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Iowa Caucus

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  • OldBrownsFan OldBrownsFanO
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    OldBrownsFanO OldBrownsFan wrote on last edited by OldBrownsFan
    #21

    All the pollsters were saying before the vote that the higher the turnout the more it favored Trump yet with the huge record turnout Cruz still wins. Now hearing the same old same old that a conservative like Cruz cannot win in November and we have to have a more *moderate* candidate. Where have I heard that before? John McCain and Mitt Romney? We always hear this that only the moderate establishment republican has a chance to win in November but I thought Reagan proved that myth wrong?

    bbedwardB 1 Reply Last reply
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    • gftChrisG gftChris

      @westside-steve said:

      I think the Democrats are secretly hoping for Joe Biden but the only way that happens is if Hillary gets indited which the Obama Justice Department will never allow.

      WSS

      Basically, it's a shit show all round, with the most informed, principled of either side likely not ending up with the nomination and the substandard shit rising to the top.

      Westside Steve W Dedicated Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Conversation Starter Week One Done One Year In One Month Later Very Popular
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      W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by
      #22

      @gftchris said:

      Basically, it's a shit show all round, with the most informed, principled of either side likely not ending up with the nomination and the substandard shit rising to the top.

      I'm assuming you would be a Bernie Sanders supporter but who is the most informed and competent Republican in your opinion? Bush?

      WSS

      www.westsidesteve.com www.myspace.com/westsidestevemusic www.cdbaby.com/artist/westsidestevesimmons
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      • Westside Steve W Dedicated Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Conversation Starter Week One Done One Year In One Month Later Very Popular
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        W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by
        #23

        By the way most likely my three favorites will be abandoning the quest soon enough, Fiorina, Christy and Kasich.

        WSS

        www.westsidesteve.com www.myspace.com/westsidestevemusic www.cdbaby.com/artist/westsidestevesimmons
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        • W Westside Steve

          @gftchris said:

          Basically, it's a shit show all round, with the most informed, principled of either side likely not ending up with the nomination and the substandard shit rising to the top.

          I'm assuming you would be a Bernie Sanders supporter but who is the most informed and competent Republican in your opinion? Bush?

          WSS

          gftChris gftChrisG
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          gftChrisG gftChris wrote on last edited by
          #24

          @westside-steve said:

          I'm assuming you would be a Bernie Sanders supporter but who is the most informed and competent Republican in your opinion? Bush?

          WSS

          Probably Rand Paul. Jeb seems a bit of a puppet, another who seeks a 'divine right' presidency.

          It would be hilarious, btw, if after all the birther nonsense from parts of the right about Obama, if the republican nominee ends up being 'Rafael' Cruz, someone verifiably born in a different country.

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          • OldBrownsFanO OldBrownsFan

            All the pollsters were saying before the vote that the higher the turnout the more it favored Trump yet with the huge record turnout Cruz still wins. Now hearing the same old same old that a conservative like Cruz cannot win in November and we have to have a more *moderate* candidate. Where have I heard that before? John McCain and Mitt Romney? We always hear this that only the moderate establishment republican has a chance to win in November but I thought Reagan proved that myth wrong?

            bbedward bbedwardB Conversation Starter Reacting Well Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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            bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
            #25

            @oldbrownsfan said:

            All the pollsters were saying before the vote that the higher the turnout the more it favored Trump yet with the huge record turnout Cruz still wins. Now hearing the same old same old that a conservative like Cruz cannot win in November and we have to have a more *moderate* candidate. Where have I heard that before? John McCain and Mitt Romney? We always hear this that only the moderate establishment republican has a chance to win in November but I thought Reagan proved that myth wrong?

            Cruz is not like McCain or Romney, who both lost in Iowa to bible thumping conservatives.

            Regardless Cruz would be a total disaster for this country.

            W gftChrisG 2 Replies Last reply
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            • bbedwardB bbedward

              @oldbrownsfan said:

              All the pollsters were saying before the vote that the higher the turnout the more it favored Trump yet with the huge record turnout Cruz still wins. Now hearing the same old same old that a conservative like Cruz cannot win in November and we have to have a more *moderate* candidate. Where have I heard that before? John McCain and Mitt Romney? We always hear this that only the moderate establishment republican has a chance to win in November but I thought Reagan proved that myth wrong?

