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Upset of the Week: Week 7

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  • Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on
    #5

    15 games and in 12 the Home team is favored...

    "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
  • JAFBFJ JAFBF wrote on
    #6
    The Microsoft Engine That Nailed The World Cup Is Predicting Every NFL Game — Here Are Its Picks For Week 7

    Microsoft Cortana had its second straight solid week of NFL predictions, correctly picking 11 of 15 Week 6 games.

    It's now 58-33 (64%) on the year.

    Week 6 was a good week for favorites across the board. Cortana went 11-4, Vegas favorites went 12-3, and Nate Silver's ELO model went 10-5.

    The only game Cortana and Vegas differed on in Week 6 was Steelers-Browns. Cortana had the Steelers winning, and Vegas had the Browns as slight favorites. The Browns won, 31-10. Vegas favorites are now 59-32 on the season. Silver's ELO is 64-27.

    Cortana, the Windows Phone virtual assistant that uses an algorithm from Bing Predicts to predict every game, caught fire and correctly picked 15 of 16 World Cup knockout stage games. After a so-so start to the NFL season, the algorithm is now 24-6 in its past two weeks.

    Here are Cortana's Week 7 picks as of Tuesday evening. We'll update them if they change throughout the week (Vegas favorites in parentheses):

    • New York Jets vs. New England Patriots — Patriots win, 81% chance (Patriots -9.5)
    • Atlanta Falcons vs. Baltimore Ravens — Ravens win, 68.8% chance (Ravens -7)
    • Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Redskins — Redskins win, 59.8% chance (Redskins -4.5)
    • Seattle Seahawks vs. St. Louis Rams — Seahawks win, 70.2% chance (Seahawks -6.5)
    • Cleveland Browns vs. Jacksonville Jaguars — Browns win, 65.9% chance (Browns -5.5)
    • Cincinnati Bengals vs. Indianapolis Colts — Colts win, 64.4% chance (Colts -3)
    • Minnesota Vikings vs. Buffalo Bills — Bills win, 64.4% chance (Bills -4)
    • Miami Dolphins vs. Chicago Bears — Bears win, 58.2% chance (Bears -3.5)
    • New Orleans Saints vs. Detroit Lions — Lions win, 62.9% chance (Lions -3)
    • Carolina Panthers vs. Green Bay Packers — Packers win, 68.8% chance (Packers -7)
    • Kansas City Chiefs vs. San Diego Chargers — Chargers win, 58.2% chance (Chargers -4)
    • Arizona Cardinals vs. Oakland Raiders — Cardinals win, 75.4% chance (Cardinals -3.5)
    • New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys — Cowboys win, 67.4% chance (Cowboys -5.5)
    • San Francisco 49ers vs. Denver Broncos — Broncos win, 64.4% chance (Broncos -6.5)
    • Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers — Steelers win, 64.4% chance (Steelers -3.5)

    Cortana and Vegas don't disagree on anything this week.

    Here are Cortana's results so far this year:

    Browns with a 65.9% chance of winning - a bit disappointing, but then again, any given Sunday.

  • C CLEVELandMILIDH wrote on
    #7

    carolina over green bay

    1st Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU 3rd Darius Slay, CB, Mississippi State4th Landry Jones, QB, Oklahoma5th Earl Wolff, S, N.C. State6th Lucas Reed, TE, New Mexico
  • slowburnS slowburn wrote on
    #8

    bungles (+3) over indy is my stone cold lock of the week

  • R RoyceRolls wrote on
    #9

    I have the Cowboys coming back to earth and losing to the Giants.

  • S Sir Barksalot wrote on
    #10

    Ravens lose to Falcons ............... Atlanta pressed to win this one and I think they will. Come on Ravens are not that good anyway. Easy pick

  • L LondonBrown wrote on
    #11

    49ers over Denver, how long can Denver get away with their poor running game?

  • DieHardBrownsFanD DieHardBrownsFan wrote on
    #12

    Its hard to beat Denver in Mile High. I predict Houston over Shitsburgh.

    "You planning on having a long relationship with that glass or are you going to drink it? Drink up, man. Maybe we can get another.” - Janis Joplin, 1970.
  • OsirisO Osiris wrote on
    #13

    I'd also go with Houston over the Steelers.

    "I said, 'I need someone who's going to want to get on the roller coaster with me knowing that it's not always going to be fun,'" -Paul DePodesta
  • jrb12711J jrb12711 wrote on
    #14

    Are we talking actually who will win or beat the spread? My big upset against the spread is the Jets covering tonight against the Pats. I know they have looked woeful this year but NE defense is out a few players and those game are always close. 9.5 is a big spread to cover and I see them coming under it.

    As for a who will outright win based on favorites? Kansas City over San Diego. Coming off a bye with a lot of guys healthy bodes well for them.

