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  3. ODDS TO WIN THE AFC, NFC and SB LII

ODDS TO WIN THE AFC, NFC and SB LII

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  • T TexasAg1969

    @wargograw said:

    I don't see how anyone can have that much confidence in the Vikings.

    Defense wins is why. Ask Denver when Peyton was a shadow of his former self.

    wargograw W One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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    W wargograw wrote on last edited by
    #14

    @texasag1969 said:

    Defense wins is why. Ask Denver when Peyton was a shadow of his former self.

    This Vikings D is nowhere near that good. 

    NeroN mjp28M 2 Replies Last reply
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    • dawg2fanD dawg2fan

      @the-gipper said:

      6 is not the operative number.    The operative number is 13.   Those are the number of Championship the Green Bay Packers have won.   6 doesn't even match the number of titles the Browns have won.

      Packers 13

      Bears 9

      Browns/Giants  8 each.

      My wife's family would argue that any Championship before the SuperBowl era does not count.  So, everything the Browns won before that era does not count, regardless of how much I try to argue.  So to put it mildy, they even have me believing that our wins don't count.  It's sick, but that's the way it is.

      The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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      The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
      #15

      @dawg2fan said:

      My wife's family would argue that any Championship before the SuperBowl era does not count.  So, everything the Browns won before that era does not count, regardless of how much I try to argue.  So to put it mildy, they even have me believing that our wins don't count.  It's sick, but that's the way it is.

      Your wife's family are fuyucking idiots.

      dawg2fanD 1 Reply Last reply
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      • StinkHoleS StinkHole

        @the-gipper said:

        6 is not the operative number.    The operative number is 13.   Those are the number of Championship the Green Bay Packers have won.   6 doesn't even match the number of titles the Browns have won.

        Packers 13

        Bears 9

        Browns/Giants  8 each.

        Yeah, yeah, yeah. Give it a rest already you fossil. lol

        AAFC titles, equivalent to the modern day Arena Bowl championships are not recognized by the NFL.

        The operative number is 6, and the only thing that matters in todays football world are Super Bowls.

        I bet even Browns fans grow weary of your "feel better about yourself because we actually have more Championships than the Steelers" rhetoric.

        But if it works for you then by all means keep going with it.

        The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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        The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
        #16

        @stinkhole said:

        Yeah, yeah, yeah. Give it a rest already you fossil. lol

        AAFC titles, equivalent to the modern day Arena Bowl championships are not recognized by the NFL.

        The operative number is 6, and the only thing that matters in todays football world are Super Bowls.

        I bet even Browns fans grow weary of your "feel better about yourself because we actually have more Championships than the Steelers" rhetoric.

        But if it works for you then by all means keep going with it.

        Speaking of fuyucking idiots.   The operative number is 13....even though you are stupid of a fuyucking idiot to believe it. 

        Do they not count NBA titles before 1970?  Do they not count World Series titles before 1970?  Do they not count NHL titles before 1970?  They count them all....and all those leagues have expanded as much as the NFL.   The "Super Bowl" is merely an expansion of the playoffs due to the expansion of the teams in the league.  Its just that the other teams didn't come up with some marketing gimmick for their versions of the expanded playoffs. 

        And the reason it works...is because it is the pure truth and fact of the matter.

        The only titles that count are the last one and the next one...the rest are all just historical data. 

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        • W wargograw

          @texasag1969 said:

          Defense wins is why. Ask Denver when Peyton was a shadow of his former self.

          This Vikings D is nowhere near that good. 

          Nero NeroN Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Dedicated One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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          NeroN Nero wrote on last edited by
          #17

          @wargograw said:

          This Vikings D is nowhere near that good. 

           Is ranked 1st in points allowed and 1st in yards allowed. I'd say they have dominated almost every game this year. And I am not going to compare stats with Denver's 2015 defense, but their attack is way better than 2015 Broncos' one. 

          W 1 Reply Last reply
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          • W wargograw

            @texasag1969 said:

            Defense wins is why. Ask Denver when Peyton was a shadow of his former self.

