Strength Of Schedule
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Here from ESPN:
2012 NFL Strength of Schedule By Team
A look at the most difficult schedules in 2012 (based on opponents' 2011 record).
Rank Team Combined W-L Record Winning Pct. Games vs. Quality Opp.**
1 N.Y. Giants* 140-116 .547 7
2 Denver* 139-117 .543 7
3 Cleveland 135-121 .527 7
4 St. Louis 134-122 .523 5
4 Baltimore* 134-122 .523 7
6 San Diego 133-123 .520 6
7 Philadelphia 132-124 .516 8
8 Minnesota 131-125 .512 7
8 Arizona 131-125 .512 6
10 Carolina 130-126 .508 5
11 Seattle 129-127 .504 5
11 Dallas 129-127 .504 7
11 New Orleans* 129-127 .504 5
14 Jacksonville 128-128 .500 8
14 Cincinnati* 128-128 .500 5
14 Pittsburgh* 128-128 .500 6
14 Indianapolis 128-128 .500 7
18 Oakland 127-129 .496 5
18 Miami 127-129 .496 6
20 N.Y. Jets 126-130 .492 6
20 Kansas City 126-130 .492 5
20 Chicago 126-130 .492 7
20 Detroit* 126-130 .492 6
24 Washington 125-131 .488 7
24 Atlanta* 125-131 .488 4
24 San Francisco* 125-131 .488 5
27 Tampa Bay 124-132 .484 5
28 Tennessee 123-133 .480 6
29 Houston* 121-135 .473 6
29 Buffalo 121-135 .473 5
31 Green Bay* 120-136 .469 7
32 New England* 116-140 .453 4
* 2011 playoff team.
** Quality opponents are teams that had at least nine wins in 2011.
How deceiving do you think this will turn out to be?
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Even if the Browns's swapped places with the Patriots, who have the "easiest" strenght of schedule,
I think they will be hard pressed to win 6 games. jmfo
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It is very deceiving. I appreciate the importance of statistics in sports, but wins and losses from last year have no bearing on the 2012 season. Almost every team is vastly different with added draft picks and free agents. Plus injuries will affect teams next year too. Every year ESPN talks about who has an "easy" or "hard" schedule and they never turn out to be correct..
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And riddle me this: Every year for like 16 years in a row now at least 5 playoffs teams from the year before failed to make the playoffs the following year. So with that in mind, which 5 minimum of these playoff teams from last year will NOT make the playoffs in the 2012 season?:
AFC:
Patriots
Ravens
Steelers
Bengals
Texans
Broncos
NFC:
Giants
Packers
Lions
Saints
Falcons
49ers
For my money I think the 5 teams that are in trouble to make it back are:
A. The Bengals....because historically they are always hot and cold. One year good, one year bad. What can I say, it is their pattern.
B. Ravens. Yep. Issues with Ray Rice being disgruntled and Ray Lewis and Ed Reed are not getting younger.
C. Saints. All this Bountygate and now Drew Brees's contract are distractions
D. Lions. They operate on the thin edge of the wedge, particulary with Matt Stafford's health.
E. Giants. Sorry, but everywhere they went last year they scraped by on the skin of their teeth.
F. Broncos. I am just not convinced that the Peyton Manning experiment will be a complete success.
Getting in who were not there last year: perhaps Cowboys and Eagles, plus either Cardinals or one of either the Bucs or Panthers.
In the AFC the Chargers could make it back, the Titans could, as could a scramble between Jets, Dolphins and Bills.
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More on the same point:
In 2010 these teams were in the playoffs but did not appear in 2011:
Seahawks, Jets, Colts, Eagles, Chiefs, Bears
These are the teams that replaced them in the playoffs:
Lions, 49ers, Giants, Broncos, Texans, Bengals.
So, yea, strength of schedule can be misleading. It is just a barometer. A team that went 11-5 last year could end up 5-11. God knows the Browns have done that a few times in history. And a 5-11 team can end up at 11-5. The Browns have done that too.
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It is very deceiving. I appreciate the importance of statistics in sports, but wins and losses from last year have no bearing on the 2012 season. Almost every team is vastly different with added draft picks and free agents. Plus injuries will affect teams next year too. Every year ESPN talks about who has an "easy" or "hard" schedule and they never turn out to be correct..
It is very deceiving. I appreciate the importance of statistics in sports, but wins and losses from last year have no bearing on the 2012 season. Almost every team is vastly different with added draft picks and free agents. Plus injuries will affect teams next year too. Every year ESPN talks about who has an "easy" or "hard" schedule and they never turn out to be correct..
vastly different may be an overstatement
I'd like to see data on the percent change from last years record to next for each team over the past 15 years or so...
anyone wanna do that for me?
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It is very deceiving. I appreciate the importance of statistics in sports, but wins and losses from last year have no bearing on the 2012 season. Almost every team is vastly different with added draft picks and free agents. Plus injuries will affect teams next year too. Every year ESPN talks about who has an "easy" or "hard" schedule and they never turn out to be correct..
vastly different may be an overstatement
I'd like to see data on the percent change from last years record to next for each team over the past 15 years or so...
anyone wanna do that for me?
vastly different may be an overstatement
I'd like to see data on the percent change from last years record to next for each team over the past 15 years or so...
anyone wanna do that for me?
No. But you can see from my post that every year of those 15 years you are talking about at least 5 new teams have made the playoffs. I think that is the more pertinent statistic.
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