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If the Playoffs started today 11/15/16

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  • In the "race" for the #1pick, looks like the 49ers are going to give us some serious competition. Checked their schedule. This week? Patriots = loss, book it. Their only chances @ wins IMHO are Da Bears & Rams, and they're both on the road.

    T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by
    #6

    @hoorta said:

    In the "race" for the #1pick, looks like the 49ers are going to give us some serious competition. Checked their schedule. This week? Patriots = loss, book it. Their only chances @ wins IMHO are Da Bears & Rams, and they're both on the road.

    But we have to win 2 to "lose" the race due to division strength of schedule.

  • @hoorta said:

    In the "race" for the #1pick, looks like the 49ers are going to give us some serious competition. Checked their schedule. This week? Patriots = loss, book it. Their only chances @ wins IMHO are Da Bears & Rams, and they're both on the road.

    But we have to win 2 to "lose" the race due to division strength of schedule.

    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #7

    @texasag1969 said:

    But we have to win 2 to "lose" the race due to division strength of schedule.

    Probably.. I just went over this in another thread.

  • @hoorta said:

    In the "race" for the #1pick, looks like the 49ers are going to give us some serious competition. Checked their schedule. This week? Patriots = loss, book it. Their only chances @ wins IMHO are Da Bears & Rams, and they're both on the road.

    But we have to win 2 to "lose" the race due to division strength of schedule.

    hoortaH hoorta wrote on last edited by hoorta
    #8

    @texasag1969 said:

    But we have to win 2 to "lose" the race due to division strength of schedule.

    @the-gipper said:

    Probably.. I just went over this in another thread.

    Yeah- I just took a look at that Gip, and I'm worried. Only sure way to get that #1 overall is to lose out. 🙁

    IIRC it's not "division SoS, it's overall SoS. OK, probably a little early to do the projection. But I did. First, throw out the 5 common opponents (Cowboys, Pats, ect.) Insert current records of teams yet to be played. Assume both the 49ers and the Browns both lose this week. Give the Browns a win somewhere down the road.

    Browns have played the tougher schedule (by two more opponent wins to date). Pick second.

    Throwing out the non-common games.....

    49ers finish with Falcons, Bears, Rams Seahawks. (49ers best chance at another win)

    Browns finish with Giants, Bungles, Chargers, Steelers.

    I'll call the Falcons\Giants games a wash as to record. In the race for the #1 overall, the Browns losing to both the Bungles and Steelers would be very bad. (Ups their win total)

    So, in a nutshell, root for the Falcons and Seahawks to win, and everyone left on the Browns non-division schedule to lose.

  • @texasag1969 said:

    But we have to win 2 to "lose" the race due to division strength of schedule.

    @the-gipper said:

    Probably.. I just went over this in another thread.

    Yeah- I just took a look at that Gip, and I'm worried. Only sure way to get that #1 overall is to lose out. 🙁

    IIRC it's not "division SoS, it's overall SoS. OK, probably a little early to do the projection. But I did. First, throw out the 5 common opponents (Cowboys, Pats, ect.) Insert current records of teams yet to be played. Assume both the 49ers and the Browns both lose this week. Give the Browns a win somewhere down the road.

    Browns have played the tougher schedule (by two more opponent wins to date). Pick second.

    Throwing out the non-common games.....

    49ers finish with Falcons, Bears, Rams Seahawks. (49ers best chance at another win)

    Browns finish with Giants, Bungles, Chargers, Steelers.

    I'll call the Falcons\Giants games a wash as to record. In the race for the #1 overall, the Browns losing to both the Bungles and Steelers would be very bad. (Ups their win total)

    So, in a nutshell, root for the Falcons and Seahawks to win, and everyone left on the Browns non-division schedule to lose.

    hoortaH hoorta wrote on last edited by
    #9

    @hoorta said:

    Yeah- I just took a look at that Gip, and I'm worried. Only sure way to get that #1 overall is to lose out. 🙁

    IIRC it's not "division SoS, it's overall SoS. OK, probably a little early to do the projection. But I did. First, throw out the 5 common opponents (Cowboys, Pats, ect.) Insert current records of teams yet to be played. Give the Browns a win somewhere down the road.

    Browns have played the tougher schedule Pick second.

    Throwing out the non-common games.....

    49ers finish with Bears, Falcons, Rams Seahawks. (49ers best chance at another win)

    Browns finish with Bungles, (Bills), Chargers, Steelers.

    Bump. In the race to #1. Darn, the Niners almost pulled it out against Miami. Here's the update. San Fran better beat the Bears- because it just got worse. In case of identical records, San Fran picks first. Their opponents have 54 wins, the Browns 60.