            This Vikings D is nowhere near that good. 

            mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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            mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by mjp28
            #18

            @wargograw said:

            This Vikings D is nowhere near that good. 

            https://www.teamrankings.com/nfl/stat/opponent-yards-per-game#

            NFL TEAM DEFENSE RANKINGS, wow Cleveland at #14 better than some playoff teams

            More Team Stats...
            Season:                                                                          2003                                                                         2004                                                                         2005                                                                         2006                                                                         2007                                                                         2008                                                                         2009                                                                         2010                                                                         2011                                                                         2012                                                                         2013                                                                         2014                                                                         2015                                                                         2016                                                                         2017                                                         
            Date: 
            Rank Team 2017 Last 3 Last 1 Home Away 2016
            1 Minnesota 275.9 200.3 201.0 248.5 303.4 314.9
            2 Jacksonville 284.8 288.0 263.0 281.1 288.0 321.7
            3 Denver 290.0 331.0 379.0 262.8 317.2 316.1
            4 Philadelphia 306.5 359.7 301.0 280.6 332.4 342.8
            5 Pittsburgh 306.9 320.3 374.0 312.4 301.4 339.2
            6 Arizona 310.9 269.0 296.0 287.2 334.6 305.2
            7 Dallas 318.1 216.0 219.0 328.0 308.1 348.0
            8 Chicago 319.1 291.3 327.0 322.9 315.4 346.8
            9 Atlanta 320.9 308.0 361.0 301.1 338.4 376.9
            10 Carolina 322.6 391.0 410.0 331.0 315.1 359.8
            11 Seattle 323.2 297.7 259.0 319.1 327.2 319.6
            12 Baltimore 325.1 307.0 359.0 329.4 320.8 322.1
            13 Tennessee 327.8 318.7 325.0 344.1 313.3 357.5
            14 Cleveland 328.1 327.3 348.0 303.1 347.6 392.4
            15 LA Chargers 328.4 342.7 336.0 321.6 335.1 347.1
            16 Miami 335.7 348.0 312.0 284.3 375.7 381.7
            17 LA Rams 338.5 383.0 322.0 339.8 337.3 337.0
            18 Cincinnati 339.1 311.3 312.0 327.9 350.2 350.8
            19 New Orleans 341.0 399.7 413.0 353.6 326.9 375.4
            20 Houston 346.6 348.0 250.0 322.6 370.6 300.1
            21 Buffalo 347.8 332.3 230.0 360.9 336.1 357.0
            22 Washington 347.9 332.3 381.0 289.8 406.0 377.9
            23 Green Bay 348.9 326.3 356.0 323.2 374.5 374.2
            24 Oakland 350.1 347.0 495.0 316.4 376.2 370.1
            25 San Francisco 351.6 350.3 251.0 383.2 319.9 406.4
            26 NY Jets 352.2 373.7 330.0 344.5 360.0 342.4
            27 Detroit 355.8 323.0 256.0 364.5 347.0 356.6
            28 New England 366.0 328.7 247.0 360.5 371.5 328.3
            29 Kansas City 367.0 359.3 397.0 347.2 389.2 369.7
            30 Indianapolis 367.1 331.3 209.0 364.8 369.4 382.9
            31 NY Giants 373.2 275.7 197.0 361.5 384.9 343.6
            32 Tampa Bay 378.1 329.3 323.0 348.4 407.8 367.9
            GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
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            • mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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              mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by
              #19

              IF YOU BELIEVE IN SUCH THINGS, THE SIMULATION RESULTS A LOT OF PLAYOFF TEAMS WAY DOWN THE LIST.

              Rankings & Projections Summary

              Highlights from our predictive power ratings and simulations of currently scheduled games.

              Rank Rating Team Proj W Proj L Playoffs Win SB
              1 8.8
               
              New England (13-3)
              13.0 3.0 100.0% 34.3%
              2 5.8
               
              Philadelphia (13-3)
              13.0 3.0 100.0% 18.5%
              3 5.6
               
              Pittsburgh (13-3)
              13.0 3.0 100.0% 13.1%
              4 5.6
               
              Minnesota (13-3)
              13.0 3.0 100.0% 14.0%
              5 4.4
               
              New Orleans (12-5)
              11.0 5.0 100.0% 7.5%
              6 3.7
               
              Jacksonville (11-6)
              10.0 6.0 100.0% 5.8%
              7 3.5
               
              LA Rams (11-6)
              11.0 5.0 100.0% 0.0%
              8 3.5
               
              Atlanta (11-6)
              10.0 6.0 100.0% 5.2%
              9 3.3
               
              Kansas City (10-7)
              10.0 6.0 100.0% 0.0%
              10 3.0
               
              Baltimore (9-7)
              9.0 7.0 0.0% 0.0%
              11 2.9
               
              Seattle (9-7)
              9.0 7.0 0.0% 0.0%
              12 2.4
               
              Carolina (11-6)
              11.0 5.0 100.0% 0.0%
              13 2.1
               
              LA Chargers (9-7)
              9.0 7.0 0.0% 0.0%
              14 2.1
               
              Dallas (9-7)
              9.0 7.0 0.0% 0.0%
              15 1.3
               
              Detroit (9-7)
              9.0 7.0 0.0% 0.0%
              16 -0.0
               
              Green Bay (7-9)
              7.0 9.0 0.0% 0.0%
              17 -0.9
               
              Tennessee (10-7)
              9.0 7.0 100.0% 1.5%
              18 -1.4
               
              Tampa Bay (5-11)
              5.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
              19 -1.6
               
