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Draft so you can win more games

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  • @orion said:

    Why not draft Fano?  The guy that can play either...

     Goes back to my comments about asking players to make switches while growing into a role they're specializing in. 

     Many believed that Travis Hunter was so transcendent a talent, that he could play both sides of the ball equally. Turns out, in the modern NFL, because these kids are receiving such focused training at such a young age; that sort of thing has gone the way of the dodo bird.  

     So if we're draft Fano because you believe he's the long term future, and his best position is RT - then keep him there.  

     Without an extended viewing (yet) I can't give an endorsement.   Right now, after the extra stuff sent to me about Caleb Lomu, Blake Miller is my current leader for OT (RT)

    OrionO Orion wrote on last edited by

    @tiamat63 said:

     So if we're draft Fano because you believe he's the long term future, and his best position is RT - then keep him there.

    He played 13 games at LT.  Then moved to RT.  But is it because Lomu was unable to play either side?  We'd have to ask the team's coaches to better know that.

  • @tiamat63 said:

     So if we're draft Fano because you believe he's the long term future, and his best position is RT - then keep him there.

    He played 13 games at LT.  Then moved to RT.  But is it because Lomu was unable to play either side?  We'd have to ask the team's coaches to better know that.

    tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on last edited by

    @orion said:

     But is it because Lomu was unable to play either side?

    Conversely, was it because Lomu was the superior LT...?

    @orion said:

      We'd have to ask the team's coaches to better know that.

    This is where I'd love more industry contacts.  Until then, we have to take our best educated guesses.

  • sydS syd

    @tiamat63 said:

     Goes back to my comments about asking players to make switches while growing into a role they're specializing in. 

     Many believed that Travis Hunter was so transcendent a talent, that he could play both sides of the ball equally. Turns out, in the modern NFL, because these kids are receiving such focused training at such a young age; that sort of thing has gone the way of the dodo bird.  

     So if we're draft Fano because you believe he's the long term future, and his best position is RT - then keep him there.  

     Without an extended viewing (yet) I can't give an endorsement.   Right now, after the extra stuff sent to me about Caleb Lomu, Blake Miller is my current leader for OT (RT)

    ok then I am bringing in someone like Decker to man the position for the year, and draft a OT in the 3rd to develop ,Go ahead and pick BPA at 6 and 24, or draft two wr's 

    S SdBacker80 wrote on last edited by SdBacker80

    @syd said:

    ok then I am bringing in someone like Decker to man the position for the year, and draft a OT in the 3rd to develop ,Go ahead and pick BPA at 6 and 24, or draft two wr's 

    Welcome I’ve landed here as well. There didn’t appear to be a tackle and now specifically a LT that was worth the #6 overall pick.  
     

    Paying good talent #6 overall money and perhaps playing them in their second best spot.  Or taking a higher rated talent at their natural position?  What selection do the best organizations make? 

  • @orion said:

     But is it because Lomu was unable to play either side?

    Conversely, was it because Lomu was the superior LT...?

    @orion said:

      We'd have to ask the team's coaches to better know that.

    This is where I'd love more industry contacts.  Until then, we have to take our best educated guesses.

    OrionO Orion wrote on last edited by

    @tiamat63 said:

    Conversely, was it because Lomu was the superior LT...?

    Well, the answer to my question that you're responding to would answer that.

  • @tiamat63 said:

    - Draft the most developed RT and transition him to LT. 

    Why not draft Fano?  The guy that can play either...

    tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on last edited by

    @orion said:

    Why not draft Fano?  The guy that can play either...

    5hours later and 3 games deep.   I can tell you Fano, like his teammate Lomu, has really dropped down my board.  

    He has quick feet, like Caleb.  But they both have significant technical limitations that need immediate improvement.  Unlike Caleb, there are arm length concerns that showed up early and often for Spence, especially against TTU.

     I wouldn't pencil either in as a day 1 starter.  Top 20 pick has to be a day 1 starter.  

  • @syd said:

    ok then, who is worthy of a first round pick to play LT ? seems to me besides Blake or that kid from Utah all others should be on the other side of the line

    Can't fully answer that yet.  Might be none. 

    - I want no part of Proctor. 

    - I'm bullish on switching tackles to different sides. 

    - I was emailed some more Caleb Lomu film and now he's falling down my board.  Athletically he's all there.  Technically, he has quite a long way to go. (Set, Hand & pass pro strike sync) 

    Edit:  Maybe that's the case with the Browns brass. Maybe they're seeing the same things?  So that means their answer could be. 

    - Draft the most developed RT and transition him to LT. 

    - Draft RT.  Kick Tytus Howard over to LT to hold down the point while they draft LT of the future in later rounds 2026, or early-ish 2027. 

    FlugelF Flugel wrote on last edited by

    @tiamat63 said:

    Can't fully answer that yet.  Might be none. 

    - I want no part of Proctor. 

    - I'm bullish on switching tackles to different sides. 

    - I was emailed some more Caleb Lomu film and now he's falling down my board.  Athletically he's all there.  Technically, he has quite a long way to go. (Set, Hand & pass pro strike sync) 

    Edit:  Maybe that's the case with the Browns brass. Maybe they're seeing the same things?  So that means their answer could be. 

    - Draft the most developed RT and transition him to LT. 

