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Move Over Sashi .....

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  • Also, I'm willing to bet there is little to no meaningful correlation between speed and success for a given position. Obviously if a guy runs a 5 second 40, he's not going to cut it as a receiver, but when you're in the 'acceptable' range of under say 4.6, it's just a box that's been ticked. Same with height, weight, strength etc.

    Does anyone honestly think that a bunch of harvard educated lawyers are basing any analytical decision on unfounded assumptions like 'faster = better'?

  • Also, I'm willing to bet there is little to no meaningful correlation between speed and success for a given position. Obviously if a guy runs a 5 second 40, he's not going to cut it as a receiver, but when you're in the 'acceptable' range of under say 4.6, it's just a box that's been ticked. Same with height, weight, strength etc.

    Does anyone honestly think that a bunch of harvard educated lawyers are basing any analytical decision on unfounded assumptions like 'faster = better'?

    @gftchris said:

    Also, I'm willing to bet there is little to no meaningful correlation between speed and success for a given position. Obviously if a guy runs a 5 second 40, he's not going to cut it as a receiver, but when you're in the 'acceptable' range of under say 4.6, it's just a box that's been ticked. Same with height, weight, strength etc.

    Does anyone honestly think that a bunch of harvard educated lawyers are basing any analytical decision on unfounded assumptions like 'faster = better'?

    Hmmmm, wonder where "hands" fits into the WR equation or in the Browns's case, doesn't fit. 😛

  • @flyingfooldoug said:

    Been doing some more reading on the pros and cons of this whole analytics, money ball stuff. It does seem that all the stats and info paints a great picture of the past. As far as predicting future performance...not so good. I was looking at different articles about the book and stayed away from the film. It's interesting but when you come down to it, picking talent is more about instinct and heart. Sure, speed matters but brains, instincts and heart can be difficult to assign a number to.

    The common misconception is that analytics means a bunch of nerds crunching numbers. That's not the case. There is a such thing as qualitative analytics and it's just as important as quantitative.

    It's more than saying "this guy has 4.5 speed and 16 sacks, which puts him in the 99th percentile". It's about creating a standard for what's important to building a successful team rather than your flavor of the week GM going "meeeeeeh, I like this guy". That's how you end up in our position, with a smorgasbord of differing players from different systems picked by different GM's.

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    The common misconception is that analytics means a bunch of nerds crunching numbers. That's not the case. There is a such thing as qualitative analytics and it's just as important as quantitative.

    It's more than saying "this guy has 4.5 speed and 16 sacks, which puts him in the 99th percentile". It's about creating a standard for what's important to building a successful team rather than your flavor of the week GM going "meeeeeeh, I like this guy". That's how you end up in our position, with a smorgasbord of differing players from different systems picked by different GM's.

    A whole lot is written about how a good ballplayer doesn't have to "look" like a player, but that's baseball and I can agree with that...to a point. I think we need some addition through addition or subtraction. Hue may be a good coach but his talent evaluation seems suspect. Let him focus on his job and add the end all talent guy. Spielman, Kosar, Dixon or somebody that knows firsthand what a real football player is. Analytics whether qualitative or quantitative has holes in it bigger than Rosie.
  • @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    The common misconception is that analytics means a bunch of nerds crunching numbers. That's not the case. There is a such thing as qualitative analytics and it's just as important as quantitative.

    It's more than saying "this guy has 4.5 speed and 16 sacks, which puts him in the 99th percentile". It's about creating a standard for what's important to building a successful team rather than your flavor of the week GM going "meeeeeeh, I like this guy". That's how you end up in our position, with a smorgasbord of differing players from different systems picked by different GM's.

    A whole lot is written about how a good ballplayer doesn't have to "look" like a player, but that's baseball and I can agree with that...to a point. I think we need some addition through addition or subtraction. Hue may be a good coach but his talent evaluation seems suspect. Let him focus on his job and add the end all talent guy. Spielman, Kosar, Dixon or somebody that knows firsthand what a real football player is. Analytics whether qualitative or quantitative has holes in it bigger than Rosie.

