BROWNS ODDS MAKING PLAYOFFS with *6-9 start (*revised 12-23) at 0.00%.....game over..
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Here's the updated odds after the win over Buffalo and going to 3-6 and a 10.1% shot at the playoffs, we will see what 4-6 looks like after this weekend is completed.
AFC North
Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE BAL 7-2 23.8% 11.6 23.6% 40.7% 16.4% 9.8% 4.1% 2.2% 90.5% 64.3% 6.3% 96.8% 3.7% PIT 5-4 -0.5% 8.8 0.1% 4.0% 2.7% 1.4% 25.9% 18.1% 8.2% 4.2% 44.0% 52.2% 14.2% CLE 3-6 -11.5% 6.8 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 3.5% 5.4% 1.3% 0.2% 8.9% 10.1% <--- 1/10 right now 1.6% CIN 0-9 -42.4% 1.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% on the clock?0.0% -0.0% -
And here it is at 4-6 and the task ahead is simple (not really) keep winning and hope for a wild card for any shot at the playoffs.
AFC North
Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE BAL 8-2 33.5% 12.3 27.0% 53.5% 14.3% 3.4% 0.6% 0.5% 98.3% 80.6% 1.2% 99.4% 2.7% PIT 5-5 -4.7% 7.9 0.0% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 13.1% 13.4% 1.0% 0.4% 26.5% 27.5% -24.7% CLE * 4-6 -4.7% 7.4 0.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 7.1% 10.3% 0.7% 0.2% * 17.4% * 18.1% * up 8.0% CIN 0-10 -37.1% 1.9 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -
Definitely the time (of course, on top of winning) to root for those wonky losses for teams ahead. Bengals v Steelers, Jets v Raiders, etc. Even one of those teams taking a "bad loss" makes the odds better.
Just wish we had that damn Denver game back-only one that really sticks in my craw. 5-5 with that win, and the schedule we have would be sitting pretty strong.
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Definitely the time (of course, on top of winning) to root for those wonky losses for teams ahead. Bengals v Steelers, Jets v Raiders, etc. Even one of those teams taking a "bad loss" makes the odds better.
Just wish we had that damn Denver game back-only one that really sticks in my craw. 5-5 with that win, and the schedule we have would be sitting pretty strong.
Just wish we had that damn Denver game back-only one that really sticks in my craw. 5-5 with that win, and the schedule we have would be sitting pretty strong.
Yeah when you miss a layup or 2' putt you don't get those back..... especially when they are up the numbers at the end of the game.
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The Denver game was the most disappointing this year.
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The Denver game was the most disappointing this year.
Yep... basically took any excitement I had left out of the season. Outside of coming on this site, I’ve turned everything off Browns related except games... I will say, not listening to Bull and Fox on my drive home has actually put me in a better mood most days.... those guys really annoy me...
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The Denver game was the most disappointing this year.
Remember last season when they finished 7-8-1 and we're at least close to thinking about the playoffs "IF" certain things and overtime games went the other way?
This year it will be games like DEN and others that just slipped away...... unless they can run the table without a certain all pro guy.
GO BROWNS, we have to be the toughest fans in sports !
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Well at 5-6 things have turned around from around 10% to about 21.5% with that nice 3 game win streak. -but-. the next must win game is up with the BROWNS a slight favorite in the Cleveland-Pittsburgh II main event !
The second wild card spot is also getting interesting.
Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE NE 10-1 41.4% 14.0 72.3% 25.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 99.7% 97.8% 0.3% √ 100.0% 0.0% BUF 8-3 0.4% 9.8 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 60.8% 19.8% 0.3% 0.3% √ 80.7% 81.0% √ 22.8% NYJ 4-7 -0.9% 6.6 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.8% 0.8% 0.3% MIA 2-9 -37.3% 3.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% Team
W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE BAL 9-2 44.0% 12.8 26.8% 62.7% 8.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% √ 99.5% √ 89.5% 0.4% √ 99.9% 0.4% PIT 6-5 -3.9% 8.0 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 12.7% 14.4% 0.4% 0.2% 27.0% 27.4% -0.1% CLE * 5-6 1.0% 7.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 7.8% 13.6% 0.1% 0.0% * 21.4% * 21.5% * 3.4% CIN 0-11 -33.2% 1.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% x 0.0% -
Well with a 5-7 start the BROWNS have pretty much ended any serious talk about making the 2019 playoffs with a 4.8% chance of getting a wild card spot.
Better luck next year.
AFC North
Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE BAL 10-2 44.9% 13.1 64.7% 30.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.4% 99.5% 95.1% 0.5% 100.0% 0.1% PIT 7-5 2.0% 8.7 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 13.1% 26.6% 0.5% 0.2% 39.7% 40.3% 12.8% CLE * 5-7 2.1% * 7.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% * 0.3% * 4.6% 0.0% 0.0% * 4.8% 4.8% ** -16.7% CIN 1-11 -23.2% 2.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -
So you're saying.... there's a chance!!!
"When you have a shared vision it is a lot easier to make unpopular decisions." - Paul DePodesta "When you win, say nothing. When you lose, say less." - Paul Brown Complete 2017 Browns Board Mock: http://thebrownsboard.com/forums/index.php?showtopic=46196 -
Tour the eternal optimist. Yes there actually are two slim and none and slim just left town.
