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The Most Overated Stat In Football

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  • Bleacher has chimed in with their predictions for each team's 2017 record...

    Post-Draft Win-Loss Predictions for Every NFL Team
    The Cleveland Browns will be better in 2017. This isn't much of a stretch since the team finished the 2016 campaign with a woeful 1-15 record.

    But the organization deserves some credit for building its roster the right way. In just two drafts under the leadership of executive vice president of football operations Sashi Brown, chief strategy officer Paul DePodesta and head coach Hue Jackson, the franchise selected 24 prospects and built an amazing amount of future draft capital.

    Draft assets are only good if they're used to provide top talent, though. The Browns added the consensus No. 1 overall talent in Texas A&M's Myles Garrett and then found ways to acquire two premium athletes in Michigan safety Jabrill Peppers and Miami tight end David Njoku later in the first round. In a draft class that didn't feature a premier quarterback talent, Cleveland didn't force a pick. Instead, the front office waited and still landed Notre Dame's DeShone Kizer in the second round.

    With massive investments along the offensive and defensive lines—including the free-agent acquisitions of JC Tretter and Kevin Zeitler—the Browns are finally establishing an identity.

    Prediction: 4-12

    http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2706881-post-draft-win-loss-predictions-for-every-nfl-team

    FYI... BLT: 8-8; CIN: 8-8; PTG: 12-4

    @tour2ma said:

    Bleacher has chimed in with their predictions for each team's 2017 record...

    Post-Draft Win-Loss Predictions for Every NFL Team

    The Cleveland Browns will be better in 2017. This isn't much of a stretch since the team finished the 2016 campaign with a woeful 1-15 record.

    But the organization deserves some credit for building its roster the right way. In just two drafts under the leadership of executive vice president of football operations Sashi Brown, chief strategy officer Paul DePodesta and head coach Hue Jackson, the franchise selected 24 prospects and built an amazing amount of future draft capital.

    Draft assets are only good if they're used to provide top talent, though. The Browns added the consensus No. 1 overall talent in Texas A&M's Myles Garrett and then found ways to acquire two premium athletes in Michigan safety Gerbil Peppers and Miami tight end David Njoku later in the first round. In a draft class that didn't feature a premier quarterback talent, Cleveland didn't force a pick. Instead, the front office waited and still landed Notre Dame's DeShone Kizer in the second round.

    With massive investments along the offensive and defensive lines—including the free-agent acquisitions of JC Tretter and Kevin Zeitler—the Browns are finally establishing an identity.

    Prediction: 4-12

    http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2706881-post-draft-win-loss-predictions-for-every-nfl-team

    FYI... BLT: 8-8; CIN: 8-8; PTG: 12-4

    Pittsburgh and Cincy will not be that good. Pitt might win the division with a 9-7 record. Balt. will be lucky to go .500. Cincy will be lucky to beat out the Browns.

  • @tour2ma said:

    Bleacher has chimed in with their predictions for each team's 2017 record...

    Post-Draft Win-Loss Predictions for Every NFL Team

    The Cleveland Browns will be better in 2017. This isn't much of a stretch since the team finished the 2016 campaign with a woeful 1-15 record.

    But the organization deserves some credit for building its roster the right way. In just two drafts under the leadership of executive vice president of football operations Sashi Brown, chief strategy officer Paul DePodesta and head coach Hue Jackson, the franchise selected 24 prospects and built an amazing amount of future draft capital.

    Draft assets are only good if they're used to provide top talent, though. The Browns added the consensus No. 1 overall talent in Texas A&M's Myles Garrett and then found ways to acquire two premium athletes in Michigan safety Gerbil Peppers and Miami tight end David Njoku later in the first round. In a draft class that didn't feature a premier quarterback talent, Cleveland didn't force a pick. Instead, the front office waited and still landed Notre Dame's DeShone Kizer in the second round.

    With massive investments along the offensive and defensive lines—including the free-agent acquisitions of JC Tretter and Kevin Zeitler—the Browns are finally establishing an identity.

