How did the Defense get so bad?
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let him walk and replace him with NOBODY because we need that cap space.
False. He was not replaced because we had greater needs in the draft and the FA market was not great. Add to the latter that we are still not that desirable a franchise.
As for your Cap projections.. source? Over-the-Cap shows a significantly growing cap margin thru 2024 (rising to $220mm), but that's because they do not project signings... they merely roll current contracts off the books as they expire.
If Baker plays the rest of the season as he did Thursday do you think he'll come cheap? Every team that inks a franchise QB faves cap pain. The one exception I can think of is NE... and that was only because TB12 took cap-friendly restructures of three different contracts (IIRC) so that other talent could be added or retained around him. You can't go crazy while your QB is on a rookie contract.
What about Chubb? Wills? Ward? Bito?
Every player has a value. Schobert simply exceeded his.
False. He was not replaced because we had greater needs in the draft and the FA market was not great. Add to the latter that we are still not that desirable a franchise.
As for your Cap projections.. source? Over-the-Cap shows a significantly growing cap margin thru 2024 (rising to $220mm), but that's because they do not project signings... they merely roll current contracts off the books as they expire.
If Baker plays the rest of the season as he did Thursday do you think he'll come cheap? Every team that inks a franchise QB faves cap pain. The one exception I can think of is NE... and that was only because TB12 took cap-friendly restructures of three different contracts (IIRC) so that other talent could be added or retained around him. You can't go crazy while your QB is on a rookie contract.
What about Chubb? Wills? Ward? Bito?
Every player has a value. Schobert simply exceeded his.
Chubb presents a problem because he has a 4year deal. He doesn’t have the extra year option that Ward and Baker have.
Chubb - maybe he takes D Henry type money 12.5M a year? That deal should give us a little hope. If he wants to be the highest paid back I could see us Franchise tagging him.
Then you have Ward and Baker.If Baker pans out he becomes the highest priority.
Ward could be the odd guy out.
Bito is gonna walk after his deal he’s got two years after this year and he’ll be 31.
If we draft well guys like Garrett, Baker, Chubb will be surrounded by cheaper good complementary talent at positions we need.
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False. He was not replaced because we had greater needs in the draft and the FA market was not great. Add to the latter that we are still not that desirable a franchise.
As for your Cap projections.. source? Over-the-Cap shows a significantly growing cap margin thru 2024 (rising to $220mm), but that's because they do not project signings... they merely roll current contracts off the books as they expire.
If Baker plays the rest of the season as he did Thursday do you think he'll come cheap? Every team that inks a franchise QB faves cap pain. The one exception I can think of is NE... and that was only because TB12 took cap-friendly restructures of three different contracts (IIRC) so that other talent could be added or retained around him. You can't go crazy while your QB is on a rookie contract.
What about Chubb? Wills? Ward? Bito?
Every player has a value. Schobert simply exceeded his.
Chubb presents a problem because he has a 4year deal. He doesn’t have the extra year option that Ward and Baker have.
Chubb - maybe he takes D Henry type money 12.5M a year? That deal should give us a little hope. If he wants to be the highest paid back I could see us Franchise tagging him.
Then you have Ward and Baker.If Baker pans out he becomes the highest priority.
Ward could be the odd guy out.
Bito is gonna walk after his deal he’s got two years after this year and he’ll be 31.
If we draft well guys like Garrett, Baker, Chubb will be surrounded by cheaper good complementary talent at positions we need.
If we draft well guys like Garrett, Baker, Chubb will be surrounded by cheaper good complementary talent at positions we need.
The key!
Only way to get talent on the cheap, but at only three-year bites (after Round 1), it's really hard to sustain that route.
While you get to keep your firsts for up to 5 years, they can only be termed "economical", not cheap... especially not in that 5th year. And the trend is definitely moving towards extending the really good ones before their rookie deals lapse to keep them and keep them happy.
