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Not so fast on the NFL qb draft train for next year

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  • @calfoxwc said:

    https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2018-nfl-draft-qb-stock-watch-a-rough-saturday-for-rudolph-darnold-rosen/

    https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2018-nfl-draft-qb-stock-watch-its-time-to-jump-on-the-ryan-finley-hype-train/

    I really like Clayton Thorson, qb, Northwestern. But Ryan Finley is even better.  I'm not impressed with Darnold and Rosen, etc.

    What I would look for in a qb, is like Wentz... Let other goofs spar over Rosen and Darnold... and the other high rated qb's.

    I would pick Thorson (second round?) or Finley (mid/late first round), in the first round. Finley could very well be rated Wentz high, if he really keeps on impressing in school the rest of the year.

    Wentz was a high rated QB...

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    Wentz was a high rated QB...

    yes, he was. You misunderstood what I was saying.

    BTW, He was generally figured to go in the mid first round, but went up the charts

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carson_Wentz

    "In February 2016, most analysts had Wentz projected to be selected in the mid-first round of the draft.[18][19][20] However, Wentz began to be regarded as a Top 10 prospect after his pro day. "

  • Sorry Tour, somehow I lost that post about Thorson. I'll start over.

    http://www.espn.com/nfl/draft2018/insider/story/_/id/19351953/mel-kiper-way-too-early-2018-nfl-draft-rankings-top-prospects-every-position

    He's  listed in the top five underclassmen by Kiper. Trevor Siemian was his predecessor at Northwestern, and he is starting

    for the Broncos ahead of Lynch  and Osweiller. Thorson has a stronger arm, and his accuracy is outstanding... will have a stronger

    legacy left behind that Siemian...is very, very smart... He is also mobile and can really take off. He has the size, the moxie,

    the character, he plays like he loves the game. I haven't seen Josh Allen, but I can imagine him being picked over Rosen and Darnold

    no question in my mind about it. I like Thorson for his excellent improvement over last year, and his accuracy is outstanding, where Allen's is not on the same level... Thorson's  mental development really

    took off, ... from a year ago.

          Me, if I were drafting, I'd have Thorson, Finley and Allen as the three qb's who would fit what I was looking for. I don't care about

    all the stats all that much - stats reflect a lot of factors - like scheme, and the talent or lack of talent around him, what

    competition he faces .... If Finley is still at 186 lbs, that is going to be a bit tough on him I think. If I were picking a qb with

    the #1 overall pick, it would be Allen. Or, I would be happy with Barkely and picking Thorson a bit later. But it's way early,

    like we saw with Wentz climbing everybody's charts his senior year. Thorson may stay in school. But if he comes out to the draft..

    if I could get him in the second round, I'd laugh all the way to the bank.

    https://www.insidenu.com/2017/5/1/15492432/clayton-thorson-2018-nfl-draft-quarterback-prospect-mitchell-trubisky-browns-pat-fitzgerald

    "He’s grown tremendously since his freshman season, and if Thorson can continue to develop, it may well be be the second consecutive year a WildDawg opts for the NFL early. Thorson has the size, athleticism, and intangibles to be an early selection in 2018. With an improvement on last year’s promising season, the Wheaton native could be among the first 32 selections. Even if Thorson has a similar year to 2016, he could hear his name called on the first two days of the NFL Draft.

    Back in November, ESPN’s Mel Kiper had Thorson on his list of Top 10 quarterback prospects for the 2017 draft, which went relatively unnoticed. Thorson will very likely be on Kiper’s list for 2018. It will be a good year for quarterbacks, possibly headlined by Sam Darnold and Josh Rosen from the Pac-12, Heisman winner Lamar Jackson, and Wyoming’s Josh Allen. With a strong junior year, Thorson may find himself on that list as well."

    @calfoxwc said:

    Sorry Tour, somehow I lost that post about Thorson. I'll start over.

    Thanks, cal...

    IIRC you put like a Round 5 grade on Thorson. I can agree with a Day 3-ish grade, but need to see better movement to go as high as R5... something Siemian has... something as I wrote above I've not seen in Thorson... yet.

    Haven't seen Allen or Finley as yet, but the latter is popping up in a lot of top 20 stat categories... as is my super secret sleeper... face-with-finger-covering-closed-lips_1f

  • @calfoxwc said:

    Sorry Tour, somehow I lost that post about Thorson. I'll start over.

    Thanks, cal...

    IIRC you put like a Round 5 grade on Thorson. I can agree with a Day 3-ish grade, but need to see better movement to go as high as R5... something Siemian has... something as I wrote above I've not seen in Thorson... yet.

    Haven't seen Allen or Finley as yet, but the latter is popping up in a lot of top 20 stat categories... as is my super secret sleeper... face-with-finger-covering-closed-lips_1f

    @tour2ma said:

    Haven't seen Finley as yet, but the latter is popping up in a lot of top 20 stat categories... as is my super secret sleeper... 