              Oakland (6-10)
              6.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
              20 -1.8
               
              Washington (7-9)
              7.0 9.0 0.0% 0.0%
              21 -2.1
               
              Arizona (8-8)
              8.0 8.0 0.0% 0.0%
              22 -2.1
               
              Cincinnati (7-9)
              7.0 9.0 0.0% 0.0%
              23 -3.2
               
              Chicago (5-11)
              5.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
              24 -3.3
               
              Denver (5-11)
              5.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
              25 -3.3
               
              Buffalo (9-8)
              9.0 7.0 100.0% 0.0%
              26 -3.5
               
              Houston (4-12)
              4.0 12.0 0.0% 0.0%
              27 -4.3
               
              San Francisco (6-10)
              6.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
              28 -4.5
               
              NY Giants (3-13)
              3.0 13.0 0.0% 0.0%
              29 -4.7
               
              Miami (6-10)
              6.0 10.0 0.0% 0.0%
              30 -6.1
               
              NY Jets (5-11)
              5.0 11.0 0.0% 0.0%
              31 -6.4
               
              Indianapolis (4-12)
              4.0 12.0 0.0% 0.0%
              32 -8.8
               
              Cleveland (0-16)
              0.0 16.0 0.0% 0.0%
              GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
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              • mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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                mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by
                #20

                Our new power ratings have been in development since 2011. Designed exclusively for predictive purposes, these ratings improve upon the old ratings in several ways, most notably by incorporating a preseason rating for each team that improves early season accuracy.

                Rating name Best Worst
                Predictive Rating New England Cleveland
                Home Rating Minnesota Cleveland
                Away Rating LA Rams Denver
                Home Advantage NY Jets LA Rams
                Strength Of Schedule Atlanta Jacksonville
                Future SOS Tennessee Cleveland
                Season SOS Atlanta Indianapolis
                SOS - Basic Chicago Jacksonville
                In-Div SOS Tampa Bay New England
                Non-Div SOS New England Denver
                Last 5 Rating Minnesota Houston
                Last 10 Rating New England Houston
                In-Div Rating Jacksonville Cleveland
                Non-Div Rating Philadelphia Cleveland
                Luck Rating Minnesota Cleveland
                Consistency Rating Cleveland LA Rams
                Vs. 1-5 Rating Jacksonville Buffalo
                Vs. 6-10 Rating Atlanta Baltimore
                Vs. 11-16 Rating LA Chargers Indianapolis
                Vs. 17-22 Rating New England Cleveland
                Vs. 23-32 Rating New Orleans Cleveland
                First Half Rating New England Cleveland
                Second Half Rating Seattle Indianapolis

                Do you still use our old rankings for your personal system? See our old rankings.

                GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
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                • mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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                  mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by mjp28
                  #21

                  MAYBE I SHOULD HAVE BEEN WATCHING THIS EARLIER? 2017 ATS NUMBERS.....

                  NFL Team ATS Trends                                                      

                  Team ATS Record Cover % MOV ATS +/-
                  Minnesota 11-5-0 68.8% 8.1 +4.8
                  New England 11-5-0 68.8% 10.1 +1.5
                  Buffalo 10-6-1 62.5% -3.8 -1.4
                  Philadelphia 10-6-0 62.5% 10.1 +6.0
                  NY Jets 9-6-1 60.0% -5.2 +1.1
                  Carolina 10-7-0 58.8% 1.8 +1.0
                  Kansas City 10-7-0 58.8% 4.4 +0.7
                  Cincinnati 9-7-0 56.2% -3.7 -2.8
                  San Francisco 9-7-0 56.2% -3.2 +1.1
                  Tennessee 9-7-1 56.2% -1.2 -2.4
                  Chicago 8-7-1 53.3% -3.5 +1.2
                  Dallas 8-7-1 53.3% 1.4 -0.8
                  Detroit 8-7-1 53.3% 2.1 +1.6
                  LA Chargers 8-7-1 53.3% 5.2 +3.8
                  Baltimore 8-7-1 53.3% 5.8 +3.5
                  Jacksonville 9-8-0 52.9% 9.2 +6.3
                  LA Rams 9-8-0 52.9% 8.0 +5.5
                  New Orleans 9-8-0 52.9% 7.5 +3.9
                  Indianapolis 8-8-0 50.0% -8.8 -3.3
                  Atlanta 8-9-0 47.1% 3.0 -0.6
                  NY Giants 7-9-0 43.8% -8.9 -4.3
                  Houston 7-9-0 43.8% -6.1 -2.6
                  Pittsburgh 7-9-0 43.8% 6.1 +0.3
                  Green Bay 7-9-0 43.8% -4.0 -2.3
                  Washington 7-9-0 43.8% -2.9 -1.9
                  Tampa Bay 6-9-1 40.0% -2.9 -0.8
                  Arizona 6-9-1 40.0% -4.1 -2.2
                  Seattle 6-9-1 40.0% 2.1 -0.7
                  Miami 5-9-2 35.7% -7.0 -2.4
                  Oakland 5-9-2 35.7% -4.5 -4.3
                  Denver 4-11-1 26.7% -5.8 -6.0
                  Cleveland 4-12-0 25.0% -11.0 -4.4
                   
