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  3. The corrupt media will call states for Clinton early (Florida, PA)

The corrupt media will call states for Clinton early (Florida, PA)

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  • Pumpkin Eater P
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    P Pumpkin Eater wrote on last edited by
    #1

    To discourage Trump voters in Colorado and Arizona from voting.

    :neutral_face:
    jbluhm86J 1 Reply Last reply
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    • Pumpkin Eater P
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      P Pumpkin Eater wrote on last edited by
      #2

      Even though she will end up losing those states

      :neutral_face:
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        bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
        #3

        Sounds plausible.

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        • P Pumpkin Eater

          To discourage Trump voters in Colorado and Arizona from voting.

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          jbluhm86J jbluhm86 wrote on last edited by
          #4

          @pumpkin-eater said:

          To discourage Trump voters in Colorado and Arizona from voting.

          The corrupt media is also calling several states for Trump:

          http://www.270towin.com

          So, what is your point, exactly?

          "That which can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence”. - Christopher Hitchens "The universe is under no obligation to make sense to you". - Neil deGrasse Tyson
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            Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
            #5

            Florida later than PA since part of the panhandle is in the Central time zone.

            Big (legitimate) dust up over that a few years ago.

            "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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            • jbluhm86J jbluhm86

              @pumpkin-eater said:

              To discourage Trump voters in Colorado and Arizona from voting.

              The corrupt media is also calling several states for Trump:

              http://www.270towin.com

              So, what is your point, exactly?

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              bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
              #6

              @jbluhm86 said:

              The corrupt media is also calling several states for Trump:

              http://www.270towin.com

              So, what is your point, exactly?

              It's pretty clear hes talking about on Tuesday while polls are open.

              If they call Florida for Hillary then people in the West would assume the race is over and not vote

              Tour2maT jbluhm86J 2 Replies Last reply
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              • Pumpkin Eater P
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                P Pumpkin Eater wrote on last edited by
                #7

                Yeah that's exactly what I meant.

                :neutral_face:
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                • bbedwardB bbedward

                  @jbluhm86 said:

                  The corrupt media is also calling several states for Trump:

                  http://www.270towin.com

                  So, what is your point, exactly?

                  It's pretty clear hes talking about on Tuesday while polls are open.

                  If they call Florida for Hillary then people in the West would assume the race is over and not vote

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                  Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  @bbedward said:

                  If they call Florida for Hillary then people in the West would assume the race is over and not vote

                  Not very motivated if they do...

                  And it still cuts both ways as HRC voters may relax as much or more than Trump voters are discouraged.

                  Fact is with nearly 70% of the expected Florida vote expected to be early voting, the state may be an early call. But it all depends upon how close the count is and as PE pointed out earlier in my Target thread (and it finally sunk in), 538 does have the state as a toss-up.

                  "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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                  • Westside Steve W Dedicated Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Conversation Starter Week One Done One Year In One Month Later Very Popular
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                    W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    Didn't somebody change some kind of rule so that the news wasn't allowed to report results of states on the East Coast until voting was over? If not, they should.

                    WSS

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                    • jbluhm86J jbluhm86

                      @pumpkin-eater said:

                      To discourage Trump voters in Colorado and Arizona from voting.

                      The corrupt media is also calling several states for Trump:

                      http://www.270towin.com

                      So, what is your point, exactly?

                      StinkHole StinkHoleS One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                      StinkHoleS StinkHole wrote on last edited by StinkHole
                      #10

                      @jbluhm86 said:

                      The corrupt media is also calling several states for Trump:

                      http://www.270towin.com

                      So, what is your point, exactly?

                      Stuart

                      Good question because you missed his point.

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                      • bbedwardB bbedward

                        @jbluhm86 said:

                        The corrupt media is also calling several states for Trump:

                        http://www.270towin.com

                        So, what is your point, exactly?

                        It's pretty clear hes talking about on Tuesday while polls are open.