    Prediction: 4-12

    http://bleacherreport.com/articles/2706881-post-draft-win-loss-predictions-for-every-nfl-team

    FYI... BLT: 8-8; CIN: 8-8; PTG: 12-4

    Pittsburgh and Cincy will not be that good. Pitt might win the division with a 9-7 record. Balt. will be lucky to go .500. Cincy will be lucky to beat out the Browns.

    @the-gipper said:

    Pittsburgh and Cincy will not be that good. Pitt might win the division with a 9-7 record. Balt. will be lucky to go .500. Cincy will be lucky to beat out the Browns.

    Same as last year we thought the same thing right?
  • Most overrated stat?

    All of them except for winning, bitches

  • @the-gipper said:

    Pittsburgh and Cincy will not be that good. Pitt might win the division with a 9-7 record. Balt. will be lucky to go .500. Cincy will be lucky to beat out the Browns.

    Same as last year we thought the same thing right?

    @one-post said:

    Same as last year we thought the same thing right?

    They weren't that good last year. Not really. Pitt had 3 good players that was the difference between them and the Browns. But those 3 do make a world of difference.

    In a sense, those 3 support Ghoolie's argument about how important skill players are: QB/RB/WR.

  • @the-gipper said:

    Pittsburgh and Cincy will not be that good. Pitt might win the division with a 9-7 record. Balt. will be lucky to go .500. Cincy will be lucky to beat out the Browns.

    Same as last year we thought the same thing right?

    @one-post said:

    Same as last year we thought the same thing right?

    Pretty much...

  • @one-post said:

    Same as last year we thought the same thing right?

    They weren't that good last year. Not really. Pitt had 3 good players that was the difference between them and the Browns. But those 3 do make a world of difference.

    In a sense, those 3 support Ghoolie's argument about how important skill players are: QB/RB/WR.

    @the-gipper said:

    They weren't that good last year. Not really. Pitt had 3 good players that was the difference between them and the Browns. But those 3 do make a world of difference.

    In a sense, those 3 support Ghoolie's argument about how important skill players are: QB/RB/WR.

    Come on pgh was one win from going to the super bowl, the Browns were one win away from no wins. There is a lot more difference than three players. We need to live in reality here, though that seems to have gone out of style in this country. Let's say that the Browns made good steps for improvement in the draft.

    Anyway, I think the most overrated statistic is 40 yard dash time. There are players who are fast when timed but without results on the field (ex, Dri Archer), and there are players who are slow when timed but somehow produce yardage (ex, Jerry Rice). And it is irrelevant for say, D-linemen. If you depend on them running 40 yards something is very wrong.

  • @the-gipper said:

    They weren't that good last year. Not really. Pitt had 3 good players that was the difference between them and the Browns. But those 3 do make a world of difference.

    In a sense, those 3 support Ghoolie's argument about how important skill players are: QB/RB/WR.

    Come on pgh was one win from going to the super bowl, the Browns were one win away from no wins. There is a lot more difference than three players. We need to live in reality here, though that seems to have gone out of style in this country. Let's say that the Browns made good steps for improvement in the draft.

    Anyway, I think the most overrated statistic is 40 yard dash time. There are players who are fast when timed but without results on the field (ex, Dri Archer), and there are players who are slow when timed but somehow produce yardage (ex, Jerry Rice). And it is irrelevant for say, D-linemen. If you depend on them running 40 yards something is very wrong.

    @buck-the-frowns said:

    Come on pgh was one win from going to the super bowl, the Browns were one win away from no wins. There is a lot more difference than three players. We need to live in reality here, though that seems to have gone out of style in this country. Let's say that the Browns made good steps for improvement in the draft.

    Anyway, I think the most overrated statistic is 40 yard dash time. There are players who are fast when timed but without results on the field (ex, Dri Archer), and there are players who are slow when timed but somehow produce yardage (ex, Jerry Rice). And it is irrelevant for say, D-linemen. If you depend on them running 40 yards something is very wrong.

