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  3. The corrupt media will call states for Clinton early (Florida, PA)

The corrupt media will call states for Clinton early (Florida, PA)

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  • bbedwardB bbedward

    @jbluhm86 said:

    The corrupt media is also calling several states for Trump:

    http://www.270towin.com

    So, what is your point, exactly?

    It's pretty clear hes talking about on Tuesday while polls are open.

    If they call Florida for Hillary then people in the West would assume the race is over and not vote

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    jbluhm86J jbluhm86 wrote on last edited by
    #11

    @bbedward said:

    It's pretty clear hes talking about on Tuesday while polls are open.

    If they call Florida for Hillary then people in the West would assume the race is over and not vote

    @pumpkin-eater said:

    Yeah that's exactly what I meant.

    My bad, I initially thought you were referring to network polls conducted before the election, like polls in battleground states. But, yeah, I can see your argument there. I think if a battleground state was called for either candidate before polls closed, that could have a negative impact on voter turnout from the opposing candidate's potential voting base. I think that might of happened to John Kerry in Florida in 2004, but i'm not 100% on that.

    @westside-steve said:

    Didn't somebody change some kind of rule so that the news wasn't allowed to report results of states on the East Coast until voting was over? If not, they should.

    WSS

    I don't think its a law, but more of a gentlemen's agreement between networks to not disclose exit poll data until the polls. Or, at least it was during the last presidential election. But yeah, I agree that there should probably be some sort of law to ban releasing exit poll data until all polls are closed. Some other countries around the world prohibit releasing exit poll results until all polls are closed, and some outright ban exit polling

    "That which can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence”. - Christopher Hitchens "The universe is under no obligation to make sense to you". - Neil deGrasse Tyson
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    • W Westside Steve

      Didn't somebody change some kind of rule so that the news wasn't allowed to report results of states on the East Coast until voting was over? If not, they should.

      WSS

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      Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
      #12

      @westside-steve said:

      Didn't somebody change some kind of rule so that the news wasn't allowed to report results of states on the East Coast until voting was over? If not, they should.

      Excellent question...

      From Florida:

      Please be aware that while Florida polls close at 7 p.m., Florida has two time zones. Voting will not be completed statewide until 7 p.m. Central / 8 p.m. Eastern, at which time, unofficial preliminary election results will be released.

      AKA... waitin' on the Panhandle... then begin releasing vote counts...

      Can't find answer as to when News Orgs begin announcing "and we can now project a winner" of individual states for the National race. But I am sure it is after all the polls in a given state are closed. I think the 2000 klusterfook (to borrow a phrase) included a Florida call before panhandle polls were closed... the first of a few erroneous calls that nite.

      As for making a national call... not turning up any restrictions, but the most recent hit was from 2008 survey of the networks by the NYT where all seemed good to go as soon as they were "sure"...

      http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/04/us/politics/04network.html

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      • bbedward bbedwardB Conversation Starter Reacting Well Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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        bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
        #13

        If the race is as close as it's been polled I can't see them calling Florida before 10pm anyway

        jbluhm86J 1 Reply Last reply
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        • bbedwardB bbedward

          If the race is as close as it's been polled I can't see them calling Florida before 10pm anyway

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          jbluhm86J jbluhm86 wrote on last edited by
          #14

          @bbedward said:

          If the race is as close as it's been polled I can't see them calling Florida before 10pm anyway

          I think if Trump loses Florida, it'll be because of the Hispanic votes

          "That which can be asserted without evidence can also be dismissed without evidence”. - Christopher Hitchens "The universe is under no obligation to make sense to you". - Neil deGrasse Tyson
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          • jbluhm86J jbluhm86

            @bbedward said:

            If the race is as close as it's been polled I can't see them calling Florida before 10pm anyway

            I think if Trump loses Florida, it'll be because of the Hispanic votes

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            bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
            #15

            @jbluhm86 said:

            I think if Trump loses Florida, it'll be because of the Hispanic votes

            Lots of Cubans though which isn't exactly the same thing as Mexicans

            MLD WoodyM 1 Reply Last reply
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            • bbedwardB bbedward

              @jbluhm86 said:

              I think if Trump loses Florida, it'll be because of the Hispanic votes

              Lots of Cubans though which isn't exactly the same thing as Mexicans

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              MLD WoodyM MLD Woody wrote on last edited by
              #16

              @bbedward said:

              Lots of Cubans though which isn't exactly the same thing as Mexicans

              I don't think Trump sees a difference. And when it comes to the negative effects of Trump's comments, I don't think it really matters.

              Ja.brill Peppers - Cleveland Brown OldBrownsFan, on 02 Jun 2017 - 5:09PM said: "No you are not the work of the devil but you are deceived by the devil." Who's got it better than us? Nooooobody!
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              • MLD WoodyM MLD Woody

                @bbedward said:

                Lots of Cubans though which isn't exactly the same thing as Mexicans

                I don't think Trump sees a difference. And when it comes to the negative effects of Trump's comments, I don't think it really matters.

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                jrb12711J jrb12711 wrote on last edited by jrb12711
                #17

                @mld-woody said:

                I don't think Trump sees a difference. And when it comes to the negative effects of Trump's comments, I don't think it really matters.

                Trust me, I can provide very accurate context on this. There's two types of Cubans-pro Cuba (liberal) and anti-Cuba (republican). Living in South Florida and knowing a lot of Cubans rich and poor this is a VERY mixed bag, In general, more are anti-Cuba (aka republican) believe it or not which is hurting the liberal cause due to Obama. I can speak to this knowing folks fairly known in the SoFlo Cuban community.

