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  3. Cleveland +10 on 1/16 and the other division playoff games.....one more step.

Cleveland +10 on 1/16 and the other division playoff games.....one more step.

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  • ATOM ATOMA One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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    ATOMA ATOM wrote on last edited by
    #6

    moneyline my favorite bet has us at +335

    Tour2maT mjp28M 2 Replies Last reply
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    • ATOMA ATOM

      moneyline my favorite bet has us at +335

      Tour2ma Tour2maT In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done Very Popular
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      Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
      #7

      @atom said:

      moneyline my favorite bet has us at +335

      Is that straight to win, i.e., no points?

      "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
      ATOMA 1 Reply Last reply
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      • Tour2maT Tour2ma

        @atom said:

        moneyline my favorite bet has us at +335

        Is that straight to win, i.e., no points?

        ATOM ATOMA One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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        ATOMA ATOM wrote on last edited by
        #8

        @tour2ma said:

        Is that straight to win, i.e., no points?

        yep and i am taking that bet same as i did vs ptg and i think that paid +225

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        • ATOMA ATOM

          moneyline my favorite bet has us at +335

          mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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          mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by
          #9

          @atom said:

          moneyline my favorite bet has us at +335

          From Vegas insiders which shows various sports books, DraftKings is +410 just FYI.   https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/money

          Screenshot_2021-01-12_195843.jpg

          GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
          ATOMA 1 Reply Last reply
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          • mjp28M mjp28

            @atom said:

            moneyline my favorite bet has us at +335

            From Vegas insiders which shows various sports books, DraftKings is +410 just FYI.   https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/money

            Screenshot_2021-01-12_195843.jpg

            ATOM ATOMA One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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            ATOMA ATOM wrote on last edited by
            #10

            @mjp28 said:

            From Vegas insiders which shows various sports books, DraftKings is +410 just FYI.   https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/money

            Screenshot_2021-01-12_195843.jpg

            whoa thats better 

            T 1 Reply Last reply
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            • ATOMA ATOM

              @mjp28 said:

              From Vegas insiders which shows various sports books, DraftKings is +410 just FYI.   https://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/money

              Screenshot_2021-01-12_195843.jpg

              whoa thats better 

              TexasAg1969 T Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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              T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by
              #11

              @atom said:

              whoa thats better 

              My advice with your first game win? 

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                Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
                #12

                So what have we learned here today, kids?

                It pays to shop for odds....

                "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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                • ATOMA ATOM

                  @tour2ma said:

                  Is that straight to win, i.e., no points?

                  yep and i am taking that bet same as i did vs ptg and i think that paid +225

                  Footbalfan1962 F Dedicated Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                  F Footbalfan1962 wrote on last edited by
                  #13

                  @atom said:

                  yep and i am taking that bet same as i did vs ptg and i think that paid +225

                  If you got money to gamble that is fine...but obviously your betting with you heart ,,if I was gambling strictly to make money I would take the Ravens  +110 before I would take the Browns

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                  • Silver slayer S Conversation Starter Reacting Well Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                    S Silver slayer wrote on last edited by
                    #14

                    Okay research shows the following. 

                    Baltimore is #1 in rushing yards per game @191.9 per

                    Buff ranks 20th @ 107.7

                    Rushing defensive 

                    Baltimore ranks 8th @ 108.8

                    Buff gives up a boat load ranking 17th @ 119.6 

                    2 team M/L parlay 

                    Rats win outright 

                    Brown's win outright 

                    9.46/1

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                    • F Footbalfan1962

                      @atom said:

                      yep and i am taking that bet same as i did vs ptg and i think that paid +225

                      If you got money to gamble that is fine...but obviously your betting with you heart ,,if I was gambling strictly to make money I would take the Ravens  +110 before I would take the Browns

                      TexasAg1969 T Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                      T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by
                      #15

                      @footbalfan1962 said:

                      If you got money to gamble that is fine...but obviously your betting with you heart ,,if I was gambling strictly to make money I would take the Ravens  +110 before I would take the Browns

                      Which is why I posted "Take the Money and Run". It's one thing to get real lucky with a long shot. It's another to give it all back on another.?

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                      • gumby73 gumby73G Conversation Starter Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                        gumby73G gumby73 wrote on last edited by
                        #16

                        Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !

                        Browns & Buffett: Got to go fishin, Down to rock bottom again, with just a few Friends Team Brotherhood-"It's not about You,Me or I. It's about building We"..Hue Jackson
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                        • gumby73G gumby73

                          Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !

                          TexasAg1969 T Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                          T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by
                          #17

                          @gumby73 said:

                          Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !

                          Now that would be an excellent bet. LV has that off by at least 10 or more IMO. We shall see.

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                          • T TexasAg1969

                            @gumby73 said:

                            Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !

                            Now that would be an excellent bet. LV has that off by at least 10 or more IMO. We shall see.

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                            Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
                            #18

                            @texasag1969 said:

                            Now that would be an excellent bet. LV has that off by at least 10 or more IMO. We shall see.