                  GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
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                  • StinkHoleS StinkHole

                    @the-gipper said:

                    6 is not the operative number.    The operative number is 13.   Those are the number of Championship the Green Bay Packers have won.   6 doesn't even match the number of titles the Browns have won.

                    Packers 13

                    Bears 9

                    Browns/Giants  8 each.

                    Yeah, yeah, yeah. Give it a rest already you fossil. lol

                    AAFC titles, equivalent to the modern day Arena Bowl championships are not recognized by the NFL.

                    The operative number is 6, and the only thing that matters in todays football world are Super Bowls.

                    I bet even Browns fans grow weary of your "feel better about yourself because we actually have more Championships than the Steelers" rhetoric.

                    But if it works for you then by all means keep going with it.

                    RoyceRolls R
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                    R RoyceRolls wrote on last edited by
                    #22

                    @stinkhole said:

                    Yeah, yeah, yeah. Give it a rest already you fossil. lol

                    AAFC titles, equivalent to the modern day Arena Bowl championships are not recognized by the NFL.

                    The operative number is 6, and the only thing that matters in todays football world are Super Bowls.

                    I bet even Browns fans grow weary of your "feel better about yourself because we actually have more Championships than the Steelers" rhetoric.

                    But if it works for you then by all means keep going with it.

                    Everyone has their biases. Most people wouldn’t consider the 70s Steelers viable because they were the first brand managers for steroids in football. Just because they got away with belichecking their way to some early Super Bowl wins doesn’t mean mark McGuire belongs in the hall of fame. 

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                    • NeroN Nero

                      @wargograw said:

                      This Vikings D is nowhere near that good. 

                       Is ranked 1st in points allowed and 1st in yards allowed. I'd say they have dominated almost every game this year. And I am not going to compare stats with Denver's 2015 defense, but their attack is way better than 2015 Broncos' one. 

                      wargograw W One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                      W wargograw wrote on last edited by
                      #23

                      @nero said:

                       Is ranked 1st in points allowed and 1st in yards allowed. I'd say they have dominated almost every game this year. And I am not going to compare stats with Denver's 2015 defense, but their attack is way better than 2015 Broncos' one. 

                      No one is talking about that defense as transcendent or anything. They were about 15 Denver. PFF wrote a ton of articles saying it was by far the best defense since they started the site. No one's saying that stuff about Minnesota. 

                      NeroN 1 Reply Last reply
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                      • W wargograw

                        @nero said:

                         Is ranked 1st in points allowed and 1st in yards allowed. I'd say they have dominated almost every game this year. And I am not going to compare stats with Denver's 2015 defense, but their attack is way better than 2015 Broncos' one. 

                        No one is talking about that defense as transcendent or anything. They were about 15 Denver. PFF wrote a ton of articles saying it was by far the best defense since they started the site. No one's saying that stuff about Minnesota. 

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                        NeroN Nero wrote on last edited by
                        #24

                        @wargograw said:

                        No one is talking about that defense as transcendent or anything. They were about 15 Denver. PFF wrote a ton of articles saying it was by far the best defense since they started the site. No one's saying that stuff about Minnesota. 

                        It's not about being trascendent, it's about being effective. 

                        Truly what Denver achieved in 2015 is outstanding. Peyton had an awful year and they even had to win some games with Osweiler under center. That offense semt like a joke and they could pull out wins with their defense. I was amazed at Superbowl L, I never thought you could win ONLY with defense.

                        Minnesota's defense probably can't be compared to that defense, but I have seen them dominating games against good teams like Atlanta and Rams. Their only loss lately has been against Carolina, which has a great D. 

                        It's the best defense among the ones that are left and it's the most balanced one (Philadelphia or Carolina rely on their front 7, for example). They have best defense and a good offense (11th in the league), I prefer that than teams with a very good O and a bad D (like Pats, but they seem to have fixed that).