Tags? Can be useful, but are not a happy-inducing route to building a team.
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If we draft well guys like Garrett, Baker, Chubb will be surrounded by cheaper good complementary talent at positions we need.
The key!
Only way to get talent on the cheap, but at only three-year bites (after Round 1), it's really hard to sustain that route.
While you get to keep your firsts for up to 5 years, they can only be termed "economical", not cheap... especially not in that 5th year. And the trend is definitely moving towards extending the really good ones before their rookie deals lapse to keep them and keep them happy.
Tags? Can be useful, but are not a happy-inducing route to building a team.
The key!
Only way to get talent on the cheap, but at only three-year bites (after Round 1), it's really hard to sustain that route.
While you get to keep your firsts for up to 5 years, they can only be termed "economical", not cheap... especially not in that 5th year. And the trend is definitely moving towards extending the really good ones before their rookie deals lapse to keep them and keep them happy.
Tags? Can be useful, but are not a happy-inducing route to building a team.
A tag for an elite back with an injury history that will already command high dollars -might be the best choice assuming he turns down Derrick Henry Money.
id give Chubb a 4yr 50M deal tomorrow
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Positive news on defense:
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I have been on the road for these first two games...has Elliot performed that well?
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He starts for the Jaguars He had 8 tackles last week with 1 TFL
And the Jags are a lot tougher than anyone thought this year: Won last week when they were not expected to. Lost in the last minute to the Tits....who could very well be Super Bowl contenders. They are not to be overlooked. Thought they may Tank for Trevor...but, alas, no it seems. Minshew has played lights out.
And the Jags are a lot tougher than anyone thought this year: Won last week when they were not expected to. Lost in the last minute to the Tits....who could very well be Super Bowl contenders. They are not to be overlooked. Thought they may Tank for Trevor...but, alas, no it seems. Minshew has played lights out.
And, as of now, it looks like the Pats are not tanking either. (Beat Fins, barely lost to Seattle). Jags dumped so many players, it didn't appear as they were even trying, but apparently they needed to cut/trade that many people to clean the team of malcontents.
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Elliot is apparently the 10th highest rated DI in all the league.
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Elliot is apparently the 10th highest rated DI in all the league.
Elliot is apparently the 10th highest rated DI in all the league.
But to be cynical about: So? What good does that do us in a defense that is averaging giving up 34 points a game?
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By the way, here is the list of worst defenses of all time, based on Points per game given up:
First Conf. Conf. Super YEAR Record PFPG PAPG Pct. Round Semis Finals Bowl
1 1966 New York Giants 1-12-1 18.8 35.8 0.107
2 1981 Baltimore Colts 2-14-0 16.2 33.3 0.125
3 2008 Detroit Lions 0-16-0 16.8 32.3 0.000
4 1972 New England Patriots 3-11-0 13.7 31.9 0.214
4 1973 Houston Oilers 1-13-0 14.2 31.9 0.071
6 1966 Atlanta Falcons 3-11-0 14.6 31.2 0.214
7 2009 Detroit Lions 2-14-0 16.4 30.9 0.125
7 2019 Miami Dolphins 5-11-0 19.1 30.9 0.313
7 1975 New York Jets 3-11-0 18.4 30.9 0.214
7 2011 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 4-12-0 17.9 30.9 0.250
11 2005 St. Louis Rams 6-10-0 22.7 30.8 0.375
12 1976 Seattle Seahawks 2-12-0 16.4 30.6 0.143
13 2001 Indianapolis Colts 6-10-0 25.8 30.4 0.375
13 1980 New Orleans Saints 1-15-0 18.2 30.4 0.062
15 1984 Minnesota Vikings 3-13-0 17.3 30.3 0.188
16 1967 Atlanta Falcons 1-12-1 12.5 30.1 0.107
17 2013 Minnesota Vikings 5-10-1 24.4 30.0 0.344
17 2016 San Francisco 49ers 2-14-0 19.3 30.0 0.125
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Newton picked on.. Jamal Adams. He would not be "the solution" - and it's probably good we didn't blow our cap to sign him.