    Enjoy watching the 25th ranked OL in the country at NC State.nicknamed "The Band of Brothers".I'd rank them much higher..Got a good look last week at Pitt what would happen to Finley if a team took his running game away? Finley passed that test too..So many here in NC compare Finley to Glennon? Am seeing much better in Finley than Glennon..

  • @calfoxwc said:

    Not playing for penn st he didn't. in 2017, Ohio State had the #8 offensive line in college football.

    The Penn state offensive line was 27th on the list. Their stats aren't going to be the same - not any kind of comparison

    to their respective skill levels as rb's that I would go with.

    https://athlonsports.com/college-football/college-footballs-top-50-offensive-lines-2017

    27’s still plenty solid. 

    @jrb12711 said:

    If you don't understand the hype about Barkley you've haven't watched the dude play. I'd make a logical argument he's a better prospect than Ezekial Elliott and Lenoard Fournette. I'm not saying the dude is right for the Browns, but he's a beast.

    Then it should show up in the stats. 

    @harry-buffalo said:

    How many bad games did Fournette have last year?

    Everyone came off the Fournette hype throughout the year last year though. And I don’t recall anyone saying he should go 1 overall. 

    Also, despite having a terrible year he still had a slightly higher ypc than does Barkley so far. And he had 1,900 yards as a sophomore. And the only really bad games he had as a junior were Florida and Alabama and he was hurt much of the year. I’d love to see Barkley play the SEC’s division champions....

    @wargograw said:

    27’s still plenty solid. 

    Then it should show up in the stats. 

    Everyone came off the Fournette hype throughout the year last year though. And I don’t recall anyone saying he should go 1 overall. 

    Also, despite having a terrible year he still had a slightly higher ypc than does Barkley so far. And he had 1,900 yards as a sophomore. And the only really bad games he had as a junior were Florida and Alabama and he was hurt much of the year. I’d love to see Barkley play the SEC’s division champions....

    If only he was already having a dominant game against a great college defense!

    .........

    Edit: Lol

  • Yet again, sans his long of 69, he threw up under 3 ypc. 

    So so are we just gonna count on him busting 50+ yard runs routinely in the NFL to have a respectable average? 

  • Only saw the start of the game as I had a "do" to attend last evening (did record the game, but fell asleep "watching" it later)... anyway...

    Saw a lot of great scheming by PSU for Barkley including that long TD run to open his night... thought he was going to stumble and fall twice during it... but "generational RB" did not leap off the screen at any point of what I saw.

    Still have the recording tho, so can dive in again... better rested. IF there's any play or plays on which I need to focus... let me know.

    Did see a couple other PSUers that impressed me... on D... Love #40's Singletary-like eyes at LB and then there was a pretty stout DE whose number escapes me ATM...

  • Only saw the start of the game as I had a "do" to attend last evening (did record the game, but fell asleep "watching" it later)... anyway...

    Saw a lot of great scheming by PSU for Barkley including that long TD run to open his night... thought he was going to stumble and fall twice during it... but "generational RB" did not leap off the screen at any point of what I saw.

    Still have the recording tho, so can dive in again... better rested. IF there's any play or plays on which I need to focus... let me know.

    Did see a couple other PSUers that impressed me... on D... Love #40's Singletary-like eyes at LB and then there was a pretty stout DE whose number escapes me ATM...

    @tour2ma said:

    Only saw the start of the game as I had a "do" to attend last evening (did record the game, but fell asleep "watching" it later)... anyway...

    Saw a lot of great scheming by PSU for Barkley including that long TD run to open his night... thought he was going to stumble and fall twice during it... but "generational RB" did not leap off the screen at any point of what I saw.

    Still have the recording tho, so can dive in again... better rested. IF there's any play or plays on which I need to focus... let me know.

    Did see a couple other PSUers that impressed me... on D... Love #40's Singletary-like eyes at LB and then there was a pretty stout DE whose number escapes me ATM...

    Just gonna bump this for you. 

  • @tour2ma said:

    Only saw the start of the game as I had a "do" to attend last evening (did record the game, but fell asleep "watching" it later)... anyway...

    Saw a lot of great scheming by PSU for Barkley including that long TD run to open his night... thought he was going to stumble and fall twice during it... but "generational RB" did not leap off the screen at any point of what I saw.

    Still have the recording tho, so can dive in again... better rested. IF there's any play or plays on which I need to focus... let me know.

    Did see a couple other PSUers that impressed me... on D... Love #40's Singletary-like eyes at LB and then there was a pretty stout DE whose number escapes me ATM...

    Just gonna bump this for you. 

    @wargograw said:

    Just gonna bump this for you. 

