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#1 overall QB picks

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  • MLD WoodyM MLD Woody

    QB taken at #2 and 2nd QB taken are two very different things.

    Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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    MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
    #6

    @mld-woody said:

    QB taken at #2 and 2nd QB taken are two very different things.

    Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

    And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

    Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

    But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

    So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

    He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

    And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

    The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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    • Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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      MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by Mudfly
      #7

      Using that theory.....instead of overall 1 & 2.....lets look at the first 2 picked....last 10 years.....

      2015: Marriota #1......Winston #2

      2014: Bortles #3......Manziel #22

      2013: Manuel #16.....Smith #39

      2012: Luck #1........RGIII #2

      2011: Newton #1.......Locker #8

      2010: Bradford #1......Tebow #25

      2009: Stafford #1.......Sanchez #5

      2008: Ryan #3.......... Flacco #18

      2007: Russell #1........Quinn #22

      2006: Young #3..........Leinert #10

      So.....there are your top 2 QB's from each season.....out of the 20 listed, I personally consider 11(55%)(in red) of them as 1st round busts.....meaning, to date, they have not played well....earned & maintained a starters role.....or even stayed in the league....

      I count only 4 or 5 that Id consider to be "franchise type" QB's...(25%)......(so far)

      And I count only 1 who Id consider even remotely close to being elite/super star.....and he's just getting there now(Cam)...

      So...over 10 years and first 20 QB's picked.....and I see one " big star" so far........and a handful of good ones....

      And a bunch of duds and "undecideds"...

      The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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      • MudflyM Mudfly

        @mld-woody said:

        QB taken at #2 and 2nd QB taken are two very different things.

        Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

        And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

        Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

        But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

        So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

        He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

        And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

        The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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        The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
        #8

        @mudfly said:

        Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

        And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

        Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

        I am only pointing out the fact that of the many QBs taken #1 overall since 1998....a vast majority of them are to this day starting QBs in the NFL. (And I guess I only point out that there have been 12 QBs taken #1....where only 4 were taken at #2)

        But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

        So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

        I am only pointing out historical trends.......the #2s have not been as successful as the #1s. What can I say? Well, I can say: If you are looking at historical trends....the only guy taken at #2 where the guy taken before him was not a QB is Bert Jones.....and Bert Jones was a mighty damn good QB.

        So...if the Browns took a QB at #2....and he turned out to be as good as Bert Jones....that would be sweet for the Brown IMO.

        He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

        FYI....I don't think Goff or Lynche will turn out to be as good as Bert Jones....so I say pass on them

        And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

        Sure....you never know what you might see if you do that.....but since it is Woody's idea....or yours....I will leave it up to you to do that list. Then you can both prove your own points with it...and you don't have to ask me to do it for you.

        MudflyM 1 Reply Last reply
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        • The GipperT The Gipper

          @mudfly said:

          Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

          And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

          Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

          I am only pointing out the fact that of the many QBs taken #1 overall since 1998....a vast majority of them are to this day starting QBs in the NFL. (And I guess I only point out that there have been 12 QBs taken #1....where only 4 were taken at #2)

          But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

          So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

          I am only pointing out historical trends.......the #2s have not been as successful as the #1s. What can I say? Well, I can say: If you are looking at historical trends....the only guy taken at #2 where the guy taken before him was not a QB is Bert Jones.....and Bert Jones was a mighty damn good QB.

          So...if the Browns took a QB at #2....and he turned out to be as good as Bert Jones....that would be sweet for the Brown IMO.

          He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

          FYI....I don't think Goff or Lynche will turn out to be as good as Bert Jones....so I say pass on them

          And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

          Sure....you never know what you might see if you do that.....but since it is Woody's idea....or yours....I will leave it up to you to do that list. Then you can both prove your own points with it...and you don't have to ask me to do it for you.

          Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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          MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
          #9

          @the-gipper said:

          @mudfly said:

          Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

          And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

          Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

          I am only pointing out the fact that of the many QBs taken #1 overall since 1998....a vast majority of them are to this day starting QBs in the NFL. (And I guess I only point out that there have been 12 QBs taken #1....where only 4 were taken at #2)

          But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

          So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

          I am only pointing out historical trends.......the #2s have not been as successful as the #1s. What can I say? Well, I can say: If you are looking at historical trends....the only guy taken at #2 where the guy taken before him was not a QB is Bert Jones.....and Bert Jones was a mighty damn good QB.

          So...if the Browns took a QB at #2....and he turned out to be as good as Bert Jones....that would be sweet for the Brown IMO.

