Cleveland +10 on 1/16 and the other division playoff games.....one more step.
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Is Cleveland +10 an easy line ?
What about Baltimore +2 at Buffalo, should that be the other way around ?
Is Cleveland +10 an easy line ?
What about Baltimore +2 at Buffalo, should that be the other way around ?
Vegas is usually closer than most think. See how far the line moves and that will give you an idea what the pro bettors are doing. I think the lines are right about where they should be. They haven't moved much from the opening lines.
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Is Cleveland +10 an easy line ?
What about Baltimore +2 at Buffalo, should that be the other way around ?
Is Cleveland +10 an easy line ?
What about Baltimore +2 at Buffalo, should that be the other way around ?
With KC's penchant for close games it looks like it to me.
Home-field is usually worth about -3 for the home team... even with reduced crowd due to Covid that held. So Vegas is discounting BUF's advantage by 33%.
... and BUF ain't no creampuff.
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"When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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moneyline my favorite bet has us at +335
From Vegas insiders which shows various sports books, DraftKings is +410 just FYI. https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/money
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moneyline my favorite bet has us at +335
From Vegas insiders which shows various sports books, DraftKings is +410 just FYI. https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/money
From Vegas insiders which shows various sports books, DraftKings is +410 just FYI. https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/money
whoa thats better
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From Vegas insiders which shows various sports books, DraftKings is +410 just FYI. https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/money
whoa thats better
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Okay research shows the following.
Baltimore is #1 in rushing yards per game @191.9 per
Buff ranks 20th @ 107.7
Rushing defensive
Baltimore ranks 8th @ 108.8
Buff gives up a boat load ranking 17th @ 119.6
2 team M/L parlay
Rats win outright
Brown's win outright
9.46/1
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If you got money to gamble that is fine...but obviously your betting with you heart ,,if I was gambling strictly to make money I would take the Ravens +110 before I would take the Browns
Which is why I posted "Take the Money and Run". It's one thing to get real lucky with a long shot. It's another to give it all back on another.?
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Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !
Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !
Now that would be an excellent bet. LV has that off by at least 10 or more IMO. We shall see.
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Now that would be an excellent bet. LV has that off by at least 10 or more IMO. We shall see.
Weather looks good enough that it will not prevent a scorefest.
General comment... usually the quality/competitiveness of the 2nd weekend of playoffs tends to disappoint... especially after a great opening weekend. I don't think that will be the case this weekend. The matchups looks awesome.
- Rams D vs GB's O...
- BLT - BUF slugfest..
- Bradt vs Brees...
- and of course us vs the defending Champs.... Ground Stef vs. Air Andy.
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Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !
Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !
Screams trap IMO. It does seem very enticing though. Our line last game screamed of a trap too.
We can and we should ball control it and run more than pass.
Maybe just Maybe Woods has a few tricks. He was part of a defensive gameplan that held Mahomes/Reed to 10 points in 3 quarters on Super Sunday. I know different personnel sorta kinda.
Maybe you see some KC rust too- these guys havent played meaningful game since their game with the Saints.
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Checking out stat differentials...
- Chiefs Oline is still trash in run blocking
- Defense gives up a ton on the ground
It's possible they find the stones to limit the rushing game in the playoffs like last year. On the other hand, maybe they just get bullied like most of the season? Either way I'm going to make them prove it by committing the bodies in the box to slow down my Oline and monster RB Duo.
On Defense? I'm comfortable playing lighter numbers up front and seeing if they're capable and/or willing to establish a running game against my 6&7. Chiefs LOVE splash plays, we'll see how methodical they're willing to be drive after drive if the Browns deny the home-run shots.
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Checking out stat differentials...
- Chiefs Oline is still trash in run blocking
- Defense gives up a ton on the ground
It's possible they find the stones to limit the rushing game in the playoffs like last year. On the other hand, maybe they just get bullied like most of the season? Either way I'm going to make them prove it by committing the bodies in the box to slow down my Oline and monster RB Duo.
