Tribe now on pace for 92-70 so where do they end up?
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It is September 1st.....and now this is a fair question to ask: What is the Tribe's magic number?
I think it's the total games left minus the division lead, the Indians pregame guys have been doing it lately it's in the twenties now.It is September 1st.....and now this is a fair question to ask: What is the Tribe's magic number?
(or just keep winning baby!)
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The Indians are currently 76-56 .576 with 30 games to go that's a projected 93-69 pace.
Before the season on another sports board contest I predicted a 92-70 season, we'll see what happens.
There were about 15 questions I predicted Santana would lead the Indians in home runs slightly over Napoli, that might be close Napoli now 29-28.
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If the Indians go .500 in September then:
Detroit must go 19-10
Kansas City must go 22-7
Just to tie the Tribe, so there you go. ........
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Well the Indians are now 81-58 .583 +6 GA and a 94-68 pace with 23 games left and still a pretty good home schedule where they are 47-25 at home....get ready to get your playoff tickets.
A real nice 8-2 homestand, the magic number is now 18 on the South shores of Lake Erie.
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Six games up with 23 to go. So far so good, but we can't get cocky. See the following to not get ahead of ourselves:
1964 Phillies lost a 6.5 game lead with 12 to go. They lost 10 straight to end the season.
1969 Cubs had a 9.5 game lead on August 14 and lost it
1978 Red Sox lost a 7.5 game lead in September (Bucky Dent game)
1987 Blue Jays lost a 3.5 game lead with only 7 games left
2007 Mets lost after having a 7 game lead on Sept. 12
2009 Tigers had a 3 game lead with 4 games to go. Lost all 4 games and the title
2011 Braves lost a 9.5 game lead they had on Aug. 29th
2011 Red Sox lost a 9 game lead in September.
Simply a cautionary tale.
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If the 2016 Indians blow this one with their pitching, the schedule, the division they will belong on that list.
They now go on the road to MIN who they finally swept and then the CWS before returning home for another long homestand. It's almost too good to true......but better when the magic number is zero .
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And just when the once best pitching rotation in the AL and maybe MLB looked certain there are a few worries. Now making the playoffs and probably the AL Central is pretty certain the October rotation might not be set yet. Kluber, Carrasco, Bauer set but Salazar suddenly a question and Tomlin a big question mark , maybe just a long bullpen guy.
....The Indians announced that the root of the problem was right forearm tightness for Salazar, who has dealt with arm discomfort multiple times throughout this season. Manager Terry Francona said the pitcher was removed from the game as a precaution and examined by the team's medical staff, but there was no clarity about the extent of the injury.
Francona said Salazar would be re-evaluated on Saturday, adding that the issue did not appear to be structural in nature.
"After the fourth, he came off and he said he was feeling some tightness," Francona said. "So, obviously, we kind of checked him out. It's a little different. It's muscular, which, if it's going to hurt, that's good. We'll certainly keep an eye on him tonight and then when he shows up [saturday], we'll see how he feels and then we'll go from there. That's really all we have right now."
This is the fourth time this year that the All-Star starter has had an arm issue flare.
In early June, the Indians skipped Salazar's turn in the rotation due to shoulder fatigue. Cleveland then held the hard-throwing righty out of the All-Star Game when he indicated that he was feeling mild pain in his right elbow. A poor string of starts led to a stay on the 15-day disabled list from Aug. 2-17 for Salazar, who has made five starts since being activated......
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Oh the magic number, it's easy really......
The formula for the magic number is derived straightforwardly as follows. As before, at some particular point in the season let Team A have WA wins and LA losses. Suppose that at some later time, Team A has wA additional wins and lA additional losses, and define similarly WB, LB, wB, lB for Team B. The total number of wins that Team B needs to make up is thus given by (WA + wA) β (WB + wB). Team A clinches when this number exceeds the number of games Team B has remaining, since at that point Team B cannot make up the deficit even if Team A fails to win any more games. If there are a total of G games in the season, then the number of games remaining for Team B is given by G β (WB + wB + LB + lB). Thus the condition for Team A to clinch is that (WA + wA) β (WB + wB) = 1 + G β (WB + wB + LB + lB). Canceling the common terms, we obtain wA + lB = G + 1 β WA β LB, which establishes the magic number formula.
(or look it up in the morning paper)
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CLE 7-1 final, Kluber brilliant and a Cy Young candidate again now 45-0 with 4+ run support, Detroit lost, life is beautiful. .........depending on Salazar's MRI?
Right now it's Kluber, Carrasco, Bauer, Clevinger, Tomlin. ......subject to change.
Magic number is 14.