          He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

          FYI....I don't think Goff or Lynche will turn out to be as good as Bert Jones....so I say pass on them

          And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

          Sure....you never know what you might see if you do that.....but since it is Woody's idea....or yours....I will leave it up to you to do that list. Then you can both prove your own points with it...and you don't have to ask me to do it for you.

          I already did it......look up.....^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

          The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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          • Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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            MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by Mudfly
            #10

            and the list of #3 QB taken is even worse.....................here are the last 10.......

            Bryce Petty

            Teddy Twatwater

            Mike Glennon

            Ryan Tannehill

            Blaine Gabbert

            Jimmy Clausen

            Josh Freeman

            Brian Brohm

            Kevin Kolb

            Jay Cultler

            So.....looks like a good idea to stay away from the 3rd one available too.....

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            • MudflyM Mudfly

              @the-gipper said:

              @mudfly said:

              Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

              And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

              Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

              I am only pointing out the fact that of the many QBs taken #1 overall since 1998....a vast majority of them are to this day starting QBs in the NFL. (And I guess I only point out that there have been 12 QBs taken #1....where only 4 were taken at #2)

              But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

              So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

              I am only pointing out historical trends.......the #2s have not been as successful as the #1s. What can I say? Well, I can say: If you are looking at historical trends....the only guy taken at #2 where the guy taken before him was not a QB is Bert Jones.....and Bert Jones was a mighty damn good QB.

              So...if the Browns took a QB at #2....and he turned out to be as good as Bert Jones....that would be sweet for the Brown IMO.

              He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

              FYI....I don't think Goff or Lynche will turn out to be as good as Bert Jones....so I say pass on them

              And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

              Sure....you never know what you might see if you do that.....but since it is Woody's idea....or yours....I will leave it up to you to do that list. Then you can both prove your own points with it...and you don't have to ask me to do it for you.

              I already did it......look up.....^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

              The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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              The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
              #11

              @mudfly said:

              I already did it......look up.....^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

              I guess I didn't see your post when I put mine up. Thanks boss.

              MudflyM 1 Reply Last reply
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              • MudflyM Mudfly

                Using that theory.....instead of overall 1 & 2.....lets look at the first 2 picked....last 10 years.....

                2015: Marriota #1......Winston #2

                2014: Bortles #3......Manziel #22

                2013: Manuel #16.....Smith #39

                2012: Luck #1........RGIII #2

                2011: Newton #1.......Locker #8

                2010: Bradford #1......Tebow #25

                2009: Stafford #1.......Sanchez #5

                2008: Ryan #3.......... Flacco #18

                2007: Russell #1........Quinn #22

                2006: Young #3..........Leinert #10

                So.....there are your top 2 QB's from each season.....out of the 20 listed, I personally consider 11(55%)(in red) of them as 1st round busts.....meaning, to date, they have not played well....earned & maintained a starters role.....or even stayed in the league....

                I count only 4 or 5 that Id consider to be "franchise type" QB's...(25%)......(so far)

                And I count only 1 who Id consider even remotely close to being elite/super star.....and he's just getting there now(Cam)...

                So...over 10 years and first 20 QB's picked.....and I see one " big star" so far........and a handful of good ones....

                And a bunch of duds and "undecideds"...

                The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                #12

                @mudfly said:

                Using that theory.....instead of overall 1 & 2.....lets look at the first 2 picked....last 10 years.....

                2015: Marriota #1......Winston #2

                2014: Bortles #3......Manziel #22

                2013: Manuel #16.....Smith #39

                2012: Luck #1........RGIII #2

                2011: Newton #1.......Locker #8

                2010: Bradford #1......Tebow #25

                2009: Stafford #1.......Sanchez #5

                2008: Ryan #3.......... Flacco #18

                2007: Russell #1........Quinn #22

                2006: Young #3..........Leinert #10

                So.....there are your top 2 QB's from each season.....out of the 20 listed, I personally consider 11(55%)(in red) of them as 1st round busts.....meaning, to date, they have not played well....earned & maintained a starters role.....or even stayed in the league....

                I count only 4 or 5 that Id consider to be "franchise type" QB's...(25%)......(so far)

                Which ones are these?

                And I count only 1 who Id consider even remotely close to being elite/super star.....and he's just getting there now(Cam)...

                So...over 10 years and first 20 QB's picked.....and I see one " big star" so far........and a handful of good ones....

                And a bunch of duds and "undecideds"...

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                • The GipperT The Gipper

                  @mudfly said:

                  I already did it......look up.....^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

                  I guess I didn't see your post when I put mine up. Thanks boss.

                  Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                  MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
                  #13

                  @the-gipper said:

                  I guess I didn't see your post when I put mine up. Thanks boss.