Speaking of changes to our defense, I'm fully on the "Start Porter Gustin" train.
Speaking of changes to our defense, I'm fully on the "Start Porter Gustin" train.
Me too. I was VERY impressed with Gustin!
I welcome the only Defensive Coordinator to earn a Superbowl Ring in New Orleans while understanding Revenge of the Nerds is a sequel. "Come get some!" -
Having cap space is a byproduct of our many years in the wilderness.. Two years of 50M under a 140M cap means "cap space" of 100M for one season -- any one year gap gets rolled into the next. Cap the following season after spending that 100 is right "back" to the cap before the overage was achieved.
From OverTheCap: Total Cap Liabilities: $195,722,507
From Google: Total 2020 NFL cap: $198.2
That "cap space" number isn't real. Actual salaries are right at the cap and have been for a while.
Instead of lighting it on fire via a bunch of over-the-hill average FA's looking for a payday.. let's use that space to resign top draft picks who become good.
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Speaking of changes to our defense, I'm fully on the "Start Porter Gustin" train.
Me too. I was VERY impressed with Gustin!
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Not just because he agrees with me (although that helps... a lot...
) here's Terry's reply to a 3-question parlay in today's mailbag...
Hey, Terry: We have a weak defense and $30 million in cap space. Is this part of analytics? – Mike Brubaker, Cuyahoga Falls.
Hey, Terry: With more than $30 million in cap space, who are some candidates they can scoop up to help the defense? Or are they banking all that cash for signings in the next two years (Chubb, Baker, etc.)? – Tom Harkness, Bay Village
Hey, Terry: Any analysis of how Joe Schobert has played? Wonder if letting him walk is a Mitchell Schwartz redo? – Tim Corbett, Dana Point, Calif.
Hey Mike, Tom & Tim: I put all three questions together because they involve money. When I interviewed Andrew Berry, the GM was clear that the main offseason priority was offense. That is where they used the money (free agents Austin Hooper, Jack Conklin and Case Keenum) and the top draft pick (Jedrick Wills).
They also wanted to start wrapping up key players, and they did extending the contracts of Myles Garrett and Kareem Hunt. They want to begin to win now, but also try to have money left for the future.
As Tom mentioned, Nick Chubb, Baker Mayfield and you can add Denzel Ward are eligible for extensions next season. Larry Ogunjobi is a free agent at the end of this year. That’s four starters. They are saving money for that.
The Browns are $33 million under the salary, most in the NFL. That’s according to overthecap.com.
I would have signed Schobert. The Jacksonville contract ($53 million) looks huge over five years. It’s $22 million guaranteed over the first two seasons, according to overthecap.com. I would have matched that deal.
As for Schobert, he’s been above average in the first two games, according to Profootballfocus (PFF). There have been 63 linebackers who have played at least 50 percent of their team’s snaps in the first two games.
Schobert ranks #15 out of 63.Here’s a surprise: Macolm Smith of the Browns is at #11 and Sione Takitaki is at #17. I don’t see them playing so well. Smith ranks high in pass coverage.BJ Goodson has played nearly every snap, and he’s had a tough time. He’s at #47 out of 63, and that does match the eye test.When it comes to defense, the Browns (and analytics) says money should be spent on the line and on cornerbacks. Linebackers are not valued. Philadelphia takes the same approach. Berry was influenced by the Eagles, where he was an assistant GM last season.
Mack Wilson is in practice this week, so perhaps that helps at linebacker. But he had an so-so rookie year and is coming off a knee injury. Not sure what to expect from him.
"When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196 -
Not just because he agrees with me (although that helps... a lot...
) here's Terry's reply to a 3-question parlay in today's mailbag...
Hey, Terry: We have a weak defense and $30 million in cap space. Is this part of analytics? – Mike Brubaker, Cuyahoga Falls.
