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Possibility for HOF

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  • mjp28M mjp28

    The teams they played for also enters into the equations and their lifetime numbers.

    For example Bart Starr played on some great teams was he a great quarterback?

    The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
    #9

    @mjp28 said:

    The teams they played for also enters into the equations and their lifetime numbers.

    For example Bart Starr played on some great teams was he a great quarterback?

    Yes...he was.  Leadership is part of the equation for a QB...and he is among the greatest leaders of all time.  Even if he did not have all the gawdy passing stats that QBs today have...he was the leader for 5 Championship teams. 

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    • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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      The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by The Gipper
      #10

      I have to retract a bit of information I gave above...I said that no QB that had played their career post merger/1970 who had a CA of 162 or lower was int the HOF.    Well, that is an error:

      Jim Kelly had a CA of 132,  ...4 straight SB appearances got him in.

      Troy Aikman had a CA of 122....3 SB titles

      Bradshaw was 137.....4 SB titles.

       Bob Griese  139. Two SB titles....plus on loss (drafted in 60s, played mostly in 70s),

      Staubach...who, while he graduated from college n 1964...did not begin his career until 1969...and played mostly in the 70s.....had a 128. 4 SB appearance...2 wins, 2 losses.

       Ken Stabler had a 119....one SB win

      But... a lot of QBs who played pre -1970 did get in without real high CAs:

      Dawson  144

      Unitas 145

      Jurgenson 139

      Blanda 126

      Starr 119

      plus the guys mentioned herein above.

      Also, note:  The CA figure only started around 1960...so, Otto Graham, Sid Luckman, Sammy Baugh etc. were not given CA figures.

      The one guy that played most of his career in the 60s with the highest CA that is not in appears to be John Hadl....with a 143.

      Here are some CAs of some other NON-HOFer QBs.  

      Carson Palmer 142

      Vinny Testaverde...143 

      Dave Kreig 138

      Randall Cunningham  134

      Roman Gabriel  131

      John Brodie  129

      Steve McNair  126

      tony romo  116.

      None likely to get in.  ONLY McNair even made a SB appearance.

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      • The GipperT The Gipper

        With the retirement of Andrew Luck, naturally this sort of thing crops up on sports talk, as it did today:

        What is the potential that each current starting QB in the NFL has to make the HOF?     I will list each name of each starter in the league.   Give your opinion on their HOF status.   Be it...sure thing....or Never in this universe,  or  On his way....or  looking good...whatever:  Going West to East.

        1. Russell Wilson

        2. Jimmy Garrapolo

        3. Derek Carr

        4. Phillip Rivers

        5. Jared Goff

        6. Kyler Murray

        7. Joe Flacco

        8. Dak Prescott

        9. DeShaun Watson

        10. Kirk Cousins

        11. Patick Mahomes

        12. Drew Brees

        13. Aaron Rodgers

        14. Mitch Trubisky

        15. Matt Stafford

        16. Andrew Luck/Jacoby Brissquet

        17. Baker Mayfield

        18. Andy Dalton

        19. Marcus Mariota

        20. Matt Ryan

        21. Nick Foles

        22. Jameis Winston

        23. Ryan Fitzpatrick/Josh Rosen

        24. Cam Newton

        25. Case Keenum

        26. Lamar Jackson

        27. Ben Roethlisberger

        28. Carson Wentz

        29. Josh Allen

        30. Sam Darnold

        31. Eli Manning

        32. Tom Brady

        blitzz2 B Conversation Starter Reacting Well Dedicated Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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        B blitzz2 wrote on last edited by
        #11

        @the-gipper said:

        With the retirement of Andrew Luck, naturally this sort of thing crops up on sports talk, as it did today:

        What is the potential that each current starting QB in the NFL has to make the HOF?     I will list each name of each starter in the league.   Give your opinion on their HOF status.   Be it...sure thing....or Never in this universe,  or  On his way....or  looking good...whatever:  Going West to East.