    - Draft RT.  Kick Tytus Howard over to LT to hold down the point while they draft LT of the future in later rounds 2026, or early-ish 2027. 

    I like your points and trust your knowledge; but just a reminder to even you - are we drafting rear view mirror (his 1st 2 years of college football)? If we went by that - how many people saw Mendoza going first in the 2026 draft (after his 2023 & 2024 seasons at Cal)? I think this time last year in a look ahead to the 2026 draft - McShay had Klubnik listed first.  IMO, Mendoza went to the perfect program for his intellect and skill-set.  Result?  All good things tapped.

    As for Lomu, what he lacks at arm length under 34" (still longer than Fano's) as a LT - he makes up for with the best footwork at the LT position this year.  All that matters in pass pro is keeping oneself between his opponent and his QB until the pass is thrown.  BUT when that seems to look ready to go awry with Lomu - he has the mind to know where his QB is in tandem with the knowledge of how to use his opponent's choice of path against the opponent by staying on him and riding that guy much deeper or further beyond threat to passer?  Why/How?  Feet. That poor defensive guy is breathing in so much Lomu ass breath in intimate space - he's gonna end the day thinking "that guy was a pain in my ass for 3 hours."  I expect some change in this over the next 2 seasons in the sense of better recruitment of his handwork/upper torso where applicable.  He's NOT a guard with ideal pad height for the lower centers of gravity frames at DT weighing in between 320 - 350 lbs+.  I think you've alluded to that somewhere as well.

    If we wanted a LT that could jolt guys back on his initial hand placement - it would be Kadyn Proctor. HOWEVER,  it needs to be more than 20-30% of his pass pro sets - which is an elusive trend inviting too much wishful thinking for comfort.  He did give the poor guy holding the pad at the combine the equivalent of a forklift from an angry bear. Aside from his lack of discipline with his body weight - he's very inconsistent with his initial contact which doesn't work well  his heavy feet on the Left Edge.  This seems like too much to wishful think for imo.  Hope to God the Browns have the right person reviewing his film if he's the way they're leaning at this time.  I'd make sure his contact has all kinds of ideal weight incentives...

  • @orion said:

    Why not draft Fano?  The guy that can play either...

     Goes back to my comments about asking players to make switches while growing into a role they're specializing in. 

     Many believed that Travis Hunter was so transcendent a talent, that he could play both sides of the ball equally. Turns out, in the modern NFL, because these kids are receiving such focused training at such a young age; that sort of thing has gone the way of the dodo bird.  

     So if we're draft Fano because you believe he's the long term future, and his best position is RT - then keep him there.  

     Without an extended viewing (yet) I can't give an endorsement.   Right now, after the extra stuff sent to me about Caleb Lomu, Blake Miller is my current leader for OT (RT)

    ballpeenB ballpeen wrote on last edited by

    @tiamat63 said:

     Goes back to my comments about asking players to make switches while growing into a role they're specializing in. 

     Many believed that Travis Hunter was so transcendent a talent, that he could play both sides of the ball equally. Turns out, in the modern NFL, because these kids are receiving such focused training at such a young age; that sort of thing has gone the way of the dodo bird.  

     So if we're draft Fano because you believe he's the long term future, and his best position is RT - then keep him there.  

     Without an extended viewing (yet) I can't give an endorsement.   Right now, after the extra stuff sent to me about Caleb Lomu, Blake Miller is my current leader for OT (RT)

    I agree.  Not everybody can switch from one side dominate to the other.  If it was that easy every baseball player would be a switch hitter.  Not everybody can think, see, and react in reverse.

  • @tiamat63 said:

    Can't fully answer that yet.  Might be none. 

    - I want no part of Proctor. 

    - I'm bullish on switching tackles to different sides. 

    - I was emailed some more Caleb Lomu film and now he's falling down my board.  Athletically he's all there.  Technically, he has quite a long way to go. (Set, Hand & pass pro strike sync) 

    Edit:  Maybe that's the case with the Browns brass. Maybe they're seeing the same things?  So that means their answer could be. 

    - Draft the most developed RT and transition him to LT. 

    - Draft RT.  Kick Tytus Howard over to LT to hold down the point while they draft LT of the future in later rounds 2026, or early-ish 2027. 

    I like your points and trust your knowledge; but just a reminder to even you - are we drafting rear view mirror (his 1st 2 years of college football)? If we went by that - how many people saw Mendoza going first in the 2026 draft (after his 2023 & 2024 seasons at Cal)? I think this time last year in a look ahead to the 2026 draft - McShay had Klubnik listed first.  IMO, Mendoza went to the perfect program for his intellect and skill-set.  Result?  All good things tapped.

    As for Lomu, what he lacks at arm length under 34" (still longer than Fano's) as a LT - he makes up for with the best footwork at the LT position this year.  All that matters in pass pro is keeping oneself between his opponent and his QB until the pass is thrown.  BUT when that seems to look ready to go awry with Lomu - he has the mind to know where his QB is in tandem with the knowledge of how to use his opponent's choice of path against the opponent by staying on him and riding that guy much deeper or further beyond threat to passer?  Why/How?  Feet. That poor defensive guy is breathing in so much Lomu ass breath in intimate space - he's gonna end the day thinking "that guy was a pain in my ass for 3 hours."  I expect some change in this over the next 2 seasons in the sense of better recruitment of his handwork/upper torso where applicable.  He's NOT a guard with ideal pad height for the lower centers of gravity frames at DT weighing in between 320 - 350 lbs+.  I think you've alluded to that somewhere as well.