Hey, Terry: With more than $30 million in cap space, who are some candidates they can scoop up to help the defense? Or are they banking all that cash for signings in the next two years (Chubb, Baker, etc.)? – Tom Harkness, Bay Village
Hey, Terry: Any analysis of how Joe Schobert has played? Wonder if letting him walk is a Mitchell Schwartz redo? – Tim Corbett, Dana Point, Calif.
Hey Mike, Tom & Tim: I put all three questions together because they involve money. When I interviewed Andrew Berry, the GM was clear that the main offseason priority was offense. That is where they used the money (free agents Austin Hooper, Jack Conklin and Case Keenum) and the top draft pick (Jedrick Wills).
They also wanted to start wrapping up key players, and they did extending the contracts of Myles Garrett and Kareem Hunt. They want to begin to win now, but also try to have money left for the future.
As Tom mentioned, Nick Chubb, Baker Mayfield and you can add Denzel Ward are eligible for extensions next season. Larry Ogunjobi is a free agent at the end of this year. That’s four starters. They are saving money for that.
The Browns are $33 million under the salary, most in the NFL. That’s according to overthecap.com.
I would have signed Schobert. The Jacksonville contract ($53 million) looks huge over five years. It’s $22 million guaranteed over the first two seasons, according to overthecap.com. I would have matched that deal.
As for Schobert, he’s been above average in the first two games, according to Profootballfocus (PFF). There have been 63 linebackers who have played at least 50 percent of their team’s snaps in the first two games.
Schobert ranks #15 out of 63.Here’s a surprise: Macolm Smith of the Browns is at #11 and Sione Takitaki is at #17. I don’t see them playing so well. Smith ranks high in pass coverage.BJ Goodson has played nearly every snap, and he’s had a tough time. He’s at #47 out of 63, and that does match the eye test.When it comes to defense, the Browns (and analytics) says money should be spent on the line and on cornerbacks. Linebackers are not valued. Philadelphia takes the same approach. Berry was influenced by the Eagles, where he was an assistant GM last season.
Mack Wilson is in practice this week, so perhaps that helps at linebacker. But he had an so-so rookie year and is coming off a knee injury. Not sure what to expect from him.
Not just because he agrees with me (although that helps... a lot...
) here's Terry's reply to a 3-question parlay in today's mailbag...
OK, so Berry does not value LBs high because they did not do so in Philly.
What does that tell us, considering how poorly this defense has played?
Or, better yet....do some comparison: To the hated Steelers. I say that our DL, and our defensive backfield (when healthy) are at least the equal or better than the Spermsuckers DL and DB crew. The difference? They DO place great emphasis on their LBs....and have invested heavily in them. Several first rounders...including TJ Watt...and Devin Bush and Bud Dupree. And where does their defense rank compared to ours? They rank 5th best in pts. against, Browns rank 29th.
OK, so Berry emphasized offense, and having money for the future to sign key players is certainly critical. You cannot really argue with that. So now we have to try to outscore teams, but that can't happen as much as we would like (see Ravens game). Still...do you know what having bad defense gets you? Losses. Lost games, lost jobs for GMs and coaches.
So...the message that seems to be coming through is that Berry seems likely to be willing to sacrifice this season for the sake of those key factors: offense and money for the future. Defense...and with it...playoff contention can come later, apparently.
Does that seem fair? I know a lot of moves have been made on the defensive side....but were those the best we could do? Is rejection of higher profile defensive players that could seemingly help this team: Thomas, Matthews, others, seem like the right philosophy?
And should we expect a Steeler like approach to the Defense, particularly LBs come next draft?
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let him walk and replace him with NOBODY because we need that cap space.
False. He was not replaced because we had greater needs in the draft and the FA market was not great. Add to the latter that we are still not that desirable a franchise.
