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Top Draft prospects

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  • S shepwrite

    Trying to be scientific with the draft usually fails me, but...

    1. The Browns have their OLB pass rusher in Marcus Benard. He's adding to his arsenal and has like 11 sacks in his last 16 games. And at that, he's only getting better. They need to commit to him and start him full-time next year. When you get a gift, you don't return it.

    2. The only 3-4 linebacker draftable at #10 is a pass rusher, so linebacker can be addressed later or in free agency. I personally hope we keep D'Qwell and add an OLB type in round 3.

    3. After drafting a corner at #7, the chances that we'd draft another at #10 are zero. It's just insane cap allocation. No way. It's like drafting tackles at 3 and 7, which some people advocated last year. It just doesn't make sense. With Haden, Brown, and Wright, I look for the Browns to upgrade through free agency.

    4. That leaves WR and DE as possibilities. I think we'll draft a WR unless both Green and Jones are gone... and then we'd go DE and try to trade up into the 20s to get a WR like Broyles or Floyd.

    5. I think Fairley, Clayborn, and Hayward are probably among the top 3-4 DE prospects. Quinn is a 3-4 OLB, right?

    The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #3

    @shepwrite said:

    Trying to be scientific with the draft usually fails me, but...

    5. I think Fairley, Clayborn, and Hayward are probably among the top 3-4 DE prospects. Quinn is a 3-4 OLB, right?

    The source I looked at had Quinn at DE, but certainly it is highly possible that a college DE could transition to an OLB in the NFL. Many have. Maybe some of the others on that list could do that as well.

    cribbs is the manC 1 Reply Last reply
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    • The GipperT The Gipper

      @shepwrite said:

      Trying to be scientific with the draft usually fails me, but...

      5. I think Fairley, Clayborn, and Hayward are probably among the top 3-4 DE prospects. Quinn is a 3-4 OLB, right?

      The source I looked at had Quinn at DE, but certainly it is highly possible that a college DE could transition to an OLB in the NFL. Many have. Maybe some of the others on that list could do that as well.

      cribbs is the man cribbs is the manC
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      cribbs is the manC cribbs is the man wrote on last edited by
      #4

      @the-gipper said:

      The source I looked at had Quinn at DE, but certainly it is highly possible that a college DE could transition to an OLB in the NFL. Many have. Maybe some of the others on that list could do that as well.

      Quinn is def an OLB in the 3-4, drafting OLBs for a 3-4 defense high is problematic I think. There are a lot of busts that come from trying to convert a 4-3 DE at the college level to OLBs in the NFL.. Think Gholsten, Wimbley, Derrick Morgan there are several others. On the other hand guys like Clay Matthews or Orakpo have torn it up, but I think it's risky drafting that position that high, esp when it's a relatively easy position to find no name players to adequately fill that role (Benard or Roth)..

      One 3-4 DE who should be on that list we're talking about and is in fact probably the best player at the position (along with Fairley) is Alabama's Marcell Dareus, he is someone we will take a hard look at if he is not picked before us..

      S 1 Reply Last reply
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      • IschY I
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        I IschY wrote on last edited by
        #5

        Well every year I am wrong about who we should or will draft but I have someone that I would love to have as a late round selection.

        Casey Matthews LB from Oregon.

        We missed out on our chance for one Matthews but I wouldn't mind taking a late round flyer on him. I watched 2 Oregon games this year and he plays with the same high energy his brother plays and look at him!!

        He is the 11th ranked ILB in the draft according to ESPN and isn't supposed to go before round 5.

        They are all educated guesses that late in a draft and I would say try it. He plays that hi energy and has NFL pedigree throughout the whole family.

        Harry BuffaloH 1 Reply Last reply
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        • ballpeen ballpeenB Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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          ballpeenB ballpeen wrote on last edited by
          #6
          3. After drafting a corner at #7, the chances that we'd draft another at #10 are zero. It's just insane cap allocation. No way. It's like drafting tackles at 3 and 7, which some people advocated last year. It just doesn't make sense. With Haden, Brown, and Wright, I look for the Browns to upgrade through free agency.

