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PLAYOFF WEEK 4 - SUPER BOWL 54 - KC 31 SF 20 ........ and the NFL season is over.

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  • Anyone else think the wrong team is the favorite?  I can’t see the chiefs stopping the 9er offense.  But I can definitely see the 9er front making plays and forcing some punts and maybe a couple turnovers.  
     

    37-24 Type game. 

    @sdbacker80 said:

    Anyone else think the wrong team is the favorite?  I can’t see the chiefs stopping the 9er offense.  But I can definitely see the 9er front making plays and forcing some punts and maybe a couple turnovers. 

    Me... I thought 49ers would be the favs by as much as a FG.

    Much like you I see the 9er Defense being effective up front both shutting down any run game and pressuring Mahomes... especially up the middle. Add the speed SF has at DE and you have a flush and sack recipe. The question becomes then one of the 2ndary match-ups. Can SF check Hill, Watkins, Hardman and Kelce?

    SF Offense vs. KC's D? I don't see SF's OL dominating as they did the Packers' front seven, but I don't think they have to do so. "Only" 4 ypc plus change will suffice for setting up the PAP game. I look for Kittle to be a factor in the pass game.

    On NFL Live today Ryan Clark characterized this game as "the perfect team vs. the perfect player." A tad hyperbolic perhaps, certainly premature at minimum, but not far off.

  • @sdbacker80 said:

    Anyone else think the wrong team is the favorite?  I can’t see the chiefs stopping the 9er offense.  But I can definitely see the 9er front making plays and forcing some punts and maybe a couple turnovers. 

    Me... I thought 49ers would be the favs by as much as a FG.

    Much like you I see the 9er Defense being effective up front both shutting down any run game and pressuring Mahomes... especially up the middle. Add the speed SF has at DE and you have a flush and sack recipe. The question becomes then one of the 2ndary match-ups. Can SF check Hill, Watkins, Hardman and Kelce?

    SF Offense vs. KC's D? I don't see SF's OL dominating as they did the Packers' front seven, but I don't think they have to do so. "Only" 4 ypc plus change will suffice for setting up the PAP game. I look for Kittle to be a factor in the pass game.

    On NFL Live today Ryan Clark characterized this game as "the perfect team vs. the perfect player." A tad hyperbolic perhaps, certainly premature at minimum, but not far off.

    @tour2ma said:

    Me... I thought 49ers would be the favs by as much as a FG.

    Much like you I see the 9er Defense being effective up front both shutting down any run game and pressuring Mahomes... especially up the middle. Add the speed SF has at DE and you have a flush and sack recipe. The question becomes then one of the 2ndary match-ups. Can SF check Hill, Watkins, Hardman and Kelce?

    SF Offense vs. KC's D? I don't see SF's OL dominating as they did the Packers' front seven, but I don't think they have to do so. "Only" 4 ypc plus change will suffice for setting up the PAP game. I look for Kittle to be a factor in the pass game.

    On NFL Live today Ryan Clark characterized this game as "the perfect team vs. the perfect player." A tad hyperbolic perhaps, certainly premature at minimum, but not far off.

    good characterization perfect team vs. perfect player.  That’s a good way to describe the matchup.  
     

    There is no secret what the Chiefs have to do on D.  1. Load the box and get that high powered run game going East and West.  

    2. Account/Bracket Kittle

    3. One on ones with the others- the D needs to tackle in space.  

  • @sdbacker80 said:

    Anyone else think the wrong team is the favorite?  I can’t see the chiefs stopping the 9er offense.  But I can definitely see the 9er front making plays and forcing some punts and maybe a couple turnovers. 

    Me... I thought 49ers would be the favs by as much as a FG.

    Much like you I see the 9er Defense being effective up front both shutting down any run game and pressuring Mahomes... especially up the middle. Add the speed SF has at DE and you have a flush and sack recipe. The question becomes then one of the 2ndary match-ups. Can SF check Hill, Watkins, Hardman and Kelce?

    SF Offense vs. KC's D? I don't see SF's OL dominating as they did the Packers' front seven, but I don't think they have to do so. "Only" 4 ypc plus change will suffice for setting up the PAP game. I look for Kittle to be a factor in the pass game.

    On NFL Live today Ryan Clark characterized this game as "the perfect team vs. the perfect player." A tad hyperbolic perhaps, certainly premature at minimum, but not far off.

    @tour2ma said:

    Me... I thought 49ers would be the favs by as much as a FG.

    Me2. I was thinking 3 1/2 or 4. I won both of my playmoney bets this past weekend. Took SF and gave away 7 1/2 and took the over on the other game.

