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Third Round QBs

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  • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #1

    On another thread it was stated that we shouldn't get our hopes up over a QB drafted in the third round. I pointed out that the likes of Joe Montana, Dan Fouts and Fran Tarkenton were third round choices. Well, let's see what the 3rd round QB choices have looked like in the last, say 15 years. Here is the list of all the QBs chosen in the third round of the NFL draft between 1995 and 2009. Let us know how you think they have fared:

    Eric Zeier, Cleveland

    Stoney Case, Ariz.

    Bobby Hoying, Phil.

    Brian Griese, Denver

    Jonathan Quinn, Jax.

    Brock Huard Seattle

    Chris Redman, Baltimore

    Giovanni Carmazzi, SF

    Josh McCown, Ariz.

    Chris Simms, Tampa

    Dave Ragone, Hou.

    Matt Schaub, Atl.

    David Green, Sea

    Andrew Walter, Oak

    Charlie Frye, Cle

    Brody Croyle, KC

    Charlie Whitehurst, SD

    Trent Edwards, Buff.

    Kevin O'Connell NE

    I'll be honest with you, I don't see a star QB in that entire bunch. About the only one that might reach that status is Schaub. Griese was OK for a bit, but fell back.

    Showing this list doesn't make one optimistic about McCoy. But, who knows. Lightning might strike.

    ballpeenB rich4eagleR 2 Replies Last reply
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    • Paxton P
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      P Paxton wrote on last edited by
      #2

      Matt Schaub's a pretty big success story.

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      • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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        The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
        #3

        Compare the third round list to the first round list. Here are all the first round QBs drafted since 1995:

        Matt Stafford

        Mark Sanchez

        Josh Freeman

        Matt Ryan

        Joe Flacco

        Jamarcus Russell

        Brady Quinn

        Vince Young

        Matt Leinert

        Jay Cutler

        Alex Smith

        Aaron Rodgers

        Jason Campbell

        Eli Manning

        Phillip Rivers

        Ben Roethlisberger

        J.P. Losman

        Carson Palmer

        Byron Leftwich

        Kyle Boller

        Rex Grossman

        David Carr

        Joey Harrington

        Patrick Ramsey

        Michael Vick

        Chad Pennington

        Tim Couch

        Donovan McNabb

        Akili Smith

        Daunte Culpepper

        Cade McNown

        Payton Manning

        Ryan Leaf

        Jim Druckenmiller

        Steve McNair

        Kerry Collins

        Needless to say, numerous star QBs, but also some famous busts.

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        • cambridgeho cambridgehoC Very Popular Reacting Well Dedicated Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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          cambridgehoC cambridgeho wrote on last edited by
          #4

          Who knows how he will turn out, but I do know that he will actually have some time to develope and probably be a pretty good QB. He is deadly accurate and has a strong but not amazing arm, but he is mobile. He will be a replica of Steve Young I bet, and thats what Big Mike seen in him.

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          • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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            The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
            #5

            OK then, let's look at the Second round of the draft. Here are all QBs drafted in the second round between 1995 and 2009:

            Pat White

            Brian Brohm

            Chad Henne

            Kevin Kolb

            John Beck

            Drew Stanton

            Kellen Clemens

            Tavaris Jackson

            Drew Brees

            Quincy Carter

            Marques Tuiasosopo

            Shaun King

            Charlie Batch

            Jake Plummer

            Tony Banks

            Todd Collins

            Kordell Stewart

            Only one sure fire star here: Brees. A few others had mediocre success. Stewart, Plummer. A couple will be given a chance to prove themselves: Henne, Kolb. A pretty mixed bag all in all.

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            • tshirtfan T
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              T tshirtfan wrote on last edited by
              #6

              1. First round quarterbacks are guaranteed more development, based on the desire to recoup the initial investment.

              2. Most of the quarterbacks drafted in earlier rounds were better at the position IN COLLEGE than quarterbacks drafted in later rounds. Colt McCoy is one of the few stud college QBs whose draft stock slid. He's better than most other quarterbacks that wound up being third round picks.

              3. This type of analysis can only show correlation; we need to understand what causes quarterbacks to be successful vs. busts. Even the best draft scouts can't do this reliably, which is why you see guys like Tom Brady become so successful, and guys like Ryan Leaf fail.