    @flyingfooldoug said:

    A whole lot is written about how a good ballplayer doesn't have to "look" like a player, but that's baseball and I can agree with that...to a point. I think we need some addition through addition or subtraction. Hue may be a good coach but his talent evaluation seems suspect. Let him focus on his job and add the end all talent guy. Spielman, Kosar, Dixon or somebody that knows firsthand what a real football player is. Analytics whether qualitative or quantitative has holes in it bigger than Rosie.

    I'd say that analytics has smaller of a hole in it than any one random person's biased talent evaluation, however.

    Berry was a talent evaluator for the Colts since 2012, a team that has been notoriously against "analytics". (What a dumb fucking sentence)

    The scouting team scouts the players and provide reports, Berry digests the information and figures out what pieces may be needed where and who would be the best fit, Sashi and Depo compare that information with their blueprint and determine how to maximize our return, and then we draft.

    I think the system works just fine. I believe Coleman, Pryor, Collins, Ogbah, Nassib and Kessler are great acquisitions. Do you think they're worse than what our previous regimes put together?

  • I'm not for scrapping the whole thing at all. Add a real football guy to the mix. It takes a sniper to get a sniper to put it in simple terms.

  • We have "real football guys"... the whole "have to have played the game" thing is a myth. Yes, some successful GMs are former players of note, but most are not.

    The Browns approach is not "Analytics >> Scouting"... or over scouting... or however you want to state it.

    Our approach is "Analytics + Scouting Consensus" which does not say anything about relative weighting. It only requires agreement.

    I can easily see as many memos flowing from Scouting to Analytics them to quantify "this player" as I can see flowing from Analytics to Scouting to put their eyes on "that player".

  • @the-gipper said:

    Exactly.

    Stole my anticipated reply to your reply...

    So basically you are in favor of replacing a person whose name you do not know, let alone his abilities with a Polian.

    I admit Bill is very knowledgeable. Can you admit you don't know why he was fired from Indy? Or that he once accosted an employee of another organization?

    Do a google...

    Spoiler alert... Bill does not play well with others. Therefore he does not fit in our consensus driven FO. Thus my original post... exactly my original post.

    @tour2ma said:

    Stole my anticipated reply to your reply...

    So basically you are in favor of replacing a person whose name you do not know, let alone his abilities with a Polian.

    I admit Bill is very knowledgeable. Can you admit you don't know why he was fired from Indy? Or that he once accosted an employee of another organization?

    Do a google...

    Spoiler alert... Bill does not play well with others. Therefore he does not fit in our consensus driven FO. Thus my original post... exactly my original post.

    Right. I don't know this mystery man's name. (and I don't think you really do either). But whomever he may be.....he be shit.

    So, asshole, you can tell us who you think it is, or not. I don't care. Whoever the fuck he is fuck him.......he is easily replaceable by something/anything better.

  • @tour2ma said:

    Stole my anticipated reply to your reply...

    So basically you are in favor of replacing a person whose name you do not know, let alone his abilities with a Polian.

    I admit Bill is very knowledgeable. Can you admit you don't know why he was fired from Indy? Or that he once accosted an employee of another organization?

    Do a google...

    Spoiler alert... Bill does not play well with others. Therefore he does not fit in our consensus driven FO. Thus my original post... exactly my original post.

    Right. I don't know this mystery man's name. (and I don't think you really do either). But whomever he may be.....he be shit.

    So, asshole, you can tell us who you think it is, or not. I don't care. Whoever the fuck he is fuck him.......he is easily replaceable by something/anything better.

    @the-gipper said:

    Right. I don't know this mystery man's name. (and I don't think you really do either). But whomever he may be.....he be shit.

    So, asshole, you can tell us who you think it is, or not. I don't care. Whoever the fuck he is fuck him.......he is easily replaceable by something/anything better.

    Well, if you don't trust him to be a good evaluator and you think he's terrible at his job, and the reports are that the Browns love Mitch Trubisky, it stands to reason that you don't believe Mitch Trubisky is a good football player.

    Perfect. Problem solved. We'll just take Myles Garrett instead.

  • I have been clamoring for a bill Pollian to come here and run things.. But , it just doesn't seem like it will ever happen... If we procured someone with half of that kind of football savvy.. We would be in a better place for sure.. But.. I guess I can dream....