    If we wanted a LT that could jolt guys back on his initial hand placement - it would be Kadyn Proctor. HOWEVER,  it needs to be more than 20-30% of his pass pro sets - which is an elusive trend inviting too much wishful thinking for comfort.  He did give the poor guy holding the pad at the combine the equivalent of a forklift from an angry bear. Aside from his lack of discipline with his body weight - he's very inconsistent with his initial contact which doesn't work well  his heavy feet on the Left Edge.  This seems like too much to wishful think for imo.  Hope to God the Browns have the right person reviewing his film if he's the way they're leaning at this time.  I'd make sure his contact has all kinds of ideal weight incentives...

    tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on last edited by

    @flugel said:

    I like your points and trust your knowledge; but just a reminder to even you - are we drafting rear view mirror (his 1st 2 years of college football)?

       How we finish means more than how we start.

    @flugel said:

    As for Lomu, what he lacks at arm length under 34" (still longer than Fano's) as a LT -

    Tristan Wirfs has 34in arm length.  Lomu is 33.5.   That .5 isn't what hurts his game and the media are making WAY too much of it.

    @flugel said:

    he makes up for with the best footwork at the LT position this year.

     I thought the same, but really, it's a half truth.   His footwork is his athletic ability.  He moves well for his size.  Quality athlete laterally.   The more I've watched, the more I see the technical nuances of both Caleb & Lomu are unrefined, at best. I'm being kind in my appraisal.   Vertical/kick step? Forget about it.    They let Lomu 45 set so much because he just wins with natural athletic ability.   The Texas Tech game was eye opening when I got to it.  When the athletic ability was matched by their edges, the weaknesses in game really started to show though.   

     Fano's footwork is every bit as rough, with the added downside that he has much shorter arms.  Shorter arms that show up on film, on the field.  Not just in combine tests.

     As fast as they were at the top of my board, with more film & data, they've dropped just as fast.

    @flugel said:

     All that matters in pass pro is keeping oneself between his opponent and his QB until the pass is thrown.

     Spacing is incredibly important.  If I'm between the QB and the pass rusher, but I'm being driven back into the QB's lap, they that 'between' doesn't mean much.

    @flugel said:

       it would be Kadyn Proctor. 

     Proctor's FSU film early was damning.  He was beat inside more than expected, because his natural enemy is edge speed.  As a result, he was oversetting early to combat it, only to be beaten back to the inside.  So his greatest strength can't quite compensate for his greatest weakness.  

     He may end up shedding weight, refining his athleticism and being a better player.  But I'll let another team take that risk.

  • @tiamat63 said:

     Goes back to my comments about asking players to make switches while growing into a role they're specializing in. 

     Many believed that Travis Hunter was so transcendent a talent, that he could play both sides of the ball equally. Turns out, in the modern NFL, because these kids are receiving such focused training at such a young age; that sort of thing has gone the way of the dodo bird.  

     So if we're draft Fano because you believe he's the long term future, and his best position is RT - then keep him there.  

     Without an extended viewing (yet) I can't give an endorsement.   Right now, after the extra stuff sent to me about Caleb Lomu, Blake Miller is my current leader for OT (RT)

    I agree.  Not everybody can switch from one side dominate to the other.  If it was that easy every baseball player would be a switch hitter.  Not everybody can think, see, and react in reverse.

    IbleedbrownI Ibleedbrown wrote on last edited by

    @ballpeen said:

    I agree.  Not everybody can switch from one side dominate to the other.  If it was that easy every baseball player would be a switch hitter.  Not everybody can think, see, and react in reverse.

    That’s an interesting analogy. I would argue that being right handed is different than being right legged, and those are 2 wildly different things depending on what you’re looking to do with those skill sets.

    I’m right handed, but l’m left legged. I was a hurdler in high school, and ideally it’s 3 steps between hurdles with your dominant leg as the lead step over a hurdle. That’s tough to do unless you’re of a certain height, and l am not. 

    To this day l can touch my big left toe to my nose, but l can’t do that with my right big toe. What leg do you use in kickball? That’s what l would want to know if l’m assigning sides on the O-line.

  • @ballpeen said:

    I agree.  Not everybody can switch from one side dominate to the other.  If it was that easy every baseball player would be a switch hitter.  Not everybody can think, see, and react in reverse.

    That’s an interesting analogy. I would argue that being right handed is different than being right legged, and those are 2 wildly different things depending on what you’re looking to do with those skill sets.

    I’m right handed, but l’m left legged. I was a hurdler in high school, and ideally it’s 3 steps between hurdles with your dominant leg as the lead step over a hurdle. That’s tough to do unless you’re of a certain height, and l am not. 

    To this day l can touch my big left toe to my nose, but l can’t do that with my right big toe. What leg do you use in kickball? That’s what l would want to know if l’m assigning sides on the O-line.

    OrionO Orion wrote on last edited by

    @ibleedbrown said:

    To this day l can touch my big left toe to my nose,

    ...and here I am struggling mightily just to put my socks on.  Wait 'til you get old you young whipper snapper!  🙂  

  • @flugel said:

    I like your points and trust your knowledge; but just a reminder to even you - are we drafting rear view mirror (his 1st 2 years of college football)?

