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From nobody to the top of the first round of the draft - Josh Allen

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  • Good tweet to leave in summary...

    Jordan Zirm‏Verified account @clevezirm

    as we continue to debate Josh Allen, my mind always comes back to this blurb from the excellent @BenjaminSolakDaCGuANVMAAnrEu.jpg

    9:33 AM - 5 Apr 2018
  • Tour - you have just been treated to the equivalent of a twitter storm from a desperate man needing to convince that a turd is not really a turd, it's just great fertilizer. 😛

  • Peter Kind is a far more excellent source than Tour's alterego

    https://www.dawgsbynature.com/2018/4/3/17193310/peter-king-links-josh-allen-to-browns-nfl-draft

    MMQB’s Peter King switched on the rumor mill, links Josh Allen to Browns

    The Cleveland Browns aren’t likely to pass taking a quarterback with the first overall pick, and now a John Dorsey-adjacent source thinks Josh Allen is the selection.

    By Andrea Hangst Apr 3, 2018, 1:24pm EDT
     

    Count the MMQB’s Peter King among the speculators. In this week’s column, he provided insight on the Browns’ plans for the No. 1 pick, and he’s landed on one prospective pro passer: Oh yes, it’s Wyoming’s Josh Allen.

    According to King, some degree of friend of Browns general manager John Dorsey believes that Dorsey’s plans are to take Allen at No. 1 (and Penn State running back Saquon Barkley at No. 4). This “Friend of Dorsey,” as King termed it, reportedly said, “I would be surprised if he traded down... This would be his chance to take his two offensive cornerstones for the next eight or 10 years.”

     

  • lol... my ego is unaltered... and a source close to Dorsey should know, not think...

    Even Hue knows the truth of it...

    But Jackson said last week -- and has said before -- that although a quarterback can improve fundamentally, he usually is what he is when it comes to completion percentage.

    "I think you said it, you never feel like that that's something that you can just totally fix," Jackson said. "I think you can help improve it, but fix it, that's kind of hard to do. But at the same time, I watched him improve with some fundamentals that he needed to work on to give himself a chance to be more accurate."

    http://www.espn.com/blog/afcnorth/post/_/id/94321/browns-must-decide-if-josh-allens-talent-can-overcome-his-lack-of-accuracy

    Also from the article:

    • Allen also did not have a high percentage of passes dropped. Wyoming's 4.2 drop percentage was barely higher than the national average of 4.1 and less than UCLA's 6.3 for Rosen.
    • Pro Football Focus' analytics and stats show that Allen's 56 percent number had little to do with the talent around him. PFF reports that Allen completed just 13 of 42 passes thrown downfield (more than 20 yards from the line of scrimmage) and 1-of-13 when throwing deep to the right. PFF eliminated drops, spikes, balls knocked down and throws affected by the pass rush, and Allen completed 65.7 percent, which ranked 86th in the country. He was 51.4 percent against pressure (79th) and 71.8 percent from a "clean" pocket (72nd).
    • Football Outsiders is another analytics site that has developed its own metric, which is called QBase, and it has been accurate in predicting how a quarterback will transfer to the NFL. Allen receives the lowest grade by far of the top draftable quarterbacks, and the site calls his arm "a howitzer without a target."

    Then there's...

    The Sub-60 Percent Club

    Quarterbacks drafted in the past 10 years (Rounds 1-3) who had a career completion rate below 60 percent in college:

    Year Player College Pct. Pro Pct. NFL W-L and status
    * - has not played; **- six passes
    Note: Dolphins' Pat White not included because he was drafted as WildDawg quarterback
    2016 Christian Hackenberg 56.1 NP* 0-0, with Jets
    2016 Jacoby Brissett 59.5 59.2 4-12, with Colts
    2011 Jake Locker 54.0 57.5 9-14, out of league
    2011 Colin Kaepernick 58.2 59.7 28-30, out of league
    2011 Ryan Mallett 57.8 55.1 3-5, unsigned free agent
    2009 Matt Stafford 57.1 62.0 60-65, Lions starter
    2009 Josh Freeman 59.1 57.6 25-36, out of league
    2008 Matt Ryan 59.9 64.9 96-63, Falcons starter
    2008 Chad Henne 59.7 58.3 18-35, Chiefs backup
    2008 Kevin O'Connell 57.7 66.7** 0-0, out of league
  • eh.