          I wouldn't say zero....if Patric Peterson falls, we would take him, but he won't fall past maybe #5 overall.

          I could see us going corner in round 3.

          For the most part, i think we look for offensive players in the first 2 rounds.

          My guess is a wide out..... one of Green or Jones will be around if we are picking say position 9....(they would make good trade down options IMO)

          Round 2 I still feel a big need for a big fat ass RT. It could be pretty impressive if Hillis had a line that could move the pile on both sides of the line.....not to mention give the Colt a warm and fuzzy feeling when dropping back..

          If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.
          The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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          • MudratDetector M
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            M MudratDetector wrote on last edited by
            #7

            drafting a corner is unlikely but not impossible because wright's contract is up @ the end of the season

            S 1 Reply Last reply
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            • ballpeenB ballpeen
              3. After drafting a corner at #7, the chances that we'd draft another at #10 are zero. It's just insane cap allocation. No way. It's like drafting tackles at 3 and 7, which some people advocated last year. It just doesn't make sense. With Haden, Brown, and Wright, I look for the Browns to upgrade through free agency.

              I wouldn't say zero....if Patric Peterson falls, we would take him, but he won't fall past maybe #5 overall.

              I could see us going corner in round 3.

              For the most part, i think we look for offensive players in the first 2 rounds.

              My guess is a wide out..... one of Green or Jones will be around if we are picking say position 9....(they would make good trade down options IMO)

              Round 2 I still feel a big need for a big fat ass RT. It could be pretty impressive if Hillis had a line that could move the pile on both sides of the line.....not to mention give the Colt a warm and fuzzy feeling when dropping back..

              The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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              The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
              #8

              @ballpeen said:

              I wouldn't say zero....if Patric Peterson falls, we would take him, but he won't fall past maybe #5 overall.

              I could see us going corner in round 3.

              For the most part, i think we look for offensive players in the first 2 rounds.

              My guess is a wide out..... one of Green or Jones will be around if we are picking say position 9....(they would make good trade down options IMO)

              Round 2 I still feel a big need for a big fat ass RT. It could be pretty impressive if Hillis had a line that could move the pile on both sides of the line.....not to mention give the Colt a warm and fuzzy feeling when dropping back..

              I don't know if Solder or Carimi or Costanzo can play RT or if they feel they must be LTs. Most resources don't say whether a guy played RT or LT in college. With Carimi I note that we did well with one Wisconsin tackle already, perhaps we could strike gold again with another?

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              • M MudratDetector

                drafting a corner is unlikely but not impossible because wright's contract is up @ the end of the season

                shepwrite S
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                S shepwrite wrote on last edited by
                #9

                @mudratdetector said:

                drafting a corner is unlikely but not impossible because wright's contract is up @ the end of the season

                We could draft a corner... but not in round one. There's one corner position viable for the top 15 picks and that's your best corner, your lockdown guy. Your 2nd best corner damn well better not cost you a Top 15 pick. That's horrible cap allocation and will have to cost you elsewhere.

                Left tackle, QB, pass rusher, lockdown corner, and a special #1 WR or RB are the positions you look to fill with a top 10-ish pick... unless you already have all those. But if you did, you probably wouldn't be drafting top 10.

                You could make the case that the Browns only lack the big-time WR, although we certainly need more heat on the QB.

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                • I IschY

                  Well every year I am wrong about who we should or will draft but I have someone that I would love to have as a late round selection.

                  Casey Matthews LB from Oregon.

                  We missed out on our chance for one Matthews but I wouldn't mind taking a late round flyer on him. I watched 2 Oregon games this year and he plays with the same high energy his brother plays and look at him!!

                  He is the 11th ranked ILB in the draft according to ESPN and isn't supposed to go before round 5.

