First vs. Best
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The Tits want a king's ransom they say to trade for the #1 pick. I heard on the radio that some teams are so hot on Goff that they might be willing to do that. Do you think that could happen?
LOL, around a 30% chance Gip. Let's look at the draft value chart for teams that might want to move up. (just QB needy teams- or potentially needy)
#2 to #1 Browns- 1st, - 3rd & 4th (or next years 2nd)
#4 to #1 Dallas- 1st, 2nd, 3rd + next years 2nd.
#7 to #1 SF 1st, 2nd + next year 1st
#8 to #1 Eagles 1st, 2nd, 3rd + next years 1st
#15 to #1 Rams 1st + two more 1sts
#31 to #1 Broncos 1st, 2nd, next years 1st + Von Miller
MHO- Dallas and the Niners- if they really want a quarterback- will just sit tight, and draft the QB the Browns don't take. Those two are the only teams I'd worry about jumping to #1 overall. Jerrah says he isn't moving up, and the 49ers for the time being have a $11 million qb in Kap.
There's other teams that may want a QB- like Buffalo and Chicago- but in all likelihood, they'll just wait and take Lynch instead of giving up the King's ransom to move to #1. Ditto that for the Rams.
LOL, around a 30% chance Gip. Let's look at the draft value chart for teams that might want to move up. (just QB needy teams- or potentially needy)
#2 to #1 Browns- 1st, - 3rd & 4th (or next years 2nd)
#4 to #1 Dallas- 1st, 2nd, 3rd + next years 2nd.
#7 to #1 SF 1st, 2nd + next year 1st
#8 to #1 Eagles 1st, 2nd, 3rd + next years 1st
#15 to #1 Rams 1st + two more 1sts
#31 to #1 Broncos 1st, 2nd, next years 1st + Von Miller
MHO- Dallas and the Niners- if they really want a quarterback- will just sit tight, and draft the QB the Browns don't take. Those two are the only teams I'd worry about jumping to #1 overall. Jerrah says he isn't moving up, and the 49ers for the time being have a $11 million qb in Kap.
There's other teams that may want a QB- like Buffalo and Chicago- but in all likelihood, they'll just wait and take Lynch instead of giving up the King's ransom to move to #1. Ditto that for the Rams.
I think that is right...and I think that is smart. Again....my opinion is that none of these QBs have the talent worthy of the #2 overall pick. And in my opinion of the Browns draft one it will be because they are reaching for need.
The one thing I think though that is happening for the Browns this year is that the analytics guys will be taking the emotion out of the draft process....perhaps even overruling Hue Jackson to do so. Emotion got us all these bad picks. Like Zombo said, if we had just stayed put and taken the emotion out of things...that "need" to be proactive and creative and trying to outthink everyone but only outthinking themselves in the process....and taken the best player on the board we could have had the likes of Sammy Watkins, Khalil Mack, David Carr etc.
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No goff no fucking wentz, if ur not gonna take bpa than trade down and load up
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And so theres no misunderstanding, bpa means tunsil, bosa or ramsey. End of discussion. Anyone of those guys fills basically dire immediate needs.
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Much ado has been made about the fact that the Browns likely have the chance now to take the first QB that will be available in the forthcoming draft and that the Browns should make hay with that opportunity.
But....in the words of Lee Corso "Not so Fast My Friends"....maybe taking the first QB in a draft does not often mean that you get the best QB in the draft.