                        If they call Florida for Hillary then people in the West would assume the race is over and not vote

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                        jbluhm86J jbluhm86 wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        @bbedward said:

                        It's pretty clear hes talking about on Tuesday while polls are open.

                        If they call Florida for Hillary then people in the West would assume the race is over and not vote

                        @pumpkin-eater said:

                        Yeah that's exactly what I meant.

                        My bad, I initially thought you were referring to network polls conducted before the election, like polls in battleground states. But, yeah, I can see your argument there. I think if a battleground state was called for either candidate before polls closed, that could have a negative impact on voter turnout from the opposing candidate's potential voting base. I think that might of happened to John Kerry in Florida in 2004, but i'm not 100% on that.

                        @westside-steve said:

                        Didn't somebody change some kind of rule so that the news wasn't allowed to report results of states on the East Coast until voting was over? If not, they should.

                        WSS

                        I don't think its a law, but more of a gentlemen's agreement between networks to not disclose exit poll data until the polls. Or, at least it was during the last presidential election. But yeah, I agree that there should probably be some sort of law to ban releasing exit poll data until all polls are closed. Some other countries around the world prohibit releasing exit poll results until all polls are closed, and some outright ban exit polling

                        "That which can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence”. - Christopher Hitchens "The universe is under no obligation to make sense to you". - Neil deGrasse Tyson
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                        • W Westside Steve

                          Didn't somebody change some kind of rule so that the news wasn't allowed to report results of states on the East Coast until voting was over? If not, they should.

                          WSS

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                          Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          @westside-steve said:

                          Didn't somebody change some kind of rule so that the news wasn't allowed to report results of states on the East Coast until voting was over? If not, they should.

                          Excellent question...

                          From Florida:

                          Please be aware that while Florida polls close at 7 p.m., Florida has two time zones. Voting will not be completed statewide until 7 p.m. Central / 8 p.m. Eastern, at which time, unofficial preliminary election results will be released.

                          AKA... waitin' on the Panhandle... then begin releasing vote counts...

                          Can't find answer as to when News Orgs begin announcing "and we can now project a winner" of individual states for the National race. But I am sure it is after all the polls in a given state are closed. I think the 2000 klusterfook (to borrow a phrase) included a Florida call before panhandle polls were closed... the first of a few erroneous calls that nite.

                          As for making a national call... not turning up any restrictions, but the most recent hit was from 2008 survey of the networks by the NYT where all seemed good to go as soon as they were "sure"...

                          http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/04/us/politics/04network.html

                          "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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                            bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            If the race is as close as it's been polled I can't see them calling Florida before 10pm anyway

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                            • bbedwardB bbedward

                              If the race is as close as it's been polled I can't see them calling Florida before 10pm anyway

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                              jbluhm86J jbluhm86 wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              @bbedward said:

                              If the race is as close as it's been polled I can't see them calling Florida before 10pm anyway

                              I think if Trump loses Florida, it'll be because of the Hispanic votes

                              "That which can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence”. - Christopher Hitchens "The universe is under no obligation to make sense to you". - Neil deGrasse Tyson
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                              • jbluhm86J jbluhm86

                                @bbedward said:

                                If the race is as close as it's been polled I can't see them calling Florida before 10pm anyway

                                I think if Trump loses Florida, it'll be because of the Hispanic votes

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                                bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
                                #15

                                @jbluhm86 said:

                                I think if Trump loses Florida, it'll be because of the Hispanic votes

                                Lots of Cubans though which isn't exactly the same thing as Mexicans

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                                • bbedwardB bbedward

                                  @jbluhm86 said:

                                  I think if Trump loses Florida, it'll be because of the Hispanic votes

                                  Lots of Cubans though which isn't exactly the same thing as Mexicans

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                                  MLD WoodyM MLD Woody wrote on last edited by
                                  #16

                                  @bbedward said:

                                  Lots of Cubans though which isn't exactly the same thing as Mexicans

                                  I don't think Trump sees a difference. And when it comes to the negative effects of Trump's comments, I don't think it really matters.