              Cruz is not like McCain or Romney, who both lost in Iowa to bible thumping conservatives.

              Regardless Cruz would be a total disaster for this country.

              Westside Steve W Dedicated Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Conversation Starter Week One Done One Year In One Month Later Very Popular
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              W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by Westside Steve
              #26

              @bbedward said:

              Cruz is not like McCain or Romney, who both lost in Iowa to bible thumping conservatives.

              Regardless Cruz would be a total disaster for this country.

              Of course only Ben Carson got any notice at all. Neither Mike Huckabee nor Rick Santorum were on the radar.

              WSS

              www.westsidesteve.com www.myspace.com/westsidestevemusic www.cdbaby.com/artist/westsidestevesimmons
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              • LogicIsForSquares LogicIsForSquaresL Dedicated Reacting Well Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                LogicIsForSquaresL LogicIsForSquares wrote on last edited by
                #27

                Cruz is a bizarre guy. If you get a chance, check out the behind the scenes of his campaign commercials. He makes his own family uncomfortable.

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                • bbedwardB bbedward

                  @oldbrownsfan said:

                  All the pollsters were saying before the vote that the higher the turnout the more it favored Trump yet with the huge record turnout Cruz still wins. Now hearing the same old same old that a conservative like Cruz cannot win in November and we have to have a more *moderate* candidate. Where have I heard that before? John McCain and Mitt Romney? We always hear this that only the moderate establishment republican has a chance to win in November but I thought Reagan proved that myth wrong?

                  Cruz is not like McCain or Romney, who both lost in Iowa to bible thumping conservatives.

                  Regardless Cruz would be a total disaster for this country.

                  gftChris gftChrisG
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                  gftChrisG gftChris wrote on last edited by
                  #28

                  @bbedward said:

                  Cruz is not like McCain or Romney, who both lost in Iowa to bible thumping conservatives.

                  Regardless Cruz would be a total disaster for this country.

                  I think that's his point - that Cruz is the bible thumping conservative in this case that shouldn't win the nomination, because a more moderate candidate is needed in november; and that more moderate candidate was McCain and Romney, who both solidly lost, so why try the same thing again? Why not go with Cruz?

                  At least, I think that's the logic. I'm not sure I agree with it, but that's the logic.

                  OldBrownsFanO 1 Reply Last reply
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                  • Westside Steve W Dedicated Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Conversation Starter Week One Done One Year In One Month Later Very Popular
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                    W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by Westside Steve
                    #29

                    True enough, Ted Cruz is a religious guy but he seems more focused on politics than religion compared to Huckabee and Santorum.

                    One thing I believe is coming home to roost for Donald Trump is that even though conservatives and outsiders like his brash appeal they have to consider his liberal history.

                    WSS

                    www.westsidesteve.com www.myspace.com/westsidestevemusic www.cdbaby.com/artist/westsidestevesimmons
                    LogicIsForSquaresL 1 Reply Last reply
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                    • W Westside Steve

                      True enough, Ted Cruz is a religious guy but he seems more focused on politics than religion compared to Huckabee and Santorum.

                      One thing I believe is coming home to roost for Donald Trump is that even though conservatives and outsiders like his brash appeal they have to consider his liberal history.

                      WSS

                      LogicIsForSquares LogicIsForSquaresL Dedicated Reacting Well Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                      LogicIsForSquaresL LogicIsForSquares wrote on last edited by
                      #30

                      @westside-steve said:

                      One thing I believe is coming home to roost for Donald Trump is that even though conservatives and outsiders like his brash appeal they have to consider his liberal history.

                      WSS

                      A part of me has always thought of him as just a plant. Trump was a run-of-the-mill liberal guy and then out of nowhere he is an arch conservative.

                      gftChrisG 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • LogicIsForSquaresL LogicIsForSquares

                        @westside-steve said:

                        One thing I believe is coming home to roost for Donald Trump is that even though conservatives and outsiders like his brash appeal they have to consider his liberal history.