                        W 1 Reply Last reply
                        Quote Reply
                        • NeroN Nero

                          @wargograw said:

                          No one is talking about that defense as transcendent or anything. They were about 15 Denver. PFF wrote a ton of articles saying it was by far the best defense since they started the site. No one's saying that stuff about Minnesota. 

                          It's not about being trascendent, it's about being effective. 

                          Truly what Denver achieved in 2015 is outstanding. Peyton had an awful year and they even had to win some games with Osweiler under center. That offense semt like a joke and they could pull out wins with their defense. I was amazed at Superbowl L, I never thought you could win ONLY with defense.

                          Minnesota's defense probably can't be compared to that defense, but I have seen them dominating games against good teams like Atlanta and Rams. Their only loss lately has been against Carolina, which has a great D. 

                          It's the best defense among the ones that are left and it's the most balanced one (Philadelphia or Carolina rely on their front 7, for example). They have best defense and a good offense (11th in the league), I prefer that than teams with a very good O and a bad D (like Pats, but they seem to have fixed that).

                          wargograw W One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                          W wargograw wrote on last edited by
                          #25

                          @nero said:

                          It's not about being trascendent, it's about being effective. 

                          Truly what Denver achieved in 2015 is outstanding. Peyton had an awful year and they even had to win some games with Osweiler under center. That offense semt like a joke and they could pull out wins with their defense. I was amazed at Superbowl L, I never thought you could win ONLY with defense.

                          Minnesota's defense probably can't be compared to that defense, but I have seen them dominating games against good teams like Atlanta and Rams. Their only loss lately has been against Carolina, which has a great D. 

                          It's the best defense among the ones that are left and it's the most balanced one (Philadelphia or Carolina rely on their front 7, for example). They have best defense and a good offense (11th in the league), I prefer that than teams with a very good O and a bad D (like Pats, but they seem to have fixed that).

                          I'm not saying it's not the best defense. Most certainly is. But Ag was talking specifically about that 2015 team as a comparison for this Minnesota team, and I simply don't think it is. I think it can and will be had.

                          NeroN T 2 Replies Last reply
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                          • W wargograw

                            @nero said:

                            It's not about being trascendent, it's about being effective. 

                            Truly what Denver achieved in 2015 is outstanding. Peyton had an awful year and they even had to win some games with Osweiler under center. That offense semt like a joke and they could pull out wins with their defense. I was amazed at Superbowl L, I never thought you could win ONLY with defense.

                            Minnesota's defense probably can't be compared to that defense, but I have seen them dominating games against good teams like Atlanta and Rams. Their only loss lately has been against Carolina, which has a great D. 

                            It's the best defense among the ones that are left and it's the most balanced one (Philadelphia or Carolina rely on their front 7, for example). They have best defense and a good offense (11th in the league), I prefer that than teams with a very good O and a bad D (like Pats, but they seem to have fixed that).

                            I'm not saying it's not the best defense. Most certainly is. But Ag was talking specifically about that 2015 team as a comparison for this Minnesota team, and I simply don't think it is. I think it can and will be had.

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                            NeroN Nero wrote on last edited by
                            #26

                            @wargograw said:

                            I'm not saying it's not the best defense. Most certainly is. But Ag was talking specifically about that 2015 team as a comparison for this Minnesota team, and I simply don't think it is. I think it can and will be had.

                            Well, I think that Ag mentioned Denver because it's the most obvious example of 'defense wins championships' and also the last one. Last year  Superbowl was more about offensive teams, I'd say.

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                            • W wargograw

                              @nero said:

                              It's not about being trascendent, it's about being effective. 

                              Truly what Denver achieved in 2015 is outstanding. Peyton had an awful year and they even had to win some games with Osweiler under center. That offense semt like a joke and they could pull out wins with their defense. I was amazed at Superbowl L, I never thought you could win ONLY with defense.

                              Minnesota's defense probably can't be compared to that defense, but I have seen them dominating games against good teams like Atlanta and Rams. Their only loss lately has been against Carolina, which has a great D. 

                              It's the best defense among the ones that are left and it's the most balanced one (Philadelphia or Carolina rely on their front 7, for example). They have best defense and a good offense (11th in the league), I prefer that than teams with a very good O and a bad D (like Pats, but they seem to have fixed that).

                              I'm not saying it's not the best defense. Most certainly is. But Ag was talking specifically about that 2015 team as a comparison for this Minnesota team, and I simply don't think it is. I think it can and will be had.

