@ballpeen said:
And the deal is, the guarantee doesn't mean a whole lot. Teams don't move off QBs soon. If you also note, Watson isn't the highest paid QB. All these guys are getting 250 mil contracts. It is the going rate, like it or not.
As for injury, all teams wait a year or two if their guy gets hurt, with the hope he comes back strong. If it is a career ending injury, teams have insurance on those top dollar players.
Too much is being made out of the guarantee and dollar mount.
And he's going to keep going down the list of highest-paid QBs... there's a handful of young QBs - lead by Joe Burrow - that will probably easily surpass what Watson gets per year. And like you've said, how many of these QBs get a big contract and then are released?
But if Watson doesn't get back to his Texans-level, it will be a moo point.