  • T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by
    #10

    49s also have the Jets at home week 14, their most winnable game. Did you double the wins of divisional opponents in that count?

  • @hoorta said:

    Yeah- I just took a look at that Gip, and I'm worried. Only sure way to get that #1 overall is to lose out. 🙁

    IIRC it's not "division SoS, it's overall SoS. OK, probably a little early to do the projection. But I did. First, throw out the 5 common opponents (Cowboys, Pats, ect.) Insert current records of teams yet to be played. Give the Browns a win somewhere down the road.

    Browns have played the tougher schedule Pick second.

    Throwing out the non-common games.....

    49ers finish with Bears, Falcons, Rams Seahawks. (49ers best chance at another win)

    Browns finish with Bungles, (Bills), Chargers, Steelers.

    Bump. In the race to #1. Darn, the Niners almost pulled it out against Miami. Here's the update. San Fran better beat the Bears- because it just got worse. In case of identical records, San Fran picks first. Their opponents have 54 wins, the Browns 60.

    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #11

    @hoorta said:

    Bump. In the race to #1. Darn, the Niners almost pulled it out against Miami. Here's the update. San Fran better beat the Bears- because it just got worse. In case of identical records, San Fran picks first. Their opponents have 54 wins, the Browns 60.

    But, the Niners have played one more game than the Browns. That is why.

    This week we have the last two teams to take their byes I believe: Browns and Titans.

  • @hoorta said:

    Bump. In the race to #1. Darn, the Niners almost pulled it out against Miami. Here's the update. San Fran better beat the Bears- because it just got worse. In case of identical records, San Fran picks first. Their opponents have 54 wins, the Browns 60.

    But, the Niners have played one more game than the Browns. That is why.

    This week we have the last two teams to take their byes I believe: Browns and Titans.

    hoortaH hoorta wrote on last edited by hoorta
    #12

    @the-gipper said:

    But, the Niners have played one more game than the Browns. That is why.

    This week we have the last two teams to take their byes I believe: Browns and Titans.

    Not so Gip. The "projection" factors in the current records of teams the Browns & 49ers have yet to play. Of course, the assumption includes the Browns winning a game somewhere. Doesn't matter that much about the extra game the Browns have played.

    Subject to change, every Atlanta, Arizona (man, they're sucking) & Seattle win helps the Browns. I'll update as needed.

  • 49s also have the Jets at home week 14, their most winnable game. Did you double the wins of divisional opponents in that count?

    hoortaH hoorta wrote on last edited by hoorta
    #13

    @texasag1969 said:

    49s also have the Jets at home week 14, their most winnable game. Did you double the wins of divisional opponents in that count?

    Yup, sure did. It hurts that the Cardinals and Rams are playing poorly. I expected better out of Arizona. I could see the Browns eking out a win against the beat up Bengals, or the Chargers- but both? Doubtful.

    The game against the Bengals after the bye will be telling. both teams will have little to play for. The Browns will either come out fired up, or have mailed in the season.

  • @the-gipper said:

    But, the Niners have played one more game than the Browns. That is why.

    This week we have the last two teams to take their byes I believe: Browns and Titans.

    Not so Gip. The "projection" factors in the current records of teams the Browns & 49ers have yet to play. Of course, the assumption includes the Browns winning a game somewhere. Doesn't matter that much about the extra game the Browns have played.

    Subject to change, every Atlanta, Arizona (man, they're sucking) & Seattle win helps the Browns. I'll update as needed.

    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #14

    @hoorta said:

    Not so Gip. The "projection" factors in the current records of teams the Browns & 49ers have yet to play. Of course, the assumption includes the Browns winning a game somewhere. Doesn't matter that much about the extra game the Browns have played.

    Subject to change, every Atlanta, Arizona (man, they're sucking) & Seattle win helps the Browns. I'll update as needed.

    I don't think so. You said that Browns opponents have won 60 games thus far, and the 49ers foes have 54 The Browns have played 12 opponents. the 49ers have played only 11 opponents.

    So, perhaps we should look at it like this:

    Average number of wins of Browns opponents: 5 60/12. Average number of wins by 49ers opponents: 4.909. So, yes, for now the 49ers would have a better run.....but they also have a stronger remaining schedule I believe.

  • The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #15

    But, it is true that the 49ers play an "easier" schedule the rest of the way.

    The Browns remaining opponents: Steelers/Bengals/Bills/Chargers are 20-23-1 .465

    The 49ers remaining opponents: Falcons/Rams/Bears/Jets/Seahawks are 23-31-1 .426

    So, for the Browns to get the #1 pick....of course all they have to do is lose the rest of the way....or at least lose fewer than the 49ers.