       How we finish means more than how we start.

    @flugel said:

    As for Lomu, what he lacks at arm length under 34" (still longer than Fano's) as a LT -

    Tristan Wirfs has 34in arm length.  Lomu is 33.5.   That .5 isn't what hurts his game and the media are making WAY too much of it.

    @flugel said:

    he makes up for with the best footwork at the LT position this year.

     I thought the same, but really, it's a half truth.   His footwork is his athletic ability.  He moves well for his size.  Quality athlete laterally.   The more I've watched, the more I see the technical nuances of both Caleb & Lomu are unrefined, at best. I'm being kind in my appraisal.   Vertical/kick step? Forget about it.    They let Lomu 45 set so much because he just wins with natural athletic ability.   The Texas Tech game was eye opening when I got to it.  When the athletic ability was matched by their edges, the weaknesses in game really started to show though.   

     Fano's footwork is every bit as rough, with the added downside that he has much shorter arms.  Shorter arms that show up on film, on the field.  Not just in combine tests.

     As fast as they were at the top of my board, with more film & data, they've dropped just as fast.

    @flugel said:

     All that matters in pass pro is keeping oneself between his opponent and his QB until the pass is thrown.

     Spacing is incredibly important.  If I'm between the QB and the pass rusher, but I'm being driven back into the QB's lap, they that 'between' doesn't mean much.

    @flugel said:

       it would be Kadyn Proctor. 

     Proctor's FSU film early was damning.  He was beat inside more than expected, because his natural enemy is edge speed.  As a result, he was oversetting early to combat it, only to be beaten back to the inside.  So his greatest strength can't quite compensate for his greatest weakness.  

     He may end up shedding weight, refining his athleticism and being a better player.  But I'll let another team take that risk.

    FlugelF Flugel wrote on last edited by Flugel

    @tiamat63 said:

       How we finish means more than how we start.

    Tristan Wirfs has 34in arm length.  Lomu is 33.5.   That .5 isn't what hurts his game and the media are making WAY too much of it. I thought the same, but really, it's a half truth.   His footwork is his athletic ability.  He moves well for his size.  Quality athlete laterally.   The more I've watched, the more I see the technical nuances of both Caleb & Lomu are unrefined, at best. I'm being kind in my appraisal.   Vertical/kick step? Forget about it.    They let Lomu 45 set so much because he just wins with natural athletic ability.   The Texas Tech game was eye opening when I got to it.  When the athletic ability was matched by their edges, the weaknesses in game really started to show though. 

    Me - Lomu has only given up a total of 2 sacks (both in 2024 as a red shirt freshman at LT) in his 2 year college football career with 0 sacks yielded in 2025 so I'm not worried an about-to-be top 5 pick overall - David Bailey at TT gave him his biggest challenge. That's about 25 or 26 starts facing David Bailey twice. The 1 area I'd like to see him improve at his initial contact force/strength - especially during the runs to his side. I'm confident good coaching can resolve a lot of this. 

     Fano's footwork is every bit as rough, with the added downside that he has much shorter arms.  Shorter arms that show up on film, on the field.  Not just in combine tests.

    Me- Fano earned the Outland Trophy given to the best Lineman in college football so I think we need to dig a little further on what's making him successful (even though you found some areas that need polish)

     As fast as they were at the top of my board, with more film & data, they've dropped just as fast.

     Spacing is incredibly important.  If I'm between the QB and the pass rusher, but I'm being driven back into the QB's lap, they that 'between' doesn't mean much.

     Proctor's FSU film early was damning.  He was beat inside more than expected, because his natural enemy is edge speed.  As a result, he was oversetting early to combat it, only to be beaten back to the inside.  So his greatest strength can't quite compensate for his greatest weakness.  

     He may end up shedding weight, refining his athleticism and being a better player.  But I'll let another team take that risk.

    Me - Some good points TJ although we lost each other with Proctor.  I've never endorsed Proctor; especially since I want at least 1 LT here with good footwork instead of all arms. I saw the FSU game with Proctor and mentioned it as my bad 1st impression of him countless times in our group topics about Tackles. Here's what I did say:image.png.206e2d0ef9fec67cd7c13efb33971721.png

  • tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on last edited by

    Me - Lomu has only given up a total of 2 sacks (both in 2024 as a red shirt freshman at LT) in his 2 year college football career with 0 sacks yielded in 2025 so I'm not worried an about-to-be top 5 pick overall - David Bailey at TT gave him his biggest challenge. That's about 25 or 26 starts facing David Bailey twice. The 1 area I'd like to see him improve at his initial contact force/strength - especially during the runs to his side. I'm confident good coaching can resolve a lot of this.

    Me- Fano earned the Outland Trophy given to the best Lineman in college football so I think we need to dig a little further on what's making him successful (even though you found some areas that need polish)

     Yes, context and a dive is needed on everything.  Which you already know I do.   I don't punish OT's for an edge win when it's a short-set on a 3 step.  I always chart protections vs pressures to account.    I don't say these things lightly without taking in a comprehensive assessment.

