FAs You'd like to see our Browns Pursue once "Legal Tampering" Period begins
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Other IDL options I see...
- https://overthecap.com/player/sheldon-rankins/4725/ - Liked him coming out of UL; underachieved in NO
- https://overthecap.com/player/christian-covington/4064/ - Like him coming out of Rice; miscast at NT by Cinci last season, 3-tech would revive him to HOU form.
But TBH... I like our own FAs just as well or better and think the draft is a better option, if necessary... and with Billings return I'm not sure it is necessary.
Edge options... I just don't see any affordable options and again we have a couple worth extending.
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with the cap # going down I would think this would benefit us as alot of teams are up aginst it and will have to let some good players go that said WE need to go D-Line in FA cause at #26 does anyone see a starting DT there ? Woods likes to just bring 4 we have Garrett and then who ? So if i was gonna spend big thats where I would put my money
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with the cap # going down I would think this would benefit us as alot of teams are up aginst it and will have to let some good players go that said WE need to go D-Line in FA cause at #26 does anyone see a starting DT there ? Woods likes to just bring 4 we have Garrett and then who ? So if i was gonna spend big thats where I would put my money
cause at #26 does anyone see a starting DT there ?
There are two IDLs with consensus, 1st-round grades as of now, Barmore and Nixon. Not inconceivable that one is there at #26... but there are more Day 2 names that aren't all that far behind them IMO.
One I've grown very fond of is the USC kid, Tuipulotu. He's likely to go in the 3rd round, but is likely gone before our Saints' pick.
"When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196 -
cause at #26 does anyone see a starting DT there ?
There are two IDLs with consensus, 1st-round grades as of now, Barmore and Nixon. Not inconceivable that one is there at #26... but there are more Day 2 names that aren't all that far behind them IMO.
One I've grown very fond of is the USC kid, Tuipulotu. He's likely to go in the 3rd round, but is likely gone before our Saints' pick.
There are two IDLs with consensus, 1st-round grades as of now, Barmore and Nixon. Not inconceivable that one is there at #26... but there are more Day 2 names that aren't all that far behind them IMO.
One I've grown very fond of is the USC kid, Tuipulotu. He's likely to go in the 3rd round, but is likely gone before our Saints' pick.
great pick for depth But to start the season(cause i believe are window is now)DT is where I would put my money maybe not day one of FA or day 2 or 3 lets see where the market is at (cause i believe some players are going to over value them selves when the money to spend is not there) also at 26 draft BPA I dont care if it is a RB
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Leonard played a ton of big base end at SC. If I remember, playing a good deal of heads up end that 2 gapped. That's similar to how OSU used Heyward in 09. He was always destined to be a DI or at minimum, moved all over the formation.
Haven't watched any of the Jets enough to claim what change produced the increase in his production though.
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Zombo said:
"Legal Tampering" sounds like a dude in his 20's sniffing around a 17 year old girl whose birthday is next week.
Zombo
Not a nice thing to say about Woody.
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Leonard played a ton of big base end at SC
Was he on the football team, or in the band?
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I'm going to break my own rules and link a Bleacherreport article.. this one makes a lot of sense. May not be the total list.. but can't argue with any of them!
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Defensive Position of upgrade. Projected market value.. high to low
DE's
EDGE OLIVIER VERNON---if he can get back on the field toward the end of the year, show he has no lingering issues from the injury and then hit free agency in a potentially better market. Prediction: Vernon signs for one year, $2.075 million, $1.075 million total guaranteed
EDGE CARL LAWSON---Prediction: Bengals sign Lawson for four years, $55 million ($13.75M APY): $30 million total guaranteed, $17.5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Lawson looked like a fourth-round steal in his rookie season after putting up a ridiculous 59 pressures on just 389 rushes. He’s yet to get back to those benchmarks, but he is still a good situational pass-rusher with a limited skill set in the run game.