                            Weather looks good enough that it will not prevent a scorefest.

                            General comment... usually the quality/competitiveness of the 2nd weekend of playoffs tends to disappoint... especially after a great opening weekend. I don't think that will be the case this weekend. The matchups looks awesome.

                            • Rams D vs GB's O...
                            • BLT - BUF slugfest..
                            • Bradt vs Brees...
                            • and of course us vs the defending Champs.... Ground Stef vs. Air Andy.
                            "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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                            • gumby73G gumby73

                              Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !

                              SdBacker80 S Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                              S SdBacker80 wrote on last edited by
                              #19

                              @gumby73 said:

                              Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !

                              Screams trap IMO.  It does seem very enticing though.  Our line last game screamed of a trap too.  

                              We can and we should ball control it and run more than pass.  
                               

                              Maybe just Maybe Woods has a few tricks.  He was part of a defensive gameplan that held Mahomes/Reed to 10 points in 3 quarters on Super Sunday.  I know different personnel sorta kinda.  
                               

                              Maybe you see some KC rust too- these guys havent played meaningful game since their game with the Saints.

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                                tiamat63T tiamat63 wrote on last edited by tiamat63
                                #20

                                Checking out stat differentials...

                                - Chiefs Oline is still trash in run blocking

                                - Defense gives up a ton on the ground 

                                It's possible they find the stones to limit the rushing game in the playoffs like last year.   On the other hand, maybe they just get bullied like most of the season?  Either way I'm going to make them prove it by committing the bodies in the box to slow down my Oline and monster RB Duo.

                                On Defense? I'm comfortable playing lighter numbers up front and seeing if they're capable and/or willing to establish a running game against my 6&7.   Chiefs LOVE splash plays, we'll see how methodical they're willing to be drive after drive if the Browns deny the home-run shots.

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                                • tiamat63T tiamat63

                                  Checking out stat differentials...

                                  - Chiefs Oline is still trash in run blocking

                                  - Defense gives up a ton on the ground 

                                  It's possible they find the stones to limit the rushing game in the playoffs like last year.   On the other hand, maybe they just get bullied like most of the season?  Either way I'm going to make them prove it by committing the bodies in the box to slow down my Oline and monster RB Duo.

                                  On Defense? I'm comfortable playing lighter numbers up front and seeing if they're capable and/or willing to establish a running game against my 6&7.   Chiefs LOVE splash plays, we'll see how methodical they're willing to be drive after drive if the Browns deny the home-run shots.

                                  SdBacker80 S Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                                  S SdBacker80 wrote on last edited by
                                  #21

                                  @tiamat63 said:

                                  Checking out stat differentials...

                                  - Chiefs Oline is still trash in run blocking

                                  - Defense gives up a ton on the ground 

                                  It's possible they find the stones to limit the rushing game in the playoffs like last year.   On the other hand, maybe they just get bullied like most of the season?  Either way I'm going to make them prove it by committing the bodies in the box to slow down my Oline and monster RB Duo.

                                  On Defense? I'm comfortable playing lighter numbers up front and seeing if they're capable and/or willing to establish a running game against my 6&7.   Chiefs LOVE splash plays, we'll see how methodical they're willing to be drive after drive if the Browns deny the home-run shots.

                                  I actually worry about thinking too hard about stopping the WRs and Mahomes that the ground game gets going and I worry even more about Hill and Hardiman on runs.


                                  Their splash plays are usually “broken” Plays.  Mahomes evading pressure running around and the WRs doing a great job flowing to him. Then you have the occasional across his body throw 30-40 yards downfield that defies Good QB play. 

                                   Not a bad matchup in my opinion.

                                  I watched the game where the Raiders took them down in Arrowhead with the same type of gameplan we will employ on offense.

                                  I am really curious how the Falcons held them in check too. 

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                                  • S SdBacker80

                                    @gumby73 said:

                                    Games like this, I keep looking at that 56 over the total score... I may slide a few bones on over that total.. Keep shocking the world Browns !

                                    Screams trap IMO.  It does seem very enticing though.  Our line last game screamed of a trap too.  

                                    We can and we should ball control it and run more than pass.  
                                     

                                    Maybe just Maybe Woods has a few tricks.  He was part of a defensive gameplan that held Mahomes/Reed to 10 points in 3 quarters on Super Sunday.  I know different personnel sorta kinda.  
                                     

                                    Maybe you see some KC rust too- these guys havent played meaningful game since their game with the Saints.

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                                    Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
                                    #22

                                    @sdbacker80 said:

                                    Maybe you see some KC rust too- these guys havent played meaningful game since their game with the Saints.

                                    Crossed my mind as well, but I think that Offense is rustproof... laid 34 on the Texans Week 1 and 35 on the Raiders coming out of their Bye.

                                    Now the D could be a different story... Raiders hung 31 on them... but then so did the Panthers in the game before KC's Bye.