     Best example I can give you.  Carter Smith was PFF's top graded pass blocker in the 2025 regular season.  I've told you that, because of the structure of the IU offense + how defenses set their fronts in response, it minimized the surface/attack on the edge and really helped to limit his exposure to more "pure" pass rush situations from 5-9techs.    

     This is still something PFF simply does not put enough weight to - pass pro grade vs rush alignment/technique.  

    Called my shot when the playoffs came around that, not only because of the talent increase, but because of their structure, he would struggle vs Miami.  Result? Worst game of his season.

    Bailey is the closest thing Lomu & Fano saw to NFL talent all year and they lost a good deal more than what they won.  I'm seeing quite a bit of that here with the entire Utah line.

    Credit I'll give to both Lomu & Fano - they pull REALLY well.  Footwork needs cleaned up, but they're very fluid and make quality decisions against various fronts.  
     

  • @ibleedbrown said:

    To this day l can touch my big left toe to my nose,

    ...and here I am struggling mightily just to put my socks on.  Wait 'til you get old you young whipper snapper!  🙂  

    T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by

    @orion said:

    ...and here I am struggling mightily just to put my socks on.  Wait 'til you get old you young whipper snapper!  🙂  

    Oh, I don't know. I'm older than you and I can still get either foot in my mouth with no trouble at all. Of course I have specialized in that all my life so.......................?

  • @sdbacker80 said:

    Good idea. And makes sense for them if they want Sonny Styles. 

    12, 2nd this year and 2nd next year for 6. Gives us a slight advantage on the charts. 

    Saw at a recent The Athletic Mock..

    6. Dallas Cowboys (from CLE*): Sonny Styles, LB, Ohio State

    *Projected trade: Browns receive Nos. 12, 20 and a 2027 fourth-round pick; Cowboys receive Nos. 6 and 39*

    The Cowboys could sit at No. 12 and have an impact defender fall to them, but it won’t be surprising if the organization gets aggressive. Styles would not only be an immediate starter at a position of need, but also wear the green dot as a rookie.

    In this projected trade, the Cowboys surrender two of the first-rounders they hold this year (plus a 2027 pick), but they get back into Round 2.

    Full 2026 NFL mock draft: Dane Brugler predicts all 7 rounds and 257 picks - The Athletic

    Cleveland Browns

    1 (12). Spencer Fano, OT, Utah (Sadiq,Lemon,Vega,Freeling)
    1 (20). KC Concepcion, WR, Texas A&M  (Omar Cooper, K. Proctor)
    1 (24). Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, S, Toledo (Lomu,D.Boston,Blake Miller)
    3 (70). Derrick Moore, edge, Michigan
    4 (107). Markell Bell, OT, Miami
    5 (146). Will Kacmarek, TE, Ohio State
    5 (149). Jadon Canady, CB, Oregon
    6 (206). David Gusta, DT, Kentucky
    7 (248). Karson Sharar, LB, Iowa

    sydS syd wrote on last edited by syd

    @gumby73 said:

    1 (12). Spencer Fano, OT, Utah (Sadiq,Lemon,Vega,Freeling)
    1 (20). KC Concepcion, WR, Texas A&M  (Omar Cooper, K. Proctor)
    1 (24). Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, S, Toledo (Lomu,D.Boston,Blake Miller)
    3 (70). Derrick Moore, edge, Michigan
    4 (107). Markell Bell, OT, Miami
    5 (146). Will Kacmarek, TE, Ohio State
    5 (149). Jadon Canady, CB, Oregon
    6 (206). David Gusta, DT, Kentucky
    7 (248). Karson Sharar, LB, Iowa

    all we get is pick # 20 to move back 6 spots and they get our #39th pick ? FUCK THAT, those fucks need to be squeezed hard , if they want 6 and 39 I want their 3rd and next years 1st along with #12 and #20

  • Me - Lomu has only given up a total of 2 sacks (both in 2024 as a red shirt freshman at LT) in his 2 year college football career with 0 sacks yielded in 2025 so I'm not worried an about-to-be top 5 pick overall - David Bailey at TT gave him his biggest challenge. That's about 25 or 26 starts facing David Bailey twice. The 1 area I'd like to see him improve at his initial contact force/strength - especially during the runs to his side. I'm confident good coaching can resolve a lot of this.

    Me- Fano earned the Outland Trophy given to the best Lineman in college football so I think we need to dig a little further on what's making him successful (even though you found some areas that need polish)

     Yes, context and a dive is needed on everything.  Which you already know I do.   I don't punish OT's for an edge win when it's a short-set on a 3 step.  I always chart protections vs pressures to account.    I don't say these things lightly without taking in a comprehensive assessment.

     Best example I can give you.  Carter Smith was PFF's top graded pass blocker in the 2025 regular season.  I've told you that, because of the structure of the IU offense + how defenses set their fronts in response, it minimized the surface/attack on the edge and really helped to limit his exposure to more "pure" pass rush situations from 5-9techs.    

     This is still something PFF simply does not put enough weight to - pass pro grade vs rush alignment/technique.  

    Called my shot when the playoffs came around that, not only because of the talent increase, but because of their structure, he would struggle vs Miami.  Result? Worst game of his season.

    Bailey is the closest thing Lomu & Fano saw to NFL talent all year and they lost a good deal more than what they won.  I'm seeing quite a bit of that here with the entire Utah line.