    Penn State

    NC State/Florida

    U. of Washington

    Nevada

    Michigan/Arkansas

    Georgia

    Kansas State

    Boston College

    Michigan

    San Diego State

    ********************************

    Thanks for making my point for me. See, every single of those qb's you listed, Tour - was from a far bigger school, except for

    little San Diego State. And, from 2010 to 2017, every year San Diego went to a Bowl  game. So, they were a well established winner.

    Not only did Allen carry Wyoming on his shoulders to two bowl games while they struggled previously, you should note that from your own list, Stafford improved his completion percentage from 57 to 62, Matt Ryan improved 59.9 to 64.9, and O'Connell improved from college, 57.7 to 66.7 in the pros. HAHAHA. That's funny. So it HAS been done. There ya go. THANKS !

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_San_Diego_State_Aztecs_bowl_games

  • @calfoxwc said:

    https://www.ohio.com/akron/sports/browns/josh-allen-continues-to-show-growth-as-browns-owner-jimmy-haslam-other-members-of-team-brass-watch-wyoming-pro-day

    He doesn’t throw with great timing or anticipation, and his arm is so strong that he can make up for it. The thing that he has to learn how to do is learn how to play the position where he can layer throws.”

    Why is he even in the discussion for #1 overall? 

  • eh.

    Penn State

    NC State/Florida

    U. of Washington

    Nevada

    Michigan/Arkansas

    Georgia

    Kansas State

    Boston College

    Michigan

    San Diego State

    ********************************

    Thanks for making my point for me. See, every single of those qb's you listed, Tour - was from a far bigger school, except for

    little San Diego State. And, from 2010 to 2017, every year San Diego went to a Bowl  game. So, they were a well established winner.

    Not only did Allen carry Wyoming on his shoulders to two bowl games while they struggled previously, you should note that from your own list, Stafford improved his completion percentage from 57 to 62, Matt Ryan improved 59.9 to 64.9, and O'Connell improved from college, 57.7 to 66.7 in the pros. HAHAHA. That's funny. So it HAS been done. There ya go. THANKS !

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_San_Diego_State_Aztecs_bowl_games

    @calfoxwc said:

    O'Connell improved from college, 57.7 to 66.7 in the pros. HAHAHA. That's funny. So it HAS been done. There ya go. THANKS !

    If you would have taken 1/8th of a second, you would have seen that O'Connell's improvement from college was based on six pro passes.

  • @calfoxwc said:

    https://www.ohio.com/akron/sports/browns/josh-allen-continues-to-show-growth-as-browns-owner-jimmy-haslam-other-members-of-team-brass-watch-wyoming-pro-day

    He doesn’t throw with great timing or anticipation, and his arm is so strong that he can make up for it. The thing that he has to learn how to do is learn how to play the position where he can layer throws.”

    Why is he even in the discussion for #1 overall? 

    @hoorta said:

    He doesn’t throw with great timing or anticipation, and his arm is so strong that he can make up for it. The thing that he has to learn how to do is learn how to play the position where he can layer throws.”

    Why is he even in the discussion for #1 overall? 

    It is laughable.

  • @calfoxwc said:

    https://www.ohio.com/akron/sports/browns/josh-allen-continues-to-show-growth-as-browns-owner-jimmy-haslam-other-members-of-team-brass-watch-wyoming-pro-day

    He doesn’t throw with great timing or anticipation, and his arm is so strong that he can make up for it. The thing that he has to learn how to do is learn how to play the position where he can layer throws.”

    Why is he even in the discussion for #1 overall? 

    @hoorta said:

    He doesn’t throw with great timing or anticipation, and his arm is so strong that he can make up for it. The thing that he has to learn how to do is learn how to play the position where he can layer throws.”

    Why is he even in the discussion for #1 overall? 

    gee, go ask all those "experts" that have him going #1 overall. I didn't tell em to do it.

  • lol... my ego is unaltered... and a source close to Dorsey should know, not think...

    Even Hue knows the truth of it...

    But Jackson said last week -- and has said before -- that although a quarterback can improve fundamentally, he usually is what he is when it comes to completion percentage.