    Titsburgh
  • Not sure if this counts, but occasionally when a good team (and most people know they are good) starts off the season on a slump like 2-3 or something and they quote the percent chance of making the playoffs and it's a low number. Sometimes good teams have a really tough starting schedule or their tough break loses come early, and you know they have a lot better shot at making the playoffs than the crap percentage they spout off, but they get lumped with some low percentage based on all the crappy teams that have also started off bad.

  • @the-gipper said:

    They weren't that good last year. Not really. Pitt had 3 good players that was the difference between them and the Browns. But those 3 do make a world of difference.

    In a sense, those 3 support Ghoolie's argument about how important skill players are: QB/RB/WR.

    Come on pgh was one win from going to the super bowl, the Browns were one win away from no wins. There is a lot more difference than three players. We need to live in reality here, though that seems to have gone out of style in this country. Let's say that the Browns made good steps for improvement in the draft.

    Anyway, I think the most overrated statistic is 40 yard dash time. There are players who are fast when timed but without results on the field (ex, Dri Archer), and there are players who are slow when timed but somehow produce yardage (ex, Jerry Rice). And it is irrelevant for say, D-linemen. If you depend on them running 40 yards something is very wrong.

    @buck-the-frowns said:

    Come on pgh was one win from going to the super bowl, the Browns were one win away from no wins. There is a lot more difference than three players.

    You didn't watch that game then. Pitt sat their three players....and Browns should have won the game going away. Only their own stupid fuckups prevented them winning.

  • @buck-the-frowns said:

    Come on pgh was one win from going to the super bowl, the Browns were one win away from no wins. There is a lot more difference than three players.

    You didn't watch that game then. Pitt sat their three players....and Browns should have won the game going away. Only their own stupid fuckups prevented them winning.

    @the-gipper said:

    @buck-the-frowns said:

    Come on pgh was one win from going to the super bowl, the Browns were one win away from no wins. There is a lot more difference than three players.

    You didn't watch that game then. Pitt sat their three players....and Browns should have won the game going away. Only their own stupid fuckups prevented them winning.

    Well if that's all there is to it, the Browns got three good players this year so let's just sit back and watch the playoff appearances accrue.

  • @the-gipper said:

    @buck-the-frowns said:

    Come on pgh was one win from going to the super bowl, the Browns were one win away from no wins. There is a lot more difference than three players.

    You didn't watch that game then. Pitt sat their three players....and Browns should have won the game going away. Only their own stupid fuckups prevented them winning.

    Well if that's all there is to it, the Browns got three good players this year so let's just sit back and watch the playoff appearances accrue.

    @buck-the-frowns said:

    Well if that's all there is to it, the Browns got three good players this year so let's just sit back and watch the playoff appearances accrue.

    Three players can an do make a world of difference. It has to be the right 3. Not sure if we have those. Hopefully.

  • @buck-the-frowns said:

    Well if that's all there is to it, the Browns got three good players this year so let's just sit back and watch the playoff appearances accrue.

    Three players can an do make a world of difference. It has to be the right 3. Not sure if we have those. Hopefully.

    @the-gipper said:

    Three players can an do make a world of difference. It has to be the right 3. Not sure if we have those. Hopefully.

    IMHO the problem has been the tendency to look for an immediate savior in the draft. Bad teams do that, but good teams develop players. They have to, because the perennial contenders are guaranteed not to even get a whiff of the few top players who may be good right out of the box. With bad teams, much of the time players are what they are and don't develop.

  • Back to the topic....my answer is "interceptions".

    How many are caused by 1) Improperly run routes & 2) Bouncing off "brick hands" (see Braylon, Ricardo, etc, etc)?

    Mike

  • Takeaways in general are largely based on luck. It all reverts to a mean over time.

  • I dunno...

    .. nothing lucky about a good "punch out" of the ball...

    ... or a "decleater" separating ball from carrier...

    .... or a FS watching a QB's eyes and then timing a run to cut the ball off from getting to a WR...

    ..... and really... not even a diving INT off a tipped ball.