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Run defense - player breakout/ratings

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  • How about giving us the link to where you are getting these rankings.

  • holy shit batman, great stuff!

    i would have never guessed that we played a better run D when rubin went out and taylor was back and forth.

    glad to see mingo wasn't as bad as people had thought.

    prob take a DL with the 12th if there's no movement.

  • Thanks so much!

    I love seeing stats that grade out how players actually do every play. As they say, you're exactly as good as your record.

    This eliminates the blowhardiness of people who come on and talk about how REAL FOOTBALL COACHES look at "Things Everyone Knows" and therefore Because He Tries Really Hard, we should pay big bucks to some incompetent old free agent who's been cut by 4 teams.. or trade Joe Thomas for a backup linebacker.

    I thought Mingo was not that good, but hopefully next year he'll be even better.. It's pretty astounding he was able to play the entire year with his shoulder in a sling.

    It's frustrating that Kirksey's ceiling is probably Robertson.. but not shocking given that Kirksey was only a 4th round pick.

    Not shocking that Rubin and Taylor stink.

  • Thanks so much!

    I love seeing stats that grade out how players actually do every play. As they say, you're exactly as good as your record.

    This eliminates the blowhardiness of people who come on and talk about how REAL FOOTBALL COACHES look at "Things Everyone Knows" and therefore Because He Tries Really Hard, we should pay big bucks to some incompetent old free agent who's been cut by 4 teams.. or trade Joe Thomas for a backup linebacker.

    I thought Mingo was not that good, but hopefully next year he'll be even better.. It's pretty astounding he was able to play the entire year with his shoulder in a sling.

    It's frustrating that Kirksey's ceiling is probably Robertson.. but not shocking given that Kirksey was only a 4th round pick.

    Not shocking that Rubin and Taylor stink.

    @unsympathetic said:

    Not shocking that Rubin and Taylor stink.

    hilarious!!

    i thought taylor was the mainstay of the D line.......hard to believe that sometimes what you perceive to see with your own two old assed blind eyes is really not what is happening.

    man, i need to start taking drugs (again).

  • How about giving us the link to where you are getting these rankings.

    @the-gipper said:

    How about giving us the link to where you are getting these rankings.

    Mostly from PFF and I cant cut/paste or link to it cause its a pay service...

    @miktoxic said:

    glad to see mingo wasn't as bad as people had thought.

    prob take a DL with the 12th if there's no movement.

    Me too....I was pretty hard on him(Mingo) this year..

    yes, id say take best "front 7" available...example, if Shelton was gone, but Beasley was still there....BAM...hes a Brown!

    @unsympathetic said:

    Thanks so much!

    I love seeing stats that grade out how players actually do every play. As they say, you're exactly as good as your record.

    It's frustrating that Kirksey's ceiling is probably Robertson.. but not shocking given that Kirksey was only a 4th round pick.

    Yep...they help tell the whole story....Hey, Mingo cant get a sack if coach doesnt rush him, right?....yet, people grade him on not having enough sacks....or Kruger is great because he had 11 sacks, yet thats the only thing he did well....etc etc....

  • Nice job, Mud... buy yourself a beer... on me... 😉

    Couple questions:

    • Are all the ratings vs. the run only? I'm guessing yes, since it was a run D analysis (duh), but I got a little confused when you started breaking down Sheard vs. Krugs and the relative pass/run contributions to their grades.
    • In the game grades vs. run... do they note positives for occupying blockers? Assuming yes, what's the weight vs. a solo tackle vs. an assist?
    The latter question is the biggie as it would seem that in the 1st ERA when the LBs were leading as designed, then the DL must have been keeping them clean, yet the DL graded lower. Can't make sense of that...
  • Nice job, Mud... buy yourself a beer... on me... 😉

    Couple questions:

    • Are all the ratings vs. the run only? I'm guessing yes, since it was a run D analysis (duh), but I got a little confused when you started breaking down Sheard vs. Krugs and the relative pass/run contributions to their grades.
    • In the game grades vs. run... do they note positives for occupying blockers? Assuming yes, what's the weight vs. a solo tackle vs. an assist?
    The latter question is the biggie as it would seem that in the 1st ERA when the LBs were leading as designed, then the DL must have been keeping them clean, yet the DL graded lower. Can't make sense of that...

