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From nobody to the top of the first round of the draft - Josh Allen

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  • We talked late last year about Kizer, so we all miss. Or they missed on coaching a kid up? Am thinking the card reads Darnold..Unless Haley & Hue want to take on the Rosen mind challenge game..agree on Allen's potential, but Hue may never see it in time..maybe Dorsey does?   

  • @gumby73 said:

    TCPO thanks for time put into this and your always our captain of our little QB room here..Most here read many opinions on Allen & all the QB's. But none like your own opinion on Allen.. It's time the Browns get the QB position right..keep us updated on your QB thoughts,and thanks again  

    Appreciate it but I’d honestly defer to Tour when it come to QB’s.

    I miss more than I hit.

    Id love for us to grab a potential guy like Allen and let him hit, but I dont think we are really in a scenario to do that. I’d still much rather us take Rosen or Darnold.

    @tim-couch-pulls-out said:

    I miss more than I hit.

    With QBs who doesn't? That's why I like the OL... 🙂

    Agree on the start of your post... you can't mix in outputs like "accuracy" with inputs like footwork. That said...

    The big issue I have with your analysis is that Allen footwork isn't bad... in fact on most throws it's quite good so long as he targets his primary in rhythm. If he doesn't, or can't, then Allen tends to twist his torso rather than move his feet in the direction of the ball's new destination. Put another way his feet are not connected to his eyes and that creates problems. He's much better off on the run.

  • We talked late last year about Kizer, so we all miss. Or they missed on coaching a kid up? Am thinking the card reads Darnold..Unless Haley & Hue want to take on the Rosen mind challenge game..agree on Allen's potential, but Hue may never see it in time..maybe Dorsey does?   

    @gumby73 said:

    Or they missed on coaching a kid up?

    Who had time to coach him up or down or sideways?

  • @gumby73 said:

    Or they missed on coaching a kid up?

    Who had time to coach him up or down or sideways?

    @tour2ma said:

    Who had time to coach him up or down or sideways?

    ..31 other teams that didn't draft Kizer.(GM)They also don't let Kizer see the field.(Hue).it was that easy. So QB by default wins a doughnut hole O - 16.. We certainly own it     

  • Yup... no guarantee that Kizer makes it with a full time QB coach and OC and time, but the kid had no chance under 3-Hat Hue...

  • Yup... no guarantee that Kizer makes it with a full time QB coach and OC and time, but the kid had no chance under 3-Hat Hue...

    @tour2ma said:

    Yup... no guarantee that Kizer makes it with a full time QB coach and OC and time, but the kid had no chance under 3-Hat Hue...

    Coach up plan A - OK kid we know you had two years as QB in college and we were a 1-15 team last year and we have no real WRs and you will lose your #1 OL guy (oh didn't know that yet).....so here's the ball and we'll figure it out as we go. Now go win one for the Gipper!

    Plan B - OK who has Plan B? Nobody did one? 😆

  • You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

  • You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

    @jrb12711 said:

    You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

    How was Ben's accuracy before the draft?

    WSS

  • You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

    @jrb12711 said:

    You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

    There's always been "big QBs" in the league who have been their franchise's guy for periods of time...

    In the old NFL Roman Gabriel springs to mind... Joe Kapp and Bobby Douglas as well, although the latters' skills were marginal.

    More recently? At 6'4, 260+ Dante Culpepper may be the best example.

    Today? Cam obviously... and there are a number of "large" QBs that don't play all that "big"... e.g., Flacco, Bortles, Rivers...

  • @jrb12711 said:

    You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

    How was Ben's accuracy before the draft?

    WSS

    @westside-steve said:

    How was Ben's accuracy before the draft?

    Good enough that he was pretty easy to see coming...

    Pushing 70% in the early 2000's was a much bigger deal than it is today.

        Passing
    Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
    Career Miami (OH)         854 1304 65.5 10829 8.3 8.4 84 34 151.3
    2001 Miami (OH) MAC FR QB 12 241 381 63.3 3105 8.1 7.9 25 13 146.5
    2002 Miami (OH) MAC SO QB 12 271 428 63.3 3238 7.6 7.4 22 11 138.7
    *2003 Miami (OH) MAC JR QB 14 342 495 69.1 4486 9.1 9.6 37 10 165.8
  • @westside-steve said:

    How was Ben's accuracy before the draft?

    Good enough that he was pretty easy to see coming...

    Pushing 70% in the early 2000's was a much bigger deal than it is today.

