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  3. Browns Playoff Odds Calculator ..

Browns Playoff Odds Calculator ..

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  • BobPOUND B
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    B BobPOUND wrote on last edited by
    #1

    Pretty cool stuff..

    https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/cleveland-browns-nfl-playoff-picture.html#atl-bal-13=win&hou-cle-13=win&jax-ind-13=win&ten-nyj-13=loss&cle-car-14=win&den-cle-15=loss&cle-cin-16=win&bal-cle-17=loss

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    • BobPOUND B
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      B BobPOUND wrote on last edited by
      #2

      Looks like we can lose to the Texan's  or the Panther's and then go out the rest of the way and have a 40 to 50% chance of making the playoffs. But if we lose to any of the other 3, out chances plummet to 25%.. Lose more than 1 and it goes to 1%..

      GOALS!!

      hoortaH 1 Reply Last reply
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      • mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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        mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by
        #3

        Wow hours of fun for the whole family!

        Screenshot_2018-11-28-13-59-48.png

        GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
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        • mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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          mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by
          #4

          And for the big dreamers (or try again in 2019, it should look better!)

          Screenshot_2018-11-28-14-04-14.png

          GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
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          • Nero NeroN Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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            NeroN Nero wrote on last edited by
            #5

            A win is 82%, a tie keeps us with 75% (both scenarios winning all remaining teams). 

            A tie would be nice.

            Your beloved soccer fan 😉

            The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
            😂
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            • NeroN Nero

              A win is 82%, a tie keeps us with 75% (both scenarios winning all remaining teams). 

              A tie would be nice.

              Your beloved soccer fan 😉

              The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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              The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
              #6

              @nero said:

              A win is 82%, a tie keeps us with 75% (both scenarios winning all remaining teams). 

              A tie would be nice.

              Your beloved soccer fan 😉

              For soccer fans, there is a bit of a twist on the old saying about what a tie is like.  In soccer's case, a tie is like kissing your brother.

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              • gernthefish G
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                G gernthefish wrote on last edited by
                #7

                Maybe I'm over-analizing this, but does the % of scenarios mean the same thing as probability?  If the Browns make the playoffs in 40% of the scenarios, does this mean they have a 40% chance?  I'm not a statistician, but thinking this is probably not the case.

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                • B BobPOUND

                  Looks like we can lose to the Texan's  or the Panther's and then go out the rest of the way and have a 40 to 50% chance of making the playoffs. But if we lose to any of the other 3, out chances plummet to 25%.. Lose more than 1 and it goes to 1%..

                  GOALS!!

                  hoorta hoortaH Conversation Starter Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                  hoortaH hoorta wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  @bobpound said:

                  Looks like we can lose to the Texan's  or the Panther's and then go out the rest of the way and have a 40 to 50% chance of making the playoffs. But if we lose to any of the other 3, out chances plummet to 25%.. Lose more than 1 and it goes to 1%..

                  GOALS!!

                  Nah, that 40% chance of making the playoffs involves winning out and about every other team in the hunt judiciously losing at the right time. Some of those losses are unlikely.

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                  • ATOM ATOMA One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                    ATOMA ATOM wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    ive done a few different scenarios and have gotten from 100pct to 0pct

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