    When the Shmuck did I ever say he was a generational talent? What I said and will continue to say is he's a top RB prospect on the same scale of Elliot or fournette. To say "well take away big plays and he's average" sounds so stupid. That's what you draft a guy like that for. He was the best player on the field and it shows.

    The funny part is I don't even want the dude that's badly. 

  • Yet again, sans his long of 69, he threw up under 3 ypc. 

    So so are we just gonna count on him busting 50+ yard runs routinely in the NFL to have a respectable average? 

    @wargograw said:

    Yet again, sans his long of 69, he threw up under 3 ypc. 

    So so are we just gonna count on him busting 50+ yard runs routinely in the NFL to have a respectable average? 

    not a positive or negative comment on barkley(I have no opinion), but this is a ridiculous way of looking at things.....also, NO nfl running back can consistently grind out 4 yards a carry in the absence of big runs.  It's just not possible.  So if you are going to draft a running back in the first round you may as well take one who can bust huge runs because there isn't anyone who can consistently average 4+ yards per carry outside of those big runs.

  • Saquons one of the best rb's ive seen in college in awile. Not sure he blocka as good as zeke but as far as running goes, saquons better than zeke

  • So how is our UCLA boy doing since he lasered A&M apart in a 34 point deficit 20 min clock comeback?

  • At this point of the college season, the only guy I'd be interested taking in the first round at QB would POSSIBLY be Lamar Jackson.  I think he needs at least one more year of college ball, but I doubt he stays.  Lamar throws a gorgeous, looping "drop it in the bucket" deep ball, and appears to be pretty accurate on other passes as well.  He's not perfect, and definitely needs a ton of refinement, but Lamar's physical skills make him so tempting that a team will certainly draft him high in 2018.  

    I don't know if he can stay healthy with his style, and I don't know if he can truly "read a defense", but the guy is terrifying for opposing defenses.  ESPECIALLY in the red zone.

  • @wargograw said:

    Just gonna bump this for you. 

    When the Shmuck did I ever say he was a generational talent? What I said and will continue to say is he's a top RB prospect on the same scale of Elliot or fournette. To say "well take away big plays and he's average" sounds so stupid. That's what you draft a guy like that for. He was the best player on the field and it shows.

    The funny part is I don't even want the dude that's badly. 

    Jackson is getting harder to ignore... something I prefer to do with heavily run-oriented, Collegiate QBs. Something the NFL trend is making harder to do.

    Thought he was too small (or slight) in previous seasons, but he's now 6'3 213, so the kid is built to run and runs pretty smart. That said he has coughed up 19 fumbles losing 11 of them. Not all may be on the run, however. Some are likely pocket strips.

    Passing... looks much more comfortable in the pocket this season and, as you said, is making some gorgeous throws.

    @jrb12711 said:

    When the Shmuck did I ever say he was a generational talent? What I said and will continue to say is he's a top RB prospect on the same scale of Elliot or fournette. To say "well take away big plays and he's average" sounds so stupid. That's what you draft a guy like that for. He was the best player on the field and it shows.

    When did I say you said? 😉 It's a characterization I've heard by a talking head or four.

    As for excluding plays... Some "big plays" are more attributable to an individual effort than others. Some are just the right call vs. the right D and well executed by the "team". Barkley's opening TD simply falls into the latter category... IMO. So IMO it's fair to discount it... not completely, but heavily... since all he really did in that instance was "run fast in a straight line and not fall down."

    Have to add that the "not fall down" part looked to be strangely iffy in at least two strides of that "fast run".

    @texasag1969 said:

    So how is our UCLA boy doing since he lasered A&M apart in a 34 point deficit 20 min clock comeback?

    Carrying a heavy load... but knees only buckled once so far. UCLA's run-D is virtually non-existent.

      Passing Rushing
    Rk Date School   Opponent   Cmp Att Pct Yds TD Int Rate Att Yds Avg TD
      7 Games         200 315 63.5 2620 19 8 148.2 30 -23 -0.8 1
    1 2017-09-03 UCLA   Texas A&M W 35 59 59.3 491 4 0 151.6 5 -14 -2.8 0
    2 2017-09-09 UCLA   Hawaii W 22 25 88.0 329 5 0 264.5 2 -17 -8.5 0
    3 2017-09-16 UCLA @ Memphis L 34 56 60.7 463 4 2 146.6 7 32 4.6 1
    4 2017-09-23 UCLA @ Stanford L 40 60 66.7 480 3 2 143.7 3 15 5.0 0
    5 2017-09-30 UCLA   Colorado W 28 45 62.2 372 1 1 134.6 5 7 1.4 0
    6 2017-10-14 UCLA @ Arizona L 20 34 58.8 219 0 3 95.3 6 -35 -5.8 0
    7 2017-10-21 UCLA   Oregon W 21 36 58.3 266 2 0 138.7 2 -11 -5.5 0
        Passing Rushing Total Offense First Downs Penalties Turnovers
    Split G Cmp Att Pct Yds TD Att Yds Avg TD Plays Yds Avg Pass Rush Pen Tot No. Yds Fum Int Tot
    Offense 7 28.9 45.6 63.3 380.6 2.7 30.1 129.6 4.3 2.1 75.7 510.1 6.7 16.9 7.9 2.0 26.7 9.0 86.0 1.0 1.1 2.1
    Defense 7 15.1 28.3 53.5 190.6 1.7 49.7 303.4 6.1 2.6 78.0 494.0 6.3 8.4 11.7 4.4 24.6 8.0 70.7 0.4 0.6 1.0
    Difference   +13.8 +17.3 +9.8 +190.0 +1.0 -19.6 -173.8 -1.8 -0.5 -2.3 +16.1 +0.4 +8.5 -3.8 -2.4 +2.1 +1.0 +15.3 +0.6 +0.5 +1.1