    "I think you said it, you never feel like that that's something that you can just totally fix," Jackson said. "I think you can help improve it, but fix it, that's kind of hard to do. But at the same time, I watched him improve with some fundamentals that he needed to work on to give himself a chance to be more accurate."

    http://www.espn.com/blog/afcnorth/post/_/id/94321/browns-must-decide-if-josh-allens-talent-can-overcome-his-lack-of-accuracy

    Also from the article:

    • Allen also did not have a high percentage of passes dropped. Wyoming's 4.2 drop percentage was barely higher than the national average of 4.1 and less than UCLA's 6.3 for Rosen.
    • Pro Football Focus' analytics and stats show that Allen's 56 percent number had little to do with the talent around him. PFF reports that Allen completed just 13 of 42 passes thrown downfield (more than 20 yards from the line of scrimmage) and 1-of-13 when throwing deep to the right. PFF eliminated drops, spikes, balls knocked down and throws affected by the pass rush, and Allen completed 65.7 percent, which ranked 86th in the country. He was 51.4 percent against pressure (79th) and 71.8 percent from a "clean" pocket (72nd).
    • Football Outsiders is another analytics site that has developed its own metric, which is called QBase, and it has been accurate in predicting how a quarterback will transfer to the NFL. Allen receives the lowest grade by far of the top draftable quarterbacks, and the site calls his arm "a howitzer without a target."

    Then there's...

    The Sub-60 Percent Club

    Quarterbacks drafted in the past 10 years (Rounds 1-3) who had a career completion rate below 60 percent in college:

    Year Player College Pct. Pro Pct. NFL W-L and status
    * - has not played; **- six passes
    Note: Dolphins' Pat White not included because he was drafted as WildDawg quarterback
    2016 Christian Hackenberg 56.1 NP* 0-0, with Jets
    2016 Jacoby Brissett 59.5 59.2 4-12, with Colts
    2011 Jake Locker 54.0 57.5 9-14, out of league
    2011 Colin Kaepernick 58.2 59.7 28-30, out of league
    2011 Ryan Mallett 57.8 55.1 3-5, unsigned free agent
    2009 Matt Stafford 57.1 62.0 60-65, Lions starter
    2009 Josh Freeman 59.1 57.6 25-36, out of league
    2008 Matt Ryan 59.9 64.9 96-63, Falcons starter
    2008 Chad Henne 59.7 58.3 18-35, Chiefs backup
    2008 Kevin O'Connell 57.7 66.7** 0-0, out of league

    @tour2ma said:

    lol... my ego is unaltered... and a source close to Dorsey should know, not think...

    Even Hue knows the truth of it...

    But Jackson said last week -- and has said before -- that although a quarterback can improve fundamentally, he usually is what he is when it comes to completion percentage.

    "I think you said it, you never feel like that that's something that you can just totally fix," Jackson said. "I think you can help improve it, but fix it, that's kind of hard to do. But at the same time, I watched him improve with some fundamentals that he needed to work on to give himself a chance to be more accurate."

    http://www.espn.com/blog/afcnorth/post/_/id/94321/browns-must-decide-if-josh-allens-talent-can-overcome-his-lack-of-accuracy

    Also from the article:

    • Allen also did not have a high percentage of passes dropped. Wyoming's 4.2 drop percentage was barely higher than the national average of 4.1 and less than UCLA's 6.3 for Rosen.
    • Pro Football Focus' analytics and stats show that Allen's 56 percent number had little to do with the talent around him. PFF reports that Allen completed just 13 of 42 passes thrown downfield (more than 20 yards from the line of scrimmage) and 1-of-13 when throwing deep to the right. PFF eliminated drops, spikes, balls knocked down and throws affected by the pass rush, and Allen completed 65.7 percent, which ranked 86th in the country. He was 51.4 percent against pressure (79th) and 71.8 percent from a "clean" pocket (72nd).
    • Football Outsiders is another analytics site that has developed its own metric, which is called QBase, and it has been accurate in predicting how a quarterback will transfer to the NFL. Allen receives the lowest grade by far of the top draftable quarterbacks, and the site calls his arm "a howitzer without a target."

    Then there's...

