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#1 overall QB picks

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  • Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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    MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by Mudfly
    #7

    Using that theory.....instead of overall 1 & 2.....lets look at the first 2 picked....last 10 years.....

    2015: Marriota #1......Winston #2

    2014: Bortles #3......Manziel #22

    2013: Manuel #16.....Smith #39

    2012: Luck #1........RGIII #2

    2011: Newton #1.......Locker #8

    2010: Bradford #1......Tebow #25

    2009: Stafford #1.......Sanchez #5

    2008: Ryan #3.......... Flacco #18

    2007: Russell #1........Quinn #22

    2006: Young #3..........Leinert #10

    So.....there are your top 2 QB's from each season.....out of the 20 listed, I personally consider 11(55%)(in red) of them as 1st round busts.....meaning, to date, they have not played well....earned & maintained a starters role.....or even stayed in the league....

    I count only 4 or 5 that Id consider to be "franchise type" QB's...(25%)......(so far)

    And I count only 1 who Id consider even remotely close to being elite/super star.....and he's just getting there now(Cam)...

    So...over 10 years and first 20 QB's picked.....and I see one " big star" so far........and a handful of good ones....

    And a bunch of duds and "undecideds"...

    The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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    • MudflyM Mudfly

      @mld-woody said:

      QB taken at #2 and 2nd QB taken are two very different things.

      Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

      And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

      Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

      But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

      So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

      He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

      And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

      The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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      The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
      #8

      @mudfly said:

      Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

      And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

      Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

      I am only pointing out the fact that of the many QBs taken #1 overall since 1998....a vast majority of them are to this day starting QBs in the NFL. (And I guess I only point out that there have been 12 QBs taken #1....where only 4 were taken at #2)

      But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

      So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

      I am only pointing out historical trends.......the #2s have not been as successful as the #1s. What can I say? Well, I can say: If you are looking at historical trends....the only guy taken at #2 where the guy taken before him was not a QB is Bert Jones.....and Bert Jones was a mighty damn good QB.

      So...if the Browns took a QB at #2....and he turned out to be as good as Bert Jones....that would be sweet for the Brown IMO.

      He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

      FYI....I don't think Goff or Lynche will turn out to be as good as Bert Jones....so I say pass on them

      And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

      Sure....you never know what you might see if you do that.....but since it is Woody's idea....or yours....I will leave it up to you to do that list. Then you can both prove your own points with it...and you don't have to ask me to do it for you.

      MudflyM 1 Reply Last reply
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      • The GipperT The Gipper

        @mudfly said:

        Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

        And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

        Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

        I am only pointing out the fact that of the many QBs taken #1 overall since 1998....a vast majority of them are to this day starting QBs in the NFL. (And I guess I only point out that there have been 12 QBs taken #1....where only 4 were taken at #2)

        But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

        So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

        I am only pointing out historical trends.......the #2s have not been as successful as the #1s. What can I say? Well, I can say: If you are looking at historical trends....the only guy taken at #2 where the guy taken before him was not a QB is Bert Jones.....and Bert Jones was a mighty damn good QB.

        So...if the Browns took a QB at #2....and he turned out to be as good as Bert Jones....that would be sweet for the Brown IMO.

        He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

        FYI....I don't think Goff or Lynche will turn out to be as good as Bert Jones....so I say pass on them

        And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

        Sure....you never know what you might see if you do that.....but since it is Woody's idea....or yours....I will leave it up to you to do that list. Then you can both prove your own points with it...and you don't have to ask me to do it for you.

        Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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        MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
        #9

        @the-gipper said:

        @mudfly said:

        Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

        And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

        Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

        I am only pointing out the fact that of the many QBs taken #1 overall since 1998....a vast majority of them are to this day starting QBs in the NFL. (And I guess I only point out that there have been 12 QBs taken #1....where only 4 were taken at #2)

        But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

        So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

        I am only pointing out historical trends.......the #2s have not been as successful as the #1s. What can I say? Well, I can say: If you are looking at historical trends....the only guy taken at #2 where the guy taken before him was not a QB is Bert Jones.....and Bert Jones was a mighty damn good QB.

        So...if the Browns took a QB at #2....and he turned out to be as good as Bert Jones....that would be sweet for the Brown IMO.

        He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

        FYI....I don't think Goff or Lynche will turn out to be as good as Bert Jones....so I say pass on them

        And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

        Sure....you never know what you might see if you do that.....but since it is Woody's idea....or yours....I will leave it up to you to do that list. Then you can both prove your own points with it...and you don't have to ask me to do it for you.

        I already did it......look up.....^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

        The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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        • Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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          MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by Mudfly
          #10

          and the list of #3 QB taken is even worse.....................here are the last 10.......