                  They are all educated guesses that late in a draft and I would say try it. He plays that hi energy and has NFL pedigree throughout the whole family.

                  Harry Buffalo Harry BuffaloH
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                  Harry BuffaloH Harry Buffalo wrote on last edited by
                  #10

                  @ischy said:

                  Well every year I am wrong about who we should or will draft but I have someone that I would love to have as a late round selection.

                  Casey Matthews LB from Oregon.

                  We missed out on our chance for one Matthews but I wouldn't mind taking a late round flyer on him. I watched 2 Oregon games this year and he plays with the same high energy his brother plays and look at him!!

                  He is the 11th ranked ILB in the draft according to ESPN and isn't supposed to go before round 5.

                  They are all educated guesses that late in a draft and I would say try it. He plays that hi energy and has NFL pedigree throughout the whole family.

                  I honestly think that he will go before the 5th round, more likely in round 3/4, but I also think he would be a great pick up. He has killer instincts like his older brother and he is actually interchangeable and can play both inside and out. You give this kids a year or two and he will have the same strength as Clay and can be just as dominate.

                  Ruining threads since 1897.
                  1 Reply Last reply
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                  • S shepwrite

                    Trying to be scientific with the draft usually fails me, but...

                    1. The Browns have their OLB pass rusher in Marcus Benard. He's adding to his arsenal and has like 11 sacks in his last 16 games. And at that, he's only getting better. They need to commit to him and start him full-time next year. When you get a gift, you don't return it.

                    2. The only 3-4 linebacker draftable at #10 is a pass rusher, so linebacker can be addressed later or in free agency. I personally hope we keep D'Qwell and add an OLB type in round 3.

                    3. After drafting a corner at #7, the chances that we'd draft another at #10 are zero. It's just insane cap allocation. No way. It's like drafting tackles at 3 and 7, which some people advocated last year. It just doesn't make sense. With Haden, Brown, and Wright, I look for the Browns to upgrade through free agency.

                    4. That leaves WR and DE as possibilities. I think we'll draft a WR unless both Green and Jones are gone... and then we'd go DE and try to trade up into the 20s to get a WR like Broyles or Floyd.

                    5. I think Fairley, Clayborn, and Hayward are probably among the top 3-4 DE prospects. Quinn is a 3-4 OLB, right?

                    Alo A
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                    A Alo wrote on last edited by
                    #11

                    @shepwrite said:

                    1. The Browns have their OLB pass rusher in Marcus Benard. He's adding to his arsenal and has like 11 sacks in his last 16 games. And at that, he's only getting better. They need to commit to him and start him full-time next year. When you get a gift, you don't return it.

                    Benard's shown a lot of promise, but in many ways he's still a blitzer, not a pass rusher. A lot of his sacks have come on stunts or when the QB held onto the ball for too long. He's using his hands better, but he's still a guy who has to beat you with his first step.

                    I don't think he'll stop the team from drafting a 3-4 OLB. Another important factor is whether Roth gets a long-term deal.

                    5. I think Fairley, Clayborn, and Hayward are probably among the top 3-4 DE prospects.

                    There are some good names on that list. Fairley and Clayborn probably are better off in a 4-3, but both could be drafted by 3-4 squads.

                    Cal DE Cameron Jordan could be the first 3-4 DE taken. He's got plenty of experience playing in Cal's three man front and is a dynamic pass rusher, something you won't get from Cam Heyward. Miami DE Allen Bailey's a physical freak who could end up with a 3-4 team as well.

                    I don't know if Solder or Carimi or Costanzo can play RT or if they feel they must be LTs. Most resources don't say whether a guy played RT or LT in college. With Carimi I note that we did well with one Wisconsin tackle already, perhaps we could strike gold again with another?

                    Carimi will be a right tackle in the NFL. He struggles against speed rushers but is a beastly run blocker. He definitely fits the profile of what Mangini & co. like to do on offense.