EDGE LEONARD FLOYD---Prediction: Seattle signs Floyd for three years, $40 million ($13.33M APY): $22.5 million total guaranteed, $13.5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Floyd has been a solid player for the majority of his career, and 2020 was no different. However, don’t get caught up in career-highs in both pressures and sacks, as Floyd has posted pass-rush grades in the 60s in four of his five years in the league — including this past season. He’s an above-average run defender and is good in coverage, where he’s played over 100 snaps in each of the past three years. But the key for Floyd’s market will be expectations where he is more of a complementary pass-rusher than a “10-sack guy.”
EDGE JADEVEON CLOWNEY---Prediction: Titans sign Clowney for one-year, $13 million, fully guaranteed at signing
EDGE TREY HENDRICKSON---Prediction: Bills sign Hendrickson for four years, $45 million ($11.25M APY): $25 million total guaranteed, $20 million fully guaranteed at signing..
Of all the players in the free-agent pool, Hendrickson may have made himself the most money here in 2020. His career started with three years of average grades, but he’s getting after the quarterback at a high rate — and the NFL is noticing. Hendrickson was an outstanding player in college at Florida Atlantic, posting back-to-back years of 90.0-plus pass-rush grades.
EDGE MELVIN INGRAM III-- Prediction: Lions sign Ingram for two years, $20M ($10M APY): $16M total guaranteed, $14M fully guaranteed at signing.
Ingram racked up three straight seasons with 70 or more total pressures before injury broke that streak, and 2020 featured the best PFF pass-rushing grade he has posted since 2017, even if the sacks never materialized.
EDGE BUD DUPREE----Unfortunately for Dupree, a torn ACL in Week 12 may limit his options to one-year prove-it deals.Prediction: Colts sign Dupree for one year, $10 million ($10M APY): $7.5M total guaranteed/fully guaranteed at signing.
Dupree broke out with a 77.7 overall grade in 2019, good for 23rd among edge rushers. That marked trampled his previous performances, which ranged from 44.4 (2015) to 62.6 (2016) overall, and he came back down to Earth here in 2020 with a 60.2 overall grade prior to a season-ending injury.
EDGE TAKKARIST MCKINLEY----Prediction: Raiders sign McKinley for three years, $28.5 million ($9.5M APY): $18 million total guaranteed, $14.5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
McKinley has disappointed as a first-round pick, though he’s produced at a solid level in his four years in the league. He’s graded in the middle of the pack as a pass-rusher since entering the league, with his best pass-rushing grade (70.1) coming as a rookie. McKinley has the skills to be effective against the run, but there have been too many blown gaps and missed tackles through the years, combined with just 33% of his snaps coming in the run game. He ranks as a mid-tier pass-rusher who is best suited as a No. 3 option or, perhaps, a low-end No. 2 rusher.
EDGE JUSTIN HOUSTON---Prediction: Bengals sign Houston for two years, $18M ($9M APY). $10M total guaranteed, $7M fully guaranteed at signing.
EDGE HAASON REDDICK---Prediction: Panthers sign Reddick for one year, $8.5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Reddick was clearly out of place as a traditional linebacker, grading at just 35.4 in coverage in his first three NFL seasons — the third-worst mark among linebackers during that time. However, Reddick’s move back to his college position on the edge has rejuvenated his career, as his burst has been an asset when he rushes the passer. The question will be whether Reddick will continue this incredible stretch of play or if it’s just an anomaly, but he’s definitely worth a look as a change-of-pace No. 3 pass-rusher. And he may get paid like a No. 2.
EDGE TYUS BOWSER---Prediction: Bowser signs for three years, $21 million ($7M APY), $10 million fully guaranteed.
EDGE TARELL BASHAM---Prediction: Basham signs for two years, $13 million ($6.5M APY), $7 million total guaranteed.
EDGE ROMEO OKWARA---Prediction: Detroit signs Okwara for three years, $19.5 million ($6.5M APY): $10M total guaranteed, $7 million fully guaranteed at signing.
After over 1,000 snaps of below-average production as a pass-rusher, Okwara finished like a ball of fire with the No. 3 pass-rush grade among edge defenders since Week 12. That stretch run was great, and it capped a career year that saw him post an 85.4 pass-rush grade, ninth-best in the league. If he’s truly figured something out, Okwara is worth a shot as a No. 2 pass-rusher, but perspective is needed given the 4.5 years of average play prior to his half-season of dominance
EDGE RYAN KERRIGAN--- Prediction: Kerrigan signs for one year, $5 million fully guaranteed.