                        WSS

                        A part of me has always thought of him as just a plant. Trump was a run-of-the-mill liberal guy and then out of nowhere he is an arch conservative.

                        gftChris gftChrisG
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                        gftChrisG gftChris wrote on last edited by
                        #31

                        @logicisforsquares said:

                        A part of me has always thought of him as just a plant. Trump was a run-of-the-mill liberal guy and then out of nowhere he is an arch conservative.

                        Surely not, it's not likely he's particularly close with any of the democratic front runners, or personally endorsed any of them in the past, right? Oh wait...

                        Yeah, part of me is waiting for him to just pull out and leave the republicans in total disarray, having spent 6 months focussing on shutting him down and not the actual problems.

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                        • bbedward bbedwardB Conversation Starter Reacting Well Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                          bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by bbedward
                          #32

                          I think Cruz got 8 delegates, Trump/Rubio got 7 each, Carson got 1 or 2, Paul got 1. Really it's more like a 3 way tie than anything, though other states are winner-take-all.

                          Huckabee and O'Malley dropped out, I expect a Huckabee/Trump endorsement after the veterans event and the things Huck said about Cruz.

                          Rubio/McCain/Romney/Bush are all pretty much the same person to me - hate em all, except for the pre-2008 McCain was alright.

                          Cruz invested his entire campaign in Iowa and it was the only state he was competitive, will probably stay that way.

                          Trump isn't a plant, but he isn't conservative. He's a nationalist and that's why so many people like him - he has liberal, moderate, and conservative ideas all mixed in together. His potential downfall is the lack of a ground game - he doesn't have enough people phone banking and sending mail, knocking on doors like Cruz/Rubio do. Depending on how NH plays out it may turn into a major mistake - I don't think Iowa really counts for much other than a 3-way tie.

                          Trump has much bigger leads in NH and SC than he did in Iowa though. Sanders will win NH, but winning more conservative states will likely be a challenge for him - he also hasn't spent much money/time outside of Iowa and NH.

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                          • bbedward bbedwardB Conversation Starter Reacting Well Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                            bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
                            #33

                            Also, Ted Cruz's campaign told people that Carson was out of the race to steal the bible thumper vote:

                            http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/carson-other-campaigns-sabotaged-us-dirty-tricks-n509396

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                            • gftChrisG gftChris

                              @bbedward said:

                              Cruz is not like McCain or Romney, who both lost in Iowa to bible thumping conservatives.

                              Regardless Cruz would be a total disaster for this country.

                              I think that's his point - that Cruz is the bible thumping conservative in this case that shouldn't win the nomination, because a more moderate candidate is needed in november; and that more moderate candidate was McCain and Romney, who both solidly lost, so why try the same thing again? Why not go with Cruz?

                              At least, I think that's the logic. I'm not sure I agree with it, but that's the logic.

                              OldBrownsFan OldBrownsFanO
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                              OldBrownsFanO OldBrownsFan wrote on last edited by OldBrownsFan
                              #34

                              @gftchris said:

                              I think that's his point - that Cruz is the bible thumping conservative in this case that shouldn't win the nomination, because a more moderate candidate is needed in november; and that more moderate candidate was McCain and Romney, who both solidly lost, so why try the same thing again? Why not go with Cruz?

                              At least, I think that's the logic. I'm not sure I agree with it, but that's the logic.

                              Not logic so much as the argument that is used every 4 years in republican circles that only moderates can win in the general election yet when the republicans throw up moderates like Bob Dole, John McCain and Mitt Romney they lose too....so why is the argument that only moderate republicans can win such a valid argument when the actual elections show different? Why did the most conservative republican Reagan win 2 landslide elections?

                              I think the same argument is probably used against Trump too....that he is not electable.

                              Can Cruz or Trump beat Clinton? Sure they both can. The democrats could not be running a weaker candidate than her.

                              MLD WoodyM 1 Reply Last reply
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                              • gftChris gftChrisG
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                                gftChrisG gftChris wrote on last edited by
                                #35

                                Moderate republicans losing doesn't mean conservative republicans will win. We lose with Johnny Manziel at QB, but that doesn't mean we should start Steve there just because he's not Manziel.

