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WEEK 4 - BROWNS a 5.5 point early underdog the O/U is 46.5 in Balt at 1 pm....now +7

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  • @the-gipper said:

    You’re wrong 

    He's kind of right. 

    @dutch-oven said:

    He's kind of right. 

    Maybe, hopefully not. I want him to be proven wrong.

  • @dutch-oven said:

    He's kind of right. 

    Maybe, hopefully not. I want him to be proven wrong.

    @the-gipper said:

    Maybe, hopefully not. I want him to be proven wrong.

    So do I, and I bet so does he. 

    Because if he's right long term, oof. 

  • And in case you are wondering.....and I know you are the next time after this weekend when we see our BROWNS it will be on MNF and they are already a +4 underdog in San Francisco.    😉

    .......and Baltimore -3 in pit and Arizona +3 in Cincinnati.

    Screenshot_2019-09-24_224032.jpg

  • I predict that we lose this game.

    But that still keeps us on track for my 9-7 prediction.

  • I predict that we lose this game.

    But that still keeps us on track for my 9-7 prediction.

    @orion said:

    I predict that we lose this game.

    But that still keeps us on track for my 9-7 prediction.

    The tricky part is they can't afford to get into a prolonged losing streak due to not having a good scoring machine and have any serious thoughts about the playoffs.

    The OL might be their Achilles heel and undermine the lofty expectations for this high power offense.

    Must win game against front runner Baltimore?

  • @clevelandwantsplayoffs said:

    Putting money down against the Browns when they play Baltimore? ?

    Regrettable, to say the least...

    It's also historically been another "-able"...

    Profitable...

    Especially in BLT...

    @tour2ma said:

    It's also historically been another "-able"...

    Profitable...

    Especially in BLT...

    I get it. But I have confidence that this team will bounce back.

    This defense is stellar and once the offense wakes up...a lot of people will act like they never doubted.

  • @tour2ma said:

    It's also historically been another "-able"...

    Profitable...

    Especially in BLT...

    I get it. But I have confidence that this team will bounce back.

    This defense is stellar and once the offense wakes up...a lot of people will act like they never doubted.

    @clevelandwantsplayoffs said:

    a lot of people will act like they never doubted.

    For me it's not a matter of doubting... it's a matter of timing.

    I think we'll be a very tough team in the second half of the year as we gel and the schedule is more favorable.

  • This is another way of looking at the game from what the books and the betting public are doing.  Since the line moved to +7 betting seems to be going toward Cleveland and the over. The spread is the flat line, money is the odds like -110, +240, etc. whatever there are other rather large tables that show the tick-by-tick line movements and other information mainly for booking houses and serious bettors.

    From our friends at http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/matchups/

    Screenshot_2019-09-25_142231.jpg

  • The money lines on this game and others from.   http://www.vegasinsider.com/nfl/odds/las-vegas/money/

    Screenshot_2019-09-25_143457.jpg

  • @clevelandwantsplayoffs said:

    a lot of people will act like they never doubted.

    For me it's not a matter of doubting... it's a matter of timing.

    I think we'll be a very tough team in the second half of the year as we gel and the schedule is more favorable.

    @tour2ma said:

    For me it's not a matter of doubting... it's a matter of timing.

    I think we'll be a very tough team in the second half of the year as we gel and the schedule is more favorable.

    I guess I’m really just hoping. And I sure as hell hope it doesn’t take til the second half of the year. 1-3 is a pretty big hole

  • I hope the browns players are reading when the Ravens are saying.   

  • I am not all that capable of in depth football analysis. I do however feel like I read people very well. Every bit of mannerism exhibited by Baker right now shows zero confidence and complete defeat. You can see it in his eyes and mannerisms. Scary. 

    @jcam222 said:

    I am not all that capable of in depth football analysis. I do however feel like I read people very well. Every bit of mannerism exhibited by Baker right now shows zero confidence and complete defeat. You can see it in his eyes and mannerisms. Scary. 

    And that's kind of my main concern. I know it's not very scientific, but something is off and we know all too well what happens to QBs when they lose their mojo. 

  • @the-gipper said:

    Maybe, hopefully not. I want him to be proven wrong.

    So do I, and I bet so does he. 

    Because if he's right long term, oof. 

    @dutch-oven said:

    So do I, and I bet so does he. 

    Because if he's right long term, oof. 