    I kind of like the fairytale ending for Mahomes to win, but realistically the better lines are with SF. Lines win FB. SF will hurry Mahomes a lot more than the Titans could. Far more speed and power combination to handle run and pass by the Def. Lynch knew what he was doing to assemble this team.

  • TUESDAY NIGHT 1/21 PM injury report and plenty of time to get ready to play..

    Kansas City Chiefs
     
    NAME POS DATE STATUS COMMENT
    LeSean McCoy RB Jan 21 Questionable (held out in recent games)
    Matt Moore QB Jan 21 Questionable
    San Francisco 49ers
    San Francisco 49ers
     
    NAME POS DATE STATUS COMMENT
    Jaquiski Tartt S Jan 20 Questionable Coach Kyle Shanahan said Monday that Tartt aggravated his rib injury in Sunday's NFC Championship Game, David Lombardi of The Athletic reports.
    Tevin Coleman RB Jan 20 Questionable Coleman dislocated his right shoulder during Sunday's 37-20 win against the Packers in the NFC Championship Game, Nick Wagoner of ESPN.com reports.

    And pretty much well known by now:

    Cleveland Browns
     
    NAME POS DATE STATUS COMMENT
    Odell Beckham Jr. WR Jan 21 Questionable Beckham underwent surgery Tuesday to repair a core muscle injury, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
  • WEDNESDAY 1/22 NOON injury reports and other NFL tidbits leading up to the pro bowl and SB 54.....

    New England Patriots....the gold standard for reporting injuries and other football stuff.
     
    NAME POS DATE STATUS COMMENT
    Julian Edelman WR Jan 21 Questionable Edelman had shoulder surgery last week, with the expectation of being ready for the Patriots' offseason program this spring, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. And Bill Belichick has reported to the NFL that he will be listed as Questionable for all of 2020.  😆
     
    Seattle Seahawks
     
    NAME POS DATE STATUS COMMENT
    Bobby Wagner LB Jan 21 Questionable Head coach Pete Carroll said Wagner (knee) won't play in the Pro Bowl but shouldn't need surgery, Andy Patton of USA Today reports. "He's just going to rest up," Carroll said. "He doesn't have to do anything for it, but he needs to miss this game."
     
    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
     
    NAME POS DATE STATUS COMMENT
    Chris Godwin WR Jan 21 Questionable Godwin (hamstring) won't play in the Pro Bowl, Greg Auman of The Athletic reports.
  • And if you're getting bored and going through the early stages of football withdrawal you could always bet on the AFC/NFC Pro Bowl.  The AFC is a 1.5 point favorite.....I think.

    Or you can bet on will I actually watch it or not.  (I'm leaning towards not.)

    Oh who here is planning on watching this fine display of football prowess and talent?  Oh and player compensation did you know that the winners in the pro bowl make MORE than the losers on the Superbowl?  

    And the pro bowl winners make $37,000 more each than the losers.  $74,000 versus $37,000.  Would you go for that paycheck?

    Screenshot_2020-01-22_220451.jpg

    Screenshot_2020-01-22_220421.jpg

  • And the above numbers are based on next year's 2020 pro bowl -and- I'm just too lazy to correct them so there you go.

    And how much could the players make in playoff money if they can run the table...... let's see.

    If a team has a first-round bye, qualified players will not receive payment.

    The authors of the book go on to give specific amounts, but they are all listed as of 2016, when the book I own was published. Below, I have kept the format presented in the book, but updated numbers of the most recent post-season.

    Postseason amounts increase each year, and in 2019 (following the 2018 season), players received postseason pay of:

    • $27,000 for a wild card game ($29,000 if they were division winner entering this round), plus
    • $29,000 for the divisional round, plus
    • $54,000 for the conference championship, and
    • $118,000 for winning the Super Bowl or $59,000 for losing.

    For last year the players could make up to  $230,000 for the SB winners and $171,000 for the forgotten losers -plus- everybody gets a real nice ring.

    Not too bad, eh?    😉

  • @the-gipper said:

    But I asked you which team  I should bet on in the Super Bowl....or maybe if there was a prop bet that I should put some money on. 

    Can you answer that question? 

    I haven't seen the prop bets yet but there is some time before the game.  Let me think about it and get back to you.  So far not a one sided game like some SBs have been.

    When do you leave/return?

    @mjp28 said:

    I haven't seen the prop bets yet but there is some time before the game.  Let me think about it and get back to you.  So far not a one sided game like some SBs have been.

    When do you leave/return?

    Hey I need those picks by Friday.

  • @mjp28 said:

    I haven't seen the prop bets yet but there is some time before the game.  Let me think about it and get back to you.  So far not a one sided game like some SBs have been.