              Bottom line? No idea if Colt will be successful, but it certainly could be argued that he has a much bigger chance than most of the other 3rd round picks on the list.

              The GipperT ThaakT rich4eagleR 3 Replies Last reply
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              • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                #7

                I won't bother to list all the QBs that were drafted in rounds 4-7 in this 15 year period. Half of them never actually eve played in the NFL. Only the following ever accomplished the task of throwing for as much as 5000 yards in their careers:

                Danny Kannell

                Rob Johnson

                Matt Cassell

                Derek Anderson

                David Garrard

                Aaron Brooks

                Marc Bulger

                Kyle Orton

                Matt Hasselback (second with over 26,000 career yards)

                Tom Brady (over 30,000 career yards, and, oh yeah, 3 NFL titles)

                (Seneca Wallace was drafted here but has only thrown for about 3500 yards so far in his career)

                Clearly one superstar and a few other serviceable players. But that is it for all those years.

                The moral of the story may be that, overall, you oughtta get your QB in the first round.

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                • T tshirtfan

                  1. First round quarterbacks are guaranteed more development, based on the desire to recoup the initial investment.

                  2. Most of the quarterbacks drafted in earlier rounds were better at the position IN COLLEGE than quarterbacks drafted in later rounds. Colt McCoy is one of the few stud college QBs whose draft stock slid. He's better than most other quarterbacks that wound up being third round picks.

                  3. This type of analysis can only show correlation; we need to understand what causes quarterbacks to be successful vs. busts. Even the best draft scouts can't do this reliably, which is why you see guys like Tom Brady become so successful, and guys like Ryan Leaf fail.

                  Bottom line? No idea if Colt will be successful, but it certainly could be argued that he has a much bigger chance than most of the other 3rd round picks on the list.

                  The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                  The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                  #8

                  @tshirtfan said:

                  1. First round quarterbacks are guaranteed more development, based on the desire to recoup the initial investment.

                  2. Most of the quarterbacks drafted in earlier rounds were better at the position IN COLLEGE than quarterbacks drafted in later rounds. Colt McCoy is one of the few stud college QBs whose draft stock slid. He's better than most other quarterbacks that wound up being third round picks.

                  3. This type of analysis can only show correlation; we need to understand what causes quarterbacks to be successful vs. busts. Even the best draft scouts can't do this reliably, which is why you see guys like Tom Brady become so successful, and guys like Ryan Leaf fail.

                  Bottom line? No idea if Colt will be successful, but it certainly could be argued that he has a much bigger chance than most of the other 3rd round picks on the list.

                  I agree. This would need far more analysis. This is merely raw data that I have given, which may show certain trends.

                  T 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • The GipperT The Gipper

                    @tshirtfan said:

                    1. First round quarterbacks are guaranteed more development, based on the desire to recoup the initial investment.

                    2. Most of the quarterbacks drafted in earlier rounds were better at the position IN COLLEGE than quarterbacks drafted in later rounds. Colt McCoy is one of the few stud college QBs whose draft stock slid. He's better than most other quarterbacks that wound up being third round picks.

                    3. This type of analysis can only show correlation; we need to understand what causes quarterbacks to be successful vs. busts. Even the best draft scouts can't do this reliably, which is why you see guys like Tom Brady become so successful, and guys like Ryan Leaf fail.

                    Bottom line? No idea if Colt will be successful, but it certainly could be argued that he has a much bigger chance than most of the other 3rd round picks on the list.

                    I agree. This would need far more analysis. This is merely raw data that I have given, which may show certain trends.

                    tshirtfan T
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                    T tshirtfan wrote on last edited by
                    #9

                    @the-gipper said:

                    I agree. This would need far more analysis. This is merely raw data that I have given, which may show certain trends.

                    It would be interesting to ask top NFL offensive coordinators what they believed the three most important skills and talents for quarterbacks to have, and the three most difficult weaknesses to overcome.

                    I think the fact that first round QBs get the most reps, development time, and attention attributes to their success a lot. Sam Bradford was not as "prepared" to play the pro game as Colt McCoy.. much less experienced. Didn't have to read the defense himself as much. But he's getting fast tracked.

                    I'd say the amount of development attention he's allegedly getting clearly demonstrates that he's going to get a shot to lead the franchise. It just doesn't sound like he's being groomed to be a lifetime backup; I'm sure many of the other third round QBs were.

