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How many players away are we?

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  • Tour2ma Tour2maT In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done Very Popular
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    Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
    #14

    Entertaining read...

    Although my Browns' estimate of 6 is close to the article's 5, I do not see how the article arrives at the final number of players a team is away from contending. Ditto for a handful of other teams I read. But the obvious flaw in trying to boil down to one number is that positions are not created equal. Either that or imposing a difference PFF's data does not support is my problem.

    Also not clear is the weighting for depth vs. starters. Since 30+ players are listed per team I assume some depth is being considered as the only alternative would be STs, but no Kickers or Punters are evaluated.

    I did love this: "(Mack) allowed just one QB pressure in 149 pass-rush snaps; his replacements allowed an average of one pressure every 17.7 snaps." Most succinct explanation of Mack's loss I've seen. But does not square with his inclusion in the "average" column. PFF simply must not allow games missed due to injury to be discounted.

    "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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    • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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      The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
      #15

      I don't know exactly how many players we are away from being a SB contender......but let's be fair, regardless, we all know what this team needs:

      A. An elite QB

      B. An elite RB

      C. An elite WR

      D. An elite LB

      Look at it this way: The Steelers were 11-5 where the Browns were 7-9 based on the contributions of just 3 players: BR/Brown/Bell

      Now, I think the Browns can do OK at RB with the guys we have.

      But with Gordon clearly out of the picture we now have no prospect for an elite WR.

      And we have Manziel and Connor Shaw....and maybe the return of Brian Hoyer.

      Sometimes it is not the how many.....but the "how quality" of player that you have.

      MudflyM 1 Reply Last reply
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      • Osiris OsirisO Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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        OsirisO Osiris wrote on last edited by
        #16

        I like the idea of this article but some of the conclusions are idiotic and self-contradictory. They rate Alex Mack as average yet state:

        Cleveland averaged 146.4 rushing yards per game in Weeks 1-6 with Mack in the lineup (third-best over that span). That plummeted to 90.6 (23rd overall) when Mack missed the final 11 games with a broken leg.

        And then, Joe Haden:

        placing Haden outside of the good or elite categories defies common sense.

        The biggest conclusion I make from all this is Pro Football Focus has problems with the way it evaluates players.

        "I said, 'I need someone who's going to want to get on the roller coaster with me knowing that it's not always going to be fun,'" -Paul DePodesta
        Tour2maT MudflyM 2 Replies Last reply
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        • Tour2ma Tour2maT In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done Very Popular
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          Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
          #17

          Other than the positions you listed and that they need to be "elite", I agree, Gip.

          "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
          The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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          • OsirisO Osiris

            I like the idea of this article but some of the conclusions are idiotic and self-contradictory. They rate Alex Mack as average yet state:

            Cleveland averaged 146.4 rushing yards per game in Weeks 1-6 with Mack in the lineup (third-best over that span). That plummeted to 90.6 (23rd overall) when Mack missed the final 11 games with a broken leg.

            And then, Joe Haden:

            placing Haden outside of the good or elite categories defies common sense.

            The biggest conclusion I make from all this is Pro Football Focus has problems with the way it evaluates players.

            Tour2ma Tour2maT In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done Very Popular
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            Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
            #18

            @osiris said:

            The biggest conclusion I make from all this is Pro Football Focus has problems with the way it evaluates players.

            They were ESPN staff comments on PFF's findings.

            "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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            • OsirisO Osiris

              I like the idea of this article but some of the conclusions are idiotic and self-contradictory. They rate Alex Mack as average yet state:

              Cleveland averaged 146.4 rushing yards per game in Weeks 1-6 with Mack in the lineup (third-best over that span). That plummeted to 90.6 (23rd overall) when Mack missed the final 11 games with a broken leg.

              And then, Joe Haden:

              placing Haden outside of the good or elite categories defies common sense.

              The biggest conclusion I make from all this is Pro Football Focus has problems with the way it evaluates players.

              Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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              MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
              #19

              @osiris said:

              The biggest conclusion I make from all this is Pro Football Focus has problems with the way it evaluates players.

              they dont really "rate players" on a scale of best to worst....... they rate the players "performance for a year" then compare the score to other players at the same position.....

              Mack only played 5 games....stands to reason that "his season" rated below most other centers, simply because he didn't play..

