Author breaks down recent history of unexpected playoff runs - and then mentions that the Browns are well positioned.....

I thought this was an interesting way to look at how much interceptions hurt you....

Article

I'm not sure what you mean by registration forums......

If you're serious about fantasy, drop me a line. I'm starting a series of 20 team leagues. So, you have to dig deep to find the best players (not everyone will have Brady or Manning). The goal is a $50 entry fee. Will start multiple leagues if demand allows.

Email me for details.

[email protected]

He's calling this red zone analysis - but it's really just an analysis of offenses.....

Article

Just something I came across - interesting red zone stats.

This guy write for the NYTimes blog, so I check out his site every so often.

Article

@riffer-x said:

College doesn't mean dick towards winning in the NFL nor do numbers really. I get tired of that argument and no da ich, that isn't a direct slam on you just my opinion.

I sort of agree with you. And, the author's conclusion was somewhat weak, but I thought that was intentional. He was saying, your best bet is a QB in the first round.....but there's HUGE risk. But, if you don't take a QB in the first round don't bother trying to outsmart everyone with a later round pick. Sometimes a late round pick works - but, chances are, you have to try to hit on several players before one works out.

Really interesting analysis on how teams have found their QBs......

Here's the article

I'm gonna guess Holmgren draft's someone and picks up Hasselbeck to carry the load until the new guy can take it

I wouldn't believe it if I didn't see it

The NYTimes ran a piece on the past decade and which QBs were the best.

I can't (or I guess I can) believe how poorly Couch did...

http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2010 ... rterbacks/

Here's the link with all of the lists....

http://www.nflstatanalysis.net/2010/01/ ... ecade.html

@mastadave99999 said:

Six and Seven YAY!!!

And eleven.....and eighteen

read these two posts....even in a victory we get trashed....

http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/12...-bad-and-worse/

http://www.nflstatanalysis.net/2009/12/ten...-of-season.html

@choco said:

and was passed on for a highly touted rookie.

wasn't meant to be disrespectful, but hindsight is always 20/20....

He was passed on for a highly touted rookie. BUT, as the TIMES article states, he didn't have his "breakout" year until after the team drafted rivers.

@choco said:

easy question to ask years later after he's been largely successful.....

Thanks - I'm good at that

The guy at nflstatanalysis.net provides us with another interesting Brees analysis on the NYTimes Fifth Down blog.

http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/12...brees-entwined/

Also interesting stuff on the 20 worst QB performances of the season. Anderson's on there 3 times and Brady's on their once....so, the Browns make up one fifth of the 20 worst QB performances of the season.....

http://www.nflstatanalysis.net/2009/12/ten...-of-season.html

Brees and QB Rating Not perfect

NFLStatAnalysis: Belichick Unwittingly Emboldened the Geeks

I have long felt that coaches are too conservative on 4th Down. Here's an interesting article about how stat geek are defending Belichick's decision. I totally agree. A guy like Mangini would never make that call because a) he's not smart enough and he's scared of losing his job.

I love the way the article closes out:

"The ability to store more and more data has allowed the average statistically minded fan to perform the analyses proving what they have long believed - but never had the data to prove.

The internet has provided a method to disseminate the message.

The Belichick discussion finally gives them a platform.

So. Game on. It's Microsoft Excel (or SAS, Minitab etc...) vs. old school thinking.

The empirically minded minority is getting a seat at the table. Will it change the way decisions are made in the NFL? Doubtful. But, the debates will certainly take on a new life."

@kshutchins said:

This is what happens when baseball fans get interested in football.

I just laughed so hard I puked in my mouth. Although, I don't completely agree. I think there's value to this. Belichick is a big stat analysis guy./

http://fifthdown.blogs.nytimes.com/2...romo-moves-up/

An interesting article that builds off of what a lot of statistical analysts have been saying the past few years in that passing yards per attempt is the one major statistic to look at when judging QB's. As a statistician, I think it's great that people are trying to improve the QB rating system.

The actual website is http://www.nflstatanalysis.net/ and there's an interesting breakdown of why Romo is "better" than Favre - despite what the NFL passer ratings say. http://www.nflstatanalysis.net/2009/...gh-week-7.html

Someday, as Browns' fans, we won't have to look at rankings like this and see our players all the way at the bottom.