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                    • T tshirtfan

                      1. First round quarterbacks are guaranteed more development, based on the desire to recoup the initial investment.

                      2. Most of the quarterbacks drafted in earlier rounds were better at the position IN COLLEGE than quarterbacks drafted in later rounds. Colt McCoy is one of the few stud college QBs whose draft stock slid. He's better than most other quarterbacks that wound up being third round picks.

                      3. This type of analysis can only show correlation; we need to understand what causes quarterbacks to be successful vs. busts. Even the best draft scouts can't do this reliably, which is why you see guys like Tom Brady become so successful, and guys like Ryan Leaf fail.

                      Bottom line? No idea if Colt will be successful, but it certainly could be argued that he has a much bigger chance than most of the other 3rd round picks on the list.

                      Thaak ThaakT
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                      ThaakT Thaak wrote on last edited by
                      #10

                      @tshirtfan said:

                      3. This type of analysis can only show correlation; we need to understand what causes quarterbacks to be successful vs. busts. Even the best draft scouts can't do this reliably, which is why you see guys like Tom Brady become so successful, and guys like Ryan Leaf fail.

                      I personally think there are a couple reasons for why a QB who was successful in college may be a bust in the NFL.

                      First, though, lets throw out the obvious reasons. The reasons why several of the Heisman QB's and National Championship QB's can't seem to make it. They are products of their college system, and have no real QB mentality or skills.

                      So lets take a QB that by all scouting reports have NFL calibre mentalities and skills.

                      1) They are drafted simply because they are good, but put into an offense that doesn't fit their particular personality or style. This actually seems to happen more with other positions than QB, but lets say that Atlanta decided Vick shouldn't run at all and be just a drop back passer. Things like this have, and will continue to happen.

                      2) They are thrown out to the wolves too soon. They aren't ready, and so lose confidence. Once the confidence to make the right decision is lost, they think too much, and become slow, or start panicking and making worse decisions. This happens quite often. The reason a QB is drafted and thrown right into the mix is often because the team sucks and needs them. A few success stories come out of this, but they are usually from a time when QB's were given more time to develop. One or two (or in the case of Bradshaw four) crap seasons didn't lose them the job automatically. Today, one or two crap games could lose them the job.

                      3) The talent around them isn't strong enough to help them out. Now if you have a good young core, that doesn't play well together yet, because they are young, then this isn't as much of a problem. Aikman and Elway are prime examples of this. They had terrible first seasons, then started doing well as the team started to gel and they started to learn the game.

                      The best case scenario, is the Montana/Young thing, or Favre/Rogers, or bringing Favre/Hasselbeck in with a strong team to help them out while they are still learning the game. Hell, I believe that the old LA Rams (yes the ones that won their super bowl) had two QB's that actually platooned throughout the season. Norm Van Brocklin was one, and I can't remember the other.

                      Couch, I am convinced, would have been a good QB given different circumstances.

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                      • The GipperT The Gipper

                        On another thread it was stated that we shouldn't get our hopes up over a QB drafted in the third round. I pointed out that the likes of Joe Montana, Dan Fouts and Fran Tarkenton were third round choices. Well, let's see what the 3rd round QB choices have looked like in the last, say 15 years. Here is the list of all the QBs chosen in the third round of the NFL draft between 1995 and 2009. Let us know how you think they have fared:

                        Eric Zeier, Cleveland

                        Stoney Case, Ariz.

                        Bobby Hoying, Phil.

                        Brian Griese, Denver

                        Jonathan Quinn, Jax.

                        Brock Huard Seattle

                        Chris Redman, Baltimore

                        Giovanni Carmazzi, SF

                        Josh McCown, Ariz.

                        Chris Simms, Tampa

                        Dave Ragone, Hou.

                        Matt Schaub, Atl.

                        David Green, Sea

                        Andrew Walter, Oak

                        Charlie Frye, Cle

                        Brody Croyle, KC

                        Charlie Whitehurst, SD

                        Trent Edwards, Buff.

                        Kevin O'Connell NE

                        I'll be honest with you, I don't see a star QB in that entire bunch. About the only one that might reach that status is Schaub. Griese was OK for a bit, but fell back.