                              TexasAg1969 T Conversation Starter Dedicated Reacting Well Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post One Year In One Month Later Week One Done
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                              T TexasAg1969 wrote on last edited by
                              #27

                              @wargograw said:

                              I'm not saying it's not the best defense. Most certainly is. But Ag was talking specifically about that 2015 team as a comparison for this Minnesota team, and I simply don't think it is. I think it can and will be had.

                              I used Denver as an example of defenses winning playoffs. I did not say Minn. had an defense that good, but they are a very fine defense capable of taking a team there, especially given they have a better offense than the '15 Denver team which relied on Ossie to get them there over a lot of the season and Peyton to provide "adequate" service to win the SB. They gave the MVP to the right guy.

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                              • The GipperT The Gipper

                                @dawg2fan said:

                                My wife's family would argue that any Championship before the SuperBowl era does not count.  So, everything the Browns won before that era does not count, regardless of how much I try to argue.  So to put it mildy, they even have me believing that our wins don't count.  It's sick, but that's the way it is.

                                Your wife's family are fuyucking idiots.

                                dawg2fan dawg2fanD
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                                dawg2fanD dawg2fan wrote on last edited by
                                #28

                                @the-gipper said:

                                Your wife's family are fuyucking idiots.

                                Hey, I'm with you on this one.

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                                • mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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                                  mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by
                                  #29

                                  THE MONDAY UPDATE from vegasinsider.com 

                                  NFL Future Odds

                                   
                                  ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 SUPER BOWL LII (2/4/18)
                                  Team Odds
                                  New England Patriots 7/4
                                  Minnesota Vikings 7/2
                                  Pittsburgh Steelers 11/2
                                  New Orleans Saints 6/1
                                  Atlanta Falcons 15/2
                                  Philadelphia Eagles 12/1
                                  Jacksonville Jaguars 16/1
                                  Tennessee Titans 40/1
                                   
                                  ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
                                  Team Odds
                                  New England Patriots 4/7
                                  Pittsburgh Steelers 9/4
                                  Jacksonville Jaguars 8/1
                                  Tennessee Titans 25/1
                                   
                                  ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 NFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
                                  Team Odds
                                  Minnesota Vikings 7/5
                                  New Orleans Saints 11/4
                                  Atlanta Falcons 15/4
                                  Philadelphia Eagles 5/1
                                   

                                  How To Bet NFL Futures

                                  The “Odds to Win” wager in pro football is also commonly referred to as a future wager. Bettors must correctly select a team to win an event that takes place a later time. The money wagered will be tied up until there is an outcome and bettors will receive fixed odds when they place the wager. The future odds are normally updated on a weekly basis and wagers can be placed throughout the season.

                                  To figure out your Win Amount, take the odds and multiply by the amount wagered. Ex. Green Bay (8/1) to win the NFC Championship. The Packers are listed as an 8/1 betting choice to win the NFC Championship. If you wager $100 on Green Bay to win the NFC and they capture the championship, then you would win $800 (8 ÷ 1 x 100). You would collect $900, which includes your win and stake ($100).

                                   

                                  Odds provided by BetOnline.ag
                                  Updated Mon, Jan. 8, 10:00 AM ET

                                  GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
                                  mjp28M 1 Reply Last reply
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                                  • mjp28M mjp28

                                    @the-gipper said:

                                    6 is not the operative number.    The operative number is 13.   Those are the number of Championship the Green Bay Packers have won.   6 doesn't even match the number of titles the Browns have won.

                                    Packers 13

                                    Bears 9

                                    Browns/Giants  8 each.

                                    The only thing being in the last 51 years with the expanded NFL it is much harder to win a championship and if you're under 58 or maybe 60 you've never experienced anything but the Super Bowl era. But we old farts older than 60 love to reminisce about the good old days and single bar helmets and all that stuff.

                                    The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                                    The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                                    #30

                                    @mjp28 said:

                                    The only thing being in the last 51 years with the expanded NFL it is much harder to win a championship and if you're under 58 or maybe 60 you've never experienced anything but the Super Bowl era. But we old farts older than 60 love to reminisce about the good old days and single bar helmets and all that stuff.

                                    Actually...it may be much easier now to win a Championship...in terms of a teams chances to win.   What pct. of teams make the postseason?   12 out of 32 teams or 37.5%.

                                    But take like 1964 or 1965....only 2 teams in the NFL made the postseason.  That is 14.2% of the teams.   You can't win the postseason if you don't get into the post season.   And a team is now about 2.5 times more likely to make the post season than they were then. 