    @tour2ma said:

    Nice job, Mud... buy yourself a beer... on me... 😉

    Couple questions:

    • Are all the ratings vs. the run only? I'm guessing yes, since it was a run D analysis (duh), but I got a little confused when you started breaking down Sheard vs. Krugs and the relative pass/run contributions to their grades.
    • In the game grades vs. run... do they note positives for occupying blockers? Assuming yes, what's the weight vs. a solo tackle vs. an assist?
    The latter question is the biggie as it would seem that in the 1st ERA when the LBs were leading as designed, then the DL must have been keeping them clean, yet the DL graded lower. Can't make sense of that...

    Thanks Tour....been putting it together for a while now....

    #1...I have no answer for that first one...😉

    #2... see how that can be confusing....The first block I posted was run D specific and all the LB...DB ...DL ratings were run d only

    ........BUT...the second block I posted(on LB's) is an overall rating for them...includes Run D, Pass D and Pass ratings....

    #3...No. They dont give us specifics stats for holding a block, per se....but it is in the equation and factored. They do not reveal the weighting. They also incude a "stop" stat that is one of my favorites. Which is basically given when that player creates the end of an offensive play.

    Here's a good example....picture this(cause we all can)....Mingo comes flying thru at 100mhp on the blitz and hits the QB....freezes him....but doesnt bring him down.....and instant later Kruger(or anyone) finishes him off...gets the sack.....and we all chortle about Mingo and his one armed missed tackle....right?.....but HE gets the stop at PFF.....cause he, in essense, ended the offensive plays progress.....So, I like the "stop" concept very much and the fact that they break it out there(nice stat).....

    The Lb rating contradiction in era 1 is mostly explained by the perceived assignments over that period and those who are grading them...meaning the last 3 games of Era 1, the LBs were perceived as having much more run responsibility than they were the first 3 games, and were graded differently because of it..... it would take a lot of paragraphs to show how exactly I came to it, but the cliffs notes are they do break out "run snaps" vs "pass snaps" and you can see it per game/per snap basis(and it's not run/pass plays...its what that player played on that snap, see?)....and then you can easily see the trends(and adjustments the D was making)......LB plays run 10 snaps/gm for 3 games, then suddenly plays run 30 snaps/gm for 3 games and grades change dramatically over those same games.....etc...

    Im gonna post a follow up to this that kinda shows some of the formation changes he made and how the grades coincide....it'll help with the overall picture.....but not today....🙂

  • Rubin signed a one year deal with Seattle. Browns definitely go defense at #12

  • Rubin signed a one year deal with Seattle. Browns definitely go defense at #12

    @opal312 said:

    Rubin signed a one year deal with Seattle. Browns definitely go defense at #12

    curious how much he's gettin?......even with all the bad things I said about his play this year, he was a good player for us for quite a while(and very good teammate). I think he could rebound from his injury and do well. The 4-3 Seattle plays should work well for him.....so good luck and adios to the Ruben sammich

  • Great data. Have another beer. This one on me. Thanks.

  • Ah, 17 games? Did we make the playoffs?

  • Gotta disagree with u on Rubin.. Rubin was a 6th rounder for a reason: He's very limited athletically. He was decent until he was unable to compensate.

    I don't think he'll be even serviceable in Seattle.. he's done

  • Danny Shelton.

  • Ah, 17 games? Did we make the playoffs?

    @texasag1969 said:

    Ah, 17 games? Did we make the playoffs?

    Guessing he meant weeks, but, yeah... 😛

  • @texasag1969 said:

    Ah, 17 games? Did we make the playoffs?