    When do you leave/return?

    Hey I need those picks by Friday.

    @the-gipper said:

    Hey I need those picks by Friday.

    Ok I'll put something together for you by Thursday.   I need to know what your total allotment for betting is to put it together.  And a rough idea of your objectives are like biggest return, best bets, etc.  Like in any smart gambling trip it's a good idea ahead of time to have a budget or amount that you can play.  😉

    Today's line, not much has changed.

    Screenshot_2020-01-22_224931.jpg

  • SB 54 BETTING PROPS:. Here's a few easy ones.

    Spread: Chiefs -1   Total: 53.5  Moneyline: Chiefs -120, 49ers +100
     

    Here are the Super Bowl MVP odds (via DraftKings Sportsbook). There are other players listed at DK, but these are the most likely MVP winners.

    Patrick Mahomes: +110...... everybody's favorite
    Jimmy Garoppolo: +200
    Raheem Mostert: +500
    Tyreke Hill: +1600
    Travis Kelce: +1600
    George Kittle: +2000
    Damien Williams: +3300
    Mecole Hardman: +3300
    Tevin Coleman: +3300
    Sammy Watkins: +4000
    Tyrann Mathieu: +5000 .......some big payouts if they'd ever pick a defensive player
    Nick Bosa: +5000
    Deebo Samuel: +5000
    Frank Clark: +6000
    Arik Armstead: +6500
    Matt Breida: +6600
    Emmanuel Sanders: +6600
    Richard Sherman: +6600

  • A printable or PDF file 25 question SB 54 prop sheet.

    https://drive.google.com/file/d/1nIR8QbiKrJG-HUY7Bq4HVF_CVGMh0qA0/view

  • @the-gipper said:

    Hey I need those picks by Friday.

    Ok I'll put something together for you by Thursday.   I need to know what your total allotment for betting is to put it together.  And a rough idea of your objectives are like biggest return, best bets, etc.  Like in any smart gambling trip it's a good idea ahead of time to have a budget or amount that you can play.  😉

    Today's line, not much has changed.

    Screenshot_2020-01-22_224931.jpg

    @mjp28 said:

    Ok I'll put something together for you by Thursday.   I need to know what your total allotment for betting is to put it together.  And a rough idea of your objectives are like biggest return, best bets, etc.  Like in any smart gambling trip it's a good idea ahead of time to have a budget or amount that you can play.  😉

    Today's line, not much has changed.

    Screenshot_2020-01-22_224931.jpg

    I said five bucks on the winner and maybe another five bucks on the prop bets. That’s it. Really not that big of a deal just thought I’d go with your advice

  • @mjp28 said:

    Ok I'll put something together for you by Thursday.   I need to know what your total allotment for betting is to put it together.  And a rough idea of your objectives are like biggest return, best bets, etc.  Like in any smart gambling trip it's a good idea ahead of time to have a budget or amount that you can play.  😉

    Today's line, not much has changed.

    Screenshot_2020-01-22_224931.jpg

    I said five bucks on the winner and maybe another five bucks on the prop bets. That’s it. Really not that big of a deal just thought I’d go with your advice

    @the-gipper said:

    I said five bucks on the winner and maybe another five bucks on the prop bets. That’s it. Really not that big of a deal just thought I’d go with your advice

    Take the over.

  • What? No odds on the Skills Competition?

  • Wagering suggestions for the Gipper's big Las Vegas adventure

    First you will have to find a sportsbooks that does $5 wagers once you do that then:

    1.  Since this is a pretty even Superbowl matchup pick your favorite team and put $5 to win, if it were me right now it would be SF +100.

    2. For a prop bet  like the game MVP the odds on favorite now is Mahomes at +110 money line.  Or my pick if you think SF just might win this thing go Garoppolo at +200 to double your money.  (they can tell you what a $5 wager will pay)

    Now if you feel a bit more daring and actually go for a long shot MVP canadidates for mo' money like:

    T. Hill +1600  Kelce +1600. Kittle +2000   Or in the very overdue defensive player department like Bosa +5000 or Mathieu +5000

    In any event you might win a little or have some losing souvenir betting tickets.  Have fun!

  • Wagering suggestions for the Gipper's big Las Vegas adventure

    First you will have to find a sportsbooks that does $5 wagers once you do that then:

    1.  Since this is a pretty even Superbowl matchup pick your favorite team and put $5 to win, if it were me right now it would be SF +100.

