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Most valuable players

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  • alwardc4 A
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    A alwardc4 wrote on last edited by
    #1

    I thought this was worth its own thread. I posted this in another thread.

    http://www.therxforum.com/showthread.php?t=972875

    This was put out last month. It lists the point spread impact for the loss of a player. Notice the top 20 players are QBs !!!!!!!

    Rodgers is at the top with 10. Although its not linear, it essentially correlates to about a 30% less chance to win a football game. That is 0.3 wins per game, over a 16 game season is 4.8 wins. On the other side, a stud player like Joe Thomas is worth 2.5 points or about 0.05 wins per game (almost 1 a year). Quite a lot for a non-QB and really about the most you could get from an OL.

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    • Tour2ma Tour2maT In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done Very Popular
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      Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
      #2

      DUH!

      "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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      • sisky fringo sisky fringoS
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        sisky fringoS sisky fringo wrote on last edited by
        #3

        2.5 points = .025 not .05 influence per game = .4 across a season or almost a half a game lost for a supposed stud cornerstone like JT.

        makes me wonder what Calvin or AD coulda done for us for the last 6 years...

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        • sisky fringoS sisky fringo

          2.5 points = .025 not .05 influence per game = .4 across a season or almost a half a game lost for a supposed stud cornerstone like JT.

          makes me wonder what Calvin or AD coulda done for us for the last 6 years...

          alwardc4 A
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          A alwardc4 wrote on last edited by
          #4

          @sisky-fringo said:

          2.5 points = .025 not .05 influence per game = .4 across a season or almost a half a game lost for a supposed stud cornerstone like JT.

          makes me wonder what Calvin or AD coulda done for us for the last 6 years...

          2.5 points on the spread is roughly the equivalent of having a 5% higher chance of winning. Thus, the 0.05.

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          • Osiris OsirisO Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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            OsirisO Osiris wrote on last edited by
            #5

            The interesting, if not surprising, thing, is that you don't get a player that isn't a QB until the 21st rank. Just one more piece of evidence of why the Browns need to do what they can to get the best QB possible from this draft.

            "I said, 'I need someone who's going to want to get on the roller coaster with me knowing that it's not always going to be fun,'" -Paul DePodesta
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