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                                    • mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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                                      mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by mjp28
                                      #31

                                      1964 season 

                                      Eastern Conference
                                      Team W L T PCT PF PA
                                      Cleveland Browns 10 3 1 .769 415 293
                                      St. Louis Cardinals 9 3 2 .750 357 331
                                      Philadelphia Eagles 6 8 0 .429 312 313
                                      Washington Redskins 6 8 0 .429 307 305
                                      Dallas Cowboys 5 8 1 .385 250 289
                                      Pittsburgh Steelers 5 9 0 .357 253 315
                                      New York Giants 2 10 2 .167 241 399
                                      Western Conference
                                      Team W L T PCT PF PA
                                      Baltimore Colts 12 2 0 .857 428 225
                                      Green Bay Packers 8 5 1 .615 342 245
                                      Minnesota Vikings 8 5 1 .615 355 296
                                      Detroit Lions 7 5 2 .583 280 260
                                      Los Angeles Rams 5 7 2 .417 283 339
                                      Chicago Bears 5 9 0 .357 260 379
                                      San Francisco 49ers 4 10 0 .286 236 330

                                      Back then your chances of being in the championship game are 1 in 7 in each division not 1 in 16 and after going through several rounds of elimination games. Plus if you were among the top one or two maybe three at most teams in each division is was much easier to play for the NFL CHAMPIONSHIP. 

                                      Seven teams wouldn't even make up 2/3 of either the AFC or NFC, it's grueling now compared to then to win the championship. 

                                      GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
                                      The GipperT 1 Reply Last reply
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                                      • mjp28M mjp28

                                        THE MONDAY UPDATE from vegasinsider.com 

                                        NFL Future Odds

                                         
                                        ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 SUPER BOWL LII (2/4/18)
                                        Team Odds
                                        New England Patriots 7/4
                                        Minnesota Vikings 7/2
                                        Pittsburgh Steelers 11/2
                                        New Orleans Saints 6/1
                                        Atlanta Falcons 15/2
                                        Philadelphia Eagles 12/1
                                        Jacksonville Jaguars 16/1
                                        Tennessee Titans 40/1
                                         
                                        ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
                                        Team Odds
                                        New England Patriots 4/7
                                        Pittsburgh Steelers 9/4
                                        Jacksonville Jaguars 8/1
                                        Tennessee Titans 25/1
                                         
                                        ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 NFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
                                        Team Odds
                                        Minnesota Vikings 7/5
                                        New Orleans Saints 11/4
                                        Atlanta Falcons 15/4
                                        Philadelphia Eagles 5/1
                                         

                                        How To Bet NFL Futures

                                        The “Odds to Win” wager in pro football is also commonly referred to as a future wager. Bettors must correctly select a team to win an event that takes place a later time. The money wagered will be tied up until there is an outcome and bettors will receive fixed odds when they place the wager. The future odds are normally updated on a weekly basis and wagers can be placed throughout the season.

                                        To figure out your Win Amount, take the odds and multiply by the amount wagered. Ex. Green Bay (8/1) to win the NFC Championship. The Packers are listed as an 8/1 betting choice to win the NFC Championship. If you wager $100 on Green Bay to win the NFC and they capture the championship, then you would win $800 (8 ÷ 1 x 100). You would collect $900, which includes your win and stake ($100).

                                         

                                        Odds provided by BetOnline.ag
                                        Updated Mon, Jan. 8, 10:00 AM ET

                                        mjp28 mjp28M In Memoriam Dedicated Conversation Starter Very Popular Posting Machine Collaborator First Post Reacting Well Week One Done One Month Later One Year In
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                                        mjp28M mjp28 wrote on last edited by
                                        #32

                                        @mjp28 said:

                                        THE MONDAY UPDATE from vegasinsider.com 

                                        NFL Future Odds

                                         
                                        ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 SUPER BOWL LII (2/4/18)
                                        Team Odds
                                        New England Patriots 7/4
                                        Minnesota Vikings 7/2
                                        Pittsburgh Steelers 11/2
                                        New Orleans Saints 6/1
                                        Atlanta Falcons 15/2
                                        Philadelphia Eagles 12/1
                                        Jacksonville Jaguars 16/1
                                        Tennessee Titans 40/1
                                         
                                        ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 AFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
                                        Team Odds
                                        New England Patriots 4/7
                                        Pittsburgh Steelers 9/4
                                        Jacksonville Jaguars 8/1
                                        Tennessee Titans 25/1
                                         
                                        ODDS TO WIN 2017-18 NFC CHAMPIONSHIP (7/21/18)
                                        Team Odds
                                        Minnesota Vikings 7/5
                                        New Orleans Saints 11/4
                                        Atlanta Falcons 15/4
                                        Philadelphia Eagles 5/1
                                         

                                        The AFC looks like it's between our favorites the Belichick Bombers and the steelrz......but look out for the Jags.