Linebackers---
LB B.J. GOODSON--- A strong performance against the Steelers in the wild-card round was followed by a tough outing against the speedy Chiefs, but Goodson proved he can handle a larger workload and not be a liability if it becomes necessary.
Prediction: Goodson signs for two years, $6.5 million ($3.75M APY), $4 million total guaranteed.
LB DENZEL PERRYMAN---Prediction: Packers sign Perryman for two years, $13 million ($6.5M APY): $4 million total guaranteed/fully guaranteed at signing.
Few players are better downhill thumpers than Perryman is; it’s just unfortunate for him that this is 2021 and not 1985. Perryman is coming off arguably his best season, albeit one in which his playing time totaled just 317 snaps. Perryman earned a PFF grade of 86.3 against the run, and his coverage grade of 74.1 represents the best figure of his career in that area. Two-down run-stuffers don’t have much of a role in today’s NFL, but Perryman is fun to watch given how he hits.
LB K.J. WRIGHT--- Prediction: Seattle signs Wright for two years, $12 million ($6M APY): $6 million total guaranteed, $5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Wright has been one of the league's most consistent linebackers over his NFL career, and as he gets toward the end of it, he still provides a lot of value as a solid all-around player at the position. He finished the regular season with the eighth-best overall grade among linebackers at 75.3.
IDL
DI LEONARD WILLIAMS---Prediction: Panthers sign Williams for four years, $80 million ($20M APY): $47.5M total guaranteed, $32.5M fully guaranteed at signing.
One of the surest bets in the class, Williams has graded between 70.0 and 82.0 in all six years of his career. Run defense is his calling card, as he ranks in the 86th percentile in PFF run-defense grade since entering the league and with his best work coming as a B and C gap defender. Williams is an average pass-rusher and even with a career-high 13 sacks this season, he’s yet to break a 72.0 pass-rush grade for his career.
DI DALVIN TOMLINSON---Prediction: Giants sign Tomlinson for four years, $52.5 million ($13.125M APY): $26.5 million total guaranteed, $16.5 million fully guaranteed at signing. Tomlinson has a distinct profile as an above-average run defender and a below-average pass-rusher. He ranks in the 82nd percentile in PFF run-defense grade since 2017, and he knows how to finish plays — generating one of the best run-stop percentages in the league. As a pass-rusher, Tomlinson has only graded above 62.3 once — 74.7 this past season. He can play all over the defensive interior and represents one of the best run-stopping nose tackles in this class.
DI SHELBY HARRIS---Prediction: Cardinals sign Harris for three years, $33.375 million ($11.125M APY).
One of the most underrated players in the league, Harris has been an above-average player since starting to see significant playing time in 2017. The former seventh-rounder wins with good pad level and quickness in the running game and ranks in the top third of the league in run-stop percentage since 2018. Harris has also been one of the league’s best pass-rushers since 201,8 with the only reservations being that he has only two seasons with more than 500 snaps (636 in 2019, 516 in 2017).
DI SHELDON RANKINS---Prediction: Jaguars sign Rankins for two years, $14.5 million ($7.25M APY): $8 million total guaranteed, $5.5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Injuries have become an issue for Rankins, but he hits free agency at 27 years old with some high-level play on his resume, albeit all the way back in 2018. That year was Rankins’ best season, seeing him post a PFF grade of at least 67.0 in every facet of play. Outside of that, he has been a plus run defender who has struggled to offer much as a pass-rusher.
DI DAQUAN JONES---Prediction: Jones signs for two years, $14.5 million ($7.25M APY), $10 million total guaranteed.
DI DEREK WOLFE---Prediction: Wolfe signs for two years, $14 million ($7M APY), $8 million total guaranteed.
DI LAWRENCE GUY---Prediction: Guy signs for one year, $7 million, $5 million total guaranteed.