    Or if they tie they must have a weaker SOS.....and we won't know that any time soon.

    But....let's put it this way: the Bengals/Jets and Bears are looking about as bad as the Browns are looking at this point.

  • D BoneD D Bone wrote on last edited by
    #16

    With our luck, RG3 will come back and we'll win 3 of the last 4, giving the FO false hope and changing their draft/FA strategy to build around the glass framed QB.

  • Browns1216B Browns1216 wrote on last edited by
    #17

    is there much difference between picking #1 overall vs. #2 overall? Is there a consensus player that we absolutely have to have at #1 that for sure will not be there at #2?

  • With our luck, RG3 will come back and we'll win 3 of the last 4, giving the FO false hope and changing their draft/FA strategy to build around the glass framed QB.

    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #18

    @d-bone said:

    With our luck, RG3 will come back and we'll win 3 of the last 4, giving the FO false hope and changing their draft/FA strategy to build around the glass framed QB.

    That does actually concern me.

  • is there much difference between picking #1 overall vs. #2 overall? Is there a consensus player that we absolutely have to have at #1 that for sure will not be there at #2?

    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #19

    @browns1216 said:

    is there much difference between picking #1 overall vs. #2 overall? Is there a consensus player that we absolutely have to have at #1 that for sure will not be there at #2?

    Have you not been paying attention on this Board: A Quarterback.

  • @browns1216 said:

    is there much difference between picking #1 overall vs. #2 overall? Is there a consensus player that we absolutely have to have at #1 that for sure will not be there at #2?

    Have you not been paying attention on this Board: A Quarterback.

    T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by
    #20

    @the-gipper said:

    Have you not been paying attention on this Board: A Quarterback.

    SF needs Garrett more than they need a QB.

  • @hoorta said:

    Not so Gip. The "projection" factors in the current records of teams the Browns & 49ers have yet to play. Of course, the assumption includes the Browns winning a game somewhere. Doesn't matter that much about the extra game the Browns have played.

    Subject to change, every Atlanta, Arizona (man, they're sucking) & Seattle win helps the Browns. I'll update as needed.

    I don't think so. You said that Browns opponents have won 60 games thus far, and the 49ers foes have 54 The Browns have played 12 opponents. the 49ers have played only 11 opponents.

    So, perhaps we should look at it like this:

    Average number of wins of Browns opponents: 5 60/12. Average number of wins by 49ers opponents: 4.909. So, yes, for now the 49ers would have a better run.....but they also have a stronger remaining schedule I believe.

    hoortaH hoorta wrote on last edited by
    #21

    @the-gipper said:

    I don't think so. You said that Browns opponents have won 60 games thus far, and the 49ers foes have 54 The Browns have played 12 opponents. the 49ers have played only 11 opponents.

    So, perhaps we should look at it like this:

    Average number of wins of Browns opponents: 5 60/12. Average number of wins by 49ers opponents: 4.909. So, yes, for now the 49ers would have a better run.....but they also have a stronger remaining schedule I believe.

    You're a little confused on how I came up with that number Gip. It's not "thus far". I also counted in the current record (read that wins) of teams the Browns and 49ers have yet to play. It's projected over the entire 17 week season. Will that # change? Of course, but it's at least a measuring stick.

    What kills the Browns vs. 49ers on SOS, is San Fran has played (or will) the 4 win X2 Rams, 4 win X2 Cardinals, the 4 win Panthers, and the 2 win Bears. (Jets doesn't count, because it's a common opponent & that's true of all common opponents.)

    Teams we want to see win- Cardinals, Carolina, Tampa, Saints, Bears, Rams, Falcons, Seahawks (except when they play San Fran)

    Teams we want to see lose- Eagles (double because we have their first round) , Titans (double because we have their second round) , Redskins, Giants, Ravens, Chargers, Bengals, Steelers (LOL, except when they play the Browns)

  • @the-gipper said:

    Have you not been paying attention on this Board: A Quarterback.

    SF needs Garrett more than they need a QB.

    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #22

    @texasag1969 said:

    SF needs Garrett more than they need a QB.

    Probably....because they have Kaepernick. Who I think can still be a quality QB with enough around him.

    But, here's the thing.....the 9ers would probably want to extract something significant from the Browns for them not to take Trubisky. ....even if they didn't really want him....fair to say?

    They would want our young guys to look like that Jacksonville GM from Draft Day.

  • @the-gipper said:

    I don't think so. You said that Browns opponents have won 60 games thus far, and the 49ers foes have 54 The Browns have played 12 opponents. the 49ers have played only 11 opponents.