                                  Ja.brill Peppers - Cleveland Brown OldBrownsFan, on 02 Jun 2017 - 5:09PM said: "No you are not the work of the devil but you are deceived by the devil." Who's got it better than us? Nooooobody!
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                                  • MLD WoodyM MLD Woody

                                    @bbedward said:

                                    Lots of Cubans though which isn't exactly the same thing as Mexicans

                                    I don't think Trump sees a difference. And when it comes to the negative effects of Trump's comments, I don't think it really matters.

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                                    jrb12711J jrb12711 wrote on last edited by jrb12711
                                    #17

                                    @mld-woody said:

                                    I don't think Trump sees a difference. And when it comes to the negative effects of Trump's comments, I don't think it really matters.

                                    Trust me, I can provide very accurate context on this. There's two types of Cubans-pro Cuba (liberal) and anti-Cuba (republican). Living in South Florida and knowing a lot of Cubans rich and poor this is a VERY mixed bag, In general, more are anti-Cuba (aka republican) believe it or not which is hurting the liberal cause due to Obama. I can speak to this knowing folks fairly known in the SoFlo Cuban community.

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                                    • jrb12711J jrb12711

                                      @mld-woody said:

                                      I don't think Trump sees a difference. And when it comes to the negative effects of Trump's comments, I don't think it really matters.

                                      Trust me, I can provide very accurate context on this. There's two types of Cubans-pro Cuba (liberal) and anti-Cuba (republican). Living in South Florida and knowing a lot of Cubans rich and poor this is a VERY mixed bag, In general, more are anti-Cuba (aka republican) believe it or not which is hurting the liberal cause due to Obama. I can speak to this knowing folks fairly known in the SoFlo Cuban community.

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                                      bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
                                      #18

                                      @jrb12711 said:

                                      Trust me, I can provide very accurate context on this. There's two types of Cubans-pro Cuba (liberal) and anti-Cuba (republican). Living in South Florida and knowing a lot of Cubans rich and poor this is a VERY mixed bag, In general, more are anti-Cuba (aka republican) believe it or not which is hurting the liberal cause due to Obama. I can speak to this knowing folks fairly known in the SoFlo Cuban community.

                                      Not from Florida but I've also heard that Trump has pretty strong Cuban support.

                                      Which is why I've heard the Hispanic vote will likely be more pro-Trump in Florida than in places like Nevada and Arizona.

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                                      • bbedwardB bbedward

                                        @jrb12711 said:

                                        Trust me, I can provide very accurate context on this. There's two types of Cubans-pro Cuba (liberal) and anti-Cuba (republican). Living in South Florida and knowing a lot of Cubans rich and poor this is a VERY mixed bag, In general, more are anti-Cuba (aka republican) believe it or not which is hurting the liberal cause due to Obama. I can speak to this knowing folks fairly known in the SoFlo Cuban community.

                                        Not from Florida but I've also heard that Trump has pretty strong Cuban support.

                                        Which is why I've heard the Hispanic vote will likely be more pro-Trump in Florida than in places like Nevada and Arizona.

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                                        jrb12711J jrb12711 wrote on last edited by
                                        #19

                                        @bbedward said:

                                        Not from Florida but I've also heard that Trump has pretty strong Cuban support.

                                        Which is why I've heard the Hispanic vote will likely be more pro-Trump in Florida than in places like Nevada and Arizona.

                                        Problem is though, Cuban support while strong isn't the whole story. Trump should badly lose every other minority group here which of course is a lot. Outside of Cubans the other strong ethnic groups will definitely not vote Trump.That's why as I've noted I think FL this year will serve as an incredible case study for future elections.

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                                        • Pumpkin Eater P
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                                          P Pumpkin Eater wrote on last edited by
                                          #20

                                          Supposedly Trump is doubling Romney's support amongst blacks.

                                          :neutral_face:
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