                    Castonzo's a left tackle prospect. He's looked stronger this year, but he's never going to be a mauler. Solder's a largely unfinished product; he'll get drafted high based on upside, but I don't think he'll be a quality starter early on in his career. I'd stay away from him.

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                    • cribbs is the manC cribbs is the man

                      @the-gipper said:

                      The source I looked at had Quinn at DE, but certainly it is highly possible that a college DE could transition to an OLB in the NFL. Many have. Maybe some of the others on that list could do that as well.

                      Quinn is def an OLB in the 3-4, drafting OLBs for a 3-4 defense high is problematic I think. There are a lot of busts that come from trying to convert a 4-3 DE at the college level to OLBs in the NFL.. Think Gholsten, Wimbley, Derrick Morgan there are several others. On the other hand guys like Clay Matthews or Orakpo have torn it up, but I think it's risky drafting that position that high, esp when it's a relatively easy position to find no name players to adequately fill that role (Benard or Roth)..

                      One 3-4 DE who should be on that list we're talking about and is in fact probably the best player at the position (along with Fairley) is Alabama's Marcell Dareus, he is someone we will take a hard look at if he is not picked before us..

                      silverbackattack S
                      • 55 Posts
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                      S silverbackattack wrote on last edited by
                      #12

                      @cribbs-is-the-man said:

                      Quinn is def an OLB in the 3-4, drafting OLBs for a 3-4 defense high is problematic I think. There are a lot of busts that come from trying to convert a 4-3 DE at the college level to OLBs in the NFL.. Think Gholsten, Wimbley, Derrick Morgan there are several others. On the other hand guys like Clay Matthews or Orakpo have torn it up, but I think it's risky drafting that position that high, esp when it's a relatively easy position to find no name players to adequately fill that role (Benard or Roth)..

                      One 3-4 DE who should be on that list we're talking about and is in fact probably the best player at the position (along with Fairley) is Alabama's Marcell Dareus, he is someone we will take a hard look at if he is not picked before us..

                      Pgh has been successfully drafting 3-4 OLB for decades, and they rarely use

                      a first round on them. Typically, Pgh uses LB in the 3rd or later. It looks like

                      they found some MORE gems at LB in later picks once again this year. Harrison

                      was a low pick. Woodley was a 2nd rounder. Porter was a 3rd. Lloyd was late.

                      Finding great LBs for the 3-4 is an art form, and usually do not need to be

                      first round picks. Wait until you get a load of Sylvester from this draft. He

                      is __another__ beast in the making for Steeler LBs.

                      The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • DawgTracker D
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                        D DawgTracker wrote on last edited by
                        #13

                        Ideally we can get a wide receiver prior to the draft so that we are free to draft bpa. There are just so few rookie wide outs that help a team their first season. I'm not sure that Heyward doesn't provide any pass rush, he does a pretty good job when going against one on one blocking. But, he wouldn't be my first choice.

                        I cannot imagine the browns not working out a deal with matt roth unless he wants all pro money.

                        I would like to take a later round chance on Sanzenbacker the receiver from OSU. He isn't a big guy but he is very quick, gets open and catches the ball.

                        The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • cambridgeho cambridgehoC Very Popular Reacting Well Dedicated Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                          cambridgehoC cambridgeho wrote on last edited by
                          #14

                          If we can get Patrick Peterson and have Haden and Ward back there with him, we would have a mean ass secondary. Peterson could also be our Return man, and see what we can get for Cribbs via trade. We can get a number 1 wr via freeagency or trade.

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                          • S silverbackattack

                            @cribbs-is-the-man said:

                            Quinn is def an OLB in the 3-4, drafting OLBs for a 3-4 defense high is problematic I think. There are a lot of busts that come from trying to convert a 4-3 DE at the college level to OLBs in the NFL.. Think Gholsten, Wimbley, Derrick Morgan there are several others. On the other hand guys like Clay Matthews or Orakpo have torn it up, but I think it's risky drafting that position that high, esp when it's a relatively easy position to find no name players to adequately fill that role (Benard or Roth)..