          Bryce Petty

          Teddy Twatwater

          Mike Glennon

          Ryan Tannehill

          Blaine Gabbert

          Jimmy Clausen

          Josh Freeman

          Brian Brohm

          Kevin Kolb

          Jay Cultler

          So.....looks like a good idea to stay away from the 3rd one available too.....

          1 Reply Last reply
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          • MudflyM Mudfly

            @the-gipper said:

            @mudfly said:

            Couldnt agree more.....plenty of years where there are no QB's at the top....because none are good enough to be there....

            And just deciding to pick one at #1 or #2 does not make him worthy.....

            Gip....as an example.....it sounds like you're saying if we picked GOFF at #1 he would be more successful, than if we picked him at #2 or #10......

            I am only pointing out the fact that of the many QBs taken #1 overall since 1998....a vast majority of them are to this day starting QBs in the NFL. (And I guess I only point out that there have been 12 QBs taken #1....where only 4 were taken at #2)

            But....in reality....no matter where you pick him....Goff is still Goff.....

            So.....this year....there isnt a QB who stands out as an overall #1.....so if you just pick a guy and insert him into the #1 or #2, it does not, in any way, imply he will be more successful.....

            I am only pointing out historical trends.......the #2s have not been as successful as the #1s. What can I say? Well, I can say: If you are looking at historical trends....the only guy taken at #2 where the guy taken before him was not a QB is Bert Jones.....and Bert Jones was a mighty damn good QB.

            So...if the Browns took a QB at #2....and he turned out to be as good as Bert Jones....that would be sweet for the Brown IMO.

            He has to be worth it.....and some years there just isnt anyone who is...

            FYI....I don't think Goff or Lynche will turn out to be as good as Bert Jones....so I say pass on them

            And if you did what woody said.....and instead of listing overall #1 & #2's.....you listed the first and second QB's picked period.....you'd see a huge difference in the quality.....(cause lots of teams force it....ala Manziel and Quinn)

            Sure....you never know what you might see if you do that.....but since it is Woody's idea....or yours....I will leave it up to you to do that list. Then you can both prove your own points with it...and you don't have to ask me to do it for you.

            I already did it......look up.....^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

            The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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            The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
            #11

            @mudfly said:

            I already did it......look up.....^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

            I guess I didn't see your post when I put mine up. Thanks boss.

            MudflyM 1 Reply Last reply
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            • MudflyM Mudfly

              Using that theory.....instead of overall 1 & 2.....lets look at the first 2 picked....last 10 years.....

              2015: Marriota #1......Winston #2

              2014: Bortles #3......Manziel #22

              2013: Manuel #16.....Smith #39

              2012: Luck #1........RGIII #2

              2011: Newton #1.......Locker #8

              2010: Bradford #1......Tebow #25

              2009: Stafford #1.......Sanchez #5

              2008: Ryan #3.......... Flacco #18

              2007: Russell #1........Quinn #22

              2006: Young #3..........Leinert #10

              So.....there are your top 2 QB's from each season.....out of the 20 listed, I personally consider 11(55%)(in red) of them as 1st round busts.....meaning, to date, they have not played well....earned & maintained a starters role.....or even stayed in the league....

              I count only 4 or 5 that Id consider to be "franchise type" QB's...(25%)......(so far)

              And I count only 1 who Id consider even remotely close to being elite/super star.....and he's just getting there now(Cam)...

              So...over 10 years and first 20 QB's picked.....and I see one " big star" so far........and a handful of good ones....

              And a bunch of duds and "undecideds"...

              The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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              The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
              #12

              @mudfly said:

              Using that theory.....instead of overall 1 & 2.....lets look at the first 2 picked....last 10 years.....

              2015: Marriota #1......Winston #2

              2014: Bortles #3......Manziel #22

              2013: Manuel #16.....Smith #39

              2012: Luck #1........RGIII #2

              2011: Newton #1.......Locker #8

              2010: Bradford #1......Tebow #25

              2009: Stafford #1.......Sanchez #5

              2008: Ryan #3.......... Flacco #18

              2007: Russell #1........Quinn #22

              2006: Young #3..........Leinert #10

              So.....there are your top 2 QB's from each season.....out of the 20 listed, I personally consider 11(55%)(in red) of them as 1st round busts.....meaning, to date, they have not played well....earned & maintained a starters role.....or even stayed in the league....

              I count only 4 or 5 that Id consider to be "franchise type" QB's...(25%)......(so far)

              Which ones are these?

              And I count only 1 who Id consider even remotely close to being elite/super star.....and he's just getting there now(Cam)...

              So...over 10 years and first 20 QB's picked.....and I see one " big star" so far........and a handful of good ones....

              And a bunch of duds and "undecideds"...

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              • The GipperT The Gipper

                @mudfly said:

                I already did it......look up.....^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

                I guess I didn't see your post when I put mine up. Thanks boss.

                Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
                #13

                @the-gipper said:

                I guess I didn't see your post when I put mine up. Thanks boss.

                So...if you add these to your lists.....it's pretty obvious you need to tap the one guy a year who's worth anything.....if he exists....

                cause the second and third ones tend not to do well......at all.....

                @the-gipper said:

                @mudfly said:

                Using that theory.....instead of overall 1 & 2.....lets look at the first 2 picked....last 10 years.....

                2015: Marriota #1......Winston #2

                2014: Bortles #3......Manziel #22

                2013: Manuel #16.....Smith #39

                2012: Luck #1........RGIII #2

                2011: Newton #1.......Locker #8

                2010: Bradford #1......Tebow #25

                2009: Stafford #1.......Sanchez #5

                2008: Ryan #3.......... Flacco #18

                2007: Russell #1........Quinn #22

                2006: Young #3..........Leinert #10

                I count only 4 or 5 that Id consider to be "franchise type" QB's...(25%)......(so far)

                Which ones are these?

                My 5 would be Ryan, Stafford, Flacco, Newton and Luck......(so far).....

                And, Id say, Marriota & Winston are looking fairly decent and have a good chance of getting to franchise status too....

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                • Westside Steve W Dedicated Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Conversation Starter Week One Done One Year In One Month Later Very Popular
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                  W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by
                  #14

                  Too much work for me but maybe the Gipper can help. What were the records of the teams that took those quarterbacks the last couple or three seasons before they did?

                  WSS

                  www.westsidesteve.com www.myspace.com/westsidestevemusic www.cdbaby.com/artist/westsidestevesimmons
                  The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                    #15

                    Extrapolating....here are a few names of people that were taken as the 4th or lower QB taken in a draft:

                    Derek Carr

                    Brock Osweiler

                    Russell Wilson

                    Nick Foles

                    Kurt Cousins

                    Andy Dalton

                    Colin Kaepernick

                    Ryan Mallet

                    Trent Edwards

                    Kyle Orton

                    Matt Schaub

                    Luke McCown

                    Rex Grossman

                    Josh McCown

                    Daunte Culpepper

                    Brian Griese

                    Neil O'Donnell

                    Jim Harbaugh

                    Rich Gannon

                    Ken O'Brien

                    Dan Marino

                    Joe Montana

                    Joe Ferguson

                    Dan Fouts

                    Ken Anderson

                    Joe Theisman

                    Ken Stabler.

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                    • W Westside Steve

                      Too much work for me but maybe the Gipper can help. What were the records of the teams that took those quarterbacks the last couple or three seasons before they did?

                      WSS

                      The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                      The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by The Gipper
                      #16

                      @westside-steve said:

                      Too much work for me but maybe the Gipper can help. What were the records of the teams that took those quarterbacks the last couple or three seasons before they did?

                      WSS

                      Not sure what you are asking....and it sounds like too much work for me as well.

                      But.....if you are referring to what were the records of teams that took QBs with the first or second overall pick through the years....I would say: pretty shitty. After all, they were awarded the #1 or #2 pick. (unless a trade....like the RGIII trade was made.)

                      On the list of "2d QB taken regardless of draft slot" taking a look at it....in two cases I know, Quinn and JMZ, those were our 2d picks in the first round.

                      And remember, the Jets got Sanchez using a pick traded FROM the Browns in a trade up.

                      If you take into account the trade that got us Weeden......the Browns have been very active at Quarterback dealing in the first round of the draft.

                      Or, as Shakespeare said: A lot of sound and fury, signifying nothing.

                      MudflyM 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • The GipperT The Gipper

                        @westside-steve said:

                        Too much work for me but maybe the Gipper can help. What were the records of the teams that took those quarterbacks the last couple or three seasons before they did?

                        WSS

                        Not sure what you are asking....and it sounds like too much work for me as well.

                        But.....if you are referring to what were the records of teams that took QBs with the first or second overall pick through the years....I would say: pretty shitty. After all, they were awarded the #1 or #2 pick. (unless a trade....like the RGIII trade was made.)

                        On the list of "2d QB taken regardless of draft slot" taking a look at it....in two cases I know, Quinn and JMZ, those were our 2d picks in the first round.

                        And remember, the Jets got Sanchez using a pick traded FROM the Browns in a trade up.

                        If you take into account the trade that got us Weeden......the Browns have been very active at Quarterback dealing in the first round of the draft.

                        Or, as Shakespeare said: A lot of sound and fury, signifying nothing.

                        Mudfly MudflyM Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                        MudflyM Mudfly wrote on last edited by
                        #17

                        @the-gipper said:

                        if you are referring to what were the records of teams that took QBs with the first or second overall pick....I would say: pretty shitty.

                        HA!....thats about right....😉

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