    Guessing he meant weeks, but, yeah... 😛

    @gftchris said:

    Guessing he meant weeks, but, yeah... 😛

    Damn I was hoping I had slept through our playoff loss. 😆

  • @tour2ma said:

    Nice job, Mud... buy yourself a beer... on me... 😉

    Couple questions:

    • Are all the ratings vs. the run only? I'm guessing yes, since it was a run D analysis (duh), but I got a little confused when you started breaking down Sheard vs. Krugs and the relative pass/run contributions to their grades.
    • In the game grades vs. run... do they note positives for occupying blockers? Assuming yes, what's the weight vs. a solo tackle vs. an assist?
    The latter question is the biggie as it would seem that in the 1st ERA when the LBs were leading as designed, then the DL must have been keeping them clean, yet the DL graded lower. Can't make sense of that...

    Thanks Tour....been putting it together for a while now....

    #1...I have no answer for that first one...😉

    #2... see how that can be confusing....The first block I posted was run D specific and all the LB...DB ...DL ratings were run d only

    ........BUT...the second block I posted(on LB's) is an overall rating for them...includes Run D, Pass D and Pass ratings....

    #3...No. They dont give us specifics stats for holding a block, per se....but it is in the equation and factored. They do not reveal the weighting. They also incude a "stop" stat that is one of my favorites. Which is basically given when that player creates the end of an offensive play.

    Here's a good example....picture this(cause we all can)....Mingo comes flying thru at 100mhp on the blitz and hits the QB....freezes him....but doesnt bring him down.....and instant later Kruger(or anyone) finishes him off...gets the sack.....and we all chortle about Mingo and his one armed missed tackle....right?.....but HE gets the stop at PFF.....cause he, in essense, ended the offensive plays progress.....So, I like the "stop" concept very much and the fact that they break it out there(nice stat).....

    The Lb rating contradiction in era 1 is mostly explained by the perceived assignments over that period and those who are grading them...meaning the last 3 games of Era 1, the LBs were perceived as having much more run responsibility than they were the first 3 games, and were graded differently because of it..... it would take a lot of paragraphs to show how exactly I came to it, but the cliffs notes are they do break out "run snaps" vs "pass snaps" and you can see it per game/per snap basis(and it's not run/pass plays...its what that player played on that snap, see?)....and then you can easily see the trends(and adjustments the D was making)......LB plays run 10 snaps/gm for 3 games, then suddenly plays run 30 snaps/gm for 3 games and grades change dramatically over those same games.....etc...

    Im gonna post a follow up to this that kinda shows some of the formation changes he made and how the grades coincide....it'll help with the overall picture.....but not today....🙂

    @mudfly said:

    Im gonna post a follow up to this that kinda shows some of the formation changes he made and how the grades coincide....it'll help with the overall picture.....but not today.... 🙂

    No hurry, my friend... thanks for the reply... cleared the methodology up some...

    @wargograw said:

    Great data. Have another beer. This one on me. Thanks.

    ... or on mik, if you win the bet...

  • Ah, 17 games? Did we make the playoffs?

    @texasag1969 said:

    Ah, 17 games? Did we make the playoffs?

    @gftchris said:

    Guessing he meant weeks, but, yeah... 😛

    yes, you got it...... era 1 was 6 games over 7 weeks.....I coulda spelled that out a little better....

  • im very surprised by Dansby's PFF rating. He looked out of place and consistently in the wrong gap all season long...just like all our LB'ers.

  • im very surprised by Dansby's PFF rating. He looked out of place and consistently in the wrong gap all season long...just like all our LB'ers.

    @clevfan4life said:

    im very surprised by Dansby's PFF rating. He looked out of place and consistently in the wrong gap all season long...just like all our LB'ers.

    That describes D'Qwell Jackson...you sure you didn't sleep through last year?

  • im very surprised by Dansby's PFF rating. He looked out of place and consistently in the wrong gap all season long...just like all our LB'ers.

    @clevfan4life said:

    im very surprised by Dansby's PFF rating. He looked out of place and consistently in the wrong gap all season long...just like all our LB'ers.

    Ha....Im not surprised that you are surprised....😉

    we definitely have different perspectives on how Pettine uses these guys....

    @the-gipper said:

    That describes D'Qwell Jackson...

    Double HA!...

    Yeah, Id take Dansby a thousand times over DQ.....