  • jrb12711J jrb12711

    Are we talking actually who will win or beat the spread? My big upset against the spread is the Jets covering tonight against the Pats. I know they have looked woeful this year but NE defense is out a few players and those game are always close. 9.5 is a big spread to cover and I see them coming under it.

    As for a who will outright win based on favorites? Kansas City over San Diego. Coming off a bye with a lot of guys healthy bodes well for them.

    Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on
    #15

    @jrb12711 said:

    Are we talking actually who will win or beat the spread?

    Win... I listed spreads just to give an idea of the weight of any potential upset.

    "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
  • tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on
    #16

    I"m all over KC and San Diego. KC's online is starting to find itself and the Bolts have been hit hard with injuries.

  • ManzierM Manzier wrote on
    #17

    Ill take Houston over Shitsburg and Minn over Buff.

  • thenew23T thenew23 wrote on
    #18

    Houston over Pittsburgh

    Miami over Chicago

    #Justsayin'
  • Canton MikeC Canton Mike

    I've got to go with New Orleans over Detroit. I'm going with "competitive fire" in this one.

    Mike

    MudflyM Mudfly wrote on
    #19

    @canton-mike said:

    I've got to go with New Orleans over Detroit. I'm going with "competitive fire" in this one.

    Mike

    me too....I think Detroit will fall back to earth(as usual) and Brees will get his team back into the mix soon enough...

  • T TexasAg1969 wrote on
    #20

    I'll take Houston. Steelers looking more and more inept on O.

  • jrb12711J jrb12711 wrote on
    #21

    Here's your humorous quip of the day. As you can plainly see above, I noted my 'lock' of the week against the spread being the Jets covering against the Patriots. I'm currently in 1st place in the pick-em and had this picked all week. Since it's all just for fun, I asked my soon to be wife if she'd like to start picking one game. She enjoys football and although not devout does know who is good, bad etc. She insisted I switch my pick to the Patriots. I explained why I felt really good about the Jets, but I being a foolish man in love switched my pick.

    I've let her know that if I lose by one point this year she'll never hear the end of it haha.

    tiamat63T Tour2maT 2 Replies
  • jrb12711J jrb12711

    Here's your humorous quip of the day. As you can plainly see above, I noted my 'lock' of the week against the spread being the Jets covering against the Patriots. I'm currently in 1st place in the pick-em and had this picked all week. Since it's all just for fun, I asked my soon to be wife if she'd like to start picking one game. She enjoys football and although not devout does know who is good, bad etc. She insisted I switch my pick to the Patriots. I explained why I felt really good about the Jets, but I being a foolish man in love switched my pick.

    I've let her know that if I lose by one point this year she'll never hear the end of it haha.

    tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on
    #22

    @jrb12711 said:

    Here's your humorous quip of the day. As you can plainly see above, I noted my 'lock' of the week against the spread being the Jets covering against the Patriots. I'm currently in 1st place in the pick-em and had this picked all week. Since it's all just for fun, I asked my soon to be wife if she'd like to start picking one game. She enjoys football and although not devout does know who is good, bad etc. She insisted I switch my pick to the Patriots. I explained why I felt really good about the Jets, but I being a foolish man in love switched my pick.

    I've let her know that if I lose by one point this year she'll never hear the end of it haha.

    This is what women do, they weaken the heart. Congrats on the castra.... err... nuptials.

  • jrb12711J jrb12711

    Here's your humorous quip of the day. As you can plainly see above, I noted my 'lock' of the week against the spread being the Jets covering against the Patriots. I'm currently in 1st place in the pick-em and had this picked all week. Since it's all just for fun, I asked my soon to be wife if she'd like to start picking one game. She enjoys football and although not devout does know who is good, bad etc. She insisted I switch my pick to the Patriots. I explained why I felt really good about the Jets, but I being a foolish man in love switched my pick.

    I've let her know that if I lose by one point this year she'll never hear the end of it haha.

    Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on
    #23

    @jrb12711 said:

    Here's your humorous quip of the day. As you can plainly see above, I noted my 'lock' of the week against the spread being the Jets covering against the Patriots. I'm currently in 1st place in the pick-em and had this picked all week. Since it's all just for fun, I asked my soon to be wife if she'd like to start picking one game. She enjoys football and although not devout does know who is good, bad etc. She insisted I switch my pick to the Patriots. I explained why I felt really good about the Jets, but I being a foolish man in love switched my pick.

    I've let her know that if I lose by one point this year she'll never hear the end of it haha.

    One... ain't love grand?

    Two... sign her up for her own account... call it "an early wedding present."

    "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
  • T Taco918 wrote on
    #24

    Giants over Cowboys. The Boys are getting a little too confident and the Giants need a W.

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