        1. Russell Wilson : On his way, has a SB, 2 way threat.Can carry his team

        2. Jimmy Garrapolo   nope

        3. Derek Carr  nope, at this point.

        4. Phillip Rivers: Think he's a lock, if he makes a SB ..for sure

        5. Jared Goff: to soon

        6. Kyler Murray: no body of work

        7. Joe Flacco  nope

        8. Dak Prescott  to soon, needs to show consistency, maybe Amari will help

        9. DeShaun Watson: on his way?

        10. Kirk Cousins  nope

        11. Patick Mahomes: young, if his 1st season is the benchmark, and he puts up anywhere comparables..lock

        12. Drew Brees: lock

        13. Aaron Rodgers: lock

        14. Mitch Trubisky   to soon

        15. Matt Stafford: will be considered, but needs a good run of seasons

        16. Andrew Luck/Jacoby Brissquet: no

        17. Baker Mayfield: To soon,

        18. Andy Dalton no

        19. Marcus Mariota  no

        20. Matt Ryan yes

        21. Nick Foles no

        22. Jameis Winston no

        23. Ryan Fitzpatrick/Josh Rosen  no

        24. Cam Newton  if he can get healthy and make another title run...yes

        25. Case Keenumno

        26. Lamar Jackson  will see

        27. Ben Roethlisberger  lock

        28. Carson Wentz  health will hold him back

        29. Josh Allen  no

        30. Sam Darnold  wait and see

        31. Eli Manning  as much as it pains me  yes

        32. Tom Brady  lol  

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        • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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          The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
          #12

          Zombo said:

          Eli is not in my Hall of Fame, nor is Ryan.

          Rodgers, Rivers, Ben, Brees, Brady are in.

          Wilson is on the path.

          Zombo

          I don't think there is any debate about Brady, Ben R, Rodgers, Brees.  (Peyton obviously as well...not eligible yet)   Eli//Ryan//Rivers.....are issues.   Eli's two SB wins have him obviously in the conversation.  Rivers, Ryan....have numbers....but are numbers enough?  Eli has numbers as well. Ryan should have had a SB win....gotta blame that on the ATL defense for giving up a 25 pt. lead.  Rivers has one single AFC conf. championship game appearance to his record. ...for what that is worth. 

          On Eli's numbers, he kinda has those too:

          Completions #6 all time  (will pass Marino assuming he plays much)

          Yards  #7 all time

          TDs #8

          Rating #42

          YPG  #15

          Game winning drives  #9

          Comeback #11

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          • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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            The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by The Gipper
            #13

            Note this on numbers:   Eli pretty much has the edge there as well:

            Rivers

            Completions   #8      Eli #6

            Yards  #8   Eli  #7

            TDs  Rivers  374    Eli 360

            YPG  Rivers  #12  Eli #15

            Rating   Rivers #8   Eli  much lower  Eli's Ints an issue

            Game winning drives   #17  Eli  #9

            Comebacks #13   Eli  #11

            Honestly.....aside from the 2 SB wins....I think Eli has the numbers edge all around as well.

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            • hoorta hoortaH Conversation Starter Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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              hoortaH hoorta wrote on last edited by
              #14

              Zombo said:

              Eli is not in my Hall of Fame, nor is Ryan.

              Rodgers, Rivers, Ben, Brees, Brady are in.

              Wilson is on the path.

              Zombo

              I agree with Gipper Eli's two Super Bowl wins will be the ticket that gets him in.  He's not getting in on the first ballot though. 

              Of non quarterbacks I thought Chris Carter got stiffed far too long.  

              The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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              • hoortaH hoorta

                Zombo said:

                Eli is not in my Hall of Fame, nor is Ryan.

                Rodgers, Rivers, Ben, Brees, Brady are in.

                Wilson is on the path.

                Zombo

                I agree with Gipper Eli's two Super Bowl wins will be the ticket that gets him in.  He's not getting in on the first ballot though. 

                Of non quarterbacks I thought Chris Carter got stiffed far too long.  

                The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                #15

                @hoorta said:

                I agree with Gipper Eli's two Super Bowl wins will be the ticket that gets him in.  He's not getting in on the first ballot though. 

                Of non quarterbacks I thought Chris Carter got stiffed far too long.  

                A. Like I said...he even has the numbers mostly over Rivers. 

                I am of the opinion that  Eli/Rivers/BR will now be engaging in a dick swinging contest...to see who blinks first and retires from the league. 

                B. It took Carter like 12 or 13 years to make it.  It took Swann 14.  Based on comparative numbers....a guy like Gary Collins should have been chosen over him....however, he played on 4 title teams and make some spectacular catches in the SB.  Collins overall was better, imo.