                                W OldBrownsFanO 2 Replies Last reply
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                                • gftChrisG gftChris

                                  Moderate republicans losing doesn't mean conservative republicans will win. We lose with Johnny Manziel at QB, but that doesn't mean we should start Steve there just because he's not Manziel.

                                  Westside Steve W Dedicated Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Conversation Starter Week One Done One Year In One Month Later Very Popular
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                                  W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by Westside Steve
                                  #36

                                  @gftchris said:

                                  Moderate republicans losing doesn't mean conservative republicans will win. We lose with Johnny Manziel at QB, but that doesn't mean we should start Steve there just because he's not Manziel.

                                  Well we did win two of the three games that we won with him so... Let's not pretend it's not a lot about the optics.

                                  WSS

                                  www.westsidesteve.com www.myspace.com/westsidestevemusic www.cdbaby.com/artist/westsidestevesimmons
                                  gftChrisG 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • W Westside Steve

                                    @gftchris said:

                                    Moderate republicans losing doesn't mean conservative republicans will win. We lose with Johnny Manziel at QB, but that doesn't mean we should start Steve there just because he's not Manziel.

                                    Well we did win two of the three games that we won with him so... Let's not pretend it's not a lot about the optics.

                                    WSS

                                    gftChris gftChrisG
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                                    gftChrisG gftChris wrote on last edited by
                                    #37

                                    @westside-steve said:

                                    Well we did win two of the three games that we won with him so... Let's not pretend it's not a lot about the optics.

                                    WSS

                                    Switch to your QB of choice.

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                                    • gftChrisG gftChris

                                      Moderate republicans losing doesn't mean conservative republicans will win. We lose with Johnny Manziel at QB, but that doesn't mean we should start Steve there just because he's not Manziel.

                                      OldBrownsFan OldBrownsFanO
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                                      OldBrownsFanO OldBrownsFan wrote on last edited by
                                      #38

                                      @gftchris said:

                                      Moderate republicans losing doesn't mean conservative republicans will win. We lose with Johnny Manziel at QB, but that doesn't mean we should start Steve there just because he's not Manziel.

                                      It also doesn't mean conservatives will lose like the establishment GOP says every 4 years.

                                      Steve would go down in flames as QB (sorry WS) but I could see Westside Steve doing very well performing at halftime firing up the fans. Just a matter of properly using your talent.

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                                      • bbedward bbedwardB Conversation Starter Reacting Well Dedicated Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                                        bbedwardB bbedward wrote on last edited by
                                        #39

                                        45% or something of Iowans voted based on who shares their values, while only 20% voted on who would do the best job for the country.

                                        The rest of the country doesn't vote like the evangelical nut jobs do.

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                                        • OldBrownsFanO OldBrownsFan

                                          @gftchris said:

                                          Moderate republicans losing doesn't mean conservative republicans will win. We lose with Johnny Manziel at QB, but that doesn't mean we should start Steve there just because he's not Manziel.

                                          It also doesn't mean conservatives will lose like the establishment GOP says every 4 years.

                                          Steve would go down in flames as QB (sorry WS) but I could see Westside Steve doing very well performing at halftime firing up the fans. Just a matter of properly using your talent.

                                          Westside Steve W Dedicated Reacting Well Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Conversation Starter Week One Done One Year In One Month Later Very Popular
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                                          W Westside Steve wrote on last edited by Westside Steve
                                          #40

                                          @oldbrownsfan said:

                                          It also doesn't mean conservatives will lose like the establishment GOP says every 4 years.

                                          Steve would go down in flames as QB (sorry WS) but I could see Westside Steve doing very well performing at halftime firing up the fans. Just a matter of properly using your talent.

                                          I think I could do well enough in the primary. I'm enough of an ass hole but unlike Trump I'd have an arsenal of canned responses.

                                          It really doesn't take much to make the public think you might know what you're talking about but all the Donald does is he we'll take care of it, we'll fix it.

                                          He's got the money to hire any military strategists economist medical people that will help him put together a handful of great sounding blurbs and sound bites.

                                          WSS

                                          www.westsidesteve.com www.myspace.com/westsidestevemusic www.cdbaby.com/artist/westsidestevesimmons
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