    Credit I'll give to both Lomu & Fano - they pull REALLY well.  Footwork needs cleaned up, but they're very fluid and make quality decisions against various fronts.  
     

    FlugelF Flugel wrote on last edited by

    @tiamat63 said:

    Me - Lomu has only given up a total of 2 sacks (both in 2024 as a red shirt freshman at LT) in his 2 year college football career with 0 sacks yielded in 2025 so I'm not worried an about-to-be top 5 pick overall - David Bailey at TT gave him his biggest challenge. That's about 25 or 26 starts facing David Bailey twice. The 1 area I'd like to see him improve at his initial contact force/strength - especially during the runs to his side. I'm confident good coaching can resolve a lot of this.

    Me- Fano earned the Outland Trophy given to the best Lineman in college football so I think we need to dig a little further on what's making him successful (even though you found some areas that need polish)

     Yes, context and a dive is needed on everything.  Which you already know I do.   I don't punish OT's for an edge win when it's a short-set on a 3 step.  I always chart protections vs pressures to account.    I don't say these things lightly without taking in a comprehensive assessment.

     Best example I can give you.  Carter Smith was PFF's top graded pass blocker in the 2025 regular season.  I've told you that, because of the structure of the IU offense + how defenses set their fronts in response, it minimized the surface/attack on the edge and really helped to limit his exposure to more "pure" pass rush situations from 5-9techs.    

     This is still something PFF simply does not put enough weight to - pass pro grade vs rush alignment/technique.  

    Called my shot when the playoffs came around that, not only because of the talent increase, but because of their structure, he would struggle vs Miami.  Result? Worst game of his season.

    Bailey is the closest thing Lomu & Fano saw to NFL talent all year and they lost a good deal more than what they won.  I'm seeing quite a bit of that here with the entire Utah line.

    Credit I'll give to both Lomu & Fano - they pull REALLY well.  Footwork needs cleaned up, but they're very fluid and make quality decisions against various fronts.  
     

    I think you're very good at what you do which is why you get paid to do it.  I'll even say I don't think you're wrong about what either guy (Fano or Lomu) has to work on. That said, there's a very good chance both guys are going in the 1st round when 1 is only a red shirt sophomore and the other is just a junior. Neither one gave up a sack all year after combining for 2 sacks only in 2024. 

    That was indeed a good call by you regarding Miami vs Texas Tech. Miami LT Markell Bell played a lot of his best football near the end of the season and in the CFP in particular.  It makes a lot of sense David Bailey is the closest thing Fano & Lomu saw to the NFL given he had 14.5 sacks with 19.5 tackles for loss, 13 quarterback hits and 3 forced fumbles last year. In a 15-16 game season - I'm guessing a lot of guys have a disappointing game or 2 to the standard they set and the expectations they have.  If they are who they think they are from the passion and work they're committing - they'll bounce back...

  • @tiamat63 said:

    Me - Lomu has only given up a total of 2 sacks (both in 2024 as a red shirt freshman at LT) in his 2 year college football career with 0 sacks yielded in 2025 so I'm not worried an about-to-be top 5 pick overall - David Bailey at TT gave him his biggest challenge. That's about 25 or 26 starts facing David Bailey twice. The 1 area I'd like to see him improve at his initial contact force/strength - especially during the runs to his side. I'm confident good coaching can resolve a lot of this.

    Me- Fano earned the Outland Trophy given to the best Lineman in college football so I think we need to dig a little further on what's making him successful (even though you found some areas that need polish)

     Yes, context and a dive is needed on everything.  Which you already know I do.   I don't punish OT's for an edge win when it's a short-set on a 3 step.  I always chart protections vs pressures to account.    I don't say these things lightly without taking in a comprehensive assessment.

     Best example I can give you.  Carter Smith was PFF's top graded pass blocker in the 2025 regular season.  I've told you that, because of the structure of the IU offense + how defenses set their fronts in response, it minimized the surface/attack on the edge and really helped to limit his exposure to more "pure" pass rush situations from 5-9techs.    

     This is still something PFF simply does not put enough weight to - pass pro grade vs rush alignment/technique.  

    Called my shot when the playoffs came around that, not only because of the talent increase, but because of their structure, he would struggle vs Miami.  Result? Worst game of his season.

    Bailey is the closest thing Lomu & Fano saw to NFL talent all year and they lost a good deal more than what they won.  I'm seeing quite a bit of that here with the entire Utah line.

    Credit I'll give to both Lomu & Fano - they pull REALLY well.  Footwork needs cleaned up, but they're very fluid and make quality decisions against various fronts.  
     

    I think you're very good at what you do which is why you get paid to do it.  I'll even say I don't think you're wrong about what either guy (Fano or Lomu) has to work on. That said, there's a very good chance both guys are going in the 1st round when 1 is only a red shirt sophomore and the other is just a junior. Neither one gave up a sack all year after combining for 2 sacks only in 2024. 

