Adam Schefter on DA
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Georgie Kokonuts
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A 2nd would be great. A first well lets just give the GM the keys to the city!
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If Kokinis gets:
A 1st rounder - then Lerner should extend his contract right now, grand slam.
A 2nd rounder - and he's come in and made his mark, impressive, home run.
A 3rd rounder - and I'd be darn happy, a stand-up double
A 4th or 5th rounder - a solid single
A 6th rounder - I guess I'll rate as a base on balls.
3rd or 4th seems most reasonable. Kokinis should at least get a 4th rounder for a recent pro bowler, even if he has to splint the 5 mil.
At least other teams know who to call now.
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If we are paying his $5 mil bonus which is most of his total salary for 2009 then a low second isn't unreasonable. A team basically gets a QB to compete as a starter for almost nothing against their cap.
If he is traded and the receiving team has to pay the $5 mil bonus + the rest of his 2009 salary then a 4th rounder is more in the ball park.
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i'm thinking along the same line as masters, though i pretty much expect a fourth as baseline compensation, especially once we pay DA's roster bonus. given us making that payment and taking the cap hit, he becomes a relatively cheap option for another team and increases his value, especially given the current market for QBs.
this offseason is shaping up to help us trade DA and receive a good return for him. if we trade him early to avoid the cap hit, i'd expect something in the fourth. however, if we take the hit, pay the money and ship him later, it's likely we'll get a higher pick for giving a team a cheaper option and preying on a team's desperation if they miss out on the few good free agent/trade options are out there.
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Like Inspecta said, let 'em spin it that way all they want.
A recent Pro Bowler who was jerked around by coaches who had pressure put on them from above to turn the team over to the 1st round QB.
A recent Pro Bowler who had his receivers dropping balls like rain in the Amazon.
A recent Pro Bowler who hit a bad stretch, as all QBs do now and then.
It's not like the guy's been stinking it up for over a year straight now. Look at that performance on Monday Night against the Giants. That's the REAL DA!
In 31 days, he'll count $5 million on our books, so he won't be any easier to pry away from us at that point.
-Al, who is whistling innocently at the negotiating table...
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Anderson has the big gun. I dont care for him I think he dosn't play to his potential and his he thinks he is better than what his game is.
He could be the next Warner who knows? I would take a 1st or a 2nd for him and nothing less. He will be fine in a different color uniform.
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schaub is an interesting comparison. before his trade to houston, schaub had never attempted more than 70 passes in a season and had completed more than 52% of them only once, and that was in a year when he threw only 27 passes, making it borderline statistically insignificant.
by comparison, DA has completed 54.6% of his passes with a YPA of 6.7 and 43 TDs vs. 35 INTs in his career.
before being traded to houston, schaub had thrown 9 TDs and 9 picks in his career. he'd completed just over 50% of his passes (81 of 161) and had a career average of 6.3 YPA.
overall, their numbers are similar except that DA is two years younger than schaub, has, for his age, more experience than schaub did, has a better TD-INT ratio and has a much larger sample size.
it gives me a lot of hope that DA will bring more in a trade than we previously thought, though i don't want to get my hopes up too high. however, schaub brought two second-round picks and let the falcons move up two spots in the first.
having more experience, in this case, might not be a good thing. the upside to schaub was that he was unknown and had progressed every time he played. with DA a somewhat stagnant player, teams may be less inclined to give up higher picks for him. there's no way we're getting multiple picks for him unless there's a sentiment around the league that he got a raw deal in 2008. this could be a time that the browns' dysfunctionality could work for the new regime.
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schaub is an interesting comparison. before his trade to houston, schaub had never attempted more than 70 passes in a season and had completed more than 52% of them only once, and that was in a year when he threw only 27 passes, making it borderline statistically insignificant.
by comparison, DA has completed 54.6% of his passes with a YPA of 6.7 and 43 TDs vs. 35 INTs in his career.
before being traded to houston, schaub had thrown 9 TDs and 9 picks in his career. he'd completed just over 50% of his passes (81 of 161) and had a career average of 6.3 YPA.
overall, their numbers are similar except that DA is two years younger than schaub, has, for his age, more experience than schaub did, has a better TD-INT ratio and has a much larger sample size.
it gives me a lot of hope that DA will bring more in a trade than we previously thought, though i don't want to get my hopes up too high. however, schaub brought two second-round picks and let the falcons move up two spots in the first.
having more experience, in this case, might not be a good thing. the upside to schaub was that he was unknown and had progressed every time he played. with DA a somewhat stagnant player, teams may be less inclined to give up higher picks for him. there's no way we're getting multiple picks for him unless there's a sentiment around the league that he got a raw deal in 2008. this could be a time that the browns' dysfunctionality could work for the new regime.
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Mort was on Mike & Mike in the morning and just stated that DA has very good trade value. Teams like Carolina (with Rip Sherer), the Jets (although he discounted this b/c of Mangini) or the Vikings will come calling.
I think we'll be pleasantly surprised. Of course, next think you know he'll go to the Panthers with a strong running game, throw the ball downfield to Smith and be the next league MVP......