    @gumby73 said:

    Such posting of College players may fit into the College Football Forum?

    True, but traffic is much lighter in that section... so for big topics such as QBs, this section seems appropriate.

  • I had an inkling of it before, and now I still think that it is highly possible/probable that Rosen may be the best QB coming out next year....despite some naysaying about him personally.

  • @wargograw said:

    Just gonna bump this for you. 

    When the Shmuck did I ever say he was a generational talent? What I said and will continue to say is he's a top RB prospect on the same scale of Elliot or fournette. To say "well take away big plays and he's average" sounds so stupid. That's what you draft a guy like that for. He was the best player on the field and it shows.

    The funny part is I don't even want the dude that's badly. 

    @jrb12711 said:

    When the Shmuck did I ever say he was a generational talent? What I said and will continue to say is he's a top RB prospect on the same scale of Elliot or fournette. To say "well take away big plays and he's average" sounds so stupid. That's what you draft a guy like that for. He was the best player on the field and it shows.

    The funny part is I don't even want the dude that's badly. 

    So again, we’re going to count on him busting stuff for 50+ yards regularly in the NFL? Not gonna happen. 

    @tacosman said:

    not a positive or negative comment on barkley(I have no opinion), but this is a ridiculous way of looking at things.....also, NO nfl running back can consistently grind out 4 yards a carry in the absence of big runs.  It's just not possible.  So if you are going to draft a running back in the first round you may as well take one who can bust huge runs because there isn't anyone who can consistently average 4+ yards per carry outside of those big runs.

    I’m aware you have to count on some bigger runs, but in the NFL, most of those are 15-20 yards, not 75. And you have a lot more negative runs. 

    Barkley is an elite pass catching back. But he is, at least statistically, absolutely nothing to write home about as a runner. 

    @clevfan4life said:

    Saquons one of the best rb's ive seen in college in awile. Not sure he blocka as good as zeke but as far as running goes, saquons better than zeke

    No he’s not. No chance. Certainly a better pass catcher though. 

  • Well Sat. night USC and Wyoming are on ESPN channels. Wy vs NM ESPNU @ 730 est and USC vs AzSt ESPN 1030 est

  • Well Sat. night USC and Wyoming are on ESPN channels. Wy vs NM ESPNU @ 730 est and USC vs AzSt ESPN 1030 est

    @texasag1969 said:

    Well Sat. night USC and Wyoming are on ESPN channels. Wy vs NM ESPNU @ 730 est and USC vs AzSt ESPN 1030 est

    oh, I'm watching that. GREAT !

  • @texasag1969 said:

    Well Sat. night USC and Wyoming are on ESPN channels. Wy vs NM ESPNU @ 730 est and USC vs AzSt ESPN 1030 est

    oh, I'm watching that. GREAT !

    @calfoxwc said:

    oh, I'm watching that. GREAT !

    I will record the latter for later.😁

  • For those of you who haven't seen Darnold, I'm curious of what you guys think of his arm mechanics. Kind of 'Rivers like' in its awkwardness, but the end results are usually good.

    I've seen every snap of the kid and still don't know............... 

  • For those of you who haven't seen Darnold, I'm curious of what you guys think of his arm mechanics. Kind of 'Rivers like' in its awkwardness, but the end results are usually good.

    I've seen every snap of the kid and still don't know............... 

    @d-bone said:

    For those of you who haven't seen Darnold, I'm curious of what you guys think of his arm mechanics. Kind of 'Rivers like' in its awkwardness, but the end results are usually good.

    I've seen every snap of the kid and still don't know............... 

    I was totally sold on him after watching the Rose Bowl last year.   Dude was awesome and so calm and confident.   This year has been pretty shaky but I haven't watched the games that closely, just the highlights.

    But it sounds like he's staying in  school anyways.