              And Haden started very slowly, scoring low his first 5 games or so....so, even though he finished strong, his season as a whole was not as good as some others.....

              gftChrisG VagitronV 2 Replies Last reply
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              • MudflyM Mudfly

                @osiris said:

                The biggest conclusion I make from all this is Pro Football Focus has problems with the way it evaluates players.

                they dont really "rate players" on a scale of best to worst....... they rate the players "performance for a year" then compare the score to other players at the same position.....

                Mack only played 5 games....stands to reason that "his season" rated below most other centers, simply because he didn't play..

                And Haden started very slowly, scoring low his first 5 games or so....so, even though he finished strong, his season as a whole was not as good as some others.....

                gftChris gftChrisG
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                gftChrisG gftChris wrote on last edited by
                #20

                @mudfly said:

                they dont really "rate players" on a scale of best to worst....... they rate the players "performance for a year" then compare the score to other players at the same position.....

                Mack only played 5 games....stands to reason that "his season" rated below most other centers, simply because he didn't play..

                And Haden started very slowly, scoring low his first 5 games or so....so, even though he finished strong, his season as a whole was not as good as some others.....

                I assumed the same about mack - over a season, not so great, but 'per game' elite.

                Haden got a pretty big positive score in the last 10 games of the season to wipe out his negatives in the first 6 I would have thought - anybody got the numbers?

                MudflyM 2 Replies Last reply
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                • gftChrisG gftChris

                  @mudfly said:

                  they dont really "rate players" on a scale of best to worst....... they rate the players "performance for a year" then compare the score to other players at the same position.....

                  Mack only played 5 games....stands to reason that "his season" rated below most other centers, simply because he didn't play..

                  And Haden started very slowly, scoring low his first 5 games or so....so, even though he finished strong, his season as a whole was not as good as some others.....

                  I assumed the same about mack - over a season, not so great, but 'per game' elite.

                  Haden got a pretty big positive score in the last 10 games of the season to wipe out his negatives in the first 6 I would have thought - anybody got the numbers?

                  Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                  MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
                  #21

                  @gftchris said:

                  I assumed the same about mack - over a season, not so great, but 'per game' elite.

                  Haden got a pretty big positive score in the last 10 games of the season to wipe out his negatives in the first 6 I would have thought - anybody got the numbers?

                  Yep....right in the first paragraph it says any player with less than 250 snaps cannot be ranked as good or elite....so there's mack right there(not enough snaps to even rank)........

                  And, I think we forget how off his game Haden was early on.....yes, he really got it together later, but Id guess that playing poorly for a full 1/3 of the season would be enough to knock him from good to average.....

                  In the end, this all bodes well for us.....as we know we have players who have skills & potential beyond these rankings...Mack, Haden, Crow and West quickly come to mind.....

                  gftChrisG 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • Tour2maT Tour2ma

                    Other than the positions you listed and that they need to be "elite", I agree, Gip.

                    The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                    #22

                    @tour2ma said:

                    Other than the positions you listed and that they need to be "elite", I agree, Gip.

                    In other words, you disagree with everything I said. 😠

                    gftChrisG 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • The GipperT The Gipper

                      @tour2ma said:

                      Other than the positions you listed and that they need to be "elite", I agree, Gip.

                      In other words, you disagree with everything I said. 😠

                      gftChris gftChrisG
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                      gftChrisG gftChris wrote on last edited by
                      #23

                      @the-gipper said:

                      In other words, you disagree with everything I said. 😠

                      I think that was the gist of it, yes 😉

                      The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • The GipperT The Gipper

                        I don't know exactly how many players we are away from being a SB contender......but let's be fair, regardless, we all know what this team needs:

                        A. An elite QB

                        B. An elite RB

                        C. An elite WR

                        D. An elite LB

                        Look at it this way: The Steelers were 11-5 where the Browns were 7-9 based on the contributions of just 3 players: BR/Brown/Bell

                        Now, I think the Browns can do OK at RB with the guys we have.

                        But with Gordon clearly out of the picture we now have no prospect for an elite WR.

                        And we have Manziel and Connor Shaw....and maybe the return of Brian Hoyer.

                        Sometimes it is not the how many.....but the "how quality" of player that you have.

                        Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                        MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
                        #24

                        @the-gipper said:

                        A. An elite QB

                        B. An elite RB

                        C. An elite WR

                        D. An elite LB

                        @tour2ma said:

                        Other than the positions you listed and that they need to be "elite", I agree, Gip.

                        If we're using the OP's article and their ratings for "elite", then Im with Tour.....considering there are only 64 elite players listed(2 per team), which means the top 2 or 3 players at each position.....

                        Nope....based upon this article, we only need "good"......