  • @the-gipper said:

    Right. I don't know this mystery man's name. (and I don't think you really do either). But whomever he may be.....he be shit.

    So, asshole, you can tell us who you think it is, or not. I don't care. Whoever the fuck he is fuck him.......he is easily replaceable by something/anything better.

    Well, if you don't trust him to be a good evaluator and you think he's terrible at his job, and the reports are that the Browns love Mitch Trubisky, it stands to reason that you don't believe Mitch Trubisky is a good football player.

    Perfect. Problem solved. We'll just take Myles Garrett instead.

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    Well, if you don't trust him to be a good evaluator and you think he's terrible at his job, and the reports are that the Browns love Mitch Trubisky, it stands to reason that you don't believe Mitch Trubisky is a good football player.

    No, it doesn't. That is illogical. I am nothing but logical. I am not trusting "his"...whoever the fuck "he" is.. evaluation of Trubisky. I am trusting my own and the fact that the Browns know they need a QB.

    Perfect. Problem solved. We'll just take Myles Garrett instead.

  • @tour2ma said:

    Stole my anticipated reply to your reply...

    So basically you are in favor of replacing a person whose name you do not know, let alone his abilities with a Polian.

    I admit Bill is very knowledgeable. Can you admit you don't know why he was fired from Indy? Or that he once accosted an employee of another organization?

    Do a google...

    Spoiler alert... Bill does not play well with others. Therefore he does not fit in our consensus driven FO. Thus my original post... exactly my original post.

    Right. I don't know this mystery man's name. (and I don't think you really do either). But whomever he may be.....he be shit.

    So, asshole, you can tell us who you think it is, or not. I don't care. Whoever the fuck he is fuck him.......he is easily replaceable by something/anything better.

    @the-gipper said:

    Right. I don't know this mystery man's name. (and I don't think you really do either). But whomever he may be.....he be shit.

    So, asshole, you can tell us who you think it is, or not. I don't care. Whoever the fuck he is fuck him.......he is easily replaceable by something/anything better.

    Temper, temper, Gip...

    Didn't do the search did you? If you had, you'd know I don't think it is "one guy". The search term was a clue.

  • I have been clamoring for a bill Pollian to come here and run things.. But , it just doesn't seem like it will ever happen... If we procured someone with half of that kind of football savvy.. We would be in a better place for sure.. But.. I guess I can dream....

    @nickers said:

    I have been clamoring for a bill Pollian to come here and run things.. But , it just doesn't seem like it will ever happen... If we procured someone with half of that kind of football savvy.. We would be in a better place for sure.. But.. I guess I can dream....

    I don't know that we need a Polian to run things....but I think we need one to consult on things.

  • @the-gipper said:

    Right. I don't know this mystery man's name. (and I don't think you really do either). But whomever he may be.....he be shit.

    So, asshole, you can tell us who you think it is, or not. I don't care. Whoever the fuck he is fuck him.......he is easily replaceable by something/anything better.

    Temper, temper, Gip...

    Didn't do the search did you? If you had, you'd know I don't think it is "one guy". The search term was a clue.

    @tour2ma said:

    Temper, temper, Gip...

    Didn't do the search did you? If you had, you'd know I don't think it is "one guy". The search term was a clue.

    No, and I never will. Just fucking say it or shut the fuck up. In case you hadn't see the thread in the Barber Shop you should know that I am not feeling well enough to play stupid games at this point.

  • Never have been in the Barber Shop... at least I don't think I have.

    Sorry you're ill...

    Get better... so I can ride your ass again...

  • @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    Well, if you don't trust him to be a good evaluator and you think he's terrible at his job, and the reports are that the Browns love Mitch Trubisky, it stands to reason that you don't believe Mitch Trubisky is a good football player.

    No, it doesn't. That is illogical. I am nothing but logical. I am not trusting "his"...whoever the fuck "he" is.. evaluation of Trubisky. I am trusting my own and the fact that the Browns know they need a QB.

    Perfect. Problem solved. We'll just take Myles Garrett instead.

    @the-gipper said:

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    Well, if you don't trust him to be a good evaluator and you think he's terrible at his job, and the reports are that the Browns love Mitch Trubisky, it stands to reason that you don't believe Mitch Trubisky is a good football player.