    So, perhaps we should look at it like this:

    Average number of wins of Browns opponents: 5 60/12. Average number of wins by 49ers opponents: 4.909. So, yes, for now the 49ers would have a better run.....but they also have a stronger remaining schedule I believe.

    You're a little confused on how I came up with that number Gip. It's not "thus far". I also counted in the current record (read that wins) of teams the Browns and 49ers have yet to play. It's projected over the entire 17 week season. Will that # change? Of course, but it's at least a measuring stick.

    What kills the Browns vs. 49ers on SOS, is San Fran has played (or will) the 4 win X2 Rams, 4 win X2 Cardinals, the 4 win Panthers, and the 2 win Bears. (Jets doesn't count, because it's a common opponent & that's true of all common opponents.)

    Teams we want to see win- Cardinals, Carolina, Tampa, Saints, Bears, Rams, Falcons, Seahawks (except when they play San Fran)

    Teams we want to see lose- Eagles (double because we have their first round) , Titans (double because we have their second round) , Redskins, Giants, Ravens, Chargers, Bengals, Steelers (LOL, except when they play the Browns)

    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #23

    @hoorta said:

    You're a little confused on how I came up with that number Gip. It's not "thus far". I also counted in the current record (read that wins) of teams the Browns and 49ers have yet to play. It's projected over the entire 17 week season. Will that # change? Of course, but it's at least a measuring stick.

    What kills the Browns vs. 49ers on SOS, is San Fran has played (or will) the 4 win X2 Rams, 4 win X2 Cardinals, the 4 win Panthers, and the 2 win Bears. (Jets doesn't count, because it's a common opponent & that's true of all common opponents.)

    Teams we want to see win- Cardinals, Carolina, Tampa, Saints, Bears, Rams, Falcons, Seahawks (except when they play San Fran)

    Teams we want to see lose- Eagles (double because we have their first round) , Titans (double because we have their second round) , Redskins, Giants, Ravens, Chargers, Bengals, Steelers (LOL, except when they play the Browns)

    It may be superfluous......do any of you actually see the Browns winning a game?

  • @hoorta said:

    You're a little confused on how I came up with that number Gip. It's not "thus far". I also counted in the current record (read that wins) of teams the Browns and 49ers have yet to play. It's projected over the entire 17 week season. Will that # change? Of course, but it's at least a measuring stick.

    What kills the Browns vs. 49ers on SOS, is San Fran has played (or will) the 4 win X2 Rams, 4 win X2 Cardinals, the 4 win Panthers, and the 2 win Bears. (Jets doesn't count, because it's a common opponent & that's true of all common opponents.)

    Teams we want to see win- Cardinals, Carolina, Tampa, Saints, Bears, Rams, Falcons, Seahawks (except when they play San Fran)

    Teams we want to see lose- Eagles (double because we have their first round) , Titans (double because we have their second round) , Redskins, Giants, Ravens, Chargers, Bengals, Steelers (LOL, except when they play the Browns)

    It may be superfluous......do any of you actually see the Browns winning a game?

    T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by
    #24

    @the-gipper said:

    It may be superfluous......do any of you actually see the Browns winning a game?

    Cincy because of injuries.

  • @hoorta said:

    You're a little confused on how I came up with that number Gip. It's not "thus far". I also counted in the current record (read that wins) of teams the Browns and 49ers have yet to play. It's projected over the entire 17 week season. Will that # change? Of course, but it's at least a measuring stick.

    What kills the Browns vs. 49ers on SOS, is San Fran has played (or will) the 4 win X2 Rams, 4 win X2 Cardinals, the 4 win Panthers, and the 2 win Bears. (Jets doesn't count, because it's a common opponent & that's true of all common opponents.)

    Teams we want to see win- Cardinals, Carolina, Tampa, Saints, Bears, Rams, Falcons, Seahawks (except when they play San Fran)

    Teams we want to see lose- Eagles (double because we have their first round) , Titans (double because we have their second round) , Redskins, Giants, Ravens, Chargers, Bengals, Steelers (LOL, except when they play the Browns)

    It may be superfluous......do any of you actually see the Browns winning a game?

    hoortaH hoorta wrote on last edited by
    #25

    @the-gipper said:

    It may be superfluous......do any of you actually see the Browns winning a game?

    @texasag1969 said:

    Cincy because of injuries.

    Coming off our bye,depends if the Bengals have mailed it in- the Browns probably haven't- too hungry for a win. I could see that game as a pick 'em, or even have the Browns slightly favored. Might have a shot at the Chargers too.

    I give the Browns about zero odds of pulling out a win against the Bills in Buffalo, and especially against the Steelers on the road if they're fighting for a playoff spot.