                            One 3-4 DE who should be on that list we're talking about and is in fact probably the best player at the position (along with Fairley) is Alabama's Marcell Dareus, he is someone we will take a hard look at if he is not picked before us..

                            Pgh has been successfully drafting 3-4 OLB for decades, and they rarely use

                            a first round on them. Typically, Pgh uses LB in the 3rd or later. It looks like

                            they found some MORE gems at LB in later picks once again this year. Harrison

                            was a low pick. Woodley was a 2nd rounder. Porter was a 3rd. Lloyd was late.

                            Finding great LBs for the 3-4 is an art form, and usually do not need to be

                            first round picks. Wait until you get a load of Sylvester from this draft. He

                            is __another__ beast in the making for Steeler LBs.

                            The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                            The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                            #15

                            @silverbackattack said:

                            Pgh has been successfully drafting 3-4 OLB for decades, and they rarely use

                            a first round on them. Typically, Pgh uses LB in the 3rd or later. It looks like

                            they found some MORE gems at LB in later picks once again this year. Harrison

                            was a low pick. Woodley was a 2nd rounder. Porter was a 3rd. Lloyd was late.

                            Finding great LBs for the 3-4 is an art form, and usually do not need to be

                            first round picks. Wait until you get a load of Sylvester from this draft. He

                            is __another__ beast in the making for Steeler LBs.

                            It primarily helps that you have Dick LeBeau coaching them. I actually believe that Harrison was a free agent and not drafted at all, wasn't he?

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                            • D DawgTracker

                              Ideally we can get a wide receiver prior to the draft so that we are free to draft bpa. There are just so few rookie wide outs that help a team their first season. I'm not sure that Heyward doesn't provide any pass rush, he does a pretty good job when going against one on one blocking. But, he wouldn't be my first choice.

                              I cannot imagine the browns not working out a deal with matt roth unless he wants all pro money.

                              I would like to take a later round chance on Sanzenbacker the receiver from OSU. He isn't a big guy but he is very quick, gets open and catches the ball.

                              The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                              The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                              #16

                              @dawgtracker said:

                              Ideally we can get a wide receiver prior to the draft so that we are free to draft bpa. There are just so few rookie wide outs that help a team their first season. I'm not sure that Heyward doesn't provide any pass rush, he does a pretty good job when going against one on one blocking. But, he wouldn't be my first choice.

                              I cannot imagine the browns not working out a deal with matt roth unless he wants all pro money.

                              I would like to take a later round chance on Sanzenbacker the receiver from OSU. He isn't a big guy but he is very quick, gets open and catches the ball.

                              Sanzenbacher definitely looks like the Wes Welker type. He would seem to me to be a far more productive possession type receiver than Robiskie is turning out to be.

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                              • Alo A
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                                A Alo wrote on last edited by Alo
                                #17

                                Here are a few clips of guys we discussed here:

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                                • ballpeen ballpeenB Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                                  ballpeenB ballpeen wrote on last edited by
                                  #18
                                  You could make the case that the Browns only lack the big-time WR, although we certainly need more heat on the QB.

                                  A weak case may....so I disagree.

                                  No case can be made that the right side of our O-line is good.

                                  A RT impacts both the running game and the passing game....and if the QB can't be allotted the time to throw, a WR is moot as far as his impact.

                                  I am not saying we don't need a receiver, but don't say all is fine and dandy with the OL.

                                  Nobody likes selecting a Joe Thomas until he is on the team.....a mean, fat ass RT is a need. He helps our backs, QB, and any receiver we select.

                                  I don't like taking those guys with top picks any more than you. It isn't "sexy"....I understand that. I also understand that without a good offensive line the "sexy" guy can't perform to potential.

                                  Winning teams have winning O-lines.

                                  Unless you have that rare D that holds teams to minimal points, you better have a O-line that can score points, and nearly every point scored can be attributed to the O-line.

                                  JMO

                                  If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.
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