    That was indeed a good call by you regarding Miami vs Texas Tech. Miami LT Markell Bell played a lot of his best football near the end of the season and in the CFP in particular.  It makes a lot of sense David Bailey is the closest thing Fano & Lomu saw to the NFL given he had 14.5 sacks with 19.5 tackles for loss, 13 quarterback hits and 3 forced fumbles last year. In a 15-16 game season - I'm guessing a lot of guys have a disappointing game or 2 to the standard they set and the expectations they have.  If they are who they think they are from the passion and work they're committing - they'll bounce back...

    tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on last edited by tiamat63

    @flugel said:

    I think you're very good at what you do which is why you get paid to do it.  I'll even say I don't think you're wrong about what either guy (Fano or Lomu) has to work on. That said, there's a very good chance both guys are going in the 1st round when 1 is only a red shirt sophomore and the other is just a junior. Neither one gave up a sack all year after combining for 2 sacks only in 2024. 

    That was indeed a good call by you regarding Miami vs Texas Tech. Miami LT Markell Bell played a lot of his best football near the end of the season and in the CFP in particular.  It makes a lot of sense David Bailey is the closest thing Fano & Lomu saw to the NFL given he had 14.5 sacks with 19.5 tackles for loss, 13 quarterback hits and 3 forced fumbles last year. In a 15-16 game season - I'm guessing a lot of guys have a disappointing game or 2 to the standard they set and the expectations they have.  If they are who they think they are from the passion and work they're committing - they'll bounce back...

     I appreciate that.  

     You're right, chances are both OT's are going in the 1st round.  But beyond the Bailey game there is too much for me to ignore.  The structure of Utah's offense, on top of some favorable positional matchups on the schedule, have made this pair look better than they are.   IMHO.    This is the chicken or egg part -   Was the Utah offense designed around their weaknesses? Or was the lack of technical development a result OF the Utah offensive design?    I tend to lead towards the latter, with the former something the offensive structure naturally could help minimize if not outright mask.

     I'm aware of the hill I might die on here, believe me.  I'm going against professional consensus.  But I've also been wrong when agreeing with professional consensus ( Josh Rosen )    Now, I wasn't wrong that he would be a 1st round pick.  Only the limits of his abilities.   But my "win" rate on draft evals when going against the grain of media professionals has seen me profitable.    I'm doubling down on my eye for talent here.  

     Lomu is a great athlete and may have a fine career.  Unless there's a minor miracle of off-season improvement from now until September, he's going to struggle early.  He may end up settling into a fine career after because he is the superior athlete.     Fano will struggle early and often.  Even with significant technical improvement, I see his ceiling as been an average, maybe slightly-above-average OT.   Not worth a top 25 and certainly not #6.    

  • @flugel said:

    I think you're very good at what you do which is why you get paid to do it.  I'll even say I don't think you're wrong about what either guy (Fano or Lomu) has to work on. That said, there's a very good chance both guys are going in the 1st round when 1 is only a red shirt sophomore and the other is just a junior. Neither one gave up a sack all year after combining for 2 sacks only in 2024. 

    That was indeed a good call by you regarding Miami vs Texas Tech. Miami LT Markell Bell played a lot of his best football near the end of the season and in the CFP in particular.  It makes a lot of sense David Bailey is the closest thing Fano & Lomu saw to the NFL given he had 14.5 sacks with 19.5 tackles for loss, 13 quarterback hits and 3 forced fumbles last year. In a 15-16 game season - I'm guessing a lot of guys have a disappointing game or 2 to the standard they set and the expectations they have.  If they are who they think they are from the passion and work they're committing - they'll bounce back...

     I appreciate that.  

     You're right, chances are both OT's are going in the 1st round.  But beyond the Bailey game there is too much for me to ignore.  The structure of Utah's offense, on top of some favorable positional matchups on the schedule, have made this pair look better than they are.   IMHO.    This is the chicken or egg part -   Was the Utah offense designed around their weaknesses? Or was the lack of technical development a result OF the Utah offensive design?    I tend to lead towards the latter, with the former something the offensive structure naturally could help minimize if not outright mask.

     I'm aware of the hill I might die on here, believe me.  I'm going against professional consensus.  But I've also been wrong when agreeing with professional consensus ( Josh Rosen )    Now, I wasn't wrong that he would be a 1st round pick.  Only the limits of his abilities.   But my "win" rate on draft evals when going against the grain of media professionals has seen me profitable.    I'm doubling down on my eye for talent here.  

     Lomu is a great athlete and may have a fine career.  Unless there's a minor miracle of off-season improvement from now until September, he's going to struggle early.  He may end up settling into a fine career after because he is the superior athlete.     Fano will struggle early and often.  Even with significant technical improvement, I see his ceiling as been an average, maybe slightly-above-average OT.   Not worth a top 25 and certainly not #6.    

    FlugelF Flugel wrote on last edited by

    @tiamat63 said:

     I appreciate that.  

     You're right, chances are both OT's are going in the 1st round.  But beyond the Bailey game there is too much for me to ignore.  The structure of Utah's offense, on top of some favorable positional matchups on the schedule, have made this pair look better than they are.   IMHO.    This is the chicken or egg part -   Was the Utah offense designed around their weaknesses? Or was the lack of technical development a result OF the Utah offensive design?    I tend to lead towards the latter, with the former something the offensive structure naturally could help minimize if not outright mask.

     I'm aware of the hill I might die on here, believe me.  I'm going against professional consensus.  But I've also been wrong when agreeing with professional consensus ( Josh Rosen )    Now, I wasn't wrong that he would be a 1st round pick.  Only the limits of his abilities.   But my "win" rate on draft evals when going against the grain of media professionals has seen me profitable.    I'm doubling down on my eye for talent here.  