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                • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                  The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                  #16

                  Zombo said:

                  Well, if you just are compiling numbers, than Eli should have the edge because he had a year and a half head start ... Let's remember River backed up Brees for two years while Eli became the starter halfway through his rookie year.

                  But Rivers will more than make that up because Eli is most likely in his final year and Rivers is coming off three straight Pro Bowl Seasons, is getting a new contract, and they haven't even bothered drafting his heir yet.

                  But if you want to know who has been the more effective QB, then these are the numbers to look at:

                  Rivers 64.5 Comp%,  7.7 y/a, 5.3 TD %, 2.5% Int, 95.6 Rating

                  Eli 60.3 Comp%, 7.0 y/a, 4.5 TD %, 3.0% Int 84.1 Rating

                  Yards per Game, Rivers 257-241.

                  So Rivers is more accurate, for more average yards, with a higher percentage of TDs and a lower percentage of INTs

                  What is Eli better at again?

                  Winning Championships....playing for Championships.  

                  8 Pro Bowls to 4 Pro Bowls ... I could go on.

                  Rivers is 5th among Active QBs in QB rating, and Eli is 22nd.

                  That, I believe is strictly based on Eli throwing more Ints.   Of course, that is a factor, but that didn't hurt Brett Favre....all time Int. leader or Fouts, or Marino or Unitas or Tarkenton...or Peyton...who have all thrown for more career Ints for Eli.

                  Yes, Eli will eventually get in the HOF because of the two Super Bowls, but Rivers is the better QB, which is why he makes MY HOF and Eli doesn't.

                  I would put them both in...but I would put Eli in first. 

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                  • Nero NeroN Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                    NeroN Nero wrote on last edited by Nero
                    #17

                    If I was asked by the HOF commitee (spellcheck?), I would vote for Rivers and leave Eli behind. The only thing Eli is the best at is at staying on the field. Almost never misses a game due to injury and that's remarkable. 

                    He is lucky to have had good defenses for both SB runs and to play for a NY team that gets way more media attention than it deserves.

                    The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • NeroN Nero

                      If I was asked by the HOF commitee (spellcheck?), I would vote for Rivers and leave Eli behind. The only thing Eli is the best at is at staying on the field. Almost never misses a game due to injury and that's remarkable. 

                      He is lucky to have had good defenses for both SB runs and to play for a NY team that gets way more media attention than it deserves.

                      The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                      The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                      #18

                      @nero said:

                      If I was asked by the HOF commitee (spellcheck?), I would vote for Rivers and leave Eli behind. The only thing Eli is the best at is at staying on the field. Almost never misses a game due to injury and that's remarkable. 

                      There are a lot of people in the HOF for just that reason.  Not everyone who lasts gets in (see:  Vinny)....but a lot are in for that reason.

                      He is lucky to have had good defenses for both SB runs and to play for a NY team that gets way more media attention than it deserves.

                      Every winning SB team has good defenses.  And winning championships gets you media attention, be you in NYC or Cleveland. (LeBron had no trouble getting media attention when he was here.)

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                      • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                        The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                        #19

                        Zombo said:

                        As I pointed out it was all four ingredients that go into the passer rating: Comp%, y/a, TD% and INT%

                        And they are from the same draft class, so need to bring up the guys from the 70's and 80's with higher interception percentages. Peyton has a lower intereception % than Eli as well, Rivers is closer statistically to Peyton than Eli is.

                        Zombo

                        Other than that Int. %....I saw the statistical differences as minimal.  

                        But I disagree somewhat with the 80s guys not being able to be compared.   The BIG change in QB stats  came about in 1978 as a result of the bump and run rule changes.  And the not hitting QB changes that came in then too. (plus many later).  So, I think you can compare him to Favre and Marino....but no, not  Bradshaw/Unitas.   Good QBs back then could have a 1:1  TD to Int. ratio.  And lower pass completions pct. yes.  Also note that interceptions were more frequent.  Paul Krause leading all in Ints....he played in the 60s.  Thom Darden, Browns leader, in the 70s. 

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                        • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                          The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                          #20

                          Zombo said:

                          I dont know why you are hung up on interceptions, Rivers advantage is significant, but it is probably the least of their statistical differences. 

                          Again ...