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                • jrb12711J jrb12711

                  @mld-woody said:

                  I don't think Trump sees a difference. And when it comes to the negative effects of Trump's comments, I don't think it really matters.

                  Trust me, I can provide very accurate context on this. There's two types of Cubans-pro Cuba (liberal) and anti-Cuba (republican). Living in South Florida and knowing a lot of Cubans rich and poor this is a VERY mixed bag, In general, more are anti-Cuba (aka republican) believe it or not which is hurting the liberal cause due to Obama. I can speak to this knowing folks fairly known in the SoFlo Cuban community.

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                  bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
                  #18

                  @jrb12711 said:

                  Trust me, I can provide very accurate context on this. There's two types of Cubans-pro Cuba (liberal) and anti-Cuba (republican). Living in South Florida and knowing a lot of Cubans rich and poor this is a VERY mixed bag, In general, more are anti-Cuba (aka republican) believe it or not which is hurting the liberal cause due to Obama. I can speak to this knowing folks fairly known in the SoFlo Cuban community.

                  Not from Florida but I've also heard that Trump has pretty strong Cuban support.

                  Which is why I've heard the Hispanic vote will likely be more pro-Trump in Florida than in places like Nevada and Arizona.

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                  • bbedwardB bbedward

                    @jrb12711 said:

                    Trust me, I can provide very accurate context on this. There's two types of Cubans-pro Cuba (liberal) and anti-Cuba (republican). Living in South Florida and knowing a lot of Cubans rich and poor this is a VERY mixed bag, In general, more are anti-Cuba (aka republican) believe it or not which is hurting the liberal cause due to Obama. I can speak to this knowing folks fairly known in the SoFlo Cuban community.

                    Not from Florida but I've also heard that Trump has pretty strong Cuban support.

                    Which is why I've heard the Hispanic vote will likely be more pro-Trump in Florida than in places like Nevada and Arizona.

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                    jrb12711J jrb12711 wrote on last edited by
                    #19

                    @bbedward said:

                    Not from Florida but I've also heard that Trump has pretty strong Cuban support.

                    Which is why I've heard the Hispanic vote will likely be more pro-Trump in Florida than in places like Nevada and Arizona.

                    Problem is though, Cuban support while strong isn't the whole story. Trump should badly lose every other minority group here which of course is a lot. Outside of Cubans the other strong ethnic groups will definitely not vote Trump.That's why as I've noted I think FL this year will serve as an incredible case study for future elections.

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                    • Pumpkin Eater P
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                      P Pumpkin Eater wrote on last edited by
                      #20

                      Supposedly Trump is doubling Romney's support amongst blacks.

                      :neutral_face:
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                      • Tour2maT Tour2ma

                        @westside-steve said:

                        Didn't somebody change some kind of rule so that the news wasn't allowed to report results of states on the East Coast until voting was over? If not, they should.

                        Excellent question...

                        From Florida:

                        Please be aware that while Florida polls close at 7 p.m., Florida has two time zones. Voting will not be completed statewide until 7 p.m. Central / 8 p.m. Eastern, at which time, unofficial preliminary election results will be released.

                        AKA... waitin' on the Panhandle... then begin releasing vote counts...

                        Can't find answer as to when News Orgs begin announcing "and we can now project a winner" of individual states for the National race. But I am sure it is after all the polls in a given state are closed. I think the 2000 klusterfook (to borrow a phrase) included a Florida call before panhandle polls were closed... the first of a few erroneous calls that nite.

                        As for making a national call... not turning up any restrictions, but the most recent hit was from 2008 survey of the networks by the NYT where all seemed good to go as soon as they were "sure"...

                        http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/04/us/politics/04network.html

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                        W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by
                        #21

                        @tour2ma said:

                        Excellent question...

                        From Florida:

                        Please be aware that while Florida polls close at 7 p.m., Florida has two time zones. Voting will not be completed statewide until 7 p.m. Central / 8 p.m. Eastern, at which time, unofficial preliminary election results will be released.

                        AKA... waitin' on the Panhandle... then begin releasing vote counts...

                        Can't find answer as to when News Orgs begin announcing "and we can now project a winner" of individual states for the National race. But I am sure it is after all the polls in a given state are closed. I think the 2000 klusterfook (to borrow a phrase) included a Florida call before panhandle polls were closed... the first of a few erroneous calls that nite.

                        As for making a national call... not turning up any restrictions, but the most recent hit was from 2008 survey of the networks by the NYT where all seemed good to go as soon as they were "sure"...

                        http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/04/us/politics/04network.html

                        Yeah I couldn't find any actual restrictions either. I would assume the news outlets would be loath to give up any means within their power to affect the election.

                        WSS

                        www.westsidesteve.com www.myspace.com/westsidestevemusic www.cdbaby.com/artist/westsidestevesimmons
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                        • OldBrownsFan OldBrownsFanO
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                          OldBrownsFanO OldBrownsFan wrote on last edited by OldBrownsFan
                          #22

                          From Florida:

                          Please be aware that while Florida polls close at 7 p.m., Florida has two time zones. Voting will not be completed statewide until 7 p.m. Central / 8 p.m. Eastern, at which time, unofficial preliminary election results will be released.

                          AKA... waitin' on the Panhandle... then begin releasing vote counts...
                          *****************************************************************************************

                          The big mistake in Florida in 2000 Bush/Gore race was calling the race before all the polls in the largely republican panhandle ....I wonder how many votes that cost Bush suppressing the vote in the panhandle? Certainly the media have learned their lesson by now...and the panhandle will have to come in bigger than ever for Trump to win Florida with the heavy early voting of Latino/Hispanic voters who have already voted early and likely went for Clinton.

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