    The Sub-60 Percent Club

    Quarterbacks drafted in the past 10 years (Rounds 1-3) who had a career completion rate below 60 percent in college:

    Year Player College Pct. Pro Pct. NFL W-L and status
    * - has not played; **- six passes
    Note: Dolphins' Pat White not included because he was drafted as WildDawg quarterback
    2016 Christian Hackenberg 56.1 NP* 0-0, with Jets
    2016 Jacoby Brissett 59.5 59.2 4-12, with Colts
    2011 Jake Locker 54.0 57.5 9-14, out of league
    2011 Colin Kaepernick 58.2 59.7 28-30, out of league
    2011 Ryan Mallett 57.8 55.1 3-5, unsigned free agent
    2009 Matt Stafford 57.1 62.0 60-65, Lions starter
    2009 Josh Freeman 59.1 57.6 25-36, out of league
    2008 Matt Ryan 59.9 64.9 96-63, Falcons starter
    2008 Chad Henne 59.7 58.3 18-35, Chiefs backup
    2008 Kevin O'Connell 57.7 66.7** 0-0, out of league

    Great presentation, sound reasoning and excellent use of examples.   

  • @calfoxwc said:

    O'Connell improved from college, 57.7 to 66.7 in the pros. HAHAHA. That's funny. So it HAS been done. There ya go. THANKS !

    If you would have taken 1/8th of a second, you would have seen that O'Connell's improvement from college was based on six pro passes.

    @dutch-oven said:

    If you would have taken 1/8th of a second, you would have seen that O'Connell's improvement from college was based on six pro passes.

    LOL-therefore 4 completed passes with the 66.7% round-up..😛

  • @hoorta said:

    He doesn’t throw with great timing or anticipation, and his arm is so strong that he can make up for it. The thing that he has to learn how to do is learn how to play the position where he can layer throws.”

    Why is he even in the discussion for #1 overall? 

    gee, go ask all those "experts" that have him going #1 overall. I didn't tell em to do it.

    @calfoxwc said:

    gee, go ask all those "experts" that have him going #1 overall. I didn't tell em to do it.

    Experts as in the Peter King hearsay types?   

  • @dutch-oven said:

    If you would have taken 1/8th of a second, you would have seen that O'Connell's improvement from college was based on six pro passes.

    LOL-therefore 4 completed passes with the 66.7% round-up..😛

    @texasag1969 said:

    LOL-therefore 4 completed passes with the 66.7% round-up..😛

    It's almost impressive how consistently inept cal is. 

  • Don’t forget Tyrod Taylor 

    VT 57.2 % comp 

    NFL 62.4%. 

    Isn’t he on the Browns roster?

  • Don’t forget Tyrod Taylor 

    VT 57.2 % comp 

    NFL 62.4%. 

    Isn’t he on the Browns roster?

    @7moses7 said:

    Don’t forget Tyrod Taylor 

    VT 57.2 % comp 

    NFL 62.4%. 

    Isn’t he on the Browns roster?

    As most likely a one-year bridge QB on a team that has won one game in two seasons.

    A little different than using the #1 overall pick. 

  • Possibly a bridge QB who improved his accuracy,who’s to say Allen can’t improve his accuracy after working on it and sitting and learning the pro game for a year 

  • @dutch-oven said:

    If you would have taken 1/8th of a second, you would have seen that O'Connell's improvement from college was based on six pro passes.

    LOL-therefore 4 completed passes with the 66.7% round-up..😛

    @texasag1969 said:

    LOL-therefore 4 completed passes with the 66.7% round-up..😛

    so, you rosen groupies are saying that if a qb throws a lot more passes, his accuracy improves? LOL

    you said a qb never improves in accuracy when he goes to the pros. So, that isn't true. NOW the feeble comeback is he didn't throw many passes. Ok, riddle the rest of the board with this:

        Passing
    Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
    Career Fresno State         511 865 59.1 7631 8.8 8.9 53 22 148.3
    *1991 Fresno State Big West   QB 9 69 109 63.3 832 7.6 6.8 2 3 128.0
    *1992 Fresno State WAC   QB 13 188 360 52.2 3000 8.3 7.8 21 14 133.7
    *1993 Fresno State WAC   QB 12 254 396 64.1 3799 9.6 10.5 30 5 167.2