                        Showing this list doesn't make one optimistic about McCoy. But, who knows. Lightning might strike.

                        ballpeen ballpeenB Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                        ballpeenB ballpeen wrote on last edited by
                        #11

                        @the-gipper said:

                        On another thread it was stated that we shouldn't get our hopes up over a QB drafted in the third round. I pointed out that the likes of Joe Montana, Dan Fouts and Fran Tarkenton were third round choices. Well, let's see what the 3rd round QB choices have looked like in the last, say 15 years. Here is the list of all the QBs chosen in the third round of the NFL draft between 1995 and 2009. Let us know how you think they have fared:

                        Eric Zeier, Cleveland

                        Stoney Case, Ariz.

                        Bobby Hoying, Phil.

                        Brian Griese, Denver

                        Jonathan Quinn, Jax.

                        Brock Huard Seattle

                        Chris Redman, Baltimore

                        Giovanni Carmazzi, SF

                        Josh McCown, Ariz.

                        Chris Simms, Tampa

                        Dave Ragone, Hou.

                        Matt Schaub, Atl.

                        David Green, Sea

                        Andrew Walter, Oak

                        Charlie Frye, Cle

                        Brody Croyle, KC

                        Charlie Whitehurst, SD

                        Trent Edwards, Buff.

                        Kevin O'Connell NE

                        I'll be honest with you, I don't see a star QB in that entire bunch. About the only one that might reach that status is Schaub. Griese was OK for a bit, but fell back.

                        Showing this list doesn't make one optimistic about McCoy. But, who knows. Lightning might strike.

                        I know we have been through this before some time back.....take Tarkenton as an example....his draft slot when he was drafted(not going to look up the exacts) would have made him a late first rounder today when taking in to account the number of teams drafting players....maybe a 12 team league v a 32 team league.

                        But I agree...lightening can strike twice, so lets see how it works out.

                        I will say that if things go sour this year and we have a shot at a top QB next year, I wouldn't let Colt sway my opinion and keep from drafting him.

                        So what if you end up with 2 good QBs....QB's always draw a premium in a trade.

                        If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.
                        ThaakT The GipperT 2 Replies Last reply
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                        • CLEVELandMILIDH C
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                          C CLEVELandMILIDH wrote on last edited by
                          #12

                          Here's the top 5 QB's with most wins in NCAA career.

                          45--Colt McCoy--Texas

                          42--David Greene--Georgia

                          39--Peyton Manning--Tennessee

                          38--Ken Dorsey--Miami (Fla)

                          37--Dan Marino--Pittsburgh

                          Two of the greatest quarterbacks in the history of the NFL are on that list, hopefully he can make it 3

                          1st Ezekiel Ansah, DE, BYU 3rd Darius Slay, CB, Mississippi State4th Landry Jones, QB, Oklahoma5th Earl Wolff, S, N.C. State6th Lucas Reed, TE, New Mexico
                          The GipperT slowburnS 2 Replies Last reply
                          ❤
                          Quote Reply
                          • ballpeenB ballpeen

                            @the-gipper said:

                            On another thread it was stated that we shouldn't get our hopes up over a QB drafted in the third round. I pointed out that the likes of Joe Montana, Dan Fouts and Fran Tarkenton were third round choices. Well, let's see what the 3rd round QB choices have looked like in the last, say 15 years. Here is the list of all the QBs chosen in the third round of the NFL draft between 1995 and 2009. Let us know how you think they have fared:

                            Eric Zeier, Cleveland

                            Stoney Case, Ariz.

                            Bobby Hoying, Phil.

                            Brian Griese, Denver

                            Jonathan Quinn, Jax.

                            Brock Huard Seattle

                            Chris Redman, Baltimore

                            Giovanni Carmazzi, SF

                            Josh McCown, Ariz.

                            Chris Simms, Tampa

                            Dave Ragone, Hou.

                            Matt Schaub, Atl.

                            David Green, Sea

                            Andrew Walter, Oak

                            Charlie Frye, Cle

                            Brody Croyle, KC

                            Charlie Whitehurst, SD

                            Trent Edwards, Buff.

                            Kevin O'Connell NE

                            I'll be honest with you, I don't see a star QB in that entire bunch. About the only one that might reach that status is Schaub. Griese was OK for a bit, but fell back.