As for your Cap projections.. source? Over-the-Cap shows a significantly growing cap margin thru 2024 (rising to $220mm), but that's because they do not project signings... they merely roll current contracts off the books as they expire.
If Baker plays the rest of the season as he did Thursday do you think he'll come cheap? Every team that inks a franchise QB faves cap pain. The one exception I can think of is NE... and that was only because TB12 took cap-friendly restructures of three different contracts (IIRC) so that other talent could be added or retained around him. You can't go crazy while your QB is on a rookie contract.
What about Chubb? Wills? Ward? Bito?
Every player has a value. Schobert simply exceeded his.
False. He was not replaced because we had greater needs in the draft and the FA market was not great. Add to the latter that we are still not that desirable a franchise.
As for your Cap projections.. source? Over-the-Cap shows a significantly growing cap margin thru 2024 (rising to $220mm), but that's because they do not project signings... they merely roll current contracts off the books as they expire.
If Baker plays the rest of the season as he did Thursday do you think he'll come cheap? Every team that inks a franchise QB faves cap pain. The one exception I can think of is NE... and that was only because TB12 took cap-friendly restructures of three different contracts (IIRC) so that other talent could be added or retained around him. You can't go crazy while your QB is on a rookie contract.
What about Chubb? Wills? Ward? Bito?
Every player has a value. Schobert simply exceeded his.
Don’t have a lot of free time so just getting back to this.
My source is typing in “NFL Cap Space” into google and reading the first 15 sites that all list the Browns as having the most this year. Then clicking through the years and seeing them still near the top.
So we can’t sign anybody because there are players we need to sign soon.... what about the big contracts that they won’t resign? Like Vernon’s worthlessness and his 11 mil contract? Or when Beckham and/or Laudry come off the books? Can’t front load a 3 year contract with a signing bonus for a 28-30 year old vet that can be dumped when you need the money to sign someone?
I see Lb’s like Martinez sign with the giants for about 11 mil a year for 3 years, or hell even guys like Ogletree that would come in on low contracts that at least can play NFL linebacker. Then they have to go sign someone like Smith out of desperation right before the season because they just need a body....(but at least he is a vet.... why wasn’t someone like him already on the roster all camp...)
Watching that group play against a rookie QB and some third rate WR’s last week should give us all nightmares about what the defense is going to be able to stop going forward. (Not to mention the Ravens game...)
so you can’t draft top end LB because you have bigger needs elsewhere.... so you take Phillips which is fine, but then you look at the defensive depth chart and see that LB corps and think.... ya we are good, We just lost our two vet LB’s, have a kid in Mack that plays hot and ice cold.... but no need for even a bandaid contract in there to get us through. Even with Mack back, you gotta be 30th-32nd in the league with that group.
it might be different if you had lock down vet safeties and at least one vet LB, but none of those things exist on this roster.... the low end LB play is going to cost them a few games this year.
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This is Malcolm Smith's 9th year in the league...
... so there's that.
"When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196 -
This is Malcolm Smith's 9th year in the league...
... so there's that.
Yea, but then I did say "high profile" LBs. Malcolm Smith....not so much on that count. (I don't think he ever made an impact that I recall...I barely knew his name).
And let me get this straight about the salary cap. Say you have 30 million in cap space, and say you sign one of these veterans, like Thomas or Matthews who are sitting at home at this point, to a deal that just pays them...whatever amount, for this year. Doesn't that cost for this year drop off....and be available again for next year and beyond? So you would still have that 30 mill in cap space available for the future, for signing long deals with...whomever? So using that money that you have just THIS YEAR, would not harm the plans for longevity. Fair to say?
Now, maybe those guys would be looking for a longer year deal....but the fact is their paychecks for this year are exactly -0-.....and if they signed a just this year deal, maybe they could prove they still got it, and perhaps show that they deserve something longer term for next year and going forward. (again, looking at Clay III...and seeing how long his pop and uncle played...he could have another 5 years)
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This is Malcolm Smith's 9th year in the league...