    No, it doesn't. That is illogical. I am nothing but logical. I am not trusting "his"...whoever the fuck "he" is.. evaluation of Trubisky. I am trusting my own and the fact that the Browns know they need a QB.

    Perfect. Problem solved. We'll just take Myles Garrett instead.

    So you're saying that you have the same evaluation of talent of Trubisky that the Browns have?

    But I thought the Browns talent evaluation was terrible? So either Trubisky is bad, you're bad, or the Browns know what they're doing.

  • I saw that coming...

  • @the-gipper said:

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    Well, if you don't trust him to be a good evaluator and you think he's terrible at his job, and the reports are that the Browns love Mitch Trubisky, it stands to reason that you don't believe Mitch Trubisky is a good football player.

    No, it doesn't. That is illogical. I am nothing but logical. I am not trusting "his"...whoever the fuck "he" is.. evaluation of Trubisky. I am trusting my own and the fact that the Browns know they need a QB.

    Perfect. Problem solved. We'll just take Myles Garrett instead.

    So you're saying that you have the same evaluation of talent of Trubisky that the Browns have?

    But I thought the Browns talent evaluation was terrible? So either Trubisky is bad, you're bad, or the Browns know what they're doing.

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    So you're saying that you have the same evaluation of talent of Trubisky that the Browns have?

    No. That is not what I am saying. I am saying that the Browns should have the same evaluation of his talent that I do. that they should recognize that they need a QB. That they should recognize that he is likely the prospect they should be "honing in" on.

    But I thought the Browns talent evaluation was terrible? So either Trubisky is bad, you're bad, or the Browns know what they're doing.

    Or Trubuski is good, I am good, and they are smart enough to follow along. Which hopefully they are.

  • @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    So you're saying that you have the same evaluation of talent of Trubisky that the Browns have?

    No. That is not what I am saying. I am saying that the Browns should have the same evaluation of his talent that I do. that they should recognize that they need a QB. That they should recognize that he is likely the prospect they should be "honing in" on.

    But I thought the Browns talent evaluation was terrible? So either Trubisky is bad, you're bad, or the Browns know what they're doing.

    Or Trubuski is good, I am good, and they are smart enough to follow along. Which hopefully they are.

    @the-gipper said:

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    So you're saying that you have the same evaluation of talent of Trubisky that the Browns have?

    No. That is not what I am saying. I am saying that the Browns should have the same evaluation of his talent that I do. that they should recognize that they need a QB. That they should recognize that he is likely the prospect they should be "honing in" on.

    But I thought the Browns talent evaluation was terrible? So either Trubisky is bad, you're bad, or the Browns know what they're doing.

    Or Trubuski is good, I am good, and they are smart enough to follow along. Which hopefully they are.

    So you had your own evaluation of Trubisky before the Browns ever did?

  • @the-gipper said:

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    So you're saying that you have the same evaluation of talent of Trubisky that the Browns have?

    No. That is not what I am saying. I am saying that the Browns should have the same evaluation of his talent that I do. that they should recognize that they need a QB. That they should recognize that he is likely the prospect they should be "honing in" on.

    But I thought the Browns talent evaluation was terrible? So either Trubisky is bad, you're bad, or the Browns know what they're doing.

    Or Trubuski is good, I am good, and they are smart enough to follow along. Which hopefully they are.

    So you had your own evaluation of Trubisky before the Browns ever did?

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    So you had your own evaluation of Trubisky before the Browns ever did?

    No, that is not what I said. Are you being purposely obtuse, or is this just the way of you?

    I mean, now that Trump has been elected is it en vogue to be thick headed? (lets see the reaction that gets)

  • @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    So you had your own evaluation of Trubisky before the Browns ever did?

    No, that is not what I said. Are you being purposely obtuse, or is this just the way of you?

    I mean, now that Trump has been elected is it en vogue to be thick headed? (lets see the reaction that gets)

    @the-gipper said:

    No, that is not what I said. Are you being purposely obtuse, or is this just the way of you?

    I mean, now that Trump has been elected is it en vogue to be thick headed? (lets see the reaction that gets)

    "Or Trubuski is good, I am good, and they are smart enough to follow along."

    Curious verbiage there for someone who isn't claiming they were the first to do something.