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                        • MudflyM Mudfly

                          @gftchris said:

                          I assumed the same about mack - over a season, not so great, but 'per game' elite.

                          Haden got a pretty big positive score in the last 10 games of the season to wipe out his negatives in the first 6 I would have thought - anybody got the numbers?

                          Yep....right in the first paragraph it says any player with less than 250 snaps cannot be ranked as good or elite....so there's mack right there(not enough snaps to even rank)........

                          And, I think we forget how off his game Haden was early on.....yes, he really got it together later, but Id guess that playing poorly for a full 1/3 of the season would be enough to knock him from good to average.....

                          In the end, this all bodes well for us.....as we know we have players who have skills & potential beyond these rankings...Mack, Haden, Crow and West quickly come to mind.....

                          gftChris gftChrisG
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                          gftChrisG gftChris wrote on last edited by
                          #25

                          @mudfly said:

                          Yep....right in the first paragraph it says any player with less than 250 snaps cannot be ranked as good or elite....so there's mack right there(not enough snaps to even rank)........

                          And, I think we forget how off his game Haden was early on.....yes, he really got it together later, but Id guess that playing poorly for a full 1/3 of the season would be enough to knock him from good to average.....

                          In the end, this all bodes well for us.....as we know we have players who have skills & potential beyond these rankings...Mack, Haden, Crow and West quickly come to mind.....

                          I think if that's the criteria, it's probably a bit unfair. But yeah, Crowell/West makes a pretty good RB duo, Mack is a top center, and Haden is as good as anyone not named Sherman/Peterson. So...we're only 3 players away?

                          Tim Couch Pulls OutT MudflyM 2 Replies Last reply
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                          • gftChrisG gftChris

                            @mudfly said:

                            Yep....right in the first paragraph it says any player with less than 250 snaps cannot be ranked as good or elite....so there's mack right there(not enough snaps to even rank)........

                            And, I think we forget how off his game Haden was early on.....yes, he really got it together later, but Id guess that playing poorly for a full 1/3 of the season would be enough to knock him from good to average.....

                            In the end, this all bodes well for us.....as we know we have players who have skills & potential beyond these rankings...Mack, Haden, Crow and West quickly come to mind.....

                            I think if that's the criteria, it's probably a bit unfair. But yeah, Crowell/West makes a pretty good RB duo, Mack is a top center, and Haden is as good as anyone not named Sherman/Peterson. So...we're only 3 players away?

                            Tim Couch Pulls Out Tim Couch Pulls OutT Very Popular Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                            Tim Couch Pulls OutT Tim Couch Pulls Out wrote on last edited by
                            #26

                            @gftchris said:

                            I think if that's the criteria, it's probably a bit unfair. But yeah, Crowell/West makes a pretty good RB duo, Mack is a top center, and Haden is as good as anyone not named Sherman/Peterson. So...we're only 3 players away?

                            That's how I've seen it all year.

                            An ILB, a pass rushing OLB, and a QB away.

                            I'm awesome, and I fuck dolphins. Ghoolie 12/2/2012: I have absolutely no skills, training or pride
                            T 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • gftChrisG gftChris

                              @mudfly said:

                              Yep....right in the first paragraph it says any player with less than 250 snaps cannot be ranked as good or elite....so there's mack right there(not enough snaps to even rank)........

                              And, I think we forget how off his game Haden was early on.....yes, he really got it together later, but Id guess that playing poorly for a full 1/3 of the season would be enough to knock him from good to average.....

                              In the end, this all bodes well for us.....as we know we have players who have skills & potential beyond these rankings...Mack, Haden, Crow and West quickly come to mind.....

                              I think if that's the criteria, it's probably a bit unfair. But yeah, Crowell/West makes a pretty good RB duo, Mack is a top center, and Haden is as good as anyone not named Sherman/Peterson. So...we're only 3 players away?

                              Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                              MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
                              #27

                              @gftchris said:

                              I think if that's the criteria, it's probably a bit unfair. But yeah, Crowell/West makes a pretty good RB duo, Mack is a top center, and Haden is as good as anyone not named Sherman/Peterson. So...we're only 3 players away?

                              3 good players at the right spots?......YES!......I would agree completely......shore up the defense and get the O back on track and we are contending

                              But unfair?....I dont think so at all.....it's just an objective performance ranking for one year(2014)(not a skill, talent or potential ranking)....each player gets a grade each game....the grades accumulate over a season to create a score.....it's simple and very fair, really....