CB/S--
CB TERRANCE MITCHELL---Prediction: Browns sign Mitchell for two years, $8 million ($4M APY). $4 million fully guaranteed at signing, $5 million total guaranteed.
The 1,225 snaps he played, including the postseason, for Cleveland represent close to 40% of his career total, and he posted a better than average overall PFF grade of 68.2. Mitchell was beaten for five touchdowns and a passer rating of 100. Most teams wouldn’t view him as a starter, but he’s the type of player who can do a job and hold up if injuries strike — and there is value to that.
CB RONALD DARBY---Prediction: Washington signs Darby for three years, $30 million ($10M APY): $16.5 million total guaranteed, $10 million fully guaranteed at signing.
It’s been an odd career for Darby, who has now had productive seasons for three different teams in his six NFL seasons. The problems in between have been injuries and ineffectiveness, and 2020 is the first season in which Darby has played at least 600 snaps since 2016. He’s best in man coverage, where he has the speed and shiftiness to hang with a variety of receivers. Darby has graded in the 92nd percentile in single coverage since entering the league.
CB XAVIER RHODES---Prediction: Colts sign Rhodes for three years, $24 million ($8M APY): $14.5 million total guaranteed, $8.5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
In his first season with the Colts, Rhodes bounced back to his best form and, if anything, had a career year. He allowed only 50% of passes thrown his way to be caught, down more than 30 percentage points from last season, and throwing into his coverage generated a 79.2 passer rating, down 50 points from last year.
CB XAVIER WOODS---Prediction: Cowboys sign Woods to a four-year, $25 million extension ($6.25M APY).
Woods entered the league as a versatile safety with slot coverage skills and a sixth-round draft steal as he’s developed into a solid free safety. He ranks in the middle of the pack from a coverage standpoint when lined up deep, but he’s been excellent when lined up closer to the line of scrimmage, making him a good fit for teams that play with interchangeable safeties. He can still dabble in the slot at times, and the Cowboys are doing more of that in 2020, but it hasn’t been Woods’ strong suit to this point in his NFL career. His four season grades have ranged from 65.0 to 73.0.
CB QUINTON DUNBAR---Prediction: Seahawks sign Dunbar for two years, $12 million ($6M APY): $9.5M total guaranteed, $7.5M fully guaranteed at signing.
CB BRIAN POOLE---Prediction: Jets sign Poole for three years, $18 million ($6M APY): $11.5 million total guaranteed, $7 million fully guaranteed at signing.
At 5-foot-9, Brian Poole very much fits the mold of a slot cornerback at the NFL level, and he has always been solid in that role. Since moving to the Jets, he has been better than solid, posting one of the highest PFF coverage grades from the slot over the past two seasons. He has allowed just one touchdown and a passer rating of under 70.0 when targeted over that stretch. There are more spectacular players around the NFL, but Poole has proven to be an impressively consistent and solid defender in one of the most undervalued positions in the league.
CB TROY HILL---Prediction: Rams sign Hill for two years, $10.5 million ($5.25M APY): $7.25 million total guaranteed, $5.25 million fully guaranteed at signing.
A player who has earned impressive PFF grades dating back to his college career, Troy Hill displayed versatility in 2020 by moving inside to cover the slot after previously playing primarily on the outside. Hill has high-end play under his belt at the NFL level, but he plays at his best when protected from the most physically imposing receivers in the league — something the Rams have been equipped to do since acquiring Jalen Ramsey. A move to the slot also better facilitates that. Hill can be a solid No. 2 or 3 cornerback
.CB JASON VERRETT---Prediction: 49ers sign Verrett for two years, $10 million ($5M APY): $5 million total guaranteed, $3.5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Verrett played 803 snaps this season — a career-high — and allowed a mere 76.3 passer rating in a season of huge offensive production. He allowed just 8.9 yards per reception and one touchdown all season, playing his first significant snaps since at least 2016.
CB MIKE HILTON---Prediction: Steelers sign Hilton for three years, $12M ($4M APY): $4M total guaranteed/fully guaranteed at signing (signing bonus, Steelers don’t guarantee otherwise).