                                    Bottom line I see is that KC won a lot of close games by narrowly outscoring their opponent. In all 8 of their 14 wins were by 6 or fewer points.

                                    And 7 of those 8 occurrences were in the 2nd half of the season. The 8th game was their season ending, "resting their starters" loss to LAC.

                                    They have not blown away an opponent since Week 8 when they played the Jets.

                                    "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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                                    • Tour2maT Tour2ma

                                      @sdbacker80 said:

                                      Maybe you see some KC rust too- these guys havent played meaningful game since their game with the Saints.

                                      Crossed my mind as well, but I think that Offense is rustproof... laid 34 on the Texans Week 1 and 35 on the Raiders coming out of their Bye.

                                      Now the D could be a different story... Raiders hung 31 on them... but then so did the Panthers in the game before KC's Bye.

                                      Bottom line I see is that KC won a lot of close games by narrowly outscoring their opponent. In all 8 of their 14 wins were by 6 or fewer points.

                                      And 7 of those 8 occurrences were in the 2nd half of the season. The 8th game was their season ending, "resting their starters" loss to LAC.

                                      They have not blown away an opponent since Week 8 when they played the Jets.

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                                      S SdBacker80 wrote on last edited by SdBacker80
                                      #23

                                      @tour2ma said:

                                      Crossed my mind as well, but I think that Offense is rustproof... laid 34 on the Texans Week 1 and 35 on the Raiders coming out of their Bye.

                                      Now the D could be a different story... Raiders hung 31 on them... but then so did the Panthers in the game before KC's Bye.

                                      Bottom line I see is that KC won a lot of close games by narrowly outscoring their opponent. In all 8 of their 14 wins were by 6 or fewer points.

                                      And 7 of those 8 occurrences were in the 2nd half of the season. The 8th game was their season ending, "resting their starters" loss to LAC.

                                      They have not blown away an opponent since Week 8 when they played the Jets.

                                      Andy Reid with time to gameplan is usually successful. 

                                      Raiders hung 40 on them earlier too.  I remember watching that game and thinking Chiefs may not have it this year- maybe even a Super Bowl Hangover.  On offense We do a lot of things well that the Raiders did well that game 

                                      The Falcons game last month I’d like to see that one too. Mahomes didn’t play that well and the offense overall was just off- what did the Falcons do?  Or Was it just a lousy day for the Chiefs O?

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                                      • S SdBacker80

                                        @tour2ma said:

                                        Crossed my mind as well, but I think that Offense is rustproof... laid 34 on the Texans Week 1 and 35 on the Raiders coming out of their Bye.

                                        Now the D could be a different story... Raiders hung 31 on them... but then so did the Panthers in the game before KC's Bye.

                                        Bottom line I see is that KC won a lot of close games by narrowly outscoring their opponent. In all 8 of their 14 wins were by 6 or fewer points.

                                        And 7 of those 8 occurrences were in the 2nd half of the season. The 8th game was their season ending, "resting their starters" loss to LAC.

                                        They have not blown away an opponent since Week 8 when they played the Jets.

                                        Andy Reid with time to gameplan is usually successful. 

                                        Raiders hung 40 on them earlier too.  I remember watching that game and thinking Chiefs may not have it this year- maybe even a Super Bowl Hangover.  On offense We do a lot of things well that the Raiders did well that game 

                                        The Falcons game last month I’d like to see that one too. Mahomes didn’t play that well and the offense overall was just off- what did the Falcons do?  Or Was it just a lousy day for the Chiefs O?

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                                        Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by Tour2ma
                                        #24

                                        @sdbacker80 said:

                                        Andy Reid with time to gameplan is usually successful. 

                                        Raiders hung 40 on them earlier too.  I remember watching that game and thinking Chiefs may not have it this year- maybe even a Super Bowl Hangover.  On offense We do a lot of things well that the Raiders did well that game 

                                        The Falcons game last month I’d like to see that one too. Mahomes didn’t play that well and the offense overall was just off- what did the Falcons do?  Or Was it just a lousy day for the Chiefs O?

                                        No idea on ATL's approach other than the tale the boxscore tells... Mahomes threw two picks...KC went 5/13 on 3rd down... ATL attacked KC's D thru the air. I suspect KC may have relaxed some with the 1st round Bye locked up? But TBH I don't know that circumstance for sure. Also may have taken ATL lightly.

                                        I remember the LVR game and agreed with your take at the time, but then they ran off 10 wins in a row. That said we know they are not invincible... we know how we can pull off this upset.

                                        And then there's Reed... best offensive mind in the game

                                        "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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                                        • Tour2ma Tour2maT In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done Very Popular
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                                          Tour2maT Tour2ma wrote on last edited by
                                          #25

                                          Yahoo lines have been steady this week. Slight over adjustment for BLT @ BUF was reversed, but other than that...

                                          image.png.9c0a1aaaff24c3a282e9928b8b429af7.png

                                          "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196
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