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BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over..

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  • So you're saying.... there's a chance!!!

  • So you're saying.... there's a chance!!!

    @tour2ma said:

    So you're saying.... there's a chance!!!

    Tour the eternal optimist.   Yes there actually are two slim and none and slim just left town.

  • @tour2ma said:

    So you're saying.... there's a chance!!!

    Tour the eternal optimist.   Yes there actually are two slim and none and slim just left town.

    @mjp28 said:

    Tour the eternal optimist.   Yes there actually are two slim and none and slim just left town.

    In thinking this over for days on end the BROWNS meager 5% mathematical chance to make the playoff might be slightly enhanced by their somewhat easy schedule.

    In any case we get to watch one week at a time and find out.  The Cinci game should take them to 6-7 with three games to go. 

  • Exactly . They should be 6-7 after Cincinnati and 7-7 after cardinals.

    Then comes the Baltimore game. Win and we are 8-7. 

    Beat cinci again 9-7 

    Realistically we will go 8-8 but Pittsburgh and Tennessee have some tough games.

    Pittsburgh can easily go 2-2 or 1-3 in thier final 4 games bringing them to 8-8 or 9-7

    Titans have Texans,  Texans, raiders, saints. They just might drop all 4

    Colts are 6-6 and probably be 8-8

    With the tough road the stealers and titans have ....shockingly the browns could go 8-8 and get in. 

    If they go 9-7 I think they get in. My gut tells me Tennessee , indi, Oakland and Steelers are all gonna go 8-8

  • @mjp28 said:

    Tour the eternal optimist.   Yes there actually are two slim and none and slim just left town.

    In thinking this over for days on end the BROWNS meager 5% mathematical chance to make the playoff might be slightly enhanced by their somewhat easy schedule.

    In any case we get to watch one week at a time and find out.  The Cinci game should take them to 6-7 with three games to go. 

    @mjp28 said:

    In thinking this over for days on end the BROWNS meager 5% mathematical chance to make the playoff might be slightly enhanced by their somewhat easy schedule.

    In any case we get to watch one week at a time and find out.  The Cinci game should take them to 6-7 with three games to go. 

    Well the instructions to the BROWNS keep swimming and don't look back.  Mathematically even going 6-7 has barely helped their odds at 5.5% of getting the last playoff spot without a lot of 8-5 teams falling apart at just the right time.  HOWEVER going to 7-7 and then beating Baltimore (a 7 point favorite now) will help the cause.

    GO BROWNS, just win baby.....and don't look back !

    AFC North

    Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
    BAL 11-2 47.2% 13.5 95.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 99.9% 98.8% 0.1% 100.0% 0.0%
    PIT 8-5 3.8% 9.2 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 30.3% 29.7% 0.1% 0.1% 60.0% 60.1% 19.6%
    CLE 6-7 0.0% 7.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 5.5% 0.7%
    CIN 1-12 -17.2%

    2.3

    AFC East

    Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
    NE 10-3 28.7% 12.3 3.1% 71.3% 19.1% 1.7% 4.7% 0.0% 95.2% 74.4% 4.8% 100.0% -0.0%
    BUF 9-4 8.6% 10.5 0.0% 2.6% 2.1% 0.1% 62.8% 26.2% 4.8% 2.6% 89.0% 93.8% 0.4%
    MIA 3-10 -27.8% 4.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
    NYJ 5-8 -13.1% 5.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

    AFC South

    Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
    TEN 8-5 16.4% 9.8 0.0% 0.7% 20.1% 33.8% 0.4% 15.2% 54.6% 0.7% 15.6% 70.2% 17.8%
    HOU 8-5 -6.3% 9.1 0.0% 0.4% 9.1% 34.1% 1.3% 21.6% 43.6% 0.4% 22.9% 66.5% -21.2%
    IND 6-7 5.9% 7.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 1.8% 0.0% 0.8% 1.9% 0.0% 0.8% 2.7% -8.4%
    JAX 4-9 -27.2% 5.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1%
  • Well here are the odds whether it's Star Wars or the AFCN when you're a 100/1 shot or a 1.1% of winning or doing anything you're basically screwed !