... so there's that.
Yea, but then I did say "high profile" LBs. Malcolm Smith....not so much on that count. (I don't think he ever made an impact that I recall...I barely knew his name).
And let me get this straight about the salary cap. Say you have 30 million in cap space, and say you sign one of these veterans, like Thomas or Matthews who are sitting at home at this point, to a deal that just pays them...whatever amount, for this year. Doesn't that cost for this year drop off....and be available again for next year and beyond? So you would still have that 30 mill in cap space available for the future, for signing long deals with...whomever? So using that money that you have just THIS YEAR, would not harm the plans for longevity. Fair to say?
Now, maybe those guys would be looking for a longer year deal....but the fact is their paychecks for this year are exactly -0-.....and if they signed a just this year deal, maybe they could prove they still got it, and perhaps show that they deserve something longer term for next year and going forward. (again, looking at Clay III...and seeing how long his pop and uncle played...he could have another 5 years)
Yea, but then I did say "high profile" LBs. Malcolm Smith....not so much on that count. (I don't think he ever made an impact that I recall...I barely knew his name).
And let me get this straight about the salary cap. Say you have 30 million in cap space, and say you sign one of these veterans, like Thomas or Matthews who are sitting at home at this point, to a deal that just pays them...whatever amount, for this year. Doesn't that cost for this year drop off....and be available again for next year and beyond? So you would still have that 30 mill in cap space available for the future, for signing long deals with...whomever? So using that money that you have just THIS YEAR, would not harm the plans for longevity. Fair to say?
Now, maybe those guys would be looking for a longer year deal....but the fact is their paychecks for this year are exactly -0-.....and if they signed a just this year deal, maybe they could prove they still got it, and perhaps show that they deserve something longer term for next year and going forward. (again, looking at Clay III...and seeing how long his pop and uncle played...he could have another 5 years)
Maybe we reached out to Clay and Thomas.
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This is Malcolm Smith's 9th year in the league...
... so there's that.
Yea, but then I did say "high profile" LBs. Malcolm Smith....not so much on that count. (I don't think he ever made an impact that I recall...I barely knew his name).
And let me get this straight about the salary cap. Say you have 30 million in cap space, and say you sign one of these veterans, like Thomas or Matthews who are sitting at home at this point, to a deal that just pays them...whatever amount, for this year. Doesn't that cost for this year drop off....and be available again for next year and beyond? So you would still have that 30 mill in cap space available for the future, for signing long deals with...whomever? So using that money that you have just THIS YEAR, would not harm the plans for longevity. Fair to say?
Now, maybe those guys would be looking for a longer year deal....but the fact is their paychecks for this year are exactly -0-.....and if they signed a just this year deal, maybe they could prove they still got it, and perhaps show that they deserve something longer term for next year and going forward. (again, looking at Clay III...and seeing how long his pop and uncle played...he could have another 5 years)
Doesn't that cost for this year drop off....and be available again for next year and beyond
We have "32.8" in cap space for one year but our salaries are only 2.5 under ongoing salary cap. So if that's a question... No. Our ongoing cap space is no more than 2.5.
The 32.8 is a fantasy only good for one season.. once it's used, it's gone. So instead of thinking of it as "space" -- think of it as an ability to resign a few first-rounders [bonus can be taken in one season rather than spread out] that other teams don't have. Note, of course: if that 2.5 remains unused through 2020... next season's "cap" would become 35.3! Oh, the humanity!
If you got a $50k one-time bonus from work, would your household budget assume you were going to get that bonus every year from now until you die?
"Cap Space" is an accounting gimmick; the metric of [ [2020 salary cap]-[2020 cap liabilities] ] is what you should look at.
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Schobert already getting scorched in the 1st Q tonight. One horsecollar as they RB was already past him for a 1st down and then old man Fitzpatrick ran around him
on a late run up the middle. Looked pretty damn foolish on that play.
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