    Are you kidding? I want to be the wrongest dude this side of the equator! I want to be so wrong that we all chuckle at the end of the year while holding the Lombardi trophy and laughing at the absurdity of my comments. I love this team, and I remember the fun we had at the end of the year and the optimism we had for this season. But dang man, something is flat wrong, and they don't traditionally get better against the Ravens. But you know I'll be watching and rooting for us to win! 

  • @jcam222 said:

    I am not all that capable of in depth football analysis. I do however feel like I read people very well. Every bit of mannerism exhibited by Baker right now shows zero confidence and complete defeat. You can see it in his eyes and mannerisms. Scary. 

    And that's kind of my main concern. I know it's not very scientific, but something is off and we know all too well what happens to QBs when they lose their mojo. 

    @jiggins7919 said:

    And that's kind of my main concern. I know it's not very scientific, but something is off and we know all too well what happens to QBs when they lose their mojo. 

    I wouldn’t say confidence mojo thing.  It’s a film study correction thing.  He’s left a “clean” pocket 12 times - on plays that were not designed rollout plays.  I would say he was one of the better QBs last year at navigating within the pocket and making throws 

  • @jiggins7919 said:

    And that's kind of my main concern. I know it's not very scientific, but something is off and we know all too well what happens to QBs when they lose their mojo. 

    I wouldn’t say confidence mojo thing.  It’s a film study correction thing.  He’s left a “clean” pocket 12 times - on plays that were not designed rollout plays.  I would say he was one of the better QBs last year at navigating within the pocket and making throws 

    @sdbacker80 said:

    I wouldn’t say confidence mojo thing.  It’s a film study correction thing.  He’s left a “clean” pocket 12 times - on plays that were not designed rollout plays.  I would say he was one of the better QBs last year at navigating within the pocket and making throws 

    No doubt, and no argument from me about last year. I just don't understand why he's missing open targets, not seeing open targets, and why he's leaving the pocket so soon THIS year. And what I really don't understand is why he didn't target OBJ on that last failed series. Makes no sense. 

  • @sdbacker80 said:

    I wouldn’t say confidence mojo thing.  It’s a film study correction thing.  He’s left a “clean” pocket 12 times - on plays that were not designed rollout plays.  I would say he was one of the better QBs last year at navigating within the pocket and making throws 

    No doubt, and no argument from me about last year. I just don't understand why he's missing open targets, not seeing open targets, and why he's leaving the pocket so soon THIS year. And what I really don't understand is why he didn't target OBJ on that last failed series. Makes no sense. 

    @jiggins7919 said:

    No doubt, and no argument from me about last year. I just don't understand why he's missing open targets, not seeing open targets, and why he's leaving the pocket so soon THIS year. And what I really don't understand is why he didn't target OBJ on that last failed series. Makes no sense. 

    I think he’s been fairly accurate.  I think all QBs miss some throws in a game.  The fact he isn’t taking the checkdown often and going down the field more than most suggests he’s likely to miss more than usual.  The level of difficulty going further down the field and throwing on the run.  Not as good.  Still He’s made a few of those throws and when he’s set his feet in the pocket he’s been on the money more than he hasn’t.   One of my complaints this year- take the check down and let these great athletes we have make YAC. He’s made some great throws this season.  Tough throws too and he’s missed some open guys sometimes in an attempt to push the ball further down the field.

    And the chief concern he’s held onto the ball way way way too long on too many occasions.  Like you said not seeing open targets sometimes. 

    If OBJ was one on one during any of those goaline pass attempts he should have made an effort to find him.  I can’t imagine that being the case.  

  • @jiggins7919 said:

    No doubt, and no argument from me about last year. I just don't understand why he's missing open targets, not seeing open targets, and why he's leaving the pocket so soon THIS year. And what I really don't understand is why he didn't target OBJ on that last failed series. Makes no sense. 

    I think he’s been fairly accurate.  I think all QBs miss some throws in a game.  The fact he isn’t taking the checkdown often and going down the field more than most suggests he’s likely to miss more than usual.  The level of difficulty going further down the field and throwing on the run.  Not as good.  Still He’s made a few of those throws and when he’s set his feet in the pocket he’s been on the money more than he hasn’t.   One of my complaints this year- take the check down and let these great athletes we have make YAC. He’s made some great throws this season.  Tough throws too and he’s missed some open guys sometimes in an attempt to push the ball further down the field.