                            Showing this list doesn't make one optimistic about McCoy. But, who knows. Lightning might strike.

                            I know we have been through this before some time back.....take Tarkenton as an example....his draft slot when he was drafted(not going to look up the exacts) would have made him a late first rounder today when taking in to account the number of teams drafting players....maybe a 12 team league v a 32 team league.

                            But I agree...lightening can strike twice, so lets see how it works out.

                            I will say that if things go sour this year and we have a shot at a top QB next year, I wouldn't let Colt sway my opinion and keep from drafting him.

                            So what if you end up with 2 good QBs....QB's always draw a premium in a trade.

                            Thaak ThaakT
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                            ThaakT Thaak wrote on last edited by
                            #13

                            @ballpeen said:

                            I know we have been through this before some time back.....take Tarkenton as an example....his draft slot when he was drafted(not going to look up the exacts) would have made him a late first rounder today when taking in to account the number of teams drafting players....maybe a 12 team league v a 32 team league.

                            But I agree...lightening can strike twice, so lets see how it works out.

                            I will say that if things go sour this year and we have a shot at a top QB next year, I wouldn't let Colt sway my opinion and keep from drafting him.

                            So what if you end up with 2 good QBs....QB's always draw a premium in a trade.

                            The NFL expanded to 14 teams in 1961 (the Vikings were one of those expansion teams). But the AFL also had 8 teams that year. So there were 22 teams vying for players.

                            Certainly not 32 teams, but still, the change isn't as drastic as you made it out to be.

                            ballpeenB 1 Reply Last reply
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                            • The GipperT The Gipper

                              On another thread it was stated that we shouldn't get our hopes up over a QB drafted in the third round. I pointed out that the likes of Joe Montana, Dan Fouts and Fran Tarkenton were third round choices. Well, let's see what the 3rd round QB choices have looked like in the last, say 15 years. Here is the list of all the QBs chosen in the third round of the NFL draft between 1995 and 2009. Let us know how you think they have fared:

                              Eric Zeier, Cleveland

                              Stoney Case, Ariz.

                              Bobby Hoying, Phil.

                              Brian Griese, Denver

                              Jonathan Quinn, Jax.

                              Brock Huard Seattle

                              Chris Redman, Baltimore

                              Giovanni Carmazzi, SF

                              Josh McCown, Ariz.

                              Chris Simms, Tampa

                              Dave Ragone, Hou.

                              Matt Schaub, Atl.

                              David Green, Sea

                              Andrew Walter, Oak

                              Charlie Frye, Cle

                              Brody Croyle, KC

                              Charlie Whitehurst, SD

                              Trent Edwards, Buff.

                              Kevin O'Connell NE

                              I'll be honest with you, I don't see a star QB in that entire bunch. About the only one that might reach that status is Schaub. Griese was OK for a bit, but fell back.

                              Showing this list doesn't make one optimistic about McCoy. But, who knows. Lightning might strike.

                              rich4eagle rich4eagleR One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                              rich4eagleR rich4eagle wrote on last edited by
                              #14

                              @the-gipper said:

                              On another thread it was stated that we shouldn't get our hopes up over a QB drafted in the third round. I pointed out that the likes of Joe Montana, Dan Fouts and Fran Tarkenton were third round choices. Well, let's see what the 3rd round QB choices have looked like in the last, say 15 years. Here is the list of all the QBs chosen in the third round of the NFL draft between 1995 and 2009. Let us know how you think they have fared:

                              Eric Zeier, Cleveland

                              Stoney Case, Ariz.

                              Bobby Hoying, Phil.

                              Brian Griese, Denver

                              Jonathan Quinn, Jax.

                              Brock Huard Seattle

                              Chris Redman, Baltimore

                              Giovanni Carmazzi, SF

                              Josh McCown, Ariz.

                              Chris Simms, Tampa

                              Dave Ragone, Hou.

                              Matt Schaub, Atl.

                              David Green, Sea

                              Andrew Walter, Oak

                              Charlie Frye, Cle

                              Brody Croyle, KC

                              Charlie Whitehurst, SD

                              Trent Edwards, Buff.

                              Kevin O'Connell NE

                              I'll be honest with you, I don't see a star QB in that entire bunch. About the only one that might reach that status is Schaub. Griese was OK for a bit, but fell back.