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                              • gftChrisG gftChris

                                @the-gipper said:

                                In other words, you disagree with everything I said. 😠

                                I think that was the gist of it, yes 😉

                                The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                                The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                                #28

                                @gftchris said:

                                I think that was the gist of it, yes 😉

                                maxresdefault.jpg

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                                • Tim Couch Pulls OutT Tim Couch Pulls Out

                                  @vagitron said:

                                  All these rankings are based on certain metrics. Its not just the eye test. I think its a solid article but not one I'd put a ton of stock in personally.

                                  Is that because the Steelers are ranked 11th?

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                                  VagitronV Vagitron wrote on last edited by Vagitron
                                  #29

                                  @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

                                  Is that because the Steelers are ranked 11th?

                                  I like PFF but its ranked using specific metrics and the steelers are ranked 11th because they don't factor potential, they rate on field performance. Shazier barely played. Jarvis Jones and stephon tuitt the same. Its what have you done for me lately and in this instance how it should be.

                                  AKA SNATCH98 or Rorbotron. The boards glorious admins decided to get cute and change my name to "homotron" Classy group of people. (Lost a bet with Columbus king and got banned for a month)
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                                  • ManzierM Manzier

                                    did anyone even read it???

                                    its based on PFF ratings and then explains why some had low ratings.

                                    and pff ratings are about the most objective ratings out there.

                                    Vagitron VagitronV Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                                    VagitronV Vagitron wrote on last edited by
                                    #30

                                    @manzier said:

                                    did anyone even read it???

                                    its based on PFF ratings and then explains why some had low ratings.

                                    and pff ratings are about the most objective ratings out there.

                                    This. People aren't very smart. Nickers the revolting blob least of lot.

                                    AKA SNATCH98 or Rorbotron. The boards glorious admins decided to get cute and change my name to "homotron" Classy group of people. (Lost a bet with Columbus king and got banned for a month)
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                                    • MudflyM Mudfly

                                      @osiris said:

                                      The biggest conclusion I make from all this is Pro Football Focus has problems with the way it evaluates players.

                                      they dont really "rate players" on a scale of best to worst....... they rate the players "performance for a year" then compare the score to other players at the same position.....

                                      Mack only played 5 games....stands to reason that "his season" rated below most other centers, simply because he didn't play..

                                      And Haden started very slowly, scoring low his first 5 games or so....so, even though he finished strong, his season as a whole was not as good as some others.....

                                      Vagitron VagitronV Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                                      VagitronV Vagitron wrote on last edited by
                                      #31

                                      @mudfly said:

                                      they dont really "rate players" on a scale of best to worst....... they rate the players "performance for a year" then compare the score to other players at the same position.....

                                      Mack only played 5 games....stands to reason that "his season" rated below most other centers, simply because he didn't play..

                                      And Haden started very slowly, scoring low his first 5 games or so....so, even though he finished strong, his season as a whole was not as good as some others.....

                                      Bingo.

                                      AKA SNATCH98 or Rorbotron. The boards glorious admins decided to get cute and change my name to "homotron" Classy group of people. (Lost a bet with Columbus king and got banned for a month)
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                                      • VagitronV Vagitron

                                        @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

                                        Is that because the Steelers are ranked 11th?

                                        I like PFF but its ranked using specific metrics and the steelers are ranked 11th because they don't factor potential, they rate on field performance. Shazier barely played. Jarvis Jones and stephon tuitt the same. Its what have you done for me lately and in this instance how it should be.

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                                        Tim Couch Pulls OutT Tim Couch Pulls Out wrote on last edited by
                                        #32

                                        @vagitron said:

                                        I like PFF but its ranked using specific metrics and the steelers are ranked 11th because they don't factor potential, they rate on field performance. Shazier barely played. Jarvis Jones and stephon tuitt the same. Its what have you done for me lately and in this instance how it should be.

                                        That's because potential is an immeasurable metric. It's completely subjective. Shazier's potential in Pittsburgh is different than his potential in Cleveland. Brady's potential in New England is different then his potential in Oakland.

                                        Browns fans should know. We've been drafting for "potential" for years.

                                        I'm awesome, and I fuck dolphins. Ghoolie 12/2/2012: I have absolutely no skills, training or pride
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                                        • miktoxic miktoxicM
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                                          miktoxicM miktoxic wrote on last edited by miktoxic
                                          #33

                                          DL (2)

                                          ILB

                                          OLB

                                          OL - RT

                                          OL - C backup general depth guy

                                          WR

                                          QB

                                          that's 8 players.

                                          or yeah and TE.......9

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