    So much for our lovable Brownies and their 2019 playoff aspirations.  Well at least Pittsburgh lost last week also !   Better luck next year.

    AFC North

    Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
    BAL 12-2 44.6% 13.5 95.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.3% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
    PIT 8-6 1.7% 8.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 38.2% 0.0% 0.0% 38.2% 38.2% -21.9%
    CLE 6-8 -7.0% 6.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1.1% -4.3%
    CIN 1-13 -15.4% 2.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
  • The two main points.....

    The AFC Wild Card is expected to be very weak, but this will be very difficult.

    It is far more likely that the Browns miss out, and enter 2020 with a new head coach and real pressure to capitalize on the talent on the roster, but not all is lost quite yet in 2019.  😳

  • Well our beloved BROWNS now officially join Cincinnati in the 0% chance club and better luck next year.

    The only thing still alive in the AFCN is due to their choke job last week with Pittsburgh losing to Buffalo is will they also be home for the playoffs.

    Oh well try again next year !

    AFC North

    Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
    BAL 13-2 49.4% 13.7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
    PIT 8-7 -4.2% 8.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 29.3% -8.9%
    CLE 6-9 -12.9% 6.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.1%
    CIN 1-14 -16.2% 1.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
  • Well our beloved BROWNS now officially join Cincinnati in the 0% chance club and better luck next year.

    The only thing still alive in the AFCN is due to their choke job last week with Pittsburgh losing to Buffalo is will they also be home for the playoffs.

    Oh well try again next year !

    AFC North

    Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
    BAL 13-2 49.4% 13.7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
    PIT 8-7 -4.2% 8.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 29.3% -8.9%
    CLE 6-9 -12.9% 6.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.1%
    CIN 1-14 -16.2% 1.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

    @mjp28 said:

    Well our beloved BROWNS now officially join Cincinnati in the 0% chance club and better luck next year.

    The only thing still alive in the AFCN is due to their choke job last week with Pittsburgh losing to Buffalo is will they also be home for the playoffs.

    Oh well try again next year !

    AFC North

    Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
    BAL 13-2 49.4% 13.7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
    PIT 8-7 -4.2% 8.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 29.3% -8.9%
    CLE 6-9 -12.9% 6.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.1%
    CIN 1-14 -16.2% 1.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

    NSS

  • Hard to believe that the high point of the BROWNS 2019 was in Week 4 when they were .500, what a disappointing season.

    Well this analytics approach seems to be working.  They now have a better chance of winning the division (43.4%) and making the playoffs (56.1%) than Baltimore.

    What a difference a big win makes!

    AFC North....after the win at Baltimore

    Team W-L DAVE Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
    BAL 2-2 10.8% 8.9 2.2% 6.5% 15.5% 15.0% 6.5% 7.4% 39.2% 8.7% 13.9% 53.1% -24.5%
    CLE 2-2 2.9% 8.8 2.1% 6.6% 15.0% 19.7% 5.3% 7.3% 43.4% 8.7% 12.7% 56.1% 21.9%
    PIT 1-3 -3.4% 7.3 0.2% 2.0% 6.1% 8.4% 3.6% 5.8% 16.6% 2.1% 9.3% 25.9% 15.3%
    CIN 0-4 -28.9% 4.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.5% 1.2% -3.3%
  • Well our beloved BROWNS now officially join Cincinnati in the 0% chance club and better luck next year.

    The only thing still alive in the AFCN is due to their choke job last week with Pittsburgh losing to Buffalo is will they also be home for the playoffs.

    Oh well try again next year !

    AFC North

    Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE
    BAL 13-2 49.4% 13.7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0%
    PIT 8-7 -4.2% 8.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 29.3% -8.9%
    CLE 6-9 -12.9% 6.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.1%
    CIN 1-14 -16.2% 1.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

    @mjp28 said:

    Well our beloved BROWNS now officially join Cincinnati in the 0% chance club and better luck next year.

    Guess I got my Wait til this Year tee a year too early.