Hold Up On That Super Bowl Ring For Colt
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OK, so now Phil AND Colt have gone to the 49ers. But let's just hold up on giving them a ring. History shows that it is highly improbable that they will get one. Here is the fate of all Super Bowl losing teams going back to the 1970 merger. Listed first is the year, then the team that lost the SB, then their fate the following year:
1970 Cowboys WON the Super Bowl
1971 Dolphins WON the Super Bowl
1972 Redskins Lost in division round
1973 Vikings Lost the Super Bowl
1974 Vikings Lost in Division round
1975 Cowboys Lost in Division round
1976 Vikings Lost NFC title game
1977 Broncos Lost in Division round
1978 Cowboys Lost in Division round
1979 Rams Lost Wildcard round
1980 Eagles Lost Wildcard round
1981 Bengals Lost Wildcard round
1982 Dolphins Lost Division round
1983 Redskins Lost Division round
1984 Dolphins Lost AFC title game
1985 Pats Lost Division round
1986 Broncos Lost Super Bowl
1987 Broncos 8-8 no playoffs * first SB loser to fail to make playoffs
1988 Bengals 8-8 no playoffs
1989 Broncos 5-11 no playoffs
1990 Bills Lost Super Bowl
1991 Bills Lost Super Bowl
1992 Bills Lost Super Bowl
1993 Bills 7-9 no playoffs
1994 Chargers Lost Wildcard round
1995 Steeler Lost Division round
1996 Pats Lost Division round
1997 Packers Lost Wildcard
1998 Falcons 5-11 no playoffs
1999 Titans Lost Division round
2000 Giants 7-9 no playoffs
2001 Rams 7-9 no playoffs
2002 Raiders 4-12 no playoffs
2003 Panthers 7-9 no playoffs
2004 Eagles 6-10 no playoffs
2005 Seahawks Lost Division round
2006 Bears 7-9 no playoffs
2007 Pats 11-5 but no playoffs
2008 Cardinals Lost Division round
2009 Colts Lost Wildcard
2010 Steelers Lost Wildcard
2011 Patriots Lost AFC Title game
2012 49ers ??????
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Really surprised at the high probability (95% per above historical data) that the Niners won't get the ring in 2014.
Current Vegas odds are 7-1 of Niners winning Super Bowl. Definite value in placing a proposition bet in Vegas against the Niners
but you would have to put up $1000 or so dollars just to win $100. js
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If you notice, the last Super Bowl loser to go on to win a Super Bowl at any later point in time is the 2000 Giants. But they waited 7 years to do that, and it was with a complete new team. New coach, new QB, probably new everything. If there were more than 1 or 2 players from that 2000 SB loser that was still on the Giants in 2007 I would be surprised. The only guys I can think of are Michael Strahan and Amani Toomer.
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Really surprised at the high probability (95% per above historical data) that the Niners won't get the ring in 2014.
Current Vegas odds are 7-1 of Niners winning Super Bowl. Definite value in placing a proposition bet in Vegas against the Niners
but you would have to put up $1000 or so dollars just to win $100. js
Really surprised at the high probability (95% per above historical data) that the Niners won't get the ring in 2014.
Actually slightly less than that. Of 47 Super Bowl losers, only 2, or 4.25% went on to win the Super Bowl the following year after losing it.
Edit: let me correct that. That 47 includes the 49ers whose fate is not known yet. It is 2 of 46 who went on to win the following year, or 4.34%
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If you notice, the last Super Bowl loser to go on to win a Super Bowl at any later point in time is the 2000 Giants. But they waited 7 years to do that, and it was with a complete new team. New coach, new QB, probably new everything. If there were more than 1 or 2 players from that 2000 SB loser that was still on the Giants in 2007 I would be surprised. The only guys I can think of are Michael Strahan and Amani Toomer.
If you notice, the last Super Bowl loser to go on to win a Super Bowl at any later point in time is the 2000 Giants. But they waited 7 years to do that, and it was with a complete new team. New coach, new QB, probably new everything. If there were more than 1 or 2 players from that 2000 SB loser that was still on the Giants in 2007 I would be surprised. The only guys I can think of are Michael Strahan and Amani Toomer.
Let's not forget Giants benefited from the luckiest play in Super Bowl history. The famous Manning to Tyree "Helmet Catch".
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Really surprised at the high probability (95% per above historical data) that the Niners won't get the ring in 2014.
Current Vegas odds are 7-1 of Niners winning Super Bowl. Definite value in placing a proposition bet in Vegas against the Niners
but you would have to put up $1000 or so dollars just to win $100. js
Really surprised at the high probability (95% per above historical data) that the Niners won't get the ring in 2014.
That's not how probability works.
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That's not how probability works.
I don't think it is probabability, it is just history.
Despite the history, I think the 49ers could likely be the betting favorite to win next year's Super Bowl.
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That's not how probability works.
I don't think it is probabability, it is just history.
Despite the history, I think the 49ers could likely be the betting favorite to win next year's Super Bowl.
I don't think it is probabability, it is just history.
Despite the history, I think the 49ers could likely be the betting favorite to win next year's Super Bowl.
FWIW, here's one touts opinion.
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