                                        The NFC looks a bit more up in the air. NE vs MIN Super Bowl LII?

                                        GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
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                                        • mjp28M mjp28

                                          1964 season 

                                          Eastern Conference
                                          Team W L T PCT PF PA
                                          Cleveland Browns 10 3 1 .769 415 293
                                          St. Louis Cardinals 9 3 2 .750 357 331
                                          Philadelphia Eagles 6 8 0 .429 312 313
                                          Washington Redskins 6 8 0 .429 307 305
                                          Dallas Cowboys 5 8 1 .385 250 289
                                          Pittsburgh Steelers 5 9 0 .357 253 315
                                          New York Giants 2 10 2 .167 241 399
                                          Western Conference
                                          Team W L T PCT PF PA
                                          Baltimore Colts 12 2 0 .857 428 225
                                          Green Bay Packers 8 5 1 .615 342 245
                                          Minnesota Vikings 8 5 1 .615 355 296
                                          Detroit Lions 7 5 2 .583 280 260
                                          Los Angeles Rams 5 7 2 .417 283 339
                                          Chicago Bears 5 9 0 .357 260 379
                                          San Francisco 49ers 4 10 0 .286 236 330

                                          Back then your chances of being in the championship game are 1 in 7 in each division not 1 in 16 and after going through several rounds of elimination games. Plus if you were among the top one or two maybe three at most teams in each division is was much easier to play for the NFL CHAMPIONSHIP. 

                                          Seven teams wouldn't even make up 2/3 of either the AFC or NFC, it's grueling now compared to then to win the championship. 

                                          The Gipper The GipperT In Memoriam Very Popular
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                                          The GipperT The Gipper wrote on last edited by
                                          #33

                                          @mjp28 said:

                                          1964 season 

                                          Eastern Conference
                                          Team W L T PCT PF PA
                                          Cleveland Browns 10 3 1 .769 415 293
                                          St. Louis Cardinals 9 3 2 .750 357 331
                                          Philadelphia Eagles 6 8 0 .429 312 313
                                          Washington Redskins 6 8 0 .429 307 305
                                          Dallas Cowboys 5 8 1 .385 250 289
                                          Pittsburgh Steelers 5 9 0 .357 253 315
                                          New York Giants 2 10 2 .167 241 399
                                          Western Conference
                                          Team W L T PCT PF PA
                                          Baltimore Colts 12 2 0 .857 428 225
                                          Green Bay Packers 8 5 1 .615 342 245
                                          Minnesota Vikings 8 5 1 .615 355 296
                                          Detroit Lions 7 5 2 .583 280 260
                                          Los Angeles Rams 5 7 2 .417 283 339
                                          Chicago Bears 5 9 0 .357 260 379
                                          San Francisco 49ers 4 10 0 .286 236 330

                                          Back then your chances of being in the championship game are 1 in 7 in each division not 1 in 16 and after going through several rounds of elimination games. Plus if you were among the top one or two maybe three at most teams in each division is was much easier to play for the NFL CHAMPIONSHIP. 

                                          Uh....fuyuck NO.  ONLY the TOP ONE made the postseason...see below.

                                          Seven teams wouldn't even make up 2/3 of either the AFC or NFC, it's grueling now compared to then to win the championship. 

                                          For a team than to have had the same chance as now, they would have had to have had 6 teams make the playoffs. 

                                          You are also forgetting the AFL.    There were 14 teams in the NFL....and 8 more in the AFL...a total of 22 teams, and only 4 made the playoffs

                                          EastBuffalo Bills*1220.85740024215811.3-1.49.94.65.3Boston Patriots1031.769365297684.9-0.64.32.61.7New York Jets581.385278315-37-2.60.3-2.3-3.61.3Houston Oilers4100.286310355-45-3.20.4-2.8-0.8-2.0WestSan Diego Chargers*851.615341300412.9-0.42.60.91.7Kansas City Chiefs770.500366306604.3-0.53.82.81.0Oakland Raiders572.417303350-47-3.40.4-2.9-1.4-1.6Denver Broncos2111.154240438-198-14.11.8-12.4-5.1-7.3

                                          So that brings it up to 18% of teams who make the playoffs, compared to 37.5 today. If you don't get in, you cannont win. 

                                          To illustrate it more dramatically.....IF the rules about making the playoffs were the same as they were in those days NONE of the following teams would have ever won the Super Bowl....

                                          1980 Raiders

                                          1997 Broncos

                                          2000 Ravens

                                          2005 Steelers

                                          2007 Giants

                                          2010 Packers

                                          If you don't get in...you can't win...and these teams would have NEVER made the playoffs....and would never had a chance to win the title.

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