    And the chief concern he’s held onto the ball way way way too long on too many occasions.  Like you said not seeing open targets sometimes. 

    If OBJ was one on one during any of those goaline pass attempts he should have made an effort to find him.  I can’t imagine that being the case.  

    @sdbacker80 said:

    If OBJ was one on one during any of those goaline pass attempts he should have made an effort to find him.  I can’t imagine that being the case.  

    It was unfortunately the case several times, with OBJ juking his defender so badly he fell DOWN one play. I speak truth, go find the highlights and watch the last 4 plays. It's mind boggling. He missed OBJ twice, Jarvis another time. Just weird and sad. 

    Here's the Jarvis play he missed. Not sure I can post a Twitter feed, but I will try. 

  • @sdbacker80 said:

    If OBJ was one on one during any of those goaline pass attempts he should have made an effort to find him.  I can’t imagine that being the case.  

    It was unfortunately the case several times, with OBJ juking his defender so badly he fell DOWN one play. I speak truth, go find the highlights and watch the last 4 plays. It's mind boggling. He missed OBJ twice, Jarvis another time. Just weird and sad. 

    Here's the Jarvis play he missed. Not sure I can post a Twitter feed, but I will try. 

    @jiggins7919 said:

    It was unfortunately the case several times, with OBJ juking his defender so badly he fell DOWN one play. I speak truth, go find the highlights and watch the last 4 plays. It's mind boggling. He missed OBJ twice, Jarvis another time. Just weird and sad. 

    I was too busy yelling at my TV when they went empty backfield.

    i was thinking after first dow well that’s okay nick Chubb gets it on 2nd.  Same thing on the next play he’ll get a third down carry.

  • @jiggins7919 said:

    It was unfortunately the case several times, with OBJ juking his defender so badly he fell DOWN one play. I speak truth, go find the highlights and watch the last 4 plays. It's mind boggling. He missed OBJ twice, Jarvis another time. Just weird and sad. 

    I was too busy yelling at my TV when they went empty backfield.

    i was thinking after first dow well that’s okay nick Chubb gets it on 2nd.  Same thing on the next play he’ll get a third down carry.

    @sdbacker80 said:

    I was too busy yelling at my TV when they went empty backfield.

    i was thinking after first dow well that’s okay nick Chubb gets it on 2nd.  Same thing on the next play he’ll get a third down carry.

    OMG, ME TOO! 

    Even if you don't run it, which I honestly wouldn't have had a problem with all FOUR plays being a run, you at least have to make them THINK it might be a run, right?! AHHHHHH! ? 

    We all know hindsight is 20/20 and all that, but geez. We had a decent amount of success running the ball, right? So why not line up and run it at them 4 straight times. 4 plays, 5 yards, let's see who wins. That's slightly nuts I know, but I'd rather THAT than 4 straight empty set plays. How about a QB draw on first down? That effing PLAY ALWAYS works against us, Lmao. 

  • @orion said:

    I predict that we lose this game.

    But that still keeps us on track for my 9-7 prediction.

    The tricky part is they can't afford to get into a prolonged losing streak due to not having a good scoring machine and have any serious thoughts about the playoffs.

    The OL might be their Achilles heel and undermine the lofty expectations for this high power offense.

    Must win game against front runner Baltimore?

    @mjp28 said:

    The tricky part is they can't afford to get into a prolonged losing streak due to not having a good scoring machine and have any serious thoughts about the playoffs.  We just have to beat who we're supposed to be able to beat.  The Titans loss was predictable.  They're an experienced team.  We had all kinds of newness going on. - Did we expect to beat the reigning NFC Champs?  It doesn't matter that we had a chance to....did we really expect a win against the Rams?

    The OL might be their Achilles heel and undermine the lofty expectations for this high power offense.  Yeah, it was a lot of the demise of game one.  It's been a worry since the Zeitler trade because Corbett hadn't showed any real ability.  And still hasn't.  But the guys Freddie selected as starters really haven't had much playing time together (Mother Hubbard got injured and Robinson kicked himself out of a game).  Perhaps they'll gel a bit as time goes on.

    Must win game against front runner Baltimore?

    No.  Not a must win.  On the road against our main division rival (this season anyway).  The must win would be the home game.  The must win would be the Jets, or the Bengals (pretty much both games, home & away)...  MO anyway.