Hilton epitomizes the do-it-all slot corner who can cover in both man and zone, play the run and blitz effectively. The Steelers' scheme allows him to show off all of those skills, and he’s quietly been one of the most valuable corners in the league since 2017. The one concern is his 26 missed tackles over the last two seasons.
CB MACKENSIE ALEXANDER---Prediction: Bears sign Alexander for two years, $6 million ($3M APY): $3 million total guaranteed/fully guaranteed at signing.
Alexander’s career started slow, but he’s now posted three straight solid coverage grades, including a career-high 72.5 mark back in 2018. He signed a one-year deal with the Bengals and provided average play, grading at 60.4 overall to go with a 67.2 coverage grade. Alexander has played primarily in the slot throughout his career, and he’s in the group of available slot corners who are worth a look.
CB CAMERON SUTTON---Prediction: Steelers sign Sutton for one year, $2.75 million: $1.5 million total guaranteed/fully guaranteed at signing.
Sutton had played just 621 career snaps coming into 2020 but posted a solid 68.6 overall grade across 552 regular-season snaps in 2020. He was forced to play on the outside down the stretch after primarily lining up in the slot, so there’s some versatility to his game. He’s a high-upside play on a small sample size. Sutton has been above-average in the slot and in single coverage, two places that bring great value to any defense.
CB GAREON CONLEY---Prediction: Texans sign Conley for one year, $2.5 million: $1 million fully guaranteed at signing.
A former first-round pick, Conley has had his ups and downs, grading out at 64.5 and 64.0 in his two full seasons. He missed all of the 2020 season. Conley is better in man coverage, as he’s graded in the 69th percentile in single coverage compared to just the 37th percentile in zone since entering the league. He’s also forced incompletions on 22.2% of his targets, the second-best rate in the NFL since 2017. Conley is worth a look in a man-heavy system.
CB JASON MCCOURTY---Prediction: McCourty signs for one year, $2.5 million with incentives to push it to $5 million.
CB RASUL DOUGLAS--Prediction: Douglas signs for one year, $2.25 million, $1.25 million total guaranteed.
CB NICKELL ROBEY-COLEMAN---Prediction: Eagles sign Robey-Coleman for one year, $2 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Now infamous for the non-call on a blatant defensive pass interference in the 2018-19 NFC Championship game against the New Orleans Saints, Robey-Coleman hasn’t been quite as fortunate recently.
He has shown flashes this year that he can still be an aggressive and feisty slot corner, but he has given up a 116.0 passer rating when targeted while allowing 11.7 yards per reception — a high figure for an inside defender.
S KEANU NEAL---Prediction: Texans sign Neal for two years, $10 million ($5M APY): $6 million total guaranteed, $3.5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
A former first-round pick, Neal found his home immediately as a traditional strong safety in the Falcons’ Cover 1/Cover 3 scheme. He made an impact from Day 1, flying around the field in the run game and showing good range against underneath routes when playing zone. Unfortunately, injuries limited Neal to just 213 snaps across 2018 and 2019, but he was healthy once again in 2020, grading out at 68.2 overall. Neal is a classic box safety who does his best work around the line of scrimmage and in the middle of the field, and his future team should look for him to play a similar role.
S JAQUISKI TARTT---Prediction: 49ers sign Tartt for two years, $9 million ($4.5M APY). $4 million total guaranteed, $3 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Safety play in the NFL is extremely volatile, and often at the mercy of the opposing offenses that you happen to run into in a given year. Nothing shows that better than Jaquiski Tartt’s grading profile over the past few seasons, as Tartt has earned PFF grades of at least 75.0 in every facet of play we measure, just not in the same season.
S MALIK HOOKER---Prediction: 49ers sign Hooker for one year, $2 million.
WR's
WR RASHARD HIGGINS--Prediction: Titans sign Higgins for two years, $10 million ($5M APY): $5.5 million total guaranteed, $4 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Higgins earned more playing time for the Browns and responded with new career-high marks in yards and yards per reception. When throwing the ball in the direction of Higgins, Baker Mayfield had a passer rating of 126.1 despite badly missing him in the end zone for a touchdown on one occasion. At 26, Higgins represents an interesting option after the top receivers in the market are gone, though citations for drag racing will raise questions over maturity.
