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By the numbers: Bengals vs Browns (Matchups)

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  • The GipperT The Gipper

    @thenew23 said:

    4 factors - OvsD, DvsO, Scoring, TOs

    Scoring being most heavily weighted, then the OvsD stats, then TOs

    Browns win by one point in scoring, tie in both OvsD matchups. TO differential could be used as a tiebreaker.

    The "Browns by 1 point" was based soley on the scoring advantage for team averages. I would add/subtract points based on the OvsD matchups if they were significant. I could also add-in the Vegas +3 at home advantage, and say...

    Browns should be favored by 4... But without the home field advantage, I'll say 1 point...

    Again, just MY numbers... There's no science here, just me having too much time on my hands trying to figure out which statistcs can help predict games (so far, as many times as I've tried I have been unsuccessful)...

    No problem. Good stuff.

    But just out of curiosity....what is the betting line?

    @the-gipper said:

    No problem. Good stuff.

    But just out of curiosity....what is the betting line?

    Split. Most have PK, some have Bengals favored (-1).

    #Justsayin'

  • The important number has changed... we've gone from an opening 2-point "dog" to 1-point fav.

    Every time I have picked against the Vegas opening line when betting has flipped it, it has not turned out well...

    "When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196

  • I went with the Browns over the Colts because of the D & I'm still upset. Now I am going with the Browns over the Bengals because of the D. :-I Dalton is not Andrew Luck, therefore, he will not fool the D. I have not seen the D play a bad game yet, even in the losses. The losses were close until bad offensive turnovers late made the scores look lopsided. As usual, they will give into the run in order to lock down the air attack. I also expect a defensive touchdown by the Browns or at least a turnover in the Bengals zone that yeilds a TD. That said, i will give a scenario in which the Browns DO NOT win this game. The D will help Johnny, but he still needs to score a few touchdowns (obviously). Too many 3 & outs, stalled drives &/or field goals will not work (besides field goals are anything but guarenteed anymore.) Also, Johnny is a rookie so I guarantee he will turn the ball over at least once. I don't care how good he is, he's still a rookie & will cough up 1. If it's just once, there will be no harm done. If it's more than that, it will most likely swing the game in Cincy's favor. If the Bengals make it close because of multiple offensive mistakes, the Browns will not win. Bengals will get the field goal they need to put them over the top. If he turns the ball over once or less, & gets the offense at least 2 TD's, I believe that will be enough with another stellar performance from the D.

    Brooklyn, New York Browns Backer #20336660
  • The GipperT The Gipper

    @miktoxic said:

    those numbers will change as if vegas just ate a big plate of greasy gravy (spaghetti sauce for all you mid-westerners) on a load of under-cooked linguini.

    Is that how you view Cincinnati Chili?

    it looked good and tasted good but there's a bubble starting to form in it's stomach and it might have to get rid of it...MINUS MINUS...oh wait, there's a solid here..PLUS PLUS.

    @the-gipper said:

    @miktoxic said:

    those numbers will change as if vegas just ate a big plate of greasy gravy (spaghetti sauce for all you mid-westerners) on a load of under-cooked linguini.

    Is that how you view Cincinnati Chili?

    it looked good and tasted good but there's a bubble starting to form in it's stomach and it might have to get rid of it...MINUS MINUS...oh wait, there's a solid here..PLUS PLUS.

    Cinci "chilli". Barf. Skyline and Gold Star. Hate that crap even worse than the Bengals.

  • Yumm skyline!

    Bengals by 10.

  • J johnnyfoottall

    Yumm skyline!

    Bengals by 10.

    @johnnyfoottall said:

    Yumm skyline!

    Bengals by 10.

    You serve no purpose.

    Zombo

  • Z Zombo

    @johnnyfoottall said:

    Yumm skyline!

    Bengals by 10.

    You serve no purpose.

    Zombo

    Zombo said:

    You serve no purpose.

    Zombo

    Understatement of the day.

  • Whodey!

  • J johnnyfoottall

    Whodey!

    @johnnyfoottall said:

    Whodey!

    24-3

  • A bungle sighting! What do we do?

    24-3

    Sweep coming right up

  • TypicalBrownsT TypicalBrowns

    A bungle sighting! What do we do?

    24-3

    Sweep coming right up

    @typicalbrowns said:

    Sweep coming right up

    word games....

    Coming right up?...sweep

    Sweep right, coming up

    Sweep coming up, right?

    Right sweep, coming up.

    Up coming sweep right

    Sweep? coming right up!

    Shanny mixes shit up....they'll never know what hit em.....

  • It all depends on the redhead. If he does even average at qb it should be a game. If the Browns d forces a turnover and gets a sack early, game over. Bengals run game is their only life force to set up the pass.

    Hopefully our d keeps improving and doesn't shit the bed. I doubt they will against the bungles again. They should be fucking fired up to kick their assess again

  • Look like I might have underestimated...who dey!

  • Bengals have run all over the Browns

    Hence the score

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