        Passing
    Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
    Career Miami (OH)         854 1304 65.5 10829 8.3 8.4 84 34 151.3
    2001 Miami (OH) MAC FR QB 12 241 381 63.3 3105 8.1 7.9 25 13 146.5
    2002 Miami (OH) MAC SO QB 12 271 428 63.3 3238 7.6 7.4 22 11 138.7
    *2003 Miami (OH) MAC JR QB 14 342 495 69.1 4486 9.1 9.6 37 10 165.8

    @tour2ma said:

    Good enough that he was pretty easy to see coming...

        Passing
    Year School Conf Class Pos G Cmp Att Pct Yds Y/A AY/A TD Int Rate
    Career Miami (OH)         854 1304 65.5 10829 8.3 8.4 84 34 151.3
    2001 Miami (OH) MAC FR QB 12 241 381 63.3 3105 8.1 7.9 25 13 146.5
    2002 Miami (OH) MAC SO QB 12 271 428 63.3 3238 7.6 7.4 22 11 138.7
    *2003 Miami (OH) MAC JR QB 14 342 495 69.1 4486 9.1 9.6 37 10 165.8

    Exactly. Which is where the comparisons toJosh Allen cease to align.

    WSS

  • @jrb12711 said:

    You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

    There's always been "big QBs" in the league who have been their franchise's guy for periods of time...

    In the old NFL Roman Gabriel springs to mind... Joe Kapp and Bobby Douglas as well, although the latters' skills were marginal.

    More recently? At 6'4, 260+ Dante Culpepper may be the best example.

    Today? Cam obviously... and there are a number of "large" QBs that don't play all that "big"... e.g., Flacco, Bortles, Rivers...

    @tour2ma said:

    There's always been "big QBs" in the league who have been their franchise's guy for periods of time...

    In the old NFL Roman Gabriel springs to mind... Joe Kapp and Bobby Douglas as well, although the latters' skills were marginal.

    More recently? At 6'4, 260+ Dante Culpepper may be the best example.

    Today? Cam obviously... and there are a number of "large" QBs that don't play all that "big"... e.g., Flacco, Bortles, Rivers...

    Right, but unless I'm mistaken the only one AFTER ben you noted was Bortles (meh) Flacco (who I would argue isn't in this conversation) and cam who I missed. So wentz and cam leads you to two QBs over a decade who fit the "big and burly" mold like ben did out of college. To me that's more than a coincidence and shows a trend of where the nfl has gone the past 10, 12 years. 

  • @jrb12711 said:

    You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

    There's always been "big QBs" in the league who have been their franchise's guy for periods of time...

    In the old NFL Roman Gabriel springs to mind... Joe Kapp and Bobby Douglas as well, although the latters' skills were marginal.

    More recently? At 6'4, 260+ Dante Culpepper may be the best example.

    Today? Cam obviously... and there are a number of "large" QBs that don't play all that "big"... e.g., Flacco, Bortles, Rivers...

    @tour2ma said:

    There's always been "big QBs" in the league who have been their franchise's guy for periods of time...

    In the old NFL Roman Gabriel springs to mind... Joe Kapp and Bobby Douglas as well, although the latters' skills were marginal.

    More recently? At 6'4, 260+ Dante Culpepper may be the best example.

    Today? Cam obviously... and there are a number of "large" QBs that don't play all that "big"... e.g., Flacco, Bortles, Rivers...

    Yes,  and oh so many of those BIG QBs have been long tall piles of suckitude:

    Jamarcus Russell  6/6  260

    Leinert 6/5 230

    Vince Young  6/5 235

    Josh Feeman  6/6 245

    Weeden 6/4 230

    Tannehill 6/4 230

    EJ Manuel 6/5 240

    Paxton Lynch  6'7 245

    and those are just first rounders.

  • @tour2ma said:

    There's always been "big QBs" in the league who have been their franchise's guy for periods of time...

    In the old NFL Roman Gabriel springs to mind... Joe Kapp and Bobby Douglas as well, although the latters' skills were marginal.

    More recently? At 6'4, 260+ Dante Culpepper may be the best example.

    Today? Cam obviously... and there are a number of "large" QBs that don't play all that "big"... e.g., Flacco, Bortles, Rivers...

    Right, but unless I'm mistaken the only one AFTER ben you noted was Bortles (meh) Flacco (who I would argue isn't in this conversation) and cam who I missed. So wentz and cam leads you to two QBs over a decade who fit the "big and burly" mold like ben did out of college. To me that's more than a coincidence and shows a trend of where the nfl has gone the past 10, 12 years. 

    @jrb12711 said:

    Right, but unless I'm mistaken the only one AFTER ben you noted was Bortles (meh) Flacco (who I would argue isn't in this conversation) and cam who I missed. So wentz and cam leads you to two QBs over a decade who fit the "big and burly" mold like ben did out of college. To me that's more than a coincidence and shows a trend of where the nfl has gone the past 10, 12 years. 