On Defense? I'm comfortable playing lighter numbers up front and seeing if they're capable and/or willing to establish a running game against my 6&7. Chiefs LOVE splash plays, we'll see how methodical they're willing to be drive after drive if the Browns deny the home-run shots.
Checking out stat differentials...
- Chiefs Oline is still trash in run blocking
- Defense gives up a ton on the ground
It's possible they find the stones to limit the rushing game in the playoffs like last year. On the other hand, maybe they just get bullied like most of the season? Either way I'm going to make them prove it by committing the bodies in the box to slow down my Oline and monster RB Duo.
On Defense? I'm comfortable playing lighter numbers up front and seeing if they're capable and/or willing to establish a running game against my 6&7. Chiefs LOVE splash plays, we'll see how methodical they're willing to be drive after drive if the Browns deny the home-run shots.
I actually worry about thinking too hard about stopping the WRs and Mahomes that the ground game gets going and I worry even more about Hill and Hardiman on runs.
Their splash plays are usually “broken” Plays. Mahomes evading pressure running around and the WRs doing a great job flowing to him. Then you have the occasional across his body throw 30-40 yards downfield that defies Good QB play.Not a bad matchup in my opinion.
I watched the game where the Raiders took them down in Arrowhead with the same type of gameplan we will employ on offense.
I am really curious how the Falcons held them in check too.
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Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !
Screams trap IMO. It does seem very enticing though. Our line last game screamed of a trap too.
We can and we should ball control it and run more than pass.
Maybe just Maybe Woods has a few tricks. He was part of a defensive gameplan that held Mahomes/Reed to 10 points in 3 quarters on Super Sunday. I know different personnel sorta kinda.
Maybe you see some KC rust too- these guys havent played meaningful game since their game with the Saints.
Maybe you see some KC rust too- these guys havent played meaningful game since their game with the Saints.
Crossed my mind as well, but I think that Offense is rustproof... laid 34 on the Texans Week 1 and 35 on the Raiders coming out of their Bye.
Now the D could be a different story... Raiders hung 31 on them... but then so did the Panthers in the game before KC's Bye.
Bottom line I see is that KC won a lot of close games by narrowly outscoring their opponent. In all 8 of their 14 wins were by 6 or fewer points.
And 7 of those 8 occurrences were in the 2nd half of the season. The 8th game was their season ending, "resting their starters" loss to LAC.
They have not blown away an opponent since Week 8 when they played the Jets.
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Maybe you see some KC rust too- these guys havent played meaningful game since their game with the Saints.
Crossed my mind as well, but I think that Offense is rustproof... laid 34 on the Texans Week 1 and 35 on the Raiders coming out of their Bye.
Now the D could be a different story... Raiders hung 31 on them... but then so did the Panthers in the game before KC's Bye.
Bottom line I see is that KC won a lot of close games by narrowly outscoring their opponent. In all 8 of their 14 wins were by 6 or fewer points.
And 7 of those 8 occurrences were in the 2nd half of the season. The 8th game was their season ending, "resting their starters" loss to LAC.
They have not blown away an opponent since Week 8 when they played the Jets.
Crossed my mind as well, but I think that Offense is rustproof... laid 34 on the Texans Week 1 and 35 on the Raiders coming out of their Bye.
Now the D could be a different story... Raiders hung 31 on them... but then so did the Panthers in the game before KC's Bye.
Bottom line I see is that KC won a lot of close games by narrowly outscoring their opponent. In all 8 of their 14 wins were by 6 or fewer points.
And 7 of those 8 occurrences were in the 2nd half of the season. The 8th game was their season ending, "resting their starters" loss to LAC.
They have not blown away an opponent since Week 8 when they played the Jets.
Andy Reid with time to gameplan is usually successful.
Raiders hung 40 on them earlier too. I remember watching that game and thinking Chiefs may not have it this year- maybe even a Super Bowl Hangover. On offense We do a lot of things well that the Raiders did well that gameThe Falcons game last month I’d like to see that one too. Mahomes didn’t play that well and the offense overall was just off- what did the Falcons do? Or Was it just a lousy day for the Chiefs O?
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