ATL paid 214.7+135.1+79.4+135.1+61.1 = 595.4. So we killed it... or so we thought.
However, by the Harvard Chart
- We gave up a pick worth 1600.
- So ATL gave up... 680+310+49+310+30 = 1379 assuming they finished 2012 in the same position... which they did not. They actually finished higher in 2012 and earned us the 29th pick.
So yeah... by today's standard we did not get full value for our 6th, but either way Chuckles Heckert blew the draft anyway.
Here's the old JJ chart... it has decimal points, so it must be more precise...
The chart is reference point...and demand can drive it favorably or unfavorably in either direction. I think the chart could be favorable with a trade up in the first round if you have a run on QBs with the first four picks and four are off the board at pick 5 or 6.
The chart is reference point.
Yes... but not the old JJ chart. It's an antiquity based on one man's whim.
A trade-up for a LB'er does seem to run counter to the Browns current culture of downplaying the LB'er role. I'm sure their specific denomination of analytics wouldn't support such a move. But it really doesn't change the fact that LB'er is probably our biggest need and that a LB'ers value will match one of our first four picks.
But as you know JOK is not a typical LB...
"When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196 -
The chart is reference point.
Yes... but not the old JJ chart. It's an antiquity based on one man's whim.
A trade-up for a LB'er does seem to run counter to the Browns current culture of downplaying the LB'er role. I'm sure their specific denomination of analytics wouldn't support such a move. But it really doesn't change the fact that LB'er is probably our biggest need and that a LB'ers value will match one of our first four picks.
But as you know JOK is not a typical LB...
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