    2. For a prop bet  like the game MVP the odds on favorite now is Mahomes at +110 money line.  Or my pick if you think SF just might win this thing go Garoppolo at +200 to double your money.  (they can tell you what a $5 wager will pay)

    Now if you feel a bit more daring and actually go for a long shot MVP canadidates for mo' money like:

    T. Hill +1600  Kelce +1600. Kittle +2000   Or in the very overdue defensive player department like Bosa +5000 or Mathieu +5000

    In any event you might win a little or have some losing souvenir betting tickets.  Have fun!

    @mjp28 said:

    Kittle +2000

    I'd have a hard time not taking a $20 flyer on Kittle.

    I'd be tempted on Kelce, too, but have a hard time seeing him have a big game without Mahomes having an even bigger one.

  • Wagering suggestions for the Gipper's big Las Vegas adventure

    First you will have to find a sportsbooks that does $5 wagers once you do that then:

    1.  Since this is a pretty even Superbowl matchup pick your favorite team and put $5 to win, if it were me right now it would be SF +100.

    2. For a prop bet  like the game MVP the odds on favorite now is Mahomes at +110 money line.  Or my pick if you think SF just might win this thing go Garoppolo at +200 to double your money.  (they can tell you what a $5 wager will pay)

    Now if you feel a bit more daring and actually go for a long shot MVP canadidates for mo' money like:

    T. Hill +1600  Kelce +1600. Kittle +2000   Or in the very overdue defensive player department like Bosa +5000 or Mathieu +5000

    In any event you might win a little or have some losing souvenir betting tickets.  Have fun!

    @mjp28 said:

    Wagering suggestions for the Gipper's big Las Vegas adventure

    First you will have to find a sportsbooks that does $5 wagers once you do that then:

    1.  Since this is a pretty even Superbowl matchup pick your favorite team and put $5 to win, if it were me right now it would be SF +100.

    2. For a prop bet  like the game MVP the odds on favorite now is Mahomes at +110 money line.  Or my pick if you think SF just might win this thing go Garoppolo at +200 to double your money.  (they can tell you what a $5 wager will pay)

    Now if you feel a bit more daring and actually go for a long shot MVP canadidates for mo' money like:

    T. Hill +1600  Kelce +1600. Kittle +2000   Or in the very overdue defensive player department like Bosa +5000 or Mathieu +5000

    In any event you might win a little or have some losing souvenir betting tickets.  Have fun!

    Those numbers mean nothing to me

  • @mjp28 said:

    Wagering suggestions for the Gipper's big Las Vegas adventure

    First you will have to find a sportsbooks that does $5 wagers once you do that then:

    1.  Since this is a pretty even Superbowl matchup pick your favorite team and put $5 to win, if it were me right now it would be SF +100.

    2. For a prop bet  like the game MVP the odds on favorite now is Mahomes at +110 money line.  Or my pick if you think SF just might win this thing go Garoppolo at +200 to double your money.  (they can tell you what a $5 wager will pay)

    Now if you feel a bit more daring and actually go for a long shot MVP canadidates for mo' money like:

    T. Hill +1600  Kelce +1600. Kittle +2000   Or in the very overdue defensive player department like Bosa +5000 or Mathieu +5000

    In any event you might win a little or have some losing souvenir betting tickets.  Have fun!

    Those numbers mean nothing to me

    @the-gipper said:

    @mjp28 said:

    Now if you feel a bit more daring and actually go for a long shot MVP canadidates for mo' money like:

    T. Hill +1600  Kelce +1600. Kittle +2000   Or in the very overdue defensive player department like Bosa +5000 or Mathieu +5000

    In any event you might win a little or have some losing souvenir betting tickets.  Have fun!

    Those numbers mean nothing to me

    To make it simple Gipper those numbers are what you'd win on a $100 bet. +1,600 is 16:1 odds.  A minus number say -140 means you'd have to wager $140 to win back your money and an extra $100. Got it?  

    While you're at it you could bet $5 bucks on the Browns winning the 2021 Super Bowl.  I'm sure there's already odds on every team.... 

  • @the-gipper said:

    @mjp28 said:

    Now if you feel a bit more daring and actually go for a long shot MVP canadidates for mo' money like:

    T. Hill +1600  Kelce +1600. Kittle +2000   Or in the very overdue defensive player department like Bosa +5000 or Mathieu +5000

    In any event you might win a little or have some losing souvenir betting tickets.  Have fun!

    Those numbers mean nothing to me

    To make it simple Gipper those numbers are what you'd win on a $100 bet. +1,600 is 16:1 odds.  A minus number say -140 means you'd have to wager $140 to win back your money and an extra $100. Got it?  

    While you're at it you could bet $5 bucks on the Browns winning the 2021 Super Bowl.  I'm sure there's already odds on every team.... 

