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Going for it on 4th Down

The Browns Board
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  • Do they use a league wide calculation? Because there are some teams that are better at 4th down then others

    The Browns are in the bottom 3rd at converting 4th down

    https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/fourth-down-conversion-pct

  • can't say were fairing well in either.

    Cleveland

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                   others faced

    • 37 / 88
      THIRD DOWN CONVERSIONS
      42 / 93
    • 7 / 16
      FOURTH DOWN CONVERSIONS
      6 / 9
  • OK...I've read the article....and it hasn't persuaded me to like going for it on 4th down as much as we do.

    I think that if a coach can tell a QB, "Punting isn't a bad thing."  then a HC can be told "a FG isn't a bad thing."

    What if we were to say, Turning the ball over on downs is a turnover by the HC?

  • OK...I've read the article....and it hasn't persuaded me to like going for it on 4th down as much as we do.

    I think that if a coach can tell a QB, "Punting isn't a bad thing."  then a HC can be told "a FG isn't a bad thing."

    What if we were to say, Turning the ball over on downs is a turnover by the HC?

    @orion said:

    OK...I've read the article....and it hasn't persuaded me to like going for it on 4th down as much as we do.

    I think that if a coach can tell a QB, "Punting isn't a bad thing."  then a HC can be told "a FG isn't a bad thing."

    What if we were to say, Turning the ball over on downs is a turnover by the HC?

    Me neither.. But it's a league wide "thing" now. Paralysis by analysis- and I'm thinking they're over analyzing things, to find a microscopic advantage.

  • @orion said:

    OK...I've read the article....and it hasn't persuaded me to like going for it on 4th down as much as we do.

    I think that if a coach can tell a QB, "Punting isn't a bad thing."  then a HC can be told "a FG isn't a bad thing."

    What if we were to say, Turning the ball over on downs is a turnover by the HC?

    Me neither.. But it's a league wide "thing" now. Paralysis by analysis- and I'm thinking they're over analyzing things, to find a microscopic advantage.

    @hoorta said:

    to find a microscopic advantage.

    ...like taking a FG on two drives, as opposed to going for it on 4th down twice and once scoring a TD.

  • The issue I take with the analytics of it is that I'm not sure to what extend it factors in personnel.  

    Going for it on 4th and 2 with Aaron Rodgers is significantly different than 4th and 2 with another QB.

  • The issue I take with the analytics of it is that I'm not sure to what extend it factors in personnel.  

    Going for it on 4th and 2 with Aaron Rodgers is significantly different than 4th and 2 with another QB.

    @tiamat63 said:

    The issue I take with the analytics of it is that I'm not sure to what extend it factors in personnel.  

    Going for it on 4th and 2 with Aaron Rodgers is significantly different than 4th and 2 with another QB.

    I think we all know what you're getting at here-on these 4th down plays, always put in Case "Mr Automatic" Keenum on 4th down. You can't argue with him being 100% on 4th down conversions while also putting his life on the line.

  • The issue I take with the analytics of it is that I'm not sure to what extend it factors in personnel.  

    Going for it on 4th and 2 with Aaron Rodgers is significantly different than 4th and 2 with another QB.

    @tiamat63 said:

    The issue I take with the analytics of it is that I'm not sure to what extend it factors in personnel.  

    Going for it on 4th and 2 with Aaron Rodgers is significantly different than 4th and 2 with another QB.

    Yep. And I could be wrong but analytics probably doesn't measure a team's momentum in the game situation....like kicking a FG while down 21-0. 

    It used to be "take the points" in road games, for instance. Not sure analytics agrees on that.

  • It always worked out pretty good for me in Madden. I didn't even bother to keep a punter on my team. 4th and 20.... NO PROBLEM. 

  • @tiamat63 said:

    The issue I take with the analytics of it is that I'm not sure to what extend it factors in personnel.  

    Going for it on 4th and 2 with Aaron Rodgers is significantly different than 4th and 2 with another QB.

    I think we all know what you're getting at here-on these 4th down plays, always put in Case "Mr Automatic" Keenum on 4th down. You can't argue with him being 100% on 4th down conversions while also putting his life on the line.

    @jrb12711 said:

    -on these 4th down plays, always put in Case "Mr Automatic" Keenum on 4th down. You can't argue with him being 100% on 4th down conversions while also putting his life on the line.

    Fair point !

    I play board fan, to watch for our recliner coaching fan staff during the play clock running down in game day thread on 4th down. The replies may quickly add up to 8-10 ?.. Baker's cadence ain't A.Rog'er-ish yet, but Bake seems to have found his knack. plus, I like Kevin's thinking of at least attempting to draw someone offsides.

    With Bake's injury though, I like what your cooking up here. but not feeling the fact that teams may load up for it seeing Keenum rolling out there.. I don't need to see Baker splitting eligible either ?

    In fact....I continue to hate the fact that Stef play call sheet, calls that has Baker in some kind of lead blocking assignment.. I crinch at the sight of it  ?

  • @jrb12711 said:

    -on these 4th down plays, always put in Case "Mr Automatic" Keenum on 4th down. You can't argue with him being 100% on 4th down conversions while also putting his life on the line.

    Fair point !

    I play board fan, to watch for our recliner coaching fan staff during the play clock running down in game day thread on 4th down. The replies may quickly add up to 8-10 ?.. Baker's cadence ain't A.Rog'er-ish yet, but Bake seems to have found his knack. plus, I like Kevin's thinking of at least attempting to draw someone offsides.

    With Bake's injury though, I like what your cooking up here. but not feeling the fact that teams may load up for it seeing Keenum rolling out there.. I don't need to see Baker splitting eligible either ?

    In fact....I continue to hate the fact that Stef play call sheet, calls that has Baker in some kind of lead blocking assignment.. I crinch at the sight of it  ?

    @gumby73 said:

    but not feeling the fact that teams may load up for it seeing Keenum rolling out there..

    Right.  Say Baker plays this week, and on 4th & 1 you take him out and put in Keenum.  The D will key the QB sneak.  So now what?  Do ya get 'cute' with the play call because You know that They know?  

  • Sure, but do they know that you know that they know?  So Stef could do some self-scounting and actually call a run instead of trying the weird stuff this week.