In thinking this over for days on end the BROWNS meager 5% mathematical chance to make the playoff might be slightly enhanced by their somewhat easy schedule.
In any case we get to watch one week at a time and find out. The Cinci game should take them to 6-7 with three games to go.
GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND! -
Exactly . They should be 6-7 after Cincinnati and 7-7 after cardinals.
Then comes the Baltimore game. Win and we are 8-7.
Beat cinci again 9-7
Realistically we will go 8-8 but Pittsburgh and Tennessee have some tough games.
Pittsburgh can easily go 2-2 or 1-3 in thier final 4 games bringing them to 8-8 or 9-7
Titans have Texans, Texans, raiders, saints. They just might drop all 4
Colts are 6-6 and probably be 8-8
With the tough road the stealers and titans have ....shockingly the browns could go 8-8 and get in.
If they go 9-7 I think they get in. My gut tells me Tennessee , indi, Oakland and Steelers are all gonna go 8-8
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Tour the eternal optimist. Yes there actually are two slim and none and slim just left town.
In thinking this over for days on end the BROWNS meager 5% mathematical chance to make the playoff might be slightly enhanced by their somewhat easy schedule.
In any case we get to watch one week at a time and find out. The Cinci game should take them to 6-7 with three games to go.
In thinking this over for days on end the BROWNS meager 5% mathematical chance to make the playoff might be slightly enhanced by their somewhat easy schedule.
In any case we get to watch one week at a time and find out. The Cinci game should take them to 6-7 with three games to go.
Well the instructions to the BROWNS keep swimming and don't look back. Mathematically even going 6-7 has barely helped their odds at 5.5% of getting the last playoff spot without a lot of 8-5 teams falling apart at just the right time. HOWEVER going to 7-7 and then beating Baltimore (a 7 point favorite now) will help the cause.
GO BROWNS, just win baby.....and don't look back !
AFC North
Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE BAL 11-2 47.2% 13.5 95.6% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 99.9% 98.8% 0.1% 100.0% 0.0% PIT 8-5 3.8% 9.2 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 30.3% 29.7% 0.1% 0.1% 60.0% 60.1% 19.6% CLE 6-7 0.0% 7.4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.3% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 5.5% 5.5% 0.7% CIN 1-12 -17.2% 2.3
AFC East
Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE NE 10-3 28.7% 12.3 3.1% 71.3% 19.1% 1.7% 4.7% 0.0% 95.2% 74.4% 4.8% 100.0% -0.0% BUF 9-4 8.6% 10.5 0.0% 2.6% 2.1% 0.1% 62.8% 26.2% 4.8% 2.6% 89.0% 93.8% 0.4% MIA 3-10 -27.8% 4.0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% NYJ 5-8 -13.1% 5.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% AFC South
Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE TEN 8-5 16.4% 9.8 0.0% 0.7% 20.1% 33.8% 0.4% 15.2% 54.6% 0.7% 15.6% 70.2% 17.8% HOU 8-5 -6.3% 9.1 0.0% 0.4% 9.1% 34.1% 1.3% 21.6% 43.6% 0.4% 22.9% 66.5% -21.2% IND 6-7 5.9% 7.7 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 1.8% 0.0% 0.8% 1.9% 0.0% 0.8% 2.7% -8.4% JAX 4-9 -27.2% 5.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -0.1% -
Well here are the odds whether it's Star Wars or the AFCN when you're a 100/1 shot or a 1.1% of winning or doing anything you're basically screwed !
So much for our lovable Brownies and their 2019 playoff aspirations. Well at least Pittsburgh lost last week also ! Better luck next year.
AFC North
Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE BAL 12-2 44.6% 13.5 95.3% 3.1% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 98.3% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% PIT 8-6 1.7% 8.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 38.2% 0.0% 0.0% 38.2% 38.2% -21.9% CLE 6-8 -7.0% 6.8 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 0.0% 0.0% 1.1% 1.1% -4.3% CIN 1-13 -15.4% 2.1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -
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The two main points.....
The AFC Wild Card is expected to be very weak, but this will be very difficult.
It is far more likely that the Browns miss out, and enter 2020 with a new head coach and real pressure to capitalize on the talent on the roster, but not all is lost quite yet in 2019.
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Well our beloved BROWNS now officially join Cincinnati in the 0% chance club and better luck next year.
The only thing still alive in the AFCN is due to their choke job last week with Pittsburgh losing to Buffalo is will they also be home for the playoffs.
Oh well try again next year !
AFC North
Team W-L WEI DVOA Mean Wins #1 #2 #3 #4 #5 #6 DIV BYE WC TOT CHANGE BAL 13-2 49.4% 13.7 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 0.0% PIT 8-7 -4.2% 8.3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 0.0% 0.0% 29.3% 29.3% -8.9% CLE 6-9 -12.9% 6.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% -1.1% CIN 1-14 -16.2% 1.5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% GO BUCKEYES, BROWNS, INDIANS, CAVS, YSU, NAVY and yes I like ND!
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