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I have been commenting that a 2nd was about what I expected for some time now...and to think about it...a late 1st isn't out of the realm of possibles.
All you have to do is look at QB reality.
There are about 8 teams that need a QB.
There are only 2 QB's that are ranked 1st round quality...and one of those is a 1 yr wonder (Sanchez).
After that, you have very little. Add in that I doubt AZ gets rid of Leinart or Warner...that Young isn't going anywhere...that I highly doubt Phily can dump McNabb after that playoff run (he did put them into the lead...the defense lost that one)....that with chuckie out of TB...they are likely to either keep Garcia or go after DA as well....
Basically, the Browns have a QB who:
1. HAS done it at a high level in the NFL
2. Comes reasonably cheap contract wise
3. Low mileage, but experienced
4. Was the victim (spin) poor rushing game and terrible receiving corp (last year anyway)
5. Has one of the biggest arms in the NFL
Combine all that...and he is a MUCH better prospect than almost all the other QBs available...and a low 1st/high 2nd is definitely a reasonable return for him.
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I have been commenting that a 2nd was about what I expected for some time now...and to think about it...a late 1st isn't out of the realm of possibles.
All you have to do is look at QB reality.
There are about 8 teams that need a QB.
There are only 2 QB's that are ranked 1st round quality...and one of those is a 1 yr wonder (Sanchez).
After that, you have very little. Add in that I doubt AZ gets rid of Leinart or Warner...that Young isn't going anywhere...that I highly doubt Phily can dump McNabb after that playoff run (he did put them into the lead...the defense lost that one)....that with chuckie out of TB...they are likely to either keep Garcia or go after DA as well....
Basically, the Browns have a QB who:
1. HAS done it at a high level in the NFL
2. Comes reasonably cheap contract wise
3. Low mileage, but experienced
4. Was the victim (spin) poor rushing game and terrible receiving corp (last year anyway)
5. Has one of the biggest arms in the NFL
Combine all that...and he is a MUCH better prospect than almost all the other QBs available...and a low 1st/high 2nd is definitely a reasonable return for him.
1. HAS done it at a high level in the NFL
2. Comes reasonably cheap contract wise
3. Low mileage, but experienced
4. Was the victim (spin) poor rushing game and terrible receiving corp (last year anyway)
5. Has one of the biggest arms in the NFL
Wow if only the Browns could get a QB like that for themselves.
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1. HAS done it at a high level in the NFL
2. Comes reasonably cheap contract wise
3. Low mileage, but experienced
4. Was the victim (spin) poor rushing game and terrible receiving corp (last year anyway)
5. Has one of the biggest arms in the NFL
Wow if only the Browns could get a QB like that for themselves.
Wow if only the Browns could get a QB like that for themselves.
I knew you would love that lummy...but I am just showing an OUTSIDERS spin to it. WE, on the other hand, have a bit more info than most...and have WATCHED every pain-staking minute of him.
Still, it is his POTENTIAL UPSIDE that will sell teams on him...not his 8 weeks of pro-bowl performance 2 yrs ago.
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Wow if only the Browns could get a QB like that for themselves.
I knew you would love that lummy...but I am just showing an OUTSIDERS spin to it. WE, on the other hand, have a bit more info than most...and have WATCHED every pain-staking minute of him.
Still, it is his POTENTIAL UPSIDE that will sell teams on him...not his 8 weeks of pro-bowl performance 2 yrs ago.
...but I am just showing an OUTSIDERS spin to it.
With easy access to video tapes and a quick glance at the TD pass total thru 2 seasons, there is no need for generalizations or "spin" to put a value on DA. And sadly, the "spin" that any message board Quinn-lover posts about DA won't affect other NFL teams.
As a die hard Quinn honk, the "spin" you should be focusing on is how BQ's Frye-esque performances somehow foretell NFL greatness.
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...but I am just showing an OUTSIDERS spin to it.
With easy access to video tapes and a quick glance at the TD pass total thru 2 seasons, there is no need for generalizations or "spin" to put a value on DA. And sadly, the "spin" that any message board Quinn-lover posts about DA won't affect other NFL teams.
As a die hard Quinn honk, the "spin" you should be focusing on is how BQ's Frye-esque performances somehow foretell NFL greatness.
With easy access to video tapes and a quick glance at the TD pass total thru 2 seasons, there is no need for generalizations or "spin" to put a value on DA. And sadly, the "spin" that any message board Quinn-lover posts about DA won't affect other NFL teams.
As a die hard Quinn honk, the "spin" you should be focusing on is how BQ's Frye-esque performances somehow foretell NFL greatness.
too bad our old posts are gone...you would see I didn't even want to draft Quinn....but alas...no such luck.
However, with that said...I DO think this team has gone past DA. Do I think he may turn into a legit starter? Sure. I really do...I just don't think it will ever happen here...even if he gets another chance. Sometimes a player just needs a change of scenery...and I believe DA needs that change to get back what he had early in '07. And I believe other teams coaches/GMs will see that as well and value him enough to make a good trade for him.
Anyway, I think the BEST for BOTH the Browns and DA is to part ways. It gives them BOTH the best chance for success.
I'd have my first wet dream since i was 12 if we got a schaub deal!
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