                          Rivers 64.5 Comp%,  7.7 y/a, 5.3 TD %, 2.5% Int, 95.6 Rating

                          Eli 60.3 Comp%, 7.0 y/a, 4.5 TD %, 3.0% Int 84.1 Rating

                          Yards per Game, Rivers 257-241.

                          Eli’s advantage is significant two championships to zero. More than makes up for the minor statistical differences. And is it his fault Rivers wasn’t considered good enough to start for his team as a rookie

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                          • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                            The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                            #21

                            Zombo said:

                            It's a team sport.

                            And the differences aren't minor.

                            Joe Flacco won a Super Bowl, but it doesn't make him as good as Phillip Rivers, it just doesn't. 

                            Eli is basically Joe Flacco with two rings instead of one. His longevity, durability and two amazing postseason runs will get him in the Hall. But he's not as good a QB as Rivers.

                            Z

                            Winning still counts. Someone here claimed that Bart Starr wasn’t all that good of a quarterback because his numbers weren’t quite as good. Does anyone want to contend that Bart Starr was not as good a quarterback is Philip Rivers?

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                            • TexasAg1969 T Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                              T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by
                              #22

                              1. Russell Wilson--------------------------------yes

                              2. Jimmy Garrapolo---------------------------no

                              3. Derek Carr-------------------------------------no

                              4. Phillip Rivers--------------------------------yes

                              5. Jared Goff-----------------------------------yes

                              6. Kyler Murray--------------------------------total bust

                              7. Joe Flacco----------------------------------no

                              8. Dak Prescott------------------------------definite maybe

                              9. DeShaun Watson----------------------no

                              10. Kirk Cousins---------------------------no

                              11. Patick Mahomes--------------------yes

                              12. Drew Brees-----------------------------tie for first yes with Brady

                              13. Aaron Rodgers-----------------------yes

                              14. Mitch Trubisky-----------------------no

                              15. Matt Stafford-------------------------no

                              16. Andrew Luck/Jacoby Brissquet-no

                              17. Baker Mayfield----------------------turn the Browns into yearly playoff contenders would do the trick

                              18. Andy Dalton---------------------------LOLOLOLOL

                              19. Marcus Mariota----------------------ditto

                              20. Matt Ryan-------------------------------only a SB win would do it

                              21. Nick Foles--------------------------------no

                              22. Jameis Winston-----------------------nope

                              23. Ryan Fitzpatrick/Josh Rosen--ditto

                              24. Cam Newton-----------------------------no

                              25. Case Keenum---------------------------lol

                              26. Lamar Jackson-------------------------no

                              27. Ben Roethlisberger--------------------yes

                              28. Carson Wentz----------------------------no

                              29. Josh Allen---------------------------------tied for LOLOLOLOL with Dalton

                              30. Sam Darnold------------------------------just maybe-see Baker Mayfield

                              31. Eli Manning--------------------------------big brother wins the lobby effect

                              32. Tom Brady---------------------------------see Brees

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                              • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                                The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                                #23

                                Zombo said:

                                I have great respect for Bart Starr, my point is simply that Philip Rivers is a better QB than Eli Manning, and you don't have to go back in history to prove it, their careers are right in front of us.

                                Rivers also has a higher winning % than Manning, who is two games over .500 and will probably be a .500 career qb by week three.

                                He had two great postseason runs. With the help of some circus catches and a relentless pass rush.

                                Good, durable, reliable Qb that made some history. Not a great QB, and not as good as Rivers. Or Ben. He was easily the third best QB in that draft.

                                Z

                                OK, well, you are entitled to be wrong once in a while. 

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                                • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                                  The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                                  #24

                                  They will both get in....so it is really superfluous. The question is:  who retires first?

                                  The Giants really, imo, have become a bad organization in the last few years and that has hurt Eli's  win pct.    I think Eli should go somewhere else? (maybe Indy).   I mean, Johnny U. did it, Joe Namath did it. Joe Montana did it. 

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                                  • The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                                    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by The Gipper
                                    #25

                                    Zombo said:

                                    He's going to walk away a Giant for life. If the season goes South he'll be replaced by Jones and that will be the end.

                                    As I mentioned earlier, the Chargers are looking to work out a new contract with Rivers and have not drafted his replacement yet, he is still at the top of his game.

                                    Z

                                    That's a theory.  We shall see.  Peyton got the hell out of Dodge in Indy and went elsewhere even after major injuries.   Eli could do the same....and not have the injuries.

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