    What do you consider "burley"....all the guys in my above post are at least 6/4  and 230.  

  • We talked late last year about Kizer, so we all miss. Or they missed on coaching a kid up? Am thinking the card reads Darnold..Unless Haley & Hue want to take on the Rosen mind challenge game..agree on Allen's potential, but Hue may never see it in time..maybe Dorsey does?   

    @gumby73 said:

    We talked late last year about Kizer, so we all miss. Or they missed on coaching a kid up? Am thinking the card reads Darnold..Unless Haley & Hue want to take on the Rosen mind challenge game..agree on Allen's potential, but Hue may never see it in time..maybe Dorsey does?   

    Hated Kizer from the get-go, thought he sucked at ND, and he didn't disappoint me on the Browns. 

  • You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

    @jrb12711 said:

    You know someone was talking to mr the other day and it really got me thinking.

    We keep saying we want a guy like big Ben, and the comparisons to Allen are obvious. But when you think about it, since ben and before Wentz how much guys like big Ben have actually turned out to be franchise guys? It's an interesting thought experiment cause in my head I got no one. I think, as I've noted before, is a signal of how the game is changing. 

    It was mentioned previously but probably the best comparison to Allen in the pros is Cam Newton. Though Camshaft is 1" taller and 25 pounds heavier. Career 58.5% completions and 85 QBR.  

    As Tour pointed out (and I knew all along) comparing Roethlisberger's accuracy to Allen's in college is a joke. If Josh was completing his passes at a 65% clip, he'd be in the Andrew Luck lock #1 category. 

  • @gumby73 said:

    We talked late last year about Kizer, so we all miss. Or they missed on coaching a kid up? Am thinking the card reads Darnold..Unless Haley & Hue want to take on the Rosen mind challenge game..agree on Allen's potential, but Hue may never see it in time..maybe Dorsey does?   

    Hated Kizer from the get-go, thought he sucked at ND, and he didn't disappoint me on the Browns. 

    @hoorta said:

    Hated Kizer from the get-go, thought he sucked at ND, and he didn't disappoint me on the Browns. 

    And I thought both Kizer and Kessler were way overreached by a couple of rounds each. Hue was an idiot. And whomever went along with it was too.

  • @gumby73 said:

    We talked late last year about Kizer, so we all miss. Or they missed on coaching a kid up? Am thinking the card reads Darnold..Unless Haley & Hue want to take on the Rosen mind challenge game..agree on Allen's potential, but Hue may never see it in time..maybe Dorsey does?   

    Hated Kizer from the get-go, thought he sucked at ND, and he didn't disappoint me on the Browns. 

    @hoorta said:

    Hated Kizer from the get-go, thought he sucked at ND, and he didn't disappoint me on the Browns. 

    and you might be right but the caution light came on when Dorsey thinks Hue needs talent. Offensive talent clearly. Am more disappointed with Hue's use of Kizer with no other choice behind him. Falls on Sashi too. We'll see who GB tries to slide to PS Kizer or his twin from UCLA Hunley  

  • @hoorta said:

    Hated Kizer from the get-go, thought he sucked at ND, and he didn't disappoint me on the Browns. 

    and you might be right but the caution light came on when Dorsey thinks Hue needs talent. Offensive talent clearly. Am more disappointed with Hue's use of Kizer with no other choice behind him. Falls on Sashi too. We'll see who GB tries to slide to PS Kizer or his twin from UCLA Hunley  

    @gumby73 said:

    and you might be right but the caution light came on when Dorsey thinks Hue needs talent. Offensive talent clearly. Am more disappointed with Hue's use of Kizer with no other choice behind him. Falls on Sashi too. We'll see who GB tries to slide to PS Kizer or his twin from UCLA Hunley  

    It would be pretty amazing for the Packers to try and slide a second round pick to the practice squad. Or does it mean Hue and whoever drafted him in the second round should have waited until the 4th? It's the same crazy thing I'm seeing with Allen. Josh's one special trait has him being touted around 90 slots too high. 

  • Speaking of thought experiments, I’ve been floating this one around the office. Apologies if it’s been discussed, I’ve been gone.

    This is a year where there’s really no consensus #1 but four or five potential first round guys with either great resumes or abnormal physical tools. What is holding each prospect back from being the consensus #1?

    What I get is:

    For Rosen, he’d be the consensus #1 if not for his personality and concussion concerns.

    For Darnold, he’d be the consensus #1 if not for an elongated windup and a less-than-stellar final year.

    For Allen, he’d be the consensus #1 if his career completion percentage was 5% better.

    For Mayfield, he’d be the consensus #1 if he were three inches taller.

    For Jackson, he’d be the consensus #1 if he were heavier and slightly more accurate.