                              Showing this list doesn't make one optimistic about McCoy. But, who knows. Lightning might strike.

                              What is the point since about 20 first round QB's won the Bowl so far..........????????????????????

                              Offense Wins.......Franchise QB's are the key.............Defense keeps you in the game.........Go Buckeyes
                              The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • ThaakT Thaak

                                @ballpeen said:

                                I know we have been through this before some time back.....take Tarkenton as an example....his draft slot when he was drafted(not going to look up the exacts) would have made him a late first rounder today when taking in to account the number of teams drafting players....maybe a 12 team league v a 32 team league.

                                But I agree...lightening can strike twice, so lets see how it works out.

                                I will say that if things go sour this year and we have a shot at a top QB next year, I wouldn't let Colt sway my opinion and keep from drafting him.

                                So what if you end up with 2 good QBs....QB's always draw a premium in a trade.

                                The NFL expanded to 14 teams in 1961 (the Vikings were one of those expansion teams). But the AFL also had 8 teams that year. So there were 22 teams vying for players.

                                Certainly not 32 teams, but still, the change isn't as drastic as you made it out to be.

                                ballpeen ballpeenB Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                                ballpeenB ballpeen wrote on last edited by
                                #15

                                @thaak said:

                                The NFL expanded to 14 teams in 1961 (the Vikings were one of those expansion teams). But the AFL also had 8 teams that year. So there were 22 teams vying for players.

                                Certainly not 32 teams, but still, the change isn't as drastic as you made it out to be.

                                Like I said....i wan't going to go back and look it up.....but, ok, I will

                                Oops....here ya go...

                                http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1961_NFL_Draft

                                Seems Fran was the 29th player selected.....you do the math

                                So....lets see....hmmmm....29th player selected.....I am not the best at math but I think that puts him in the first round in todays NFL.

                                yep.....32 teams is more than 29 every time I count.

                                If i am wrong, let me know.

                                Yep, the AFL draft started in 1960, but really, that isn't germane to the discussion, so what's your point??? Tell me in detail how that relates to the discussion???

                                It doesn't, so don't even try.

                                Thanks

                                If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.
                                ThaakT 1 Reply Last reply
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                                • ballpeenB ballpeen

                                  @thaak said:

                                  The NFL expanded to 14 teams in 1961 (the Vikings were one of those expansion teams). But the AFL also had 8 teams that year. So there were 22 teams vying for players.

                                  Certainly not 32 teams, but still, the change isn't as drastic as you made it out to be.

                                  Like I said....i wan't going to go back and look it up.....but, ok, I will

                                  Oops....here ya go...

                                  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1961_NFL_Draft

                                  Seems Fran was the 29th player selected.....you do the math

                                  So....lets see....hmmmm....29th player selected.....I am not the best at math but I think that puts him in the first round in todays NFL.

                                  yep.....32 teams is more than 29 every time I count.

                                  If i am wrong, let me know.

                                  Yep, the AFL draft started in 1960, but really, that isn't germane to the discussion, so what's your point??? Tell me in detail how that relates to the discussion???

                                  It doesn't, so don't even try.

                                  Thanks

                                  Thaak ThaakT
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                                  ThaakT Thaak wrote on last edited by
                                  #16

                                  @ballpeen said:

                                  Like I said....i wan't going to go back and look it up.....but, ok, I will

                                  Oops....here ya go...

                                  http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1961_NFL_Draft

                                  Seems Fran was the 29th player selected.....you do the math

                                  So....lets see....hmmmm....29th player selected.....I am not the best at math but I think that puts him in the first round in todays NFL.

                                  yep.....32 teams is more than 29 every time I count.

                                  If i am wrong, let me know.

                                  Yep, the AFL draft started in 1960, but really, that isn't germane to the discussion, so what's your point??? Tell me in detail how that relates to the discussion???

                                  It doesn't, so don't even try.

                                  Thanks

                                  The AFL is germane to the discussion. Its 8 additional teams that take players. Sure, originally they may not have had a deal with the NFL over how to coordinate drafts (not sure they ever really did). But considering the AFL did well in the initial super bowls, they were getting valid talent that wasn't going to the NFL.

                                  Therefore, those 8 teams matter when discussing who went where and how many were chosen in a given year.