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βββ’ Cleveland has spent 100 consecutive days in first place, the team's longest such streak since it spent 179 straight days atop the division in 1999.ββ
βββ’ The Indians have seemingly mastered the stretch run: Over the last four seasons, Cleveland's combined 59-36 record in September and October is the best such record in the AL and second best in the Majors.ββ
ββFirst pair of 30 plus HR hitters since 2002, Thome and Burks.ββ
This season is loaded with all kinds of records and stories and without their best player M. Bradley. Plus currently only TWO wins behind TEX for the best record in the AL.
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You are making it too hard. Just take 163, subtract the number of wins the first place team has, then subtract the number of losses the second place team has.
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Josh Tomlin was yanked from the Indians' starting rotation two weeks ago because of ineffectiveness, but now the 31-year-old right-hander gets another chance with the injury to Danny Salazar.
Tomlin's first assignment, against the White Sox on Wednesday night, will be a challenge, because his mound opponent is the red-hot Carlos Rodon. The Chicago left-hander is 5-0 with a 1.85 ERA in his last seven starts.
Tomlin lasted just 1 2/3 innings in his last start, allowing four runs on seven hits to the Minnesota Twins on Aug. 30. Since then, he's made just one relief appearance, pitching an inning on Sept. 5.
"Hopefully, the time down has, not just physically but mentally, given him a chance to think about things," Cleveland manager Terry Francona said of Tomlin. "He'll be OK, and I'm kind of looking forward to watching him."
Things to know about this game
β’ Rodon's last lost was July 31 at Minnesota. He allowed five runs on eight hits in 6 1/3 innings in that game.
β’ The Indians are the only team in MLB without a losing streak longer than three games this season. The 1918 Indians are the only team in franchise history to go an entire season without a losing streak longer than three games.
β’ Chicago slugger Jose Abreu entered Tuesday batting .403 with five home runs, 19 RBIs and nine multi-hit games in his last 14 games.
John Jackson is a contributor to MLB.com based in Chicago.
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The Tigers and Indians meet in Cleveland this weekend in a pivotal divisional matchup that likely will determine if Detroit has a shot at catching the Tribe for the American League Central title. To do so, the Tigers will have to figure out how to beat the Indians, who won the first 11 games between the rivals this season.
It just so happens that the only Tiger to beat the Indians -- rookie sensation Michael Fulmer (10-6, 2.76 ERA), who allowed one run over six innings vs. the Tribe in July -- gets the start on Friday. He'll face Cy Young Award candidate Cory Kluber (16-9, 3.05).
The Tigers trail the Indians by six games, but have seven games remaining vs. Cleveland. After a three-game set in Cleveland this weekend, the two teams meet for four games in Detroit to open the final week of the season on Sept. 26-29.
The Tigers remain very much in the AL Wild Card hunt, trailing the reeling Blue Jays, who have lost seven of their last 10 games, by just 1 1/2 games for the second Wild Card berth. They are 2 1/2 games behind the Orioles for the top AL Wild Card spot and the right to host the AL Wild Card Game presented by Budweiser on Tuesday, Oct. 4. Toronto is set to face the Angels Thursday night, while the O's are facing the Rays.
The Indians, meanwhile, are not only looking to hold off the Tigers in the Central, but also are trying to catch up to the Red Sox, who have a three-game edge (pending the outcome of their Thursday night game against the Yankees) for home-field advantage in a potential AL Division Series.
"We're definitely not going in [to Cleveland] thinking sweep," Tigers second baseman Ian Kinsler said. "We're going in there thinking about winning Game 1. It's still within reach, considering the games we play against them. But you've heard it a thousand times, it's one game at a time."
Kluber is 4-6 with a 3.94 ERA against the Tigers in his career, but he has a pair of dominant starts against Detroit under his belt this season and is 3-1 with a 2.57 ERA in his last four starts. He allowed one run in eight innings at Detroit in April before throwing a five-hit shutout on May 4.
Three things to know about this game
β’ Miguel Cabrera is three hits shy of becoming the 100th player in Major League history to reach 2,500 in his career. He is batting .205 in the Tigers' 12 games against Cleveland, his lowest mark against any AL Central team this season.
β’ The Tigers are 9-9 since Aug. 27. The starting rotation is 0-8, while the bullpen is 9-1.
β’ The Indians likely won't know until Friday morning when catcher Yan Gomes will be activated. He was hit on the right hand Wednesday night in what was supposed to be his final rehab start for Double-A Akron.
Kyle Beery is a reporter for MLB.com based in Detroit.
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Zombo said:
Fuck the Tigers.
Z
Done
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