                  So...if you add these to your lists.....it's pretty obvious you need to tap the one guy a year who's worth anything.....if he exists....

                  cause the second and third ones tend not to do well......at all.....

                  @the-gipper said:

                  @mudfly said:

                  Using that theory.....instead of overall 1 & 2.....lets look at the first 2 picked....last 10 years.....

                  2015: Marriota #1......Winston #2

                  2014: Bortles #3......Manziel #22

                  2013: Manuel #16.....Smith #39

                  2012: Luck #1........RGIII #2

                  2011: Newton #1.......Locker #8

                  2010: Bradford #1......Tebow #25

                  2009: Stafford #1.......Sanchez #5

                  2008: Ryan #3.......... Flacco #18

                  2007: Russell #1........Quinn #22

                  2006: Young #3..........Leinert #10

                  I count only 4 or 5 that Id consider to be "franchise type" QB's...(25%)......(so far)

                  Which ones are these?

                  My 5 would be Ryan, Stafford, Flacco, Newton and Luck......(so far).....

                  And, Id say, Marriota & Winston are looking fairly decent and have a good chance of getting to franchise status too....

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                  • Westside Steve W Dedicated Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Conversation Starter Week One Done One Year In One Month Later Very Popular
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                    W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by
                    #14

                    Too much work for me but maybe the Gipper can help. What were the records of the teams that took those quarterbacks the last couple or three seasons before they did?

                    WSS

                    www.westsidesteve.com www.myspace.com/westsidestevemusic www.cdbaby.com/artist/westsidestevesimmons
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                    • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                      The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                      #15

                      Extrapolating....here are a few names of people that were taken as the 4th or lower QB taken in a draft:

                      Derek Carr

                      Brock Osweiler

                      Russell Wilson

                      Nick Foles

                      Kurt Cousins

                      Andy Dalton

                      Colin Kaepernick

                      Ryan Mallet

                      Trent Edwards

                      Kyle Orton

                      Matt Schaub

                      Luke McCown

                      Rex Grossman

                      Josh McCown

                      Daunte Culpepper

                      Brian Griese

                      Neil O'Donnell

                      Jim Harbaugh

                      Rich Gannon

                      Ken O'Brien

                      Dan Marino

                      Joe Montana

                      Joe Ferguson

                      Dan Fouts

                      Ken Anderson

                      Joe Theisman

                      Ken Stabler.

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                      • W Westside Steve

                        Too much work for me but maybe the Gipper can help. What were the records of the teams that took those quarterbacks the last couple or three seasons before they did?

                        WSS

                        The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                        The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by The Gipper
                        #16

                        @westside-steve said:

                        Too much work for me but maybe the Gipper can help. What were the records of the teams that took those quarterbacks the last couple or three seasons before they did?

                        WSS

                        Not sure what you are asking....and it sounds like too much work for me as well.

                        But.....if you are referring to what were the records of teams that took QBs with the first or second overall pick through the years....I would say: pretty shitty. After all, they were awarded the #1 or #2 pick. (unless a trade....like the RGIII trade was made.)

                        On the list of "2d QB taken regardless of draft slot" taking a look at it....in two cases I know, Quinn and JMZ, those were our 2d picks in the first round.

                        And remember, the Jets got Sanchez using a pick traded FROM the Browns in a trade up.

                        If you take into account the trade that got us Weeden......the Browns have been very active at Quarterback dealing in the first round of the draft.

                        Or, as Shakespeare said: A lot of sound and fury, signifying nothing.

                        MudflyM 1 Reply Last reply
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                        • The GipperT The Gipper

                          @westside-steve said:

                          Too much work for me but maybe the Gipper can help. What were the records of the teams that took those quarterbacks the last couple or three seasons before they did?

                          WSS

                          Not sure what you are asking....and it sounds like too much work for me as well.

                          But.....if you are referring to what were the records of teams that took QBs with the first or second overall pick through the years....I would say: pretty shitty. After all, they were awarded the #1 or #2 pick. (unless a trade....like the RGIII trade was made.)

                          On the list of "2d QB taken regardless of draft slot" taking a look at it....in two cases I know, Quinn and JMZ, those were our 2d picks in the first round.

                          And remember, the Jets got Sanchez using a pick traded FROM the Browns in a trade up.

                          If you take into account the trade that got us Weeden......the Browns have been very active at Quarterback dealing in the first round of the draft.

                          Or, as Shakespeare said: A lot of sound and fury, signifying nothing.

                          Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                          MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
                          #17

                          @the-gipper said:

                          if you are referring to what were the records of teams that took QBs with the first or second overall pick....I would say: pretty shitty.

                          HA!....thats about right....😉

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