Predictions
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I've got it 276-262, Romney taking NM, CO, VA, NC, FL
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$1 Bob
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I've got it 285-253. Obama gets VA and CO in a squeaker, and NH by 3-4. Romney takes FL by 1-2 and NC handily.
I'd say popular vote is Obama by .6%
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I'm also going to nominate this for Post of the Month:
"Obama canvasser charged with groping woman's breasts... and Obamao says NOTHING about it."
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Oh come on Heck.
It hasn't been that long since every single liberal pundit was badgering every single Republican to defend the phony charges of racism in the tea party.
That's 1 of the oldest tricks in the book, insisting somebody defend something like that.
Just to keep them on the defensitive.
By the way I'm not much interested in parsing the election results before hand. Suffice it to say that I'd put money on Obama winning the whole thing if I was forced to bet.
For reasons I've listed often times before.
WSS
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274Obama- 264 Romney
Obama takes ohio and PA while Romney takes WI, FL, and VA. Romney wins the overall total though by less than 1%.
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Anyone want to see who gets closest?
Guess the electoral tally, and the margin of victory in the popular vote. You can change/edit it up until voting starts on Tuesday.
Winner gets Cal's farm.
Anyone want to see who gets closest?
Guess the electoral tally, and the margin of victory in the popular vote. You can change/edit it up until voting starts on Tuesday.
Winner gets Cal's farm.
I want an Amish farm in case we lose electricity again, I'll be more prepared.
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274Obama- 264 Romney
Obama takes ohio and PA while Romney takes WI, FL, and VA. Romney wins the overall total though by less than 1%.
274Obama- 264 Romney
Obama takes ohio and PA while Romney takes WI, FL, and VA. Romney wins the overall total though by less than 1%.
I don't think Romney's got much of a shot in Wisconsin, but we'll see. Nobody knows.
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Anyone want to see who gets closest?
Guess the electoral tally, and the margin of victory in the popular vote. You can change/edit it up until voting starts on Tuesday.
Winner gets Cal's farm.
I want an Amish farm in case we lose electricity again, I'll be more prepared.
I want an Amish farm in case we lose electricity again, I'll be more prepared.
Cal's Amish.
His computer is a coal fired model.
WSS
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I secretly want a tie 269-269. to watch everyone's head explode trying to figure out what to do next.
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http://usgovinfo.about.com/od/thepoliticalsystem/a/electiontie.htm this is what would happen....
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Oh come on Heck.
It hasn't been that long since every single liberal pundit was badgering every single Republican to defend the phony charges of racism in the tea party.
That's 1 of the oldest tricks in the book, insisting somebody defend something like that.
Just to keep them on the defensitive.
By the way I'm not much interested in parsing the election results before hand. Suffice it to say that I'd put money on Obama winning the whole thing if I was forced to bet.
For reasons I've listed often times before.
WSS
Oh come on Heck.
It hasn't been that long since every single liberal pundit was badgering every single Republican to defend the phony charges of racism in the tea party.
That's 1 of the oldest tricks in the book, insisting somebody defend something like that.
Just to keep them on the defensitive.
By the way I'm not much interested in parsing the election results before hand. Suffice it to say that I'd put money on Obama winning the whole thing if I was forced to bet.
For reasons I've listed often times before.
WSS
Yes, you're right, Steve. If this were a Romney canvasser in Colorado this would be the top story on the evening news.
And there is no racism in the Republican Party. Zero. None.
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Yes heck it would have been a big story.
WSS
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And we do not see one liberal on this board refute the evidence, to be silent and vote for Obama is a Vote that will place the blood of 4 dead Americans on your hands
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Yes heck it would have been a big story.
WSS
Yes heck it would have been a big story.
WSS
God, you've become such a wingnut. You have Obamao disease worse than Cal.
You really need a break.
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It's really all about Ohio. If Romney can't win Ohio, here are his paths:
Carry Florida and Virginia, where he's even and losing, plus Wisconsin, where Obama is winning fairly comfortably.
Carry Florida and Virginia, plus Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, and New Hampshire. He's not ahead in any of those four states.
Not impossible, but he's probably got to have Ohio. And the state polls say he doesn't have it.
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Here's one plum for you Republicans: heading into Ohio in 2004, the polls had Kerry up by .8 points about 10 days before the election. He ended up losing by 2.1% So nobody really knows.
The bad news for Republicans? Right before the election the polls quickly shifted to Bush and the average of polls had him up by 2.1% - and that's exactly the margin he won by.
Right now the average of the most recent polls has Obama up 2.4%.
Here's Nate Silver's look at Ohio:
Ohio
FIVETHIRTYEIGHT PROJECTIONS DEM REP MARGIN
Polling average 48.2 45.8 Obama +2.4
Adjusted polling average 48.3 45.4 Obama +2.9
State fundamentals 46.9 47.4 Romney +0.5
Now-cast 48.2 45.6 Obama +2.6
Projected vote share ±3.1 50.7 48.0 Obama +2.7
Chance of winning 80% 20%
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I'm changing mine to:
Obama: 303
Romney: 235
Obama wins national vote by .9%.
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