Here is a list of each of the first drafted QB in each draft in the Common draft era: 1966 to current, along with what QB was actually the best QB taken in that draft. If it is one and the same, then there will be a # sign, in a few years it is debatable and I will note those:
1966 Randy Johnson #
1967 Steve Spurrier....vs. Bob Griese
1968 Greg Landry....Ken Stabler
1969 Greg Cook.....James Harris
1970 Terry Bradshaw #
1971 Jim Plunkett....Ken Anderson# (but also Archie Manning/Joe Theisman in mix)
1972 Jerry Tagge....Brian Sipe
1973 Bert Jones.....Dan Fouts
1974 Danny White#
1975 Steve Bartkowski....Steve Grogan
1976 Richard Todd#
1977 Steve Pisarkewiscz....Tommy Kramer
1978 Doug Williams
1979 Jack Thompson....Joe Montana
1980 Marc Wilson....Eric Hipple (actually about equal between two mediocre QBs)
1981 Rich Campbell....Neil Lomax
1982 Art Schlichter....Jim McMahon
1983 John Elway....vs. Dan Marino (Jim Kelly also close)?
1984 Bommer Esiason#
1985 Randall Cunningham# (but Kosar in Supp draft??)
1986 Jim Everett
1987 Vinny Testaverde.....vs. Rich Gannon (close matchup)
1988 Tom Tupa ...Chris Chandler
1989 Troy Aikman#
1990 Jeff George....Neil O'Donnell
1991 Dan McGwire.....Brett Favre
1992 David Klingler....Brad Johnson
1993 Drew Bledsoe#
1994 Heath Shuler....Gus Frerotte or Trent Dilfer
1995 Steve McNair#
1996 Tony Banks#
1997 Jim Drukenmiller....Jake Plummer
1998 Peyton Manning#
1999 Tim Couch....Donovan McNabb
2000 Chad Pennington.....Tom Brady
2001 Michael Vick.....Drew Brees
2002 David Carr....David Garrard
2003 Carson Palmer#
2004 Eli Manning....vs. Phillip Rivers or Ben R. debateable
2005 Alex Smith....Aaron Rodgers
2006 Vince Young....Jay Cutler
2007 Jamarcus Russell....Trent Edwards
2008 Matt Ryan# (or Joe Flacco?)
2009 Matt Stafford#
2010 Sam Bradford#
2011 Cam Newton
2012 Andrew Luck....Russell Wilson
2013 EJ Manuel...or Geno Smith (equally bad)
2014 Blake Bortles.....Teddy Twatwater...so far
2015 Jameis Winston# so far
Out of 50 years, only 19 times did the first QB taken in the draft turn out to be the best QB to come out of that draft. In 5 other years I think it is debateable (1971, 1980, 1987 2004, 2013) leaving at least 26 times where clearly the better QB was not the first QB taken.
So that means that, historically, we have a 38% to get the best QB in this draft, if we take one at #2 .
Food for thought.
Bold= HOF or certain HOF.
Much ado has been made about the fact that the Browns likely have the chance now to take the first QB that will be available in the forthcoming draft and that the Browns should make hay with that opportunity.
But....in the words of Lee Corso "Not so Fast My Friends"....maybe taking the first QB in a draft does not often mean that you get the best QB in the draft.
Here is a list of each of the first drafted QB in each draft in the Common draft era: 1966 to current, along with what QB was actually the best QB taken in that draft. If it is one and the same, then there will be a # sign, in a few years it is debatable and I will note those:
1966 Randy Johnson #
1967 Steve Spurrier....vs. Bob Griese
1968 Greg Landry....Ken Stabler
1969 Greg Cook.....James Harris
1970 Terry Bradshaw #
1971 Jim Plunkett....Ken Anderson# (but also Archie Manning/Joe Theisman in mix)
1972 Jerry Tagge....Brian Sipe
1973 Bert Jones.....Dan Fouts
1974 Danny White#
1975 Steve Bartkowski....Steve Grogan
1976 Richard Todd#
1977 Steve Pisarkewiscz....Tommy Kramer
1978 Doug Williams
1979 Jack Thompson....Joe Montana
1980 Marc Wilson....Eric Hipple (actually about equal between two mediocre QBs)
1981 Rich Campbell....Neil Lomax
1982 Art Schlichter....Jim McMahon
1983 John Elway....vs. Dan Marino (Jim Kelly also close)?
1984 Bommer Esiason#
1985 Randall Cunningham# (but Kosar in Supp draft??)
1986 Jim Everett
1987 Vinny Testaverde.....vs. Rich Gannon (close matchup)
1988 Tom Tupa ...Chris Chandler
1989 Troy Aikman#
1990 Jeff George....Neil O'Donnell
1991 Dan McGwire.....Brett Favre
1992 David Klingler....Brad Johnson
1993 Drew Bledsoe#
1994 Heath Shuler....Gus Frerotte or Trent Dilfer
1995 Steve McNair#
1996 Tony Banks#
1997 Jim Drukenmiller....Jake Plummer
1998 Peyton Manning#
1999 Tim Couch....Donovan McNabb
2000 Chad Pennington.....Tom Brady
2001 Michael Vick.....Drew Brees
2002 David Carr....David Garrard
2003 Carson Palmer#
2004 Eli Manning....vs. Phillip Rivers or Ben R. debateable
2005 Alex Smith....Aaron Rodgers
2006 Vince Young....Jay Cutler
2007 Jamarcus Russell....Trent Edwards
2008 Matt Ryan# (or Joe Flacco?)
2009 Matt Stafford#
2010 Sam Bradford#
2011 Cam Newton
2012 Andrew Luck....Russell Wilson
2013 EJ Manuel...or Geno Smith (equally bad)
2014 Blake Bortles.....Teddy Twatwater...so far
2015 Jameis Winston# so far
Out of 50 years, only 19 times did the first QB taken in the draft turn out to be the best QB to come out of that draft. In 5 other years I think it is debateable (1971, 1980, 1987 2004, 2013) leaving at least 26 times where clearly the better QB was not the first QB taken.
So that means that, historically, we have a 38% to get the best QB in this draft, if we take one at #2 .
Food for thought.
Bold= HOF or certain HOF.
I thought Neil Lomax with the cardinals was pretty good.. he was the best they had since John Hart.. Injuries ended Lomax's career early.
Nickers...."There are no old running QB's in the NFL "~Sam Rutigliano~ -
Much ado has been made about the fact that the Browns likely have the chance now to take the first QB that will be available in the forthcoming draft and that the Browns should make hay with that opportunity.
But....in the words of Lee Corso "Not so Fast My Friends"....maybe taking the first QB in a draft does not often mean that you get the best QB in the draft.
Here is a list of each of the first drafted QB in each draft in the Common draft era: 1966 to current, along with what QB was actually the best QB taken in that draft. If it is one and the same, then there will be a # sign, in a few years it is debatable and I will note those:
1966 Randy Johnson #
1967 Steve Spurrier....vs. Bob Griese
1968 Greg Landry....Ken Stabler
1969 Greg Cook.....James Harris
1970 Terry Bradshaw #
1971 Jim Plunkett....Ken Anderson# (but also Archie Manning/Joe Theisman in mix)
1972 Jerry Tagge....Brian Sipe
1973 Bert Jones.....Dan Fouts
1974 Danny White#
1975 Steve Bartkowski....Steve Grogan
1976 Richard Todd#
1977 Steve Pisarkewiscz....Tommy Kramer
1978 Doug Williams
1979 Jack Thompson....Joe Montana
1980 Marc Wilson....Eric Hipple (actually about equal between two mediocre QBs)
1981 Rich Campbell....Neil Lomax
1982 Art Schlichter....Jim McMahon
1983 John Elway....vs. Dan Marino (Jim Kelly also close)?
1984 Bommer Esiason#
1985 Randall Cunningham# (but Kosar in Supp draft??)
1986 Jim Everett
1987 Vinny Testaverde.....vs. Rich Gannon (close matchup)
1988 Tom Tupa ...Chris Chandler
1989 Troy Aikman#
1990 Jeff George....Neil O'Donnell
1991 Dan McGwire.....Brett Favre
1992 David Klingler....Brad Johnson
1993 Drew Bledsoe#
1994 Heath Shuler....Gus Frerotte or Trent Dilfer
1995 Steve McNair#
1996 Tony Banks#
1997 Jim Drukenmiller....Jake Plummer
1998 Peyton Manning#
1999 Tim Couch....Donovan McNabb
2000 Chad Pennington.....Tom Brady
2001 Michael Vick.....Drew Brees
2002 David Carr....David Garrard
2003 Carson Palmer#
2004 Eli Manning....vs. Phillip Rivers or Ben R. debateable
2005 Alex Smith....Aaron Rodgers
2006 Vince Young....Jay Cutler
2007 Jamarcus Russell....Trent Edwards
2008 Matt Ryan# (or Joe Flacco?)
2009 Matt Stafford#
2010 Sam Bradford#
2011 Cam Newton
2012 Andrew Luck....Russell Wilson
2013 EJ Manuel...or Geno Smith (equally bad)
2014 Blake Bortles.....Teddy Twatwater...so far
2015 Jameis Winston# so far
Out of 50 years, only 19 times did the first QB taken in the draft turn out to be the best QB to come out of that draft. In 5 other years I think it is debateable (1971, 1980, 1987 2004, 2013) leaving at least 26 times where clearly the better QB was not the first QB taken.
So that means that, historically, we have a 38% to get the best QB in this draft, if we take one at #2 .
Food for thought.
Bold= HOF or certain HOF.
2008 Matt Ryan# (or Joe Flacco?)
So that means that, historically, we have a 38% to get the best QB in this draft, if we take one at #2 .
So 8 years later the closest to Ryan & Flaco are sitting at #2. Which one you want?
Browns & Buffett: Got to go fishin, Down to rock bottom again, with just a few Friends -
Not debatable to me. Big Ben, as much as I and many loathe him, is superior to both.
Phillip Rivers is actually, statistically the most productive of those 3 2004 QBs. But he is the one without titles. The other two have two each.....so they have that edge.
Of course....what would Rivers have done with the Steelers defenses over the years? Possibly just as good or better.
Phillip Rivers is actually, statistically the most productive of those 3 2004 QBs. But he is the one without titles. The other two have two each.....so they have that edge.
Of course....what would Rivers have done with the Steelers defenses over the years? Possibly just as good or better.
Is this fantasy football or football?
AKA SNATCH98 or Rorbotron. The boards glorious admins decided to get cute and change my name to "homotron" Classy group of people. (Lost a bet with Columbus king and got banned for a month) -
Zombo said:
Carr is better than both.
Z
Agreed. Fantasy football which I love has ruined how we evaluate players in the nfl. Carr is the best of that class.
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Much ado has been made about the fact that the Browns likely have the chance now to take the first QB that will be available in the forthcoming draft and that the Browns should make hay with that opportunity.
But....in the words of Lee Corso "Not so Fast My Friends"....maybe taking the first QB in a draft does not often mean that you get the best QB in the draft.
Here is a list of each of the first drafted QB in each draft in the Common draft era: 1966 to current, along with what QB was actually the best QB taken in that draft. If it is one and the same, then there will be a # sign, in a few years it is debatable and I will note those:
1966 Randy Johnson #
1967 Steve Spurrier....vs. Bob Griese
1968 Greg Landry....Ken Stabler
1969 Greg Cook.....James Harris
1970 Terry Bradshaw #
1971 Jim Plunkett....Ken Anderson# (but also Archie Manning/Joe Theisman in mix)
1972 Jerry Tagge....Brian Sipe
1973 Bert Jones.....Dan Fouts
1974 Danny White#
1975 Steve Bartkowski....Steve Grogan
1976 Richard Todd#
1977 Steve Pisarkewiscz....Tommy Kramer
1978 Doug Williams
1979 Jack Thompson....Joe Montana
1980 Marc Wilson....Eric Hipple (actually about equal between two mediocre QBs)
1981 Rich Campbell....Neil Lomax
1982 Art Schlichter....Jim McMahon
1983 John Elway....vs. Dan Marino (Jim Kelly also close)?
1984 Bommer Esiason#
1985 Randall Cunningham# (but Kosar in Supp draft??)
1986 Jim Everett
1987 Vinny Testaverde.....vs. Rich Gannon (close matchup)
1988 Tom Tupa ...Chris Chandler
1989 Troy Aikman#
1990 Jeff George....Neil O'Donnell
1991 Dan McGwire.....Brett Favre
1992 David Klingler....Brad Johnson
1993 Drew Bledsoe#
1994 Heath Shuler....Gus Frerotte or Trent Dilfer
1995 Steve McNair#
1996 Tony Banks#
1997 Jim Drukenmiller....Jake Plummer
1998 Peyton Manning#
1999 Tim Couch....Donovan McNabb
2000 Chad Pennington.....Tom Brady
2001 Michael Vick.....Drew Brees
2002 David Carr....David Garrard
2003 Carson Palmer#
2004 Eli Manning....vs. Phillip Rivers or Ben R. debateable
2005 Alex Smith....Aaron Rodgers
2006 Vince Young....Jay Cutler
2007 Jamarcus Russell....Trent Edwards
2008 Matt Ryan# (or Joe Flacco?)
2009 Matt Stafford#
2010 Sam Bradford#
2011 Cam Newton
2012 Andrew Luck....Russell Wilson
2013 EJ Manuel...or Geno Smith (equally bad)
2014 Blake Bortles.....Teddy Twatwater...so far
2015 Jameis Winston# so far
Out of 50 years, only 19 times did the first QB taken in the draft turn out to be the best QB to come out of that draft. In 5 other years I think it is debateable (1971, 1980, 1987 2004, 2013) leaving at least 26 times where clearly the better QB was not the first QB taken.
So that means that, historically, we have a 38% to get the best QB in this draft, if we take one at #2 .
Food for thought.
Bold= HOF or certain HOF.
I thought Neil Lomax with the cardinals was pretty good.. he was the best they had since John Hart.. Injuries ended Lomax's career early.
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2008 Matt Ryan# (or Joe Flacco?)
So that means that, historically, we have a 38% to get the best QB in this draft, if we take one at #2 .
So 8 years later the closest to Ryan & Flaco are sitting at #2. Which one you want?
So 8 years later the closest to Ryan & Flaco are sitting at #2. Which one you want?
Interesting question....... they are very similar to me. Fair to say? Flacco has that ring which likely gives him the edge. But Ryan never had the kind of defense Flacco has had backing him up in his career.
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Phillip Rivers is actually, statistically the most productive of those 3 2004 QBs. But he is the one without titles. The other two have two each.....so they have that edge.
Of course....what would Rivers have done with the Steelers defenses over the years? Possibly just as good or better.
Is this fantasy football or football?
Is this fantasy football or football?
Again, good question.....when it comes to a stat I use often: the PFR Career Production Average, Rivers actually has the slight advantage over both BR and Eli.....(combining total yds/TDs/percentages etc. etc.)
But those other two guys have the rings.
Here is the statistical breakdown for those Top 11 2004 draftees:
Completions/atts: Rivers 3462/5339 BR 3476/5423 Eli 3695/6227
Yards: Rivers 41,447 BR 42, 995 Eli 44,191
TDs: Rivers 281 BR 272 Eli 294
TD%: Rivers 5.3 BR 5.0 Eli 4.7
Ints: Rivers 135 BR 147 Eli 199
Int%: Rivers 2.5 BR 2.7 Eli 3.2
Y/Att: Rivers 7.8 BR 7.9 Eli 7.1
YPG: Rivers 252.7 BR 251.4 Eli 238.9
Rating: Rivers 95.5 BR 94.0 Eli 83.5
Comp % Rivers 64.8 BR 64.1 Eli 59.3
CA: River 151 BR 145 Eli 134
All very similar...Eli's Ints and completion % give him a lower rating I think. The big difference between these guys:
2 of them have 2 rings.....one has none.
How much of that is serendipity?
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