                                  And remember, 29th pick overall was a 2nd round draft pick prior to the Panthers and Jaguars.

                                  Granted, times have changed, and QB's go top 10 overall now, simply because it is hard to find 32 bonafide starters every year. There are always teams, every year, that are starving for a QB.

                                  If every team had at least a decent QB, then half these drafts since 1996 that had 1st and 2nd round QB's would have had zero QB's drafted prior to round 3.

                                  Now stop being a butthead in the way you respond to me.

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                                  • ballpeen ballpeenB Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                                    ballpeenB ballpeen wrote on last edited by
                                    #17

                                    it still doesn't make sense, but Ok, it won't be a butthead.

                                    The fact still remains he was the 29th player selected and there are 32 teams in the league today....and have been for more than a few years, but it is far from "the change isn't as drastic as you made it out to be".

                                    It is what it is

                                    If everybody had like minds, we would never learn.
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                                    • Pumpkin Eater P
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                                      P Pumpkin Eater wrote on last edited by
                                      #18

                                      in a game like the NFL, past statistics have no bearing on the future. These aren't scientific laws as some people like to make them out to be.

                                      For instance, the Cleveland Browns have never won the AFC north. does that mean they never will?

                                      :neutral_face:
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                                      • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                                        The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                                        #19

                                        Note to Thaak. The LA Rams did use a platoon QB system with Van Brocklin and Bob Waterfield. And, FYI, both were inducted into the PFHOF!

                                        ThaakT 1 Reply Last reply
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                                        • ballpeenB ballpeen

                                          @the-gipper said:

                                          On another thread it was stated that we shouldn't get our hopes up over a QB drafted in the third round. I pointed out that the likes of Joe Montana, Dan Fouts and Fran Tarkenton were third round choices. Well, let's see what the 3rd round QB choices have looked like in the last, say 15 years. Here is the list of all the QBs chosen in the third round of the NFL draft between 1995 and 2009. Let us know how you think they have fared:

                                          Eric Zeier, Cleveland

                                          Stoney Case, Ariz.

                                          Bobby Hoying, Phil.

                                          Brian Griese, Denver

                                          Jonathan Quinn, Jax.

                                          Brock Huard Seattle

                                          Chris Redman, Baltimore

                                          Giovanni Carmazzi, SF

                                          Josh McCown, Ariz.

                                          Chris Simms, Tampa

                                          Dave Ragone, Hou.

                                          Matt Schaub, Atl.

                                          David Green, Sea

                                          Andrew Walter, Oak

                                          Charlie Frye, Cle

                                          Brody Croyle, KC

                                          Charlie Whitehurst, SD

                                          Trent Edwards, Buff.

                                          Kevin O'Connell NE

                                          I'll be honest with you, I don't see a star QB in that entire bunch. About the only one that might reach that status is Schaub. Griese was OK for a bit, but fell back.

                                          Showing this list doesn't make one optimistic about McCoy. But, who knows. Lightning might strike.

                                          I know we have been through this before some time back.....take Tarkenton as an example....his draft slot when he was drafted(not going to look up the exacts) would have made him a late first rounder today when taking in to account the number of teams drafting players....maybe a 12 team league v a 32 team league.

                                          But I agree...lightening can strike twice, so lets see how it works out.

                                          I will say that if things go sour this year and we have a shot at a top QB next year, I wouldn't let Colt sway my opinion and keep from drafting him.

                                          So what if you end up with 2 good QBs....QB's always draw a premium in a trade.

                                          The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                                          The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                                          #20

                                          @ballpeen said:

                                          I know we have been through this before some time back.....take Tarkenton as an example....his draft slot when he was drafted(not going to look up the exacts) would have made him a late first rounder today when taking in to account the number of teams drafting players....maybe a 12 team league v a 32 team league.

                                          But I agree...lightening can strike twice, so lets see how it works out.

                                          I will say that if things go sour this year and we have a shot at a top QB next year, I wouldn't let Colt sway my opinion and keep from drafting him.

                                          So what if you end up with 2 good QBs....QB's always draw a premium in a trade.

                                          Peen, one of the reasons I only went back to 1995 was because of the situation you describe: the expanded number of teams drafting. Though I think in Tarkenton's case he would have been a mid to early second rounder today given his draft position.

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