    @hoorta said:

    To make it simple Gipper those numbers are what you'd win on a $100 bet. +1,600 is 16:1 odds.  A minus number say -140 means you'd have to wager $140 to win back your money and an extra $100. Got it?  

    While you're at it you could bet $5 bucks on the Browns winning the 2021 Super Bowl.  I'm sure there's already odds on every team.... 

    Yes they have them here are the teams in Super Bowl LV,            February 7, 2021.           A Space Odessy.

    Screenshot_2020-01-24_100329.jpg

  • A reminder, plus every soortsbook has instructions there.

    Updated Mon, Jan. 20, 2:30 PM ET - Odds Subject to Change
     

    How to Bet on NFL Futures.       https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/futures

    Who’s going to win the Super Bowl? One of the most popular questions often asked by anybody and everybody that bets on NFL Futures, especially online bettors from the United States. Answering that question isn’t easy but placing wagers on NFL Future odds can be done on “Any Given Sunday” and every other day too. Put simply, the Futures market for the NFL is always open. The opening market is set by oddsmakers after the following season has ended in February, sometimes even while the current season hasn’t been completed yet in late January. For the most part, the initial betting lines are mirrored based on what the current perception of the team is after the latest season and that’s where the value can be had.

    The NFL has 32 teams, split into two conferences of 16 and then divided into four divisions of four. NFL Futures are available to win not only the Super Bowl, but also the winner of each conference and the eight divisions as well. Some online betting shops get even more creative with their markets and allow bettors an opportunity of which two teams will meet in the Super Bowl. Those odds are usually higher and bettors can strike a generous return but predicting one outcome isn’t easy, so imagine doing so twice.

    Super Bowl Odds

    The pro football finale usually takes place on the first Sunday in February and the outcome of that game is tied into plenty of Futures Odds tickets, in particular bets placed on Super Bowl Odds. The most popular futures betting market is focused on the Super Bowl and the final outcome boosts the handle for the Super Bowl, since future tickets are made official after the last game.

    After the opening odds are posted in late January or early February, the Super Bowl Odds market tends to be stable until the spring or second quarter of the year. During the time, the NFL produces the NFL Draft where top College Football players are selected by teams. While it’s rare to see youngsters make an immediate impact on teams, the optimism from fans can lead to future bets. Along with the draft, the NFL Free Agency period begins and that allows players to join other teams with new contracts. These transactions are very volatile on the Super Bowl Odds market and bettors often place wagers on clubs, especially if they acquire a top position player like a quarterback.

    After the spring and summer, the largest volume of Super Bowl Odds tickets take place in August just prior to the regular season. At this time, most bettors have done their homework on rosters, coaches, schedules, etc. That betting research is essential in your NFL Future wagers analysis.

    2020 Super Bowl Odds: Early Payouts for Chiefs vs. 49ers

    • Spread: Kansas City Chiefs (-1)
    • Over/Under: 53.5
    • Moneyline: Kansas City Chiefs: -120 and San Francisco 49ers: Even

    The spread odds mean the Kansas City Chiefs are the Super Bowl favorites and a bet on the spread for Kansas City will payout if the Chiefs win by more than one point. The bet is a push, or a tie, if the Kansas City Chiefs only win by one point. For the over/under, the combined points scored by both teams will need to be 54 for an over bet to payout. For the moneyline, you would need to bet $120 to win $100 on Kansas City, while a bet of $100 will payout $100 on San Francisco.

    How do I bet on the Super Bowl?

    We know that you can bet on the Super Bowl and all of NFL Futures at any time of the year, but what’s the process. The future wager or the “Odds to Win” bet on the Super Bowl is correctly selecting a team to win an event that takes place at a later time. A bettor will have his wagered money tied up until there is an outcome and bettors will receive fixed odds when they place the wager. In the case of the Super Bowl, you’re not a winner or loser until you see zeros on the clock in the final game.

    Most sportsbooks offer different ways to read to Super Bowl Odds. In the fractional NFL Futures Odds format below, you simply take the odds and multiply by the amount wagered.

    Ex. Green Bay (8/1) to win the Super Bowl

    The Packers are listed as an 8/1 betting choice to win the Super Bowl. If you wager $100 on Green Bay to win the NFC and they capture the championship, then you would win $800 (8 ÷ 1 x 100). Your online betting account would then credit your account $900, which includes your win and stake ($100).

    The American Format would see Green Bay listed at +800 and for the Decimal Format, the Packers would be 9.00.

    If you are in a state where online betting is legal, we encourage you to check out our sportsbook directory to find the most trustworthy and reputable sites and mobile apps to place your Super Bowl before the game begins.

     

     
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