Basic Analytics (And How The Nfl Simply Doesn't Use Them)
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It makes a lot of sense. Why play for the tie? I get tired of seeing coaches playing not to lose. If it's winning, play to win!
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It makes a lot of sense. Why play for the tie? I get tired of seeing coaches playing not to lose. If it's winning, play to win!
It makes a lot of sense. Why play for the tie? I get tired of seeing coaches playing not to lose. If it's winning, play to win!
But what he did made no sense. he's down 2 scores and he's wasting time and then tries to justify wasting the time. This isn't pickup basketball where if you score you get the ball. He wasted any chance of scoring and then playing defense and using his timeouts to scoring wihtout a lot of time and then having to try an onside kick.
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It makes a lot of sense. Why play for the tie? I get tired of seeing coaches playing not to lose. If it's winning, play to win!
But what he did made no sense. he's down 2 scores and he's wasting time and then tries to justify wasting the time. This isn't pickup basketball where if you score you get the ball. He wasted any chance of scoring and then playing defense and using his timeouts to scoring wihtout a lot of time and then having to try an onside kick.
But what he did made no sense. he's down 2 scores and he's wasting time and then tries to justify wasting the time. This isn't pickup basketball where if you score you get the ball. He wasted any chance of scoring and then playing defense and using his timeouts to scoring wihtout a lot of time and then having to try an onside kick.
I agree, he fucked up on the clock. I was referring to the general idea of playing the odds that give you a better chance to win. Gb should have gone for the 2. I have never been a fan of playing to tie unless it's a FG to keep you in it.
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But what he did made no sense. he's down 2 scores and he's wasting time and then tries to justify wasting the time. This isn't pickup basketball where if you score you get the ball. He wasted any chance of scoring and then playing defense and using his timeouts to scoring wihtout a lot of time and then having to try an onside kick.
I agree, he fucked up on the clock. I was referring to the general idea of playing the odds that give you a better chance to win. Gb should have gone for the 2. I have never been a fan of playing to tie unless it's a FG to keep you in it.
I agree, he fucked up on the clock. I was referring to the general idea of playing the odds that give you a better chance to win. Gb should have gone for the 2. I have never been a fan of playing to tie unless it's a FG to keep you in it.
I didn't think of GB doing that...but in hindsight and reading some stuff since the game...it would've made sense. They had all the momentum...why not go for the win.
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Andy Reid's coaching career... Is it a performance art piece focused on innovating ways to lose in only the last 2 minutes of every half he coaches? So.. when he wins, he actually loses?
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I agree, he fucked up on the clock. I was referring to the general idea of playing the odds that give you a better chance to win. Gb should have gone for the 2. I have never been a fan of playing to tie unless it's a FG to keep you in it.
I didn't think of GB doing that...but in hindsight and reading some stuff since the game...it would've made sense. They had all the momentum...why not go for the win.
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It makes a lot of sense. Why play for the tie? I get tired of seeing coaches playing not to lose. If it's winning, play to win!
It makes a lot of sense. Why play for the tie? I get tired of seeing coaches playing not to lose. If it's winning, play to win!
If you clearly have the other team's D worn out or if your team's D is clearly worn out, then going for 2 and the win makes all the sense in the world. Baylor did that in the first overtime against A&M in 2005 for their first win ever in 20 years. A&M had scored something like 3 or 4 straight TDs including the game tier to get into overtime and had scored a TD in overtime. Baylor made the TD and went for broke and made it.
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It makes a lot of sense. Why play for the tie? I get tired of seeing coaches playing not to lose. If it's winning, play to win!
If you clearly have the other team's D worn out or if your team's D is clearly worn out, then going for 2 and the win makes all the sense in the world. Baylor did that in the first overtime against A&M in 2005 for their first win ever in 20 years. A&M had scored something like 3 or 4 straight TDs including the game tier to get into overtime and had scored a TD in overtime. Baylor made the TD and went for broke and made it.
If you clearly have the other team's D worn out or if your team's D is clearly worn out, then going for 2 and the win makes all the sense in the world. Baylor did that in the first overtime against A&M in 2005 for their first win ever in 20 years. A&M had scored something like 3 or 4 straight TDs including the game tier to get into overtime and had scored a TD in overtime. Baylor made the TD and went for broke and made it.
I agree with that. Looking ahead to the overtime you have to think about what gives you the better chance to win. If a defense is worn out or shown little ability to stop the other team's offense than it would be better to go for 2 and the win in regulation versus trying for the win in OT.
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I need DePodesta to come and explain this to me.
I need DePodesta to come and explain this to me.
I heard today on the radio that Sushi and DePodesta are having a press conference today at 12:30 (they said it will be on WTAM 1100 locally, probably on team website and stuff too I'd imagine)
Maybe your questions will be answered
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John Urschel, a backup guard for the Ravens and likely the smartest man in the NFL, including players, coaches, GM's, did research on this topic and said all teams should go for the 2 pt conversion based on mathematical probability
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