     Lomu is a great athlete and may have a fine career.  Unless there's a minor miracle of off-season improvement from now until September, he's going to struggle early.  He may end up settling into a fine career after because he is the superior athlete.     Fano will struggle early and often.  Even with significant technical improvement, I see his ceiling as been an average, maybe slightly-above-average OT.   Not worth a top 25 and certainly not #6.    

    Well said!  As much as I made Lomu my fave - I agree with your points above. He probably should have gone back for at least 1 of his 2 years of eligibility remaining; but I'm sure many agents out there are well versed about how thin this draft is at LT so here he is.  I think I've mentioned in a few of my posts in the last month or so that he'll probably experience some early growing pains.  The good news is if Dawand Jones shows up fit and ready - we wouldn't have to rush Lomu out there while the Browns are trying to extinguish Sanders from standing in the pocket patting the football.

    As for your pre-draft thoughts on Josh Rosen - don't feel bad because I got the other Josh wrong (Allen).  REALLY wrong.  If he wasn't in the AFC - I'd say get that guy some WRs. 

  • @tiamat63 said:

     I appreciate that.  

     You're right, chances are both OT's are going in the 1st round.  But beyond the Bailey game there is too much for me to ignore.  The structure of Utah's offense, on top of some favorable positional matchups on the schedule, have made this pair look better than they are.   IMHO.    This is the chicken or egg part -   Was the Utah offense designed around their weaknesses? Or was the lack of technical development a result OF the Utah offensive design?    I tend to lead towards the latter, with the former something the offensive structure naturally could help minimize if not outright mask.

     I'm aware of the hill I might die on here, believe me.  I'm going against professional consensus.  But I've also been wrong when agreeing with professional consensus ( Josh Rosen )    Now, I wasn't wrong that he would be a 1st round pick.  Only the limits of his abilities.   But my "win" rate on draft evals when going against the grain of media professionals has seen me profitable.    I'm doubling down on my eye for talent here.  

     Lomu is a great athlete and may have a fine career.  Unless there's a minor miracle of off-season improvement from now until September, he's going to struggle early.  He may end up settling into a fine career after because he is the superior athlete.     Fano will struggle early and often.  Even with significant technical improvement, I see his ceiling as been an average, maybe slightly-above-average OT.   Not worth a top 25 and certainly not #6.    

    Well said!  As much as I made Lomu my fave - I agree with your points above. He probably should have gone back for at least 1 of his 2 years of eligibility remaining; but I'm sure many agents out there are well versed about how thin this draft is at LT so here he is.  I think I've mentioned in a few of my posts in the last month or so that he'll probably experience some early growing pains.  The good news is if Dawand Jones shows up fit and ready - we wouldn't have to rush Lomu out there while the Browns are trying to extinguish Sanders from standing in the pocket patting the football.

    As for your pre-draft thoughts on Josh Rosen - don't feel bad because I got the other Josh wrong (Allen).  REALLY wrong.  If he wasn't in the AFC - I'd say get that guy some WRs. 

    tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on last edited by

    @flugel said:

     The good news is if Dawand Jones shows up fit and ready - we wouldn't have to rush Lomu out there while the Browns are trying to extinguish Sanders from standing in the pocket patting the football.

    Can't guarantee that Dawand is healthy & ready to go.  But in the modern era, if Lomu is the pick @ #6, I would struggle to see anyway he's not out there day 1.  The investment is too great and the media would be far too loud.  

    I'll have more on Fano in a day or two. I'm actually working on a video for him.

    @flugel said:

    As for your pre-draft thoughts on Josh Rosen - don't feel bad because I got the other Josh wrong (Allen).  REALLY wrong.  If he wasn't in the AFC - I'd say get that guy some WRs. 

    The advent of more access to all-22 the last 7-8 years has really helped me to refine my process.  It's eye opening the difference it makes in terms of what you see that the QB's see. 

  • S SdBacker80 wrote on last edited by SdBacker80

    I remember tuning into a Wyoming vs Iowa game and Josh Allen throwing back shoulder slants and airmailing passes left and right and I left with the impression if this is one of the first true  CFB defenses this guy has seen (aside from SDSU) the Mountain West wasn't known for it this was a bad impression and his completion percentage was awful but the excuse was he didn’t have a supporting cast.  I certainly didn’t want him but felt luck warm about Baker didn’t like Happy feet Darnold…but got Eli Manning vibes from Josh Rosen.   Wildly off of course. 
     

    QB is tough evaluation.   I liked Russell Wilson coming out of Wisconsin but I can’t say I’ve been right often. 
     

    On another topic…lots of chatter maybe misinformation but definitely smoke about the top half of this draft class being void of the usual “difference makers”

  • tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on last edited by

     Trust & believe when I say, reps like the one below showed up in every game Utah played. Especially when they needed to drive the ball downfield without playaction or QB sprint out. 

     Fano did fine against interior rushers. But when he faced length & quickness at the 5-9tech, he struggled more often than not. 

    RunThe9@tjRT9s
    What's popular isn't always right
    What's right isn't always popular.

    #UtahUtes OTs, Lomu & Fano, are being highly overvalued vis a vis their day 1 starting ability. Both need significant technical improvement.

    Fano especially. Has physical limitations with arm length Show more