WR SAMMY WATKINS---Prediction: Ravens sign Watkins for three years, $30 million ($10M APY): $21 million total guaranteed, $16.5 million fully guaranteed at signing
Once looking like a future star, Watkins has leveled off as a complementary receiver over the past few years. He’s never gotten back to his career-high 89.8 grade in 2015, though he posted solid grades between 69.0 and 74.0 from 2016 to 2019 across three different teams. Watkins’ 64.4 overall grade in 2020 is the lowest of his career, though he always seems good for a couple of dominant games per season, and last year it showed up at the right time during the Chiefs’ Super Bowl run.
WR MARVIN JONES JR.---Prediction: Browns sign Jones for three years, $27 million ($9M APY): $16.5 million total guaranteed, $12.5 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Jones has solid hands (only dropped more than four passes once in a season) and some juice after the catch. He should still be a capable addition to a lot of receiving corps in the league. He isn’t a true mismatch weapon or a No. 1 receiver, but he can still provide a lot of value.
WR CURTIS SAMUEL---Prediction: Giants sign Samuel for three years, $25 million ($8.33M APY): $15 million total guaranteed, $10 million fully guaranteed at signing.
Samuel has shifted inside to the slot, and he’s also had at least one rushing attempt in every game this season. His 2020 average depth of target of 6.2 yards through Week 12 is a massive drop-off from his 2019 average depth of target mark of 15.1 yards. As a result, Samuel’s game is starting to resemble another second-round wide receiver with the last name Samuel: Deebo Samuel of the San Francisco 49ers. Both players look like running backs in the open field when they get the ball near or behind the line of scrimmage, flashing a physical, downhill nature in their efforts after the catch. Samuel has excelled in his new role and could have an opportunity to finish the season on a tear with D.J. Moore expected to miss some time.
WR BRESHAD PERRIMAN---Prediction: Jaguars sign Perriman for two years, $16 million ($8M APY): $7.5 million total guaranteed, $6 million fully guaranteed at signing
Perriman, a former first-round draft pick, looked as if he had put it all together late in the 2019 season for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but then he joined the New York Jets. Perriman couldn’t avoid being tarnished by New York in 2020, and his 63.1 overall PFF grade was back to his baseline of disappointment.Perriman dropped only three passes, but he caught just 53.6% of the targets sent his way. With his height, weight and speed combination, there is still a lot to like about his potential in the right situation. The Jets, obviously, were not the right fit
WR KENDRICK BOURNE---Prediction: Bourne signs for two years, $12.5 million ($6.25M APY), $8 million total guaranteed.
WR KEELAN COLE---Prediction: Jaguars sign Cole for two years, $11 million ($5.5M APY): $5 million total guaranteed, $4 million fully guaranteed at signing.
The Jaguars got great value out of Cole, a former undrafted free agent who has played both out wide and in the slot. Cole is a good route-runner who ranks in the 60th percentile at creating separation against single coverage. He’s also been strong at the catch point, winning 52% of his contested catches over the past two years. Cole profiles as a No. 3 or No. 4 option on a good team, but he can line up all across the formation.
WR JOSH REYNOLDS---Prediction: Reynolds signs for two years, $8.5 million ($4.25M APY), $5 million total guaranteed.
WR CHRIS CONLEY---Prediction: Conley signs for two years, $6 million ($3M APY), $3.5 million total guaranteed.
WR DAMIERE BYRD---Prediction: Byrd signs for two years, $4.5 million ($2.25M APY), $2.5 million total guaranteed.
WR KENNY STILLS---Stills signs for one year, $2.5 million, $1.075 million total guaranteed.
WR DEDE WESTBROOK---Prediction: Westbrook signs for one year, $1.5 million. ***Baker's favorite Sooner WR..
Full top 150 list can be viewed here... https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-2021-free-agency-top-100-free-agents
CBS Mike Clay ^^
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Perriman had a decent connection w Baker a couple yrs ago, and he